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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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135270404539 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Discounted Thompson Sampling

Thompson Sampling is at most twice as bad as any other policy in Bayesian bandit models.

problem Optimizing selection of the best arm in Bayesian bandit models with independent latent processes.
method Thompson Sampling approach applied to models with independent latent arm processes.
result Thompson Sampling makes at most twice the expected number of mistakes compared to any other policy.

This paper improves Thompson Sampling for complex decision-making problems.

problem Learning in infinite-horizon discounted decision processes with unknown parameters.
method Developed a general canonical probability space and new metrics for analyzing adaptive learning algorithms.
result Thompson Sampling achieves complete learning in complex decision-making problems.

Paper introduces novel Bandit algorithms for non-stationary environments in finance.

problem Non-stationary reward distributions in financial markets.
method Introduces Adaptive Discounted Thompson Sampling (ADTS) and Combinatorial Adaptive Discounted Thompson Sampling (CADTS) for non-stationary environments in portfolio optimization.
result Bandit Networks improve portfolio optimization performance by 20% compared to classical models.

We investigate two perturbation approaches to overcome conservatism that optimism based algorithms chronically suffer from in practice. The first approach replaces optimism with a simple randomization when using confidence sets. The second one adds random perturbations to its current estimate before maximizing the expe…

2019-12-11abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the multi armed bandit problem in non-stationary environments. Based on the Bayesian method, we propose a variant of Thompson Sampling which can be used in both rested and restless bandit scenarios. Applying discounting to the parameters of prior distribution, we describe a way to systematically reduce the …

2017-07-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian bandits misspecification affects UX optimization, revealing new models.

problem Misspecification of value models in Bayesian bandits impacts UX optimization.
method Formulated UXO as a restless, sleeping bandit with unobserved confounders and optional stopping. Provided model extensions to address misspecifications.
result Common misspecifications lead to sub-optimal rewards, demonstrating overdispersion's effects on bandit performance.

Thompson sampling provides a solution to bandit problems in which new observations are allocated to arms with the posterior probability that an arm is optimal. While sometimes easy to implement and asymptotically optimal, Thompson sampling can be computationally demanding in large scale bandit problems, and its perform…

2014-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

New Thompson sampling algorithm for stochastic partial monitoring achieves logarithmic regret.

problem Limited feedback in sequential learning problems.
method Developed a novel Thompson-sampling-based algorithm to sample from the posterior distribution exactly.
result Achieved logarithmic regret bound of O(log T) for a linearized variant of the problem.

Improved Thompson Sampling reduces regret in contextual bandits and reinforcement learning.

problem Thompson Sampling's exploration is insufficient in some contexts.
method Developed Feel-Good Thompson Sampling to address exploration issues.
result Feel-Good Thompson Sampling reduces regret compared to standard Thompson Sampling.

Improved Thompson Sampling algorithms for bandits with tighter regret bounds.

problem Efficient and adaptive algorithms for stochastic bandits with bounded rewards.
method Proposed two parameterized Thompson Sampling-based algorithms: TS-MA-α and TS-TD-α.
result Achieved O(Kln^(α+1)(T)/Δ) regret bound, improving scalability and resource allocation.

Thompson sampling, a Bayesian method for balancing exploration and exploitation in bandit problems, has theoretical guarantees and exhibits strong empirical performance in many domains. Traditional Thompson sampling, however, assumes perfect compliance, where an agent's chosen action is treated as the implemented actio…

2018-12-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Thompson sampling is an efficient algorithm for sequential decision making, which exploits the posterior uncertainty to address the exploration-exploitation dilemma. There has been significant recent interest in integrating Bayesian neural networks into Thompson sampling. Most of these methods rely on global variable u…

2019-10-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Thompson Sampling, one of the oldest heuristics for solving multi-armed bandits, has recently been shown to demonstrate state-of-the-art performance. The empirical success has led to great interests in theoretical understanding of this heuristic. In this paper, we approach this problem in a way very different from exis…

2013-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper applies Thompson Sampling to asymmetric α\alpha-stable bandits for financial and wireless data.

problem Optimizing exploration-exploitation in multi-armed bandits with asymmetric α\alpha-stable distributions.
method Thompson Sampling applied to unknown asymmetric α\alpha-stable reward distributions.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of Thompson Sampling for asymmetric α\alpha-stable bandits.

