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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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12243547 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Early Childhood

Understanding the community conditions that best support universal access and improved childhood outcomes allows ultimately to improve decision-making in the areas of planning and investment across the early stages of childhood development. Here we describe two different data-driven approaches to visualizing the lived …

2019-03-25abs ↗pdf ↗

More than two thirds of mental health problems have their onset during childhood or adolescence. Identifying children at risk for mental illness later in life and predicting the type of illness is not easy. We set out to develop a platform to define subtypes of childhood social-emotional development using longitudinal,…

2016-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Transformer model outperforms classical methods in childhood anemia prediction across diverse countries.

problem Generalizing childhood anemia prediction models across different countries and data scarcity.
method Transformer-based tabular foundation model compared to classical supervised methods using DHS data.
result Transformer model achieves lower Brier score and ECE in low-data settings, outperforming classical models.

Paper tackles tensor decomposition for unaligned observations using RKHS and novel loss functions.

problem Tackles tensor decomposition for unaligned observations.
method Uses functions in RKHS to represent mode with unaligned observations, introduces versatile loss function, proposes optimization algorithm and stochastic gradient method.
result Demonstrates improved tensor decomposition efficiency and effectiveness with synthetic and real data.

BiLiNGAM model reveals brain emotion circuit development in adolescents.

problem Understanding brain emotion circuit development during adolescence.
method Bayesian incorporated linear non-Gaussian acyclic model (BiLiNGAM) for multiple DAGs estimation.
result BiLiNGAM reveals unique developmental hub structures and group-specific patterns in emotion-related intra- and inter-modular connectivity.

Novel approach uses quasi-conformal geometry for OSA classification from cephalometry.

problem Classifying obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) based on craniofacial profiles.
method Quasi-conformal geometry for local deformation analysis of 15 landmark points in lateral cephalograms.
result Proposed model achieves 92.5% testing accuracy.

Natural experiment dataset reveals inconsistent treatment effect estimators.

problem Inconsistent results from over 20 estimators on a new dataset.
method Created a benchmark to evaluate estimator accuracy, derived variance formula, introduced new estimator.
result Doubly robust estimators outperform others by orders of magnitude.

Combining experimental and observational data for long-term causal effects.

problem Estimating causal effects of treatment on long-term outcomes using mixed data types.
method Three approaches for fusing experimental and observational data: equal confounding, shared confounder, and proxy variables.
result Developed estimators for each approach and analyzed their robustness.

The theory of complex hyperbolic discrete groups is still in its childhood but promises to grow into a rich subfield of geometry. In this paper I will discuss some recent progress that has been made on complex hyperbolic deformations of the modular group and, more generally, triangle groups. These are some of the simpl…

2003-04-18abs ↗pdf ↗

A ML-based method reconstructs 3D organ doses from 2D radiographs for pediatric abdominal radiotherapy.

problem Reconstructing detailed 3D dose distributions for childhood cancer survivors using limited 2D radiographs.
method Surrogate-free ML approach using 142 abdominal planning CTs, 300 artificial plans, and evolutionary algorithm.
result Accurate 3D dose reconstructions with MAEs ≤ 1.7 Gy for edge organs, validated on independent dataset.

Early stopping improves logistic regression's calibration and consistency in high dimensions.

problem Improving the statistical performance of gradient descent in overparameterized logistic regression.
method Investigates the effects of early stopping on gradient descent in logistic regression.
result Early-stopped gradient descent is well-calibrated and statistically consistent, while asymptotic gradient descent is not.

This paper improves neural network predictions with early stopping using conformal calibration.

problem Lack of precise statistical guarantees for neural networks trained with early stopping.
method Conformalized early stopping that combines early stopping with conformal calibration.
result Models provide both accuracy and precise inferences without additional data splits.

Early stopping methods reduce unnecessary reasoning steps in LLMs by monitoring uncertainty signals.

problem LLMs sometimes generate unnecessary reasoning steps, especially under uncertainty.
method Statistically principled early stopping methods that monitor uncertainty signals during generation.
result Uncertainty-aware early stopping improves efficiency and reliability in LLM reasoning, especially in math reasoning.

