Paper proposes online optimization for uncertain systems using machine learning and DRO.
problem Optimization of uncertain dynamical systems with distributional uncertainty.
method Combines machine learning with Distributional Robust Optimization (DRO) to handle uncertainty.
result Online solutions with probabilistic regret bounds for uncertain systems.
DRO optimizes decisions under uncertain distributions, considering worst-case scenarios.
problem Optimizing decisions when the distribution of uncertainties is itself uncertain.
method Defines ambiguity sets and seeks decisions optimal under the worst-case distribution.
result DRO models can be connected to regularization techniques and machine learning.
Flexible framework integrates machine learning and DRO for uncertain parameter prediction.
problem Limited joint observations of uncertain parameters and covariates.
method Wasserstein, sample robust optimization, and phi-divergence-based ambiguity sets.
result Validation of theoretical and practical benefits in limited data scenarios.
A new method uses GANs for robust optimization under uncertain data.
problem Optimizing supply chains under demand uncertainty with ambiguous distributions.
method Generative adversarial networks (GANs) for data-driven distributionally robust chance constrained programming.
result The approach effectively handles uncertain data distributions and improves supply chain optimization.
Bayesian method optimizes uncertain constraints in black-box function optimization.
problem Optimizing black-box functions with uncertain environmental variables.
method Distributionally robust chance-constrained Bayesian optimization.
result The method can find accurate solutions with high probability in a finite number of trials.
Paper develops a robust Bayesian optimization method for noisy zeroth-order settings.
problem Achieving robustness to distributional shift in machine learning.
method Distributionally robust Bayesian optimization (DRBO) algorithm for noisy zeroth-order optimization.
result DRBO algorithm provably obtains sub-linear robust regret in various settings.
FDR-SVM improves classification robustness in federated learning with uncertain data.
problem Federated learning with uncertain and private client data.
method Develops FDR-SVM, a robust SVM approach using a mixture of Wasserstein balls ambiguity set.
result Establishes theoretical guarantees and derives algorithms with performance bounds.
A robust multiclass SVM tackles imbalanced data uncertainty.
problem Imbalanced multiclass classification with uncertain labels.
method Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization for multiclass SVM.
result Our model outperforms state-of-the-art OVA models in imbalanced settings.
Paper develops online learning-based risk-averse MPC for uncertain systems.
problem Designing robust MPC for systems with unknown but inferable stochastic disturbances.
method Proposes a novel online learning framework using CVaR constraints and Dirichlet process mixture models.
result Demonstrates improved robustness and adaptability of MPC in handling time-varying disturbance distributions.
Optimal financial strategies minimize risk under uncertain models.
problem Maximizing utility in financial markets with model uncertainty.
method Optimized strategies converge to those with minimal norm as uncertainty increases.
result Optimal strategies with minimal norm emerge as uncertainty grows.
Study optimal transport for robust optimization, showing how adversary's strategy relates to regularization.
problem Optimizing under uncertain parameters with a fictitious adversary reshaping a reference distribution.
method Introduces optimal transport and regularization to relate robustification to variation and Lipschitz norms.
result Conditions for existence and computability of Nash equilibrium between decision-maker and adversary.
The paper bounds solutions to complex optimization problems with uncertain data.
problem Distributionally robust optimization problems with multivariate uncertainty sets.
method Conditions and bounds derived for multivariate and univariate Wasserstein distances, Bregman-Wasserstein divergences, and signed Choquet integrals.
result Computable lower and upper bounds for DRO problems, derived from scalar-valued aggregation functions and Wasserstein distances.
Bayesian optimization tackles uncertainty in context variables.
problem Sequential decision-making under context distributional uncertainty.
method Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Bayesian Optimization.
result Sublinear regret bounds matching state-of-the-art results.
Risk-averse model uncertainty framework for safe reinforcement learning.
problem Safe decision making in uncertain environments.
method Risk-averse perspective towards model uncertainty using coherent distortion risk measures; equivalent to distributionally robust safe reinforcement learning problems; efficient, model-free implementation.
result Demonstrates robust performance and safety across perturbed test environments.
A new policy learning method allows policies to abstain when uncertain, improving safety and applicability.
problem Risk of making decisions without full confidence in uncertain predictions.
method Policy learning with abstention, identifying near-optimal policies and constructing an abstention rule.
result Improved safety and applicability in policy learning, with theoretical guarantees.
