New framework models graph signals as distribution-valued signals in Wasserstein space.
problem Limitations of classical vector-based GSP, including synchronous observations and uncertainty.
method Introduces graph distribution-valued signals (GDSs) in the Wasserstein space.
result GDSs naturally encode uncertainty and stochasticity, generalizing traditional graph signals.
Wasserstein gradient boosting predicts probability distributions for supervised learning.
problem Distribution-valued supervised learning where outputs are probability distributions.
method Fits a new weak learner to Wasserstein gradients of loss functionals of probability distributions.
result Superior performance in probabilistic prediction compared to existing methods.
We will study metric measure spaces (X,d,m) beyond the scope of spaces with synthetic lower Ricci bounds. In particular, we introduce distribution-valued lower Ricci bounds BE1(κ,∞) ∙ for which we prove the equivalence with sharp gradient estimates, ∙ the class of which will be preserved under…
CAST predicts distribution-valued time series by stabilizing and transporting simplex-supported successors.
problem Forecasting distribution-valued time series with structural failure modes.
method CAST (Causal Anchored Simplex Transport) uses successors retrieved from causal context, stabilized with a persistence anchor, and locally transported on ordered supports.
result CAST outperforms baselines on eleven public and simulated benchmarks, achieving best average rank on both one-step KL and autoregressive rollout JSD.
Enhances financial market valuation and trading algorithms using distributional value functions.
problem Accurate valuation and optimal trading decisions in financial markets.
method Combines predictive knowledge and deep reinforcement learning to introduce CDG-Model, a flexible framework for financial market valuation and trading.
result Improved market valuation and trading performance through enhanced feature creation and integration of real-world market factors.
This paper improves credit line impact analysis by considering spending as a distribution.
problem Previous studies on credit lines' impact on spending have overlooked the distributional nature of spending.
method Developed a distribution-valued estimator framework to extend existing real-valued estimators.
result Credit lines positively influence spending across all quantiles, but more towards luxuries as they increase.
Price movements of stock market are not totally random. In fact, what drives the financial market and what pattern financial time series follows have long been the interest that attracts economists, mathematicians and most recently computer scientists [17]. This paper gives an idea about the trend analysis of stock mar…
Distributional (or distribution-valued) data are a new type of data arising from several sources and are considered as realizations of distributional variables. A new set of fuzzy c-means algorithms for data described by distributional variables is proposed. The algorithms use the L2 Wasserstein distance between dist…
We show injectivity of the X-ray transform and the d-plane Radon transform for distributions on the n-torus, lowering the regularity assumption in the recent work by Abouelaz and Rouvière. We also show solenoidal injectivity of the X-ray transform on the n-torus for tensor fields of any order, allowing the tensor…
In the post-industrial world, data science and analytics have gained paramount importance regarding digital data privacy. Improper methods of establishing privacy for accessible datasets can compromise large amounts of user data even if the adversary has a small amount of preliminary knowledge of a user. Many researche…
Wasserstein Policy Learning for Distributional Outcomes
problem Offline policy learning with distribution-valued outcomes
method Establishing statistical guarantees for policy learning framework
result Proven leading dependence on N and N-dim(Π) for finite-sample regret
Deep neural networks forecast financial return distributions accurately.
problem Forecasting probability distributions of financial returns.
method Used 1D CNN and LSTM architectures with custom loss functions to optimize distribution parameters.
result LSTM with skewed Student's t distribution outperformed classical models in multiple evaluation metrics.
ARL bridges non-Markovian decision processes with reinforcement learning, improving foresight and stability.
problem Inaccurate foresight in non-Markovian environments due to state-based methods' limitations.
method Lifted state space into a signature-augmented manifold, using a self-consistent field approach to anticipate future path-law.
result ARL achieves deterministic evaluation of expected returns with reduced computational complexity and variance.
Novel framework for quantifying data distribution values.
problem Quantifying the value of data distributions from samples.
method Generalized Bayesian Inference with loss from transferability measures.
result Unified solution for various practical problems.
The paper analyzes the risk of investing in a basket of 27 cryptocurrencies using statistical distributions.
problem Risk assessment of capital allocation in a basket of cryptocurrencies.
method Used statistical tests to determine the most appropriate distribution (SDI) for modeling returns, and adapted the generalized Pareto distribution for tail risk assessment.
result Found that a combination of stable and generalized Pareto distributions provides a more accurate risk assessment for the basket of cryptocurrencies.
