A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
A PID-based feedback-control system improves multiple KPIs in RTB display advertising.
Study predicts ad conversions based on URL embeddings.
Study dynamic assortment and positioning of products with varying display effects.
Bayesian priors for neural networks are improved by incorporating weight correlations and tail behavior.
This paper begins to explore the determinants of the topological properties of the international - trade network (ITN). We fit bilateral-trade flows using a standard gravity equation to build a "residual" ITN where trade-link weights are depurated from geographical distance, size, border effects, trade agreements, and …
A new bandit algorithm for web page item display.
We proposed a market simulation model (micro model) which displays multifractality and reproduces many important stylized facts of speculative markets. From this model we analytically extracted the MMAR model (Multifractal Model of Asset Returns) for the macroscopic limit.
In E-commerce advertising, where product recommendations and product ads are presented to users simultaneously, the traditional setting is to display ads at fixed positions. However, under such a setting, the advertising system loses the flexibility to control the number and positions of ads, resulting in sub-optimal p…
Investigates price dynamics of two assets with and without bubbles, deriving conditions for equilibrium prices.
We focus on the problem of how wealth is distributed among the units of a networked economic system. We first review the empirical results documenting that in many economies the wealth distribution is described by a combination of log--normal and power--law behaviours. We then focus on the Bouchaud--Mézard model of wea…
The article improves the display of acceptable exchange ratios for merging companies.
We investigate the effects of the unsupervised pre-training method under the perspective of information theory. If the input distribution displays multiple views of the supervision, then unsupervised pre-training allows to learn hierarchical representation which communicates these views across layers, while disentangli…
A new method detects and displays pairwise dependence between variates.
If financial markets displayed the informational efficiency postulated in the efficient markets hypothesis (EMH), arbitrage operations would be self-extinguishing. The present paper considers arbitrage sequences in foreign exchange (FX) markets, in which trading platforms and information are fragmented. In Kozyakin et …
This paper introduces tangent display maps to simplify tangent category theory.
We propose a new volatility model based on two stylized facts of the volatility in the stock market: clustering and leverage effect. We calibrate our model parameters, in the leading order, with 77 years Dow Jones Industrial Average data. We find in the short time scale (10 to 50 days) the future volatility is sensitiv…
In online display advertising, selecting the most effective ad creative (ad image) for each impression is a crucial task for DSPs (Demand-Side Platforms) to fulfill their goals (click-through rate, number of conversions, revenue, and brand improvement). As widely recognized in the marketing literature, the effect of ad…
New model for display advertising with stochastic and adversarial components.
Linear and non-linear measures of heart rate variability (HRV) are widely investigated as non-invasive indicators of health. Stress has a profound impact on heart rate, and different meditation techniques have been found to modulate heartbeat rhythm. This paper aims to explore the process of identifying appropriate met…
Taobao, as the largest online retail platform in the world, provides billions of online display advertising impressions for millions of advertisers every day. For commercial purposes, the advertisers bid for specific spots and target crowds to compete for business traffic. The platform chooses the most suitable ads to …
New method for analyzing compositional data, addressing biases in summary statistics.
Study examines how COVID-19 intensified demand variability in U.S. supply chains.
An average adult is exposed to hundreds of digital advertisements daily (https://www.mediadynamicsinc.com/uploads/files/PR092214-Note-only-150-Ads-2mk.pdf), making the digital advertisement industry a classic example of a big-data-driven platform. As such, the ad-tech industry relies on historical engagement logs (clic…
We present effective methods to compute equivariant harmonic maps from the universal cover of a surface into a nonpositively curved space. By discretizing the theory appropriately, we show that the energy functional is strongly convex and derive convergence of the discrete heat flow to the energy minimizer, with explic…
In this communication, some economic models given by functional mappings are addressed. These are models for random markets where agents trade by pairs and exchange their money in a random and conservative way. They display the exponential wealth distribution as asymptotic equilibrium, independently of the effectivenes…
Gradient descent with large momentum finds flatter minima.
