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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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48 results for Distortion Risk

This paper shows how to calculate risk measures for sums of two counter-monotonic risks.

problem Calculating risk measures for sums of two counter-monotonic risks.
method Using a fixed distortion function and expressing the risk measure of a sum as the sum of two related measures of the marginals.
result The risk measure of a sum of two counter-monotonic risks can be expressed as the sum of two related distortion risk measures of the marginals.

Study on risk measures using distorted Choquet integrals with random distortions.

problem Developing risk measures under random distortions of capacities.
method Introducing and analyzing randomly distorted Choquet integrals with respect to a distorted capacity, establishing properties and providing representations.
result Representation of comonotonic additive conditional risk measures using G-randomly distorted Choquet integrals.

Paper introduces new risk measures that unify two existing types.

problem Combining two types of risk measures for broader applicability.
method Introduces a new class of risk measures that unify distortion and Haezendonck-Goovaerts measures.
result New risk measures defined on a larger space, with coherent properties in certain scenarios.

We discuss equivalent axiomatic characterizations of distortion risk measures, and give a novel and concise proof of the characterization of elicitable distortion risk measures. Elicitability has recently been discussed as a desirable criterion for risk measures, motivated by statistical considerations of forecasting. …

2014-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes efficient method for estimating risk measures in complex models.

problem Accurately estimating distortion risk measures in computationally expensive models.
method Integrates importance sampling and machine learning for efficient Monte Carlo estimation.
result Demonstrates significant reduction in computational cost for estimating risk measures.

Optimal risk sharing found for heterogeneous risk attitudes using distortion risk measures.

problem Risk sharing in economies with diverse risk attitudes.
method Modeling preferences with distortion risk measures, using comonotonic and counter-monotonic principles.
result Optimal risk sharing strategies identified based on risk attitudes, reducing the nn-agent problem to a two-agent formulation.

Study dynamic risk measures and performance indices using distortion functions.

problem Investigate time consistency of dynamic risk measures and performance indices generated by distortion functions.
method Analyze dynamic coherent risk measures (DCRMs) and dynamic weighted value at risk measures, proving their equivalence. Establish properties of families of DCRMs generated by distortion functions and define corresponding dynamic coherent acceptability indices (DCAIs). Examine time consistency of DCRMs and DCAIs.
result DCRM generated by distortion functions are sub-martingale time consistent but not super-martingale time consistent and not weakly acceptance time consistent.

Paper quantifies distortion risk measures' robustness to distributional uncertainty.

problem Quantifying risk measures' robustness to distributional uncertainty.
method Employing isotonic projections, the paper derives bounds on distortion risk measures' values.
result Sharp bounds on distortion risk measures' values are provided, especially for Value-at-Risk and Range-Value-at-Risk.

Paper proposes a new method to evaluate joint risk under uncertainty.

problem Evaluating joint risk of multiple insurance risks under dependence uncertainty.
method Axiomatic approach to scalar and vector-valued distortion joint risk measures.
result Established a new scalar distortion joint risk measure with positive homogeneity.

We discuss two distinct approaches, for distorting risk measures of sums of dependent random variables, which preserve the property of coherence. The first, based on distorted expectations, operates on the survival function of the sum. The second, simultaneously applies the distortion on the survival function of the su…

2011-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Study risk sharing among agents with varying risk preferences.

problem Risk sharing among agents with heterogeneous risk measures.
method Derive explicit solutions for inf-convolution and counter-monotonic inf-convolution under varying risk seeking.
result Explicit solutions for inf-convolution and counter-monotonic inf-convolution can be represented by a generalization of distortion risk measures.

The paper studies robust risk measures with linear penalties under uncertain distributions.

problem Risk measurement under distributional uncertainty.
method Robust distortion risk measures with linear penalty function under distributional constraints.
result Explicit characterization of optimal quantile distribution and value function.

Paper introduces new risk norms based on ES with flexible distortion functions.

problem Risk quantification and anomaly detection in financial data.
method Developed generalized Expected-Shortfall (ES) norms using distortion risk measures and duality theory.
result Unified analytical framework for risk quantification and practical applications.