QR-MIX models joint state-action values as a distribution to handle randomness in MARL.
problem Randomness in rewards and observations leads to randomness in long-term returns in MARL.
method QR-MIX uses quantile regression and combines it with QMIX and IQN to model joint state-action values as a distribution.
result QR-MIX outperforms QMIX in the StarCraft Multi-Agent Challenge (SMAC) environment.
Schrödinger bridge solved with Weyl calculus for quadratic state cost.
problem Optimal control policy to steer joint state statistics.
method Weyl calculus in quantum mechanics for reaction-diffusion PDEs.
result Explicit Markov kernel for quadratic state cost found.
Bayesian Additive Distribution Regression (DistBART) predicts distributions from grouped data.
problem Predicting distributions from grouped data with varying characteristics.
method Bayesian nonparametric approach using BART for modeling the regression function.
result Empirical and theoretical evidence supports DistBART's effectiveness in learning from low-dimensional marginals.
New algorithms for collaborative reinforcement learning with limited communication.
problem Efficiently learning value functions in multi-agent systems with strict information constraints.
method Distributed gradient-based temporal difference algorithms with consensus schemes.
result Parameter estimates converge to ODEs with defined invariant sets under general assumptions.
Optimizes option portfolios for skewed-t returns using VaR and variance measures.
problem Optimizing portfolios for skewed-t returns with heavy tails and skewness.
method Uses variance and VaR measures, departing from normal returns, and provides explicit portfolio weights.
result Optimal portfolio weights differ significantly from variance optimal weights due to skewness.
New method explains anomalies in multivariate time series data.
problem Understanding and explaining anomalies in multivariate time series data.
method Counterfactual reasoning applied to MDI-detected anomalous intervals.
result Our method accurately identifies and explains anomalies in various extreme events.
DFR models dynamic distributional data with weighted Fréchet means.
problem Regression of distribution-valued responses over time.
method Dynamic Fréchet Regression (DFR) with index-aware weighting and feature selection.
result Improved predictive accuracy and feature recovery over existing methods.
Spaces of convex and concave functions appear naturally in theory and applications. For example, convex regression and log-concave density estimation are important topics in nonparametric statistics. In stochastic portfolio theory, concave functions on the unit simplex measure the concentration of capital, and their gr…
In situations like tax declarations or analyzes of household budgets we would like to automatically evaluate credibility of exogenous variable (declared income) based on some available (endogenous) variables - we want to build a model and train it on provided data sample to predict (conditional) probability distributio…
Estimates low-rank distributional matrices from incomplete samples.
problem Matrix completion for distributional entries with limited observed data.
method Kernel mean embeddings, Tucker rank, functional unfolding operators.
result Effective estimator for distributional matrix completion established.
New method predicts spatial events like hurricanes and earthquakes with uncertainty.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in natural hazard predictions.
method Representing spatial point clouds as empirical measures, constraining prediction sets to spatial data manifold, using Wasserstein distance.
result Achieves near-nominal coverage and lower energy/manifold distances compared to baselines.
New method for multivariate distribution regression using NPT metric.
problem Regression with multivariate distributional responses and Euclidean predictors.
method Fréchet regression with nonparanormal transport (NPT) metric.
result Efficient estimation and granular interpretation of predictor effects.
The probability that a user will click a search result depends both on its relevance and its position on the results page. The position based model explains this behavior by ascribing to every item an attraction probability, and to every position an examination probability. To be clicked, a result must be both attracti…
Symbolic data analysis (SDA) is an emerging area of statistics concerned with understanding and modelling data that takes distributional form (i.e. symbols), such as random lists, intervals and histograms. It was developed under the premise that the statistical unit of interest is the symbol, and that inference is requ…
Meta-learning adapts models for unseen tasks across AI, robotics, and NLP.
problem Adapting models to unseen tasks efficiently and accurately.
method Black-box, metric-based, layered, and Bayesian approaches.
result Meta-learning enhances model generalization and adaptation to unseen tasks.
Meta-learning improves neural networks by adapting learning algorithms.
problem Conventional AI approaches solve tasks from scratch, but meta-learning aims to improve the learning algorithm.
method Meta-learning adapts a learning algorithm based on multiple learning episodes.
result Meta-learning can tackle deep learning challenges like data and computation bottlenecks.
