Generalizes Doob's theorem for supermartingales relative to a convex set of measures.
problem Extending Doob's theorem to supermartingales with respect to a convex set of measures.
method Introduced local regular supermartingales and proved an optional Doob decomposition.
result Generalized Doob's theorem to a new class of supermartingales.
Abstract: A new decomposition for g-supermartingales without continuity.
problem Developing a new decomposition for g-supermartingales. method Providing a general Doob-Meyer decomposition for g-supermartingale systems. result Generalization of existing decompositions for supermartingales and right-continuous g-supermartingales. The paper generalizes Doob's theorem for incomplete markets and defines fair prices.
problem Risk assessment in markets with incomplete information.
method Introducing local regular supermartingales relative to a convex set of equivalent measures and proving the Doob decomposition theorem.
result Generalization of Doob's theorem to incomplete markets and new definition of fair price.
In this paper, we study a type of reflected BSDE with a constraint and introduce a new kind of nonlinear expectation via BSDE with a constraint and prove the Doob-Meyer decomposition with respect to the super(sub)martingale introduced by this nonlinear expectation. We then apply the results to the pricing of American o…
The study examines how market completeness is lost when filtering down the information set.
problem Loss of market completeness under filtration shrinkage.
method Bayesian filtering approach to analyze local martingale deflators and their projections.
result Projections of deflators in smaller filtrations are not sufficient to span all local martingale deflators.
We build a general model for pricing defaultable claims. In addition to the usual absence of arbitrage assumption, we assume that one defaultable asset (at least) looses value when the default occurs. We prove that under this assumption, in some standard market filtrations, default times are totally inaccessible stoppi…
Enhances Doob's inequality for sub-martingales.
problem Fundamental importance of Doob's inequality in stochastic process theory.
method Generalization of Doob's Lp inequality for sub-martingales. result A tighter estimate on Doob's inequality for sub-martingales.
We extend Kyle's model to include stochastic liquidity and multiple assets.
problem Modeling informed trading with stochastic liquidity and multiple assets.
method Developed a variational formulation and derived a matrix-valued martingale depth process.
result A linear-Gaussian equilibrium with stochastic matrix-valued price impact.
We give an elementary proof of the celebrated Bichteler-Dellacherie Theorem which states that the class of stochastic processes S allowing for a useful integration theory consists precisely of those processes which can be written in the form S=M+A, where M is a local martingale and A is a finite variation proce…
We present a unified approach to Doob's Lp maximal inequalities for 1≤p<∞. The novelty of our method is that these martingale inequalities are obtained as consequences of elementary deterministic counterparts. The latter have a natural interpretation in terms of robust hedging. Moreover, our deterministic…
Paper introduces infinite-dimensional generative models using Doob's h-transform.
problem Defining generative models in infinite dimensions.
method Using Doob's h-transform to force a reference diffusion towards a target distribution.
result The forced process can be approximated by minimising a score-matching objective.
The target of this paper is to establish the bid-ask pricing frame work for the American contingent claims against risky assets with G-asset price systems (see \cite{Chen2013b}) on the financial market under Knight uncertainty. First, we prove G-Dooby-Meyer decomposition for G-supermartingale. Furthermore, we consider …
New method aligns diffusion models for inference-time properties without retraining.
problem Aligning pre-trained diffusion models for desired inference-time properties.
method Variationally stable Doob's matching for provable guidance estimation.
result Consistent estimator of guidance with non-asymptotic convergence guarantees.
We consider filtration consistent nonlinear expectations in probability spaces satisfying only the usual conditions and separability. Under a domination assumption, we demonstrate that these nonlinear expectations can be expressed as the solutions to Backward Stochastic Differential Equations with Lipschitz continuous …
Paper defines saddle points in asymmetric Dynkin games using martingale theory.
problem Tackles saddle point conditions in asymmetric Dynkin games with partial information.
method Uses martingale theory to identify super and submartingales related to equilibrium payoffs.
result Characterizes saddle point strategies in terms of equilibrium payoffs' dynamics and Doob-Meyer decompositions.
Novel framework for risk-sensitive reinforcement learning using martingale decomposition.
problem Risk sensitivity in sequential decision-making with uncertain rewards.
method Martingale decomposition and chaotic variation for reward uncertainty, integrated into model-free reinforcement learning algorithms.
result Demonstrated relevance of risk-sensitive reinforcement learning in grid world and portfolio optimization problems.