New method for risk quantification using quantile processes and measure distortions.

problem Risk quantification and valuation in financial markets.
method Develops a novel stochastic valuation principle based on probability measure distortions induced by quantile processes.
result Introduces a system of subjective probability measures that indexes a stochastic valuation principle susceptible to probability measure distortions.

Paper proposes robust risk measures for non-negative risks with partial information.

problem Tackles robustness of distortion risk measures under distributional uncertainty.
method Introduces new uncertainty sets and derives closed-form expressions for risk maximization.
result Derives closed-form expressions for risk maximization over uncertainty sets.

The paper analyzes worst-case distortion risk metrics and weighted entropy under partial information.

problem Analyzing worst-case distortion risk metrics and weighted entropy with limited information.
method General distributions, partial information (mean and variance), various entropies and risk measures.
result Provides worst-case results for distortion risk metrics and weighted entropy.

New method assesses financial and cyber risks under uncertainty.

problem Uncertainty in risk assessment for financial and cyber systems.
method Combines stochastic approximation and distorted mix method to compute worst case average value at risk.
result Efficient algorithm for tail uncertainty in multivariate distributions.

In this paper, we introduce the rich classes of conditional distortion (CoD) risk measures and distortion risk contribution (ΔΔCoD) measures as measures of systemic risk and analyze their properties and representations. The classes include the well-known conditional Value-at-Risk, conditional Expected Shortfall, and r…

2019-01-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes extreme risk measures with limited distributional information.

problem Investigating risk measures under partial knowledge of distribution moments and shape.
method Employing probability inequalities and modified Schwarz inequality to derive bounds on distortion risk measures.
result Unified framework for calculating best- and worst-case scenarios of distortion risk measures.

Framework uses IRL and RL to elicit and optimize risk preferences robustly to noise.

problem Eliciting and optimizing risk preferences in noisy environments.
method Adaptive Bayesian IRL for elicitation, model-free RL for optimization, using quantile networks.
result Framework achieves convergence rate of O(exp(cm+O(mlogm)))O(\exp(-cm+O(\sqrt{m\log m}))).

Study optimal risk sharing in decentralized peer-to-peer markets with robust risk measures.

problem Optimizing risk sharing in decentralized markets with non-convex risk measures.
method Characterization of Pareto-optimal allocations using robust distortion risk measures and probabilistic risk aversion.
result Shape of allocations depends on agents' tail risk assessments.

The paper studies risk-sharing allocations for risk-seeking agents using a common distortion risk measure.

problem Characterizing Pareto-optimal risk-sharing allocations for risk-seeking agents.
method Modeling preferences with a common distortion risk measure and analyzing three settings: risk-averse, risk-seeking, and inverse S-shaped distortion.
result Pareto-optimal allocations for risk-seeking agents are counter-monotonic, not comonotonic.

The paper integrates behavioral distortions into portfolio optimization using implied probability weighting functions.

problem Behavioral distortions in probability weighting affect portfolio optimization under different return distributions.
method Developed a unified framework to extract probability weighting functions from optimal portfolios modeled under Gaussian and NIG distributions.
result Increasing tail fatness amplifies behavioral distortions, and shifts in risk-free rates alter the curvature of these distortions.

Develops a framework for robust RL with dynamic risk measures.

problem Optimal RL strategies depend on risk preferences and model dynamics.
method Dynamic robust distortion risk measures, Wasserstein ball, neural networks, strictly consistent scoring functions, policy gradient formulae, actor-critic algorithm.
result Demonstrates improved performance in portfolio allocation example.

Establishes a link between risk measures and uniform integrability in finance.

problem Understanding uniform integrability in the context of financial risk measures.
method Introduces the folding score of distortion risk measures to study uniform integrability directly with gains and losses.
result Obtains three sets of equivalent conditions for uniform integrability involving coherent risk measures.

