A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Model shows disclosure reduces trading costs in oligopolistic markets.
problem Reducing trading costs in oligopolistic markets with imperfect competition.
method Developed a multi-period Kyle-type model with mandatory disclosure and imperfect competition, proving existence and uniqueness of a linear equilibrium.
result Disclosure lowers trading costs by reducing price impact, and its marginal benefit is larger when competition is weak.
Study examines value relevance of oil and gas reserve disclosures in London Stock Exchange.
problem Uncertainty in oil and gas reserves poses accounting challenges for investors.
method Empirical analysis using archival data and multifactor framework.
result Changes in reserves and their components are associated with share returns, but insignificantly due to oil price and longitudinal effects. Quality of disclosures positively impacts share returns.
In this paper, we present a multi-period trading model in the style of Kyle (1985)'s inside trading model, by assuming that there are at least two insiders in the market with long-lived private information, under the requirement that each insider publicly discloses his stock trades after the fact. Based on this model, …
In this paper, we present a multi-period trading model by assuming that traders face not only asymmetric information but also heterogenous prior beliefs, under the requirement that the insider publicly disclose his stock trades after the fact. We show that there is an equilibrium in which the irrational insider camoufl…
Decision analytics commonly focuses on the text mining of financial news sources in order to provide managerial decision support and to predict stock market movements. Existing predictive frameworks almost exclusively apply traditional machine learning methods, whereas recent research indicates that traditional machine…
The study finds that firm membership in flagship indices and TCFD endorsement are strong predictors of a wider Disclosure-Performance Gap.
problem The Aggregate Confusion hypothesis and the measurement of greenwashing in environmental disclosures.
method The study uses a Disclosure-Performance Gap (DPG) model to measure the divergence between voluntary environmental disclosures and realised emissions performance for 200 large European firms. The model selection process involved multiple stages and robust standard errors.
result Firm membership in flagship indices and TCFD endorsement are strong predictors of a wider gap, while renewable energy use and environmental capital expenditure significantly narrow the gap.
Weak predictability of stock price movement 2 days after annual report disclosure.
problem Predicting stock price movement after annual report disclosure.
method Used various models including decision tree, logistic regression, random forest, neural network, prototypical networks; used financial indicators from EastMoney.
result Maximum accuracy and precision of stock price movement prediction is around 59.6% and 0.56 respectively, with random forest performing best.
The study improves sentiment analysis of 10-K filings, revealing aggregation effects on accuracy and correlation with market outcomes.
problem Lack of sentiment analysis for 10-K filings, particularly for risk disclosures.
method Supervised lexicon-learning approach applied to 10-K filings and Item 1A risk-factor sections, trained against return and volatility labels at different levels of aggregation.
result Sentiment analysis of Item 1A sections performs better at the individual-firm level, while full-filing text is more accurate at sector and portfolio levels.
This paper provides a holistic study of how stock prices vary in their response to financial disclosures across different topics. Thereby, we specifically shed light into the extensive amount of filings for which no a priori categorization of their content exists. For this purpose, we utilize an approach from data mini…
Analyzes how uncertainty in financial networks affects stability.
problem Understanding how uncertainty in financial networks impacts stability.
method Introduced a minimal stochastic dynamical model of the interbank network with linear interactions. Derived the interaction correction to the stress expectation and studied it on the short-medium timescale.
result Interactions increase the stress expectation on average, highlighting the importance of disclosure.
Fund2Persona creates personalized financial advisor personas from fund data, improving investment advice and manager interpretation.
problem Lack of consistent and specific financial advisor expertise in personalized investment advice.
method Grounds financial advisor personas in fund disclosures, holdings transitions, market context, and manager commentary through an agentic actor--scorer--patcher loop.
result Personas better recover portfolio decisions and grounded manager interpretation than generic baselines.
We propose a categorical data synthesizer with a quantifiable disclosure risk. Our algorithm, named Perturbed Gibbs Sampler, can handle high-dimensional categorical data that are often intractable to represent as contingency tables. The algorithm extends a multiple imputation strategy for fully synthetic data by utiliz…
This paper analyzes the relationship between public disclosure, private information and stock liquidity in Tunisian context using a sample of 41 listed firms in the Tunis Stock Exchange in 2007. First, we find no evidence that there is a relation between public and private information. Second, Tunisian investors do not…
In this paper, we propose FedGP, a framework for privacy-preserving data release in the federated learning setting. We use generative adversarial networks, generator components of which are trained by FedAvg algorithm, to draw privacy-preserving artificial data samples and empirically assess the risk of information dis…
Following the approach of standard filtering theory, we analyse investor-valuation of firms, when these are modelled as geometric-Brownian state processes that are privately and partially observed, at random (Poisson) times, by agents. Tasked with disclosing forecast values, agents are able purposefully to withhold the…
In large-scale statistical learning, data collection and model fitting are moving increasingly toward peripheral devices---phones, watches, fitness trackers---away from centralized data collection. Concomitant with this rise in decentralized data are increasing challenges of maintaining privacy while allowing enough in…