In this paper, we first establish the reflected backward stochastic difference equations with finite state (FS-RBSDEs for short). Then we explore the Existence and Uniqueness Theorem as well as the Comparison Theorem by "one step" method. The connections between FS-RBSDEs and optimal stopping time problems are investig…
The paper develops a computational method for efficient online filtering of diffusion processes.
problem Online filtering of discretely observed nonlinear diffusion processes.
method The approach involves Doob's h-transforms approximated by solving backward Kolmogorov equations using nonlinear Feynman-Kac formulas and neural networks. result The proposed method can be orders of magnitude more efficient than state-of-the-art particle filters.
In this article, we follow the study of quadratic backward SDEs with jumps,that is to say for which the generator has quadratic growth in the variables (z; u), started in our accompanying paper [15]. Relying on the existence and uniqueness result of [15], we define the corresponding g-expectations and study some of the…
We propose a new definition for tameness within the model of security prices as Itô processes that is risk-aware. We give a new definition for arbitrage and characterize it. We then prove a theorem that can be seen as an extension of the second fundamental theorem of asset pricing, and a theorem for valuation of contin…
Paper develops a new probabilistic method for American options using entropy regularization.
problem Finding optimal stopping times for American options with entropy regularization.
method Entropy-regularized penalization scheme based on Doob-Meyer-Mertens decomposition and reflected backward stochastic differential equations.
result Explicit convergence rates and policy improvement algorithm for American options.
Neural networks approximate superhedging prices in financial models.
problem Approximating superhedging prices in financial markets.
method Neural networks for approximating α-quantile hedging prices and their essential supremum. result Neural networks provide an approximation for superhedging prices and strategies.
Introduce a variance-weighted batch distribution for diverse sampling in diffusion models.
problem Independent sampling in diffusion models.
method Introduce a variance-weighted batch distribution.
result Sampler with a transparent probabilistic target.
Study on quaternionic stochastic areas and their large-time limits.
problem Characterizing quaternionic stochastic areas and their limits.
method Analysis of Brownian motions on quaternionic spaces, computation of characteristic functions, Doob transform, and semigroup densities.
result Explicit formulas for the semigroup densities of stochastic area processes.
A new method uses deep learning for optimal stopping problems.
problem Solving optimal stopping problems in financial mathematics.
method Deep primal-dual BSDE framework with a novel loss function.
result The method provides a true upper bound for the optimal value.
New algorithm learns bridged diffusion processes without time-reversals.
problem Learning bridged diffusion processes efficiently and accurately.
method Score matching with Doob's h-transform, avoiding time-reversals.
result Outperforms existing methods in learning bridged diffusion processes.
New algorithm selects robust martingale for optimal stopping problems.
problem Optimal stopping problems in stochastic processes.
method Randomized dual martingale minimization algorithm.
result Efficiently selects Doob martingale as close as possible.
The present paper introduces a jump-diffusion extension of the classical diffusion default intensity model by means of subordination in the sense of Bochner. We start from the bi-variate process (X,D) of a diffusion state variable X driving default intensity and a default indicator process D and time change it wi…
Adaptive denoising models adjust the number of steps based on noise level.
problem Generating data with lower intrinsic dimensions.
method Adaptive diffusion models using Doob's h-transform to terminate at a random time.
result Adaptive models simplify termination to a first-hitting rule, enhancing adaptability.
The paper studies martingales and super-martingales under a convex set of measures.
problem Understanding martingales and super-martingales in a convex set of equivalent measures.
method Introduced local regular super-martingales and proved necessary and sufficient conditions for their regularity.
result Generalized Doob's decomposition theorem for super-martingales under a convex set of measures.
ACSSM models irregular time series with continuous dynamics.
problem Modeling irregular time series data.
method ACSSM uses a multi-marginal Doob's h-transform and variational inference with stochastic optimal control.
result ACSSM outperforms in tasks like classification, regression, interpolation, and extrapolation.
New method simulates diffusion bridges using score matching.
problem Simulating diffusion bridges for statistical inference.
method Backward time representation, variational formulation, score matching.
result Effective approximation of diffusion bridges.