We use geometric algebra techniques to give a synthetic and computationally efficient approach to Fierz identities in arbitrary dimensions and signatures, thus generalizing previous work. Our approach leads to a formulation which displays the underlying real, complex or quaternionic structure in an explicit and concept…
Standard economic theory assumes that agents in markets behave rationally. However, the observation of extremely large fluctuations in the price of financial assets that are not correlated to changes in their fundamental value, as well as the extreme instance of financial bubbles and crashes, imply that markets (at lea…
User surveys for Quality of Experience (QoE) are a critical source of information. In addition to the common "star rating" used to estimate Mean Opinion Score (MOS), more detailed survey questions (problem tokens) about specific areas provide valuable insight into the factors impacting QoE. This paper explores two aspe…
Paper extends CoVaR for crypto markets, showing domino effects.
Quarter-hour market bursts predict algorithmic trading and returns in crypto futures.
Designing of touchless user interface is gaining popularity in various contexts. Using such interfaces, users can interact with electronic devices even when the hands are dirty or non-conductive. Also, user with partial physical disability can interact with electronic devices using such systems. Research in this direct…
The goal of online display advertising is to entice users to "convert" (i.e., take a pre-defined action such as making a purchase) after clicking on the ad. An important measure of the value of an ad is the probability of conversion. The focus of this paper is the development of a computationally efficient, accurate, a…
Online advertising is an important and huge industry. Having knowledge of the website attributes can contribute greatly to business strategies for ad-targeting, content display, inventory purchase or revenue prediction. Classical inferences on users and sites impose challenge, because the data is voluminous, sparse, hi…
We propose a novel perspective to understand deep neural networks in an interpretable disentanglement form. For each semantic class, we extract a class-specific functional subnetwork from the original full model, with compressed structure while maintaining comparable prediction performance. The structure representation…
Optimizes reserve prices for first-price auctions to maximize revenue.
We investigate the correlation properties of transaction data from the New York Stock Exchange. The trading activity f(t) of each stock displays a crossover from weaker to stronger correlations at time scales 60-390 minutes. In both regimes, the Hurst exponent H depends logarithmically on the liquidity of the stock, me…
A class of heterogeneous agent models is investigated where investors switch trading position whenever their motivation to do so exceeds some critical threshold. These motivations can be psychological in nature or reflect behaviour suggested by the efficient market hypothesis (EMH). By introducing different propensitie…
We consider an exchange who wishes to set suitable make-take fees to attract liquidity on its platform. Using a principal-agent approach, we are able to describe in quasi-explicit form the optimal contract to propose to a market maker. This contract depends essentially on the market maker inventory trajectory and on th…
We provide complete source code for a front-end GUI and its back-end counterpart for a stock market visualization tool. It is built based on the "functional visualization" concept we discuss, whereby functionality is not sacrificed for fancy graphics. The GUI, among other things, displays a color-coded signal (computed…
Prospective display advertising poses a great challenge for large advertising platforms as the strongest predictive signals of users are not eligible to be used in the conversion prediction systems. To that end efforts are made to collect as much information as possible about each user from various data sources and to …
Records of the traded value f_i(t) of stocks display fluctuation scaling, a proportionality between the standard deviation sigma(i) and the average <f(i)>: sigma(i) ~ f(i)^alpha, with a strong time scale dependence alpha(dt). The non-trivial (i.e., neither 0.5 nor 1) value of alpha may have different origins and provid…
Develops a new bidding system to maximize advertiser profit.
This paper pretends to analyze the importance which the natural advantages and local resources are in the manufacturing industry location, in relation with the "spillovers" effects and industrial policies. To this, we estimate the Rybczynski equation matrix for the various manufacturing industries in Portugal, at regio…
Price fluctuations of commodities like cotton and wheat are thought to display probability distributions of returns that follow a Lévy stable distribution. Recent analysis of stocks and foreign exchange markets show that the probability distributions are not Lévy stable, a plausible result since commodity markets have …
A simple trading model based on pair pattern strategy space with holding periods is proposed. Power-law behaviors are observed for the return variance , the price impact and the predictability for both models with linear and square root impact functions. The sum of the traders' wealth displays a positive v…
This paper improves ASR performance by aligning frames more accurately.
We study a minimalist kinetic model for economies. A system of agents with local trading rules display emergent demand behaviour. We examine the resulting wealth distribution to look for non-thermal behaviour. We compare and contrast this model with other similar models.