Thompson Sampling shows polynomial regret for combinatorial semi-bandits with subgaussian rewards.

problem Finding optimal solutions in combinatorial semi-bandits with suboptimal sampling.
method Proposes Thompson Sampling with polynomial regret for linear combinatorial semi-bandits.
result Demonstrates 'mismatched sampling paradox' where knowing distributions can lead to worse performance.

Distributed Thompson sampling improves regret convergence in constrained communication networks.

problem Maximizing a black-box function with multi-agent Bayesian optimization under communication constraints.
method Distributed Thompson sampling using Gaussian processes, with theoretical bounds on regret convergence.
result Theoretical bounds on Bayesian average and simple regret depend on communication graph structure and are applicable in constrained networks.

Model shows screening for infectious disease is hard but Thompson sampling works well.

problem Optimal screening policy for infectious diseases is hard to find.
method Stochastic-control model with Thompson sampling for optimal performance.
result Thompson sampling provides optimal performance guarantees in screening for infectious diseases.

New Thompson Sampling for partially observed context bandits reduces regret logarithmically with time.

problem Improving Thompson Sampling for partially observed context bandits.
method Proposed a Thompson Sampling algorithm for partially observable contextual multi-armed bandits with theoretical performance guarantees.
result Regret scales logarithmically with time and the number of arms, and linearly with the dimension.

Improved Thompson Sampling outperforms existing Bayesian optimization methods.

problem Thompson Sampling's performance in Bayesian optimization is suboptimal compared to other methods.
method Developed Stagger Thompson Sampler (STS), which more precisely samples the optimal arm with less computation.
result STS outperforms TS, PSS, and other acquisition methods in various optimization tasks.

Thompson Sampling provides an efficient technique to introduce prior knowledge in the multi-armed bandit problem, along with providing remarkable empirical performance. In this paper, we revisit the Thompson Sampling algorithm under rewards drawn from symmetric αα-stable distributions, which are a class of heavy-taile…

2019-07-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Thompson Sampling bounds for contextual bandits with sub-Gaussian rewards.

problem Improving the performance of Thompson Sampling in contextual bandits with sub-Gaussian rewards.
method Proved comprehensive bounds on Thompson Sampling expected cumulative regret based on mutual information and lifted information ratio for sub-Gaussian rewards.
result Explicit regret bounds for various contextual bandit scenarios.

We discuss a variant of Thompson sampling for nonparametric reinforcement learning in a countable classes of general stochastic environments. These environments can be non-Markov, non-ergodic, and partially observable. We show that Thompson sampling learns the environment class in the sense that (1) asymptotically its …

2016-02-25abs ↗pdf ↗

VITS improves Thompson Sampling for contextual bandits with efficient approximate inference.

problem Intractable posterior sampling in traditional Thompson Sampling for contextual bandits.
method VITS uses Gaussian Variational Inference for efficient posterior approximations.
result VITS achieves sub-linear regret bound similar to traditional TS.

Thompson sampling has emerged as an effective heuristic for a broad range of online decision problems. In its basic form, the algorithm requires computing and sampling from a posterior distribution over models, which is tractable only for simple special cases. This paper develops ensemble sampling, which aims to approx…

2017-05-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Predictive sampling improves on Thompson sampling for non-stationary bandit environments.

problem Thompson sampling fails in non-stationary bandit environments.
method Proposes predictive sampling, which deprioritizes actions based on information loss rate.
result Predictive sampling outperforms Thompson sampling in all tested non-stationary environments.

Batch Thompson Sampling reduces exploration-exploitation trade-off in online decision making.

problem Balancing exploration and exploitation in online decision making.
method Introducing a batch Thompson Sampling framework for stochastic multi-arm bandit and linear contextual bandit problems.
result Achieves asymptotic regret bound with O(logT)O(\log T) batch queries, significantly reducing interactions.