Paper analyzes pricing model for bonds with early redemption.

problem Analyzing pricing of bonds with early redemption features.
method Structural approach for mathematical modeling of bond prices.
result Existence and uniqueness of default and early redemption boundaries proved.

The study reveals optimal early stopping behaviors in deep learning models.

problem Understanding optimal early stopping in deep learning models.
method Theoretical analysis of linear models and experimental validation.
result Two distinct behaviors of optimal early stopping time depending on model dimension relative to dataset features.

This paper introduces a novel recalibration method for multivariate forecasts.

problem Multivariate calibration for potentially misspecified models.
method Local mappings between marginal probability integral transform values and observed space, using K-nearest neighbors or normalizing flows.
result Demonstrated effectiveness on currency exchange rate and childhood malnutrition data.

This work bounds the run-time of nonconvex optimization with early stopping.

problem Bounding the expected run-time of nonconvex optimization with early stopping.
method Derives conditions for well-defined early stopping based on validation function norms and bounds the expected number of iterations and gradient evaluations.
result Guarantees the validity of early stopping and provides bounds on the expected run-time for various optimization algorithms.

E2^2CM uses class means for efficient early exits in neural networks.

problem Efficient early exits in neural networks with low computational cost.
method Early Exit Class Means (E2^2CM) based on class means of samples, without gradient-based training.
result E2^2CM achieves higher accuracy with fixed training time budget and boosts existing early exit schemes.

Enhances early-exit neural networks for anytime classification.

problem Lack of guaranteed prediction quality improvement with longer computation time.
method Post-hoc modification based on Product-of-Experts to enforce conditional monotonicity.
result Achieves conditional monotonicity in prediction quality, enabling anytime classification.

The paper analyzes early stopping in linear regression and shows it's equivalent to ridge regularization.

problem Understanding the effect of early stopping on linear regression models.
method Characterization of gradient descent dynamics and analysis of excess risk.
result Early stopped solution is equivalent to minimum norm solution for a generalized ridge regularized problem.

We estimate treatment cost-savings from early cancer diagnosis. For breast, lung, prostate and colorectal cancers and melanoma, which account for more than 50% of new incidences projected in 2017, we combine published cancer treatment cost estimates by stage with incidence rates by stage at diagnosis. We extrapolate to…

2017-08-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Study proposes a new early-warning framework for high-dimensional complex systems.

problem Predicting critical transitions in complex systems like epileptic seizures.
method Integrates manifold learning with stochastic dynamical system modeling, using Schrödinger bridge theory.
result Demonstrates higher sensitivity and robustness in epilepsy prediction.

Enhances early risk assessments for pediatric outcomes using contrastive learning.

problem Improving risk assessments in early stages of pediatric development.
method Contrastive multi-modal framework that treats each time window as a distinct modality, training on all available data.
result Consistent improvements in early-stage risk assessments validated on real-world tasks.

The paper accelerates LLM inference by adding early exit heads trained in a self-supervised manner.

problem Inference speed in large language models (LLMs) is slow and resource-intensive.
method Adding self-supervised early exit heads at intermediate transformer layers to stop computation early based on confidence thresholds.
result Entropy provides the most reliable confidence metric for stopping computation early.

Early stopping is a well known approach to reduce the time complexity for performing training and model selection of large scale learning machines. On the other hand, memory/space (rather than time) complexity is the main constraint in many applications, and randomized subsampling techniques have been proposed to tackl…

2015-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal early liquidation strategy reduces financial losses during crises.

problem Substantial losses from simultaneous asset liquidation at depressed prices.
method Developed a worst-case approach for optimal early liquidation, considering uncertainty of other banks' decisions.
result Proposed robust optimal strategy maximizes liquid assets' value at clearing, even with uncertainty.

Early stopping in meta-learning improved by analyzing neural activation patterns.

problem Early stopping in few-shot learning is challenging due to distributional shifts between meta-validation and meta-test sets.
method Activation-Based Early-stopping (ABE) analyzes hidden layer activations from unlabelled support examples to detect when target generalization diverges from source data.
result Simple activation statistics can effectively estimate target generalization, improving few-shot transfer learning across various algorithms and datasets.