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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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3547081,0621,416 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Economic Models

Modeling business cycles via collective risk fluctuations in economic agents' risk space.

problem Understanding and predicting business cycles through economic agents' risk dynamics.
method Continuous numerical risk grades for economic agents, modeling collective economic variables and flows as functions of risk coordinates, deriving equations for their evolution.
result Business and credit cycles are explained as fluctuations of collective economic variables and their mean risks in the risk space of economic agents.

Developing an AI economist agent using RAG, knowledge graphs, and LLMs for economic scenario analysis.

problem Economic scenario analysis using large language models and knowledge graphs.
method Proposing an RAG-based AI economist framework that utilizes knowledge graphs and LLMs.
result Improves economic coherence and traceability in generated reports.

This mathematical essay brings together ideas from Economics, Geobiodynamics and Thermodynamics. Its purpose is to obtain real models of complex evolutionary systems. More specifically, the essay defines Roegenian Economy and links Geobiodynamics and Roegenian Economy. In this context, we discuss the isomorphism betwee…

2018-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses Perelman and Ricci flow methods to analyze economic inequality.

problem Impact of socio-economic challenges and technological progress on economic inequality.
method Perelman model and Ricci flow methods.
result Technological innovations and social protection programs reduce inequality.

Deep-MacroFin uses neural networks to solve complex economic models efficiently.

problem Solving high-dimensional partial differential equations in continuous time economics.
method Leverages deep learning, specifically Multi-Layer Perceptrons and Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks, optimized with HJB equations.
result Offers a more efficient solution (5imes imes less memory, 40imes imes fewer FLOPs) for 50D economic models.

New framework for interpretable firm characteristics factors.

problem Creating statistically efficient and economically interpretable factors from firm characteristics.
method Grouping related characteristics and deriving one factor per group, combining economic intuition with data-driven clustering.
result Parsimonious, transparent factors outperform benchmarks in out-of-sample tests.

Current economic theories miss most of economic dynamics.

problem Accuracy of economic theories and policies depend on economic variables and processes.
method Identify and analyze overlooked economic variables and processes.
result Many economic variables and processes not accounted for in current theories.

Most of the econometric and econophysics models have been borrowed from the statistical physics, and as a cosequence, a new interdisciplinary science called econophysics has emerged. In this paper we planned to extend the analogy between different economic processes or phenomena and processes and phenomena from differe…

2007-07-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Study adds memory effect to Solow-Swan model for more accurate economic growth modeling.

problem Inaccuracies in classical Solow-Swan model in capturing long-term dynamics.
method Introduced fractional calculus with Caputo derivative into Solow-Swan framework.
result Fractional-order model shows significant impact on capital accumulation and stability.

Second-order economic theory considers new variables to improve price volatility predictions.

problem Current economic models focus on first-order variables, missing second-order variables that affect price volatility.
method Introduces second-order economic theory with new variables composed of sums of squares of agents' transactions.
result Second-order economic theory complements first-order variables and introduces new macroeconomic variables.

The paper proposes a new model for predicting and analyzing economic variables.

problem Predicting and analyzing economic variables in developed regions.
method Time-varying parameter global vector autoregressive (TVP-GVAR) framework combined with machine learning models.
result The proposed model provides high precision out-of-sample predictions and novel insights into economic variable connectedness.

LemonadeBench evaluates LLMs' economic intuition through a simulated lemonade stand.

problem Evaluating LLMs' economic understanding and decision-making in simple markets.
method Simulated lemonade stand business to test LLMs' long-term planning and profit maximization.
result Models achieve profitability but exhibit local rather than global optimization.

LLMs can memorize economic data and recall exact values before their training cutoff.

problem Evaluating the trustworthiness of LLMs' economic forecasts during their training period.
method Demonstrated through counterfactual forecasting and analysis of LLMs' recall ability.
result LLMs have memorized economic and financial data, leading to recall-level accuracy before their knowledge cutoff.

The paper presents instructive interdisciplinary applications of constrained mechanics calculus in economics on a level appropriate for the undergraduate physics education. The aim of the paper is: 1. to meet the demand for illustrative examples suitable for presenting the background of the highly expanding research fi…

2011-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Study improves stock return prediction by switching between economic states, outperforming traditional methods.

problem Improving stock return prediction across economic regimes.
method State-switching specification using the slope of the yield curve, with an Aligned Economic Index.
result The Aligned Economic Index outperforms traditional predictors, especially during market turbulence.

Study examines how governance, corruption, and R&D affect economic development.

problem The impact of corruption and governance on economic development.
method General equilibrium model with heterogeneous agents and a government, including corruption as a fraction of tax revenues.
result Redistribution and innovation-led strategies can mitigate the negative effects of corruption on economic development.

Our study shows that many firms would accumulate at zero output level (namely, Bankruptcy status) if a perfectly competitive market reaches full employment (namely, those people who should obtain employment have obtained employment). As a result, appearance of economic crisis is determined by two points; that is, (a). …

2010-10-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We address the problem of banking system resilience by applying off-equilibrium statistical physics to a system of particles, representing the economic agents, modelled according to the theoretical foundation of the current banking regulation, the so called Merton-Vasicek model. Economic agents are attracted to each ot…

2011-03-03abs ↗pdf ↗

DRL enhances economic modeling with deep learning methods.

problem Complex dynamic business environments in economics.
method Comprehensive review of DL, RL, and deep RL methods applied to economics.
result DRL provides better performance and higher accuracy in economic applications.

A new constructivist approach to modeling in economics and theory of consciousness is proposed. The state of elementary object is defined as a set of its measurable consumer properties. A proprietor's refusal or consent for the offered transaction is considered as a result of elementary economic measurement. Elementary…

2011-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep RL solves complex economic models with heterogeneous agents.

problem Solving models with heterogeneous economic actors is difficult.
method Reinforcement Learning techniques for solving general equilibrium models.
result Successfully captures economic behaviors induced by age-based health risks.

Quantum crypto-economics models price risks in blockchain technology.

problem Quantum technology's potential to undermine blockchain security.
method Building financial models to price quantum risk in blockchain scenarios.
result Quantum crypto-economics models can assess and price quantum risks in blockchain.

Examines various types of cryptocurrencies and their economic properties.

problem Understanding the economic characteristics of different cryptocurrencies.
method Characterization and analysis of different classes of cryptocurrencies using balance sheet operations.
result Different types of cryptocurrencies have distinct economic properties, ranging from commodities to liabilities of central banks.