End-to-end portfolio system accounts for model risk.
problem Model risk in portfolio selection.
method Distributionally robust optimization with convex duality.
result Explicitly accounts for model risk in portfolio selection.
This paper examines how data affects risk measures in uncertain distributions.
problem How does distributional ambiguity affect risk measures?
method Formulated and derived simpler dual problems for infinite and finite dimensional robust moment problems.
result Developed theory and conducted experiments in inventory control and portfolio management.
A method for optimizing under unknown Markovian data distributions.
problem Optimizing under unknown and indirectly observed probability distributions via Markovian data.
method Data-driven distributionally robust optimization model with Frank-Wolfe algorithm.
result The proposed method finds a stationary point efficiently and outperforms state-of-the-art methods.
Many decision problems in science, engineering and economics are affected by uncertain parameters whose distribution is only indirectly observable through samples. The goal of data-driven decision-making is to learn a decision from finitely many training samples that will perform well on unseen test samples. This learn…
Paper shows hard computational limits for invariant causal prediction.
problem Hard computational limits for invariant causal prediction.
method Distributionally robust estimator with ellipse-shaped uncertain set.
result Estimation error rate can be arbitrarily slow for computationally efficient algorithms.
DRIVE improves IV estimation by accounting for distributional uncertainties.
problem Challenges in IV estimation due to untestable model assumptions and poor finite sample properties.
method DRIVE is a distributionally robust IV estimation method that minimizes a square root TSLS objective with a Wasserstein ambiguity set.
result DRIVE achieves consistency without requiring regularization parameter to vanish, ensuring robustness to distributional uncertainties.
The target of this paper is to consider model the risky asset price on the financial market under the Knightian uncertainty, and pricing the ask and bid prices of the uncertain risk. We use the nonlinear analysis tool, i.e., G-frame work [26], to construct the model of the risky asset price and bid-ask pricing for the …
Paper develops robust OPF method using contextual information.
problem Optimal Power Flow problem under incomplete uncertainty knowledge.
method Distributionally robust chance-constrained formulation with probability trimmings and optimal transport.
result Distributional robustness improves expected cost and system reliability.
New algorithm solves uncertain Markov decision processes using Wasserstein uncertainty.
problem Solving Markov decision processes with uncertain transition probabilities.
method Distributionally robust Q-learning algorithm for Wasserstein uncertainty. result Convergence of the algorithm proved and demonstrated with real data.
New framework for robust reinforcement learning policies in uncertain environments.
problem Robust reinforcement learning policies in environments with distributional shifts.
method Comprehensive modeling framework centered around robust Markov decision processes (RMDPs).
result Existence and conditions for the dynamic programming principle (DPP) in RMDPs.
New method corrects bias in estimating entropic risk for better decision-making.
problem Underestimation of entropic risk when data are limited.
method Parametric bootstrap procedure to overestimate entropic risk.
result Corrected method provides better risk estimates, leading to improved decision-making.
A new framework for performative prediction robust to distributional misspecification.
problem Performative prediction models can be influenced by their own predictions, leading to suboptimal outcomes.
method Introduces distributionally robust performative prediction (DRPO) to approximate the true performative optimum (PO) robustly.
result DRPO provides provable guarantees as a robust approximation to the true PO when the nominal distribution map is misspecified.
This paper first describes a class of uncertain stochastic control systems with Markovian switching, and derives an Itô-Liu formula for Markov-modulated processes. And we characterize an optimal control law, which satisfies the generalized Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation with Markovian switching. Then, by using …
Study proposes active learning method for estimating robust regions in uncertain function evaluations.
problem Estimating robust regions for uncertain function evaluations with unknown distributions.
method Distributionally robust level-set estimation (DRPTR) with active learning.
result The proposed method efficiently identifies reliable regions with theoretical guarantees.
The paper tackles robust control with uncertain dependence using data-driven methods.
problem Nonparametric robust control under dependence uncertainty in multi-period stochastic systems.
method Nonparametric adaptive robust control framework using stochastic gradient descent ascent algorithm.
result The controller benefits from knowing more about the uncertain model.
Safe-DRFS selects features robust to covariate shifts for reliable performance.
problem Feature selection fails in diverse deployment environments.
method Safe-DRFS extends safe screening to distributionally robust settings under covariate shift.
result Safe-DRFS identifies a feature subset encompassing optimal subsets across distribution shifts.