Financial markets are not random, but hard to predict due to hidden causes and strategic use.
problem Hard to predict financial markets
method Disciplined thesis on the distinction between no-arbitrage, informational efficiency, and net exploitability
result Discovers that markets are hard to predict due to hidden causes and strategic use
A martingale framework for concept change detection based on testing data exchangeability was recently proposed (Ho, 2005). In this paper, we describe the proposed change-detection test based on the Doob's Maximal Inequality and show that it is an approximation of the sequential probability ratio test (SPRT). The relat…
We study a stochastic equation modeling the lay-down of fibers in the production process of nonwovens. The equation can be formulated as some manifold-valued Stratonovich stochastic differential equation. Especially, we study the long time behaviour of the stochastic process. Demanding mathematical difficulties arising…
We present new extensions to a method for constructing several families of solvable one-dimensional time-homogeneous diffusions whose transition densities are obtainable in analytically closed-form. Our approach is based on a dual application of the so-called diffusion canonical transformation method that combines smoo…
Extends martingale Schrödinger bridge to arbitrary dimensions and characterizes it.
problem Tackles the martingale Schrödinger bridge in arbitrary dimensions.
method Identifies continuous-time counterpart and relates to variational problems.
result Continuous martingale Schrödinger bridge coincides with Föllmer martingale in irreducible case.
This paper generalizes neural transport learning for free energy estimation in arbitrary state spaces.
problem Efficient estimation of free energy in various state spaces.
method Generalized neural transport learning approach for arbitrary state spaces.
result Validation of the proposed method's effectiveness and efficiency in diverse settings.
New proof shows local wealth condensation in economic models with biases.
problem Economic models with biases leading to wealth condensation.
method Elementary proof based on properties of wealth distributions.
result Local wealth condensation observed in models with wealth or poverty advantages.
Unified framework for inference in complex nonlinear processes.
problem Challenges in inferring nonlinear continuous stochastic processes with sparse observations and complex topologies.
method Neural Backward Filtering Forward Guiding (NBFFG) framework that constructs a variational posterior using a proxy linear-Gaussian process.
result Empirical results show NBFFG outperforms baselines on synthetic benchmarks and high-dimensional phylogenetic analysis tasks.
Efficiently infers coupled hidden Markov models with noisy discrete observations.
problem Intractable inference for coupled continuous-time Markov chains with discrete observations.
method Latent Interacting Particle Systems, look-ahead functions, twisted Sequential Monte Carlo sampling.
result Demonstrated effectiveness on latent SIRS model and wildfire spread dynamics.
FHDMs achieve optimal convergence in spherically supported data.
problem Statistical convergence properties of FHDMs for spherical data.
method FHDMs leverage random generation time and Doob's h-transform to optimize convergence rate.
result Achieve minimax optimal convergence rate in total variation for spherically supported Sobolev smooth data.
Researchers describe and compare decompositions of Poincaré duality pairs.
problem Understanding and comparing different decompositions of Poincaré duality pairs.
method Developed and described edge splittings of decompositions based on group properties.
result Compared decompositions with two other related decompositions.
The paper proposes and discusses semiorthogonal decompositions for moduli spaces of vector bundles.
problem Decompositions of moduli spaces of vector bundles with fixed determinant of odd degree.
method Semiorthogonal decompositions, Grothendieck ring of varieties, mirror symmetry, graph potentials, Fukaya category.
result Evidence for a conjectural semiorthogonal decomposition of moduli spaces of rank 2 bundles with odd determinant.
New complexity notion connects finite decomposition and asymptotic property C.
problem Understanding and connecting different properties in metric spaces.
method Introducing finite APC-decomposition complexity and proving its implications.
result Finite APC-decomposition complexity implies property A for metric spaces.
The paper classifies decompositions of 3-sphere and lens spaces with handlebodies.
problem Classifying decompositions of 3-manifolds with handlebodies.
method Studied decompositions of 3-sphere and lens spaces with three handlebodies, using stabilizations.
result Determined whether decompositions are stabilized.
We extend diffusion models to function spaces and introduce a new method for sampling from posterior distributions.
problem Sampling from posterior distributions in infinite-dimensional function spaces using diffusion models.
method Infinite-dimensional extension of Doob's h-transform, Supervised Guidance Training for efficient sampling. result We prove that diffusion models can be conditioned to sample from posterior distributions and introduce a simulation-free score matching objective.
This paper generalizes octahedral decomposition to links in thickened surfaces.
problem Understanding the geometry of links in thickened surfaces.
method Octahedral decomposition of links in thickened surfaces.
result Nonpositive curvature of the complement and essential-ness of edges proved.