Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

2795588361,115 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for ERA5 data

Deep learning model predicts European weather parameters.

problem Ensemble weather prediction using deep learning.
method Conditional deep convolutional generative adversarial network (GAN) and Monte-Carlo dropout.
result Forecast skill for geopotential height and two-meter temperature is good, but precipitation is challenging.

Neural network predicts weather probabilities with added uncertainty.

problem Inferring uncertainty from weather predictions.
method Data-driven neural network trained on WeatherBench dataset, combining outputs from subsets of variables.
result More accurate than some numerical models, provides probabilistic information.

We propose a novel method to forecast the future from the present using time-reversed data.

problem Forecasting the future from past data, exploiting temporal asymmetry.
method Retrodictive forecasting via inverse MAP optimization over a Conditional Variational Autoencoder (CVAE).
result The method successfully predicts future events in time-reversible and irreversible processes.

Data-driven approaches, most prominently deep learning, have become powerful tools for prediction in many domains. A natural question to ask is whether data-driven methods could also be used to predict global weather patterns days in advance. First studies show promise but the lack of a common dataset and evaluation me…

2020-02-02abs ↗pdf ↗

New method reconstructs past foehn occurrences using unsupervised and supervised learning.

problem Reconstructing past foehn occurrences due to lack of direct measurement.
method Combining unsupervised and supervised learning methods to infer foehn occurrences from reanalysis data.
result Accurate hourly reconstructions of past foehn occurrences for 83 years.

Signature kernel scoring rule improves weather forecasting by capturing temporal and spatial dependencies.

problem Lack of suitable scoring rules for probabilistic weather forecasting.
method Reframe weather variables as continuous paths using iterated integrals (signature kernels) to capture temporal and spatial dependencies.
result Signature kernel scoring rule outperforms conventional methods in weather forecasting, especially for long-term forecasts.

Machine learning predicts Atlantic blocking using limited data.

problem Underestimation of blocking event duration in climate models.
method Transfer Learning and Explainable AI (SHAP analysis)
result High-pressure anomalies in specific regions contribute to blocking events.

Study builds dataset and benchmarks ML models for accurate solar and wind power forecasting in France.

problem Accurate prediction of non-dispatchable renewable energy sources for grid stability and price prediction.
method Comprehensive methodology using machine learning models trained with spatially explicit weather data and production site capacity.
result Neural networks outperform traditional models in forecasting solar and wind power production in France.

FCNv2 robustness tested under noise and random initial conditions.

problem Assessing AI weather forecasting model robustness to input noise.
method Two experiments with varying noise levels and random initial conditions.
result FCNv2 preserves hurricane features under low to moderate noise, but underestimates intensity and persistence.

Study combines variational inference and transformers for seasonal climate predictions.

problem Lack of robust seasonal predictions due to limited historical records and computational constraints.
method Combines variational inference with transformer models trained on climate model output.
result Method provides skilful predictions beyond climate change-induced trends in various regions.

ERDM integrates rolling forecasts with diffusion models for complex dynamics.

problem Forecasting complex dynamics with rolling forecasts and diffusion models.
method Adapting EDM components for rolling forecasts, introducing novel loss weighting, efficient initialization, and hybrid architecture.
result ERDM outperforms diffusion-based baselines in 2D Navier-Stokes simulations and ERA5 weather forecasting.

New method predicts wind farm power and wakes using weather patterns.

problem Inefficient and computationally intensive wind energy resource assessment.
method Unsupervised clustering of ERA5 data on wind velocity, WRF simulations at cluster centers, and post-processing.
result Accurate long-term predictions of power and wakes with reduced computational time.

Big data sets must be carefully partitioned into statistically similar data subsets that can be used as representative samples for big data analysis tasks. In this paper, we propose the random sample partition (RSP) data model to represent a big data set as a set of non-overlapping data subsets, called RSP data blocks,…

2017-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Prevents sensitive data generation in diffusion models using labeled and unlabeled data.

problem Generating sensitive data in diffusion models using unlabeled data.
method Positive-Unlabeled Diffusion Models, approximating ELBO with labeled and unlabeled data.
result Prevents the generation of sensitive data without compromising image quality.

Study reveals Data Shapley's inconsistent performance in data selection tasks.

problem Inconsistency of Data Shapley's performance in data selection across different settings.
method Hypothesis testing framework and identification of utility functions.
result Data Shapley's performance is no better than random selection without specific constraints.

PRRO generates synthetic tabular data that improves SL performance and class distribution.

problem Low SL utility of synthetic data due to class imbalance and overlooked data relationships.
method Data pruning and column reordering to optimize SL utility.
result Synthetic data generated with PRRO enhances predictive performance and class distribution.