Under Solvency II the computation of capital requirements is based on value at risk (V@R). V@R is a quantile-based risk measure and neglects extreme risks in the tail. V@R belongs to the family of distortion risk measures. A serious deficiency of V@R is that firms can hide their total downside risk in corporate network…

2017-02-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Lower bounds on Bayes risk for realizable models derived using information theory.

problem Deriving lower bounds on Bayes risk for realizable machine learning models.
method Information-theoretic analysis using rate-distortion theory and mutual information.
result Lower bounds on Bayes risk for realizable models, matching known bounds up to logarithmic factors.

The paper addresses risk sharing and variability measures among agents with general risk preferences.

problem Risk sharing and variability measures among agents with general risk preferences.
method Characterizes Pareto-optimal allocations using Gini deviation, mean-median deviation, and inter-quantile difference as variability measures.
result Optimal allocations are not comonotonic and feature a mixture of pairwise counter-monotonic structures.

The paper calculates bounds for risk metrics and entropies under partial information constraints.

problem Analyzing risk metrics and entropies for unimodal, symmetric distributions with limited information.
method Develops lower and upper bounds for worst-case distortion riskmetrics and weighted entropy for unimodal, symmetric distributions with known mean and variance.
result Sharp upper bounds for distortion riskmetrics and weighted entropy for symmetric distributions.

Investors optimize their portfolios within a Wasserstein ball to match a benchmark's risk profile.

problem Optimizing portfolio performance while maintaining risk proximity to a benchmark.
method Optimal dynamic strategy selection based on minimizing distortion risk measures within a Wasserstein ball.
result An optimal dynamic strategy exists and can be calculated through isotonic projections.

The aims of this study are twofold. First, we consider an optimal risk allocation problem with non-convex preferences. By establishing an infimal representation for distortion risk measures, we give some necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of optimal and asymptotic optimal allocations. We will show th…

2015-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Study models weather index insurance pricing by insurers and farmers, finding flexible pricing kernels boost profits.

problem Monopoly pricing of weather index insurance with risk and flexibility considerations.
method Bowley-type sequential game with insurer and farmer, using neural networks for farmer's payoff.
result Flexible pricing kernels increase insurer profits closer to indemnity insurance levels.

We present an information-theoretic framework for bounding the number of labeled samples needed to train a classifier in a parametric Bayesian setting. We derive bounds on the average LpL_p distance between the learned classifier and the true maximum a posteriori classifier, which are well-established surrogates for th…

2016-05-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes risk measures and optimal reserve allocation strategies.

problem Risk measures and optimal reserve allocation across multiple lines of business.
method Formalizes expected maximum deficit, introduces implicitly bounded risk measures, and proposes capital allocation approaches.
result Theoretical results on static and dynamic coherence, convexity, and exact optimizations of aggregate minimum reserves.

Optimal insurance strategy for maximizing RDEU under various premium principles.

problem Maximizing a risk-averse individual's RDEU with insurance priced by a distortion-deviation principle.
method Proved necessary and sufficient conditions for the optimal solution, considered ambiguity orders, and analyzed specific examples.
result Conditions for no insurance or deductible insurance to be optimal.

The paper examines how risk reduction and insurance choices interact under convex premium principles.

problem Interaction between self-protection and insurance demand under convex premium principles.
method Investigates optimal prevention efforts and insurance shares using distortion risk measures.
result Self-protection and insurance are complementary, but ex ante moral hazard can turn this into a substitution effect.

Method determines asset prices in incomplete markets to optimize portfolios.

problem Optimizing portfolios in incomplete markets with price constraints.
method Maximum entropy in the mean to adjust distortion function from bid-ask data.
result Prices of assets comply with portfolio optimization constraints.

We characterize when a convex risk measure associated to a law-invariant acceptance set in LL^\infty can be extended to LpL^p, 1p<1\leq p<\infty, preserving finiteness and continuity. This problem is strongly connected to the statistical robustness of the corresponding risk measures. Special attention is paid to concre…

2014-01-14abs ↗pdf ↗