In this paper, we present a unified framework for decision making under uncertainty. Our framework is based on the composite of two risk measures, where the inner risk measure accounts for the risk of decision given the exact distribution of uncertain model parameters, and the outer risk measure quantifies the risk tha…
A method for robust reinforcement learning in large state spaces.
problem Challenges in RL with large state spaces, costly data, and real-world dynamics deviation.
method Distributionally robust Markov decision processes with Gaussian Processes and maximum variance reduction.
result Efficient learning of multi-output nominal transition dynamics with statistical sample complexity bounds.
Algorithm solves robust linear regression with block Lewis weights.
problem Group distributionally robust least squares problem.
method Algorithm based on geometric construction and block Lewis weights, using accelerated proximal methods.
result Improves over known methods for moderate accuracy regimes and matches state-of-the-art guarantees.
Noise can stabilize systemic risk models with uncertain robustness.
problem Understanding systemic risk in financial systems with uncertain parameters.
method Analyzing a mean-field model of systemic risk with uncertain coefficients and noise.
result Noise can induce stability in systemic risk models, contrary to intuition.
This paper tackles robust control of noisy systems with uncertain distributions.
problem Optimal control of sampled-data stochastic systems with multiplicative noise and distributional ambiguity.
method Develops a convex relaxation to handle the ``concave-max'' geometry and derives a probabilistic performance guarantee.
result Derives an explicit, non-asymptotic bound on the duality gap and proves robust viability conditions.
Selective classification can worsen accuracy disparities between groups.
problem Selective classification can magnify existing accuracy disparities between various groups.
method Study of margin distribution and distributionally-robust models.
result Selective classification can uniformly improve each group on distributionally-robust models.
Proposes a RL method using simulators for stabilizing uncertain systems.
problem Limited experiences and potential dangerous actions during RL learning of real systems.
method Two-stage approach: virtual systems for Q-function learning, real system interactions for final policy.
result Proposed method improves RL performance in uncertain discrete-time systems.
A general duality proof for Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization.
problem Optimizing under uncertainty with Wasserstein distance.
method One-dimensional convex analysis and interchangeability principle.
result General duality result holds for various distributions and costs.
New framework for robust regularization under uncertain data distributions.
problem Addressing ill-posed inverse problems and statistical estimation under distributional uncertainty.
method Distributionally robust optimal regularization using convex duality.
result Identifies robust regularizers that remain effective under data distributional perturbations.
Study robust control for systems with continuous states using adversarial perturbations.
problem Fragile policies in Markov control models under internal or external perturbations.
method Distributionally robust stochastic control with adaptive adversarial perturbations.
result Optimal robust policies for continuous state systems with uniform learning guarantees.
Develops robust learning framework under distributional perturbations.
problem Learning robust to data distributional changes.
method Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) under Wasserstein metric.
result Establishes performance guarantees and tractable formulations.
Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization estimators are obtained as solutions of min-max problems in which the statistician selects a parameter minimizing the worst-case loss among all probability models within a certain distance (in a Wasserstein sense) from the underlying empirical measure. While motivated by…
Novel causal effect estimators and distributionally robust prediction methods.
problem Estimating causal effects and distributional robustness in statistical models.
method Developed novel estimators and proposed a general framework for distributional robustness.
result Mean squared error improvements in causal effect estimation compared to existing methods.
Bayesian algorithm stabilizes unknown continuous-time systems from unstable data.
problem Learning and stabilizing unknown continuous-time systems with uncertain dynamics.
method Bayesian learning algorithm that learns from unstable data to stabilize the system in finite time.
result The algorithm stabilizes unknown continuous-time stochastic linear systems effectively after a short time period.
DeepONet models system discrepancies with low data.
problem Modeling complex systems with limited data.
method Bi-fidelity modeling using DeepONet for uncertain and partially unknown systems.
result DeepONet effectively models complex systems with parametric uncertainty and partial unknownness.
TIP-Search optimizes market prediction accuracy and timeliness under uncertain load.
problem Real-time market prediction requires accurate predictions before a deadline.
method Filters feasible models, dispatches workers, trades accuracy for deadline risk.
result Optimized pool achieves 0.991 timely accuracy and 0.994 raw accuracy.
Real-world applications require RL algorithms to act safely. During learning process, it is likely that the agent executes sub-optimal actions that may lead to unsafe/poor states of the system. Exploration is particularly brittle in high-dimensional state/action space due to increased number of low-performing actions. …