Defines data science as a natural ecosystem with challenges and missions.

problem Challenges and missions in data science due to 5D complexities and data life cycle phases.
method Systemic and data-centric view of data science as a fusion of data universe and its challenges, formalizing a general-purpose architecture.
result Essential data science as a natural ecosystem integrating specific disciplines and high-impact applications.

Differential privacy allows quantifying privacy loss resulting from accessing sensitive personal data. Repeated accesses to underlying data incur increasing loss. Releasing data as privacy-preserving synthetic data would avoid this limitation, but would leave open the problem of designing what kind of synthetic data. W…

2019-12-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper creates fair synthetic data ensuring equal predictions across sensitive attributes.

problem Ensuring fair predictions across sensitive attributes in synthetic data.
method Equalizing target probability distributions across sensitive attributes in synthetic data generation.
result Synthetic data provides strong fair predictions, equal across all thresholds.

Efficient synthetic data generation improves model performance on tabular data.

problem Improving model robustness and performance with scarce or low-quality data.
method Hardness characterization to identify high-value training points, generating synthetic data only from these points.
result Synthetic data generated from hardest points outperforms non-targeted methods on tabular datasets.

For most problems in science and engineering we can obtain data sets that describe the observed system from various perspectives and record the behavior of its individual components. Heterogeneous data sets can be collectively mined by data fusion. Fusion can focus on a specific target relation and exploit directly ass…

2013-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

DAERNN models censored data using neural networks with data augmentation.

problem Handling censored data in expectile regression.
method Data augmentation based Expectile Regression Neural Networks (ERNNs).
result DAERNN outperforms existing censored ERNNs methods and achieves comparable predictive performance to fully observed data.

Data preprocessing techniques are devoted to correct or alleviate errors in data. Discretization and feature selection are two of the most extended data preprocessing techniques. Although we can find many proposals for static Big Data preprocessing, there is little research devoted to the continuous Big Data problem. A…

2018-10-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Data stream classification methods demonstrate promising performance on a single data stream by exploring the cohesion in the data stream. However, multiple data streams that involve several correlated data streams are common in many practical scenarios, which can be viewed as multi-task data streams. Instead of handli…

2019-08-15abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper quantifies uncertainty in Data Shapley using statistical inference.

problem Uncertainty in data valuation due to dynamic data distribution.
method Established relationship with U-statistics and quantified uncertainty using statistical inference.
result Confidence intervals for Data Shapley estimations are provided.

DCoM uses deep neural networks to detect semantic data types from raw column values.

problem Detecting semantic data types from dirty and unseen data.
method DCoM employs multi-input NLP-based deep neural networks trained on 686,765 data columns.
result DCoM outperforms existing methods significantly on 78 different semantic data types.

Data mining is about obtaining new knowledge from existing datasets. However, the data in the existing datasets can be scattered, noisy, and even incomplete. Although lots of effort is spent on developing or fine-tuning data mining models to make them more robust to the noise of the input data, their qualities still st…

2019-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms for clustering and synthetic data generation of heterogeneous tabular datasets.

problem Clustering and generating synthetic data from heterogeneous tabular datasets with hidden cluster structure.
method Developed MMM and MMMsynth algorithms for clustering and synthetic data generation.
result MMMsynth algorithm outperforms other literature tabular-data generators and approaches real data performance.

A new method reduces data valuation variance for more trustworthy data trading.

problem Data valuation and trustworthy data trading in algorithmic prediction.
method Variance reduced Shapley value estimation using stratified sampling.
result VRDS method reduces estimation variance and improves data marketplace development.

Adapts data analysis for growing data, improving generalization guarantees.

problem Challenges of overfitting and statistical validity in adaptive workflows with growing data.
method Generalizes adaptive analysis on dynamic data, incorporating time-varying empirical accuracy bounds and mechanisms.
result First generalization bounds for adaptive analysis on dynamic data, matching prior works' improvement over data splitting.

VSAE learns from missing heterogeneous data by modeling latent dependencies.

problem Learning from partially-observed heterogeneous data with missingness.
method Variational selective autoencoder (VSAE) models joint distribution of observed, unobserved, and missing data.
result VSAE improves over state-of-the-art models in data generation and imputation tasks.

Improves anomaly detection with contaminated unlabeled data.

problem Weakness in existing semi-supervised anomaly detection methods when unlabeled data contain anomalies.
method Integrates positive-unlabeled learning with deep anomaly detection models.
result Achieves better detection performance on various datasets.

ArtificialReplay improves data efficiency in bandits using historical data.

problem Data inefficiency in warm-starting bandit algorithms.
method ArtificialReplay, a meta-algorithm for incorporating historical data into any bandit algorithm.
result ArtificialReplay uses only a fraction of historical data compared to a full warm-start approach, achieving identical regret.