Survey explores how transfer learning improves deep reinforcement learning.
problem Challenges in reinforcement learning efficiency and effectiveness.
method Categorizes and analyzes transfer learning approaches.
result Transfer learning enhances reinforcement learning performance.
Machine learning models adapt to motor learning but face challenges.
problem Adapting machine learning to handle motor variability and differentiate new movements from known ones.
method Parameter adaptation, transfer and meta-learning, reinforcement learning.
result Challenges in applying machine learning models for motor learning support systems.
New method uses bi-level optimization to learn useful representations for imitation learning.
problem Learning useful representations for multiple tasks in imitation learning settings.
method Formulates representation learning as a bi-level optimization problem.
result Bi-level optimization framework provides sample complexity benefits for imitation learning.
Tabular Q-Learning with learned state abstractions solves continuous control tasks.
problem Challenging reinforcement learning problems in continuous control.
method Learned state abstraction to transform continuous state-space into discrete.
result Tabular Q-Learning with learned abstractions achieves efficient learning in unseen tasks.
Study Whittle index learning algorithms for restless bandits with constant stepsizes.
problem Optimizing decisions in restless multi-armed bandits with constant stepsizes.
method Developed Q-learning algorithms with constant stepsizes for index learning in restless bandits, extending to DQN and function approximations.
result The algorithms learn the Whittle index effectively.
AI learns to learn sequentially without forgetting.
problem Preventing catastrophic forgetting in machine learning models.
method Meta-learning a neuromodulatory activation-gating function to control selective activation in deep neural networks.
result State-of-the-art continual learning performance with 600 classes (9,000 updates).
Poisson learning doesn't solve graph semi-supervised learning issues.
problem Global information loss in graph-based semi-supervised learning.
method Poisson learning is Laplace regularization with thresholding.
result Poisson learning cannot overcome the global information loss problem.
New unsupervised learning technique learns independent kernels for better machine learning tasks.
problem Improving unsupervised representation learning for machine learning tasks.
method Stacking convolutional transforms using alternating proximal minimization scheme.
result DCTL outperforms shallow version CTL on benchmark datasets.
Meta-learning helps models learn quickly from few samples.
problem Deep learning requires many samples, which are hard to get.
method Meta-learning optimizes models to adapt quickly to new tasks.
result Meta-learning can improve model efficiency and adaptability.
New self-imitation learning method improves performance in continuous control tasks.
problem Improving off-policy learning in continuous control tasks.
method Proposes a n-step lower bound to generalize lower-bound Q-learning and introduces a new family of self-imitation learning algorithms.
result n-step lower bound Q-learning achieves a better trade-off between bias and contraction rate, leading to improved performance.
Deep reinforcement learning finds optimal learning policies for adaptive systems.
problem Finding individualized learning plans for learners with unknown latent traits.
method Formulated as a Markov decision process, applied deep Q-learning with a transition model estimator.
result The algorithm efficiently discovers optimal learning policies with small data sets.
Unified framework explains all types of learning, including brain.
problem Lack of clear explanation for deep learning success.
method Constructing a learning principle that equates all learning to probability estimation.
result Unified understanding of learning across different fields.
Cyclical learning rates improve DRL performance without manual tuning.
problem Manual hyperparameter tuning in DRL is time-consuming and error-prone.
method Proposes cyclical learning rates for DRL problems.
result Cyclical learning achieves similar or better results than fixed learning rates.
Study batch reinforcement learning methods for personalized medical treatments.
problem Batch reinforcement learning for personalized medical treatments.
method Direct policy learning and model-based learning approaches.
result Model-based learning is impossible with finite model classes but feasible with relaxed conditions.
A new meta-meta classification method tackles few-shot learning tasks.
problem Learning with limited data in small-data settings.
method Designing an ensemble of learners for a large set of problems, then learning how to combine them for a new problem.
result Meta-meta classification outperforms traditional meta-learning and ensembling approaches in one-shot learning tasks.
The paper proposes a learning algorithm that improves adaptability and generalization.
problem Improving adaptability and generalization in learning models.
method Learning to meta-learn by meta-finetuning on related tasks before adapting to specific tasks.
result Learning to meta-learn improves adaptability and generalization across various tasks.
This paper surveys meta-learning, online, and continual learning.
problem Combining and understanding meta-learning, online, and continual learning.
method Organizing various problem settings using consistent terminology and formal descriptions.
result Fosters further advancements in meta-learning, online, and continual learning.