Improved OOD detection across various shifts using multi-encoder fusion of RDMs.
problem Out-of-distribution detection across multiple types of distribution shifts.
method Statistical identification of encoder sensitivity, EncMin2L fusion, and Tippett minimum combination.
result Achieves AUROC ≥ 0.94 across four shift types, outperforming state-of-the-art detectors.
Interpolates mean shift and spectral clustering on graphs.
problem Data clustering algorithms.
method Fokker-Planck equations on data graphs.
result New theoretical insights on diffusion maps and mean shift dynamics.
Study on reliability of latent reuse in diffusion models under distribution shift.
problem When can latent spaces from a source dataset be reused for a target dataset with different distributions?
method Considered a source-target setting with approximately low-dimensional datasets near different subspaces. Analyzed the target-domain score error due to principal-angle misalignment and target ambient noise.
result Latent reuse is reliable only if the source and target subspaces are close and the target ambient noise is not too amplified.
We solve continuous-time latent SDE identifiability using diffusion shifts.
problem Identifiability of latent SDEs in continuous-time time series.
method Environment-induced shifts in diffusion covariance for additive-noise latent SDEs.
result Two diagonal diffusion regimes with distinct variance ratios identify latent coordinates up to permutation and scaling.
We develop an efficient method to calibrate CDS spreads using asymptotic approximations.
problem Calibrating CDS spreads in the SSRD model with correlated processes.
method Asymptotic coefficient expansion to approximate solutions of nonlinear PDEs.
result Our approximation does not require uncorrelated interest rate and default intensity processes.
MARCD uses generative scenarios to improve portfolio decisions during regime shifts.
problem Improving portfolio decisions under regime shifts and drawdowns.
method MARCD employs a Gaussian HMM for regime inference, a diffusion generator for scenario production, and a CVaR allocator with tail-weighted and crisis-aware components.
result MARCD reduces maximum drawdowns by 34% compared to baseline methods over 2020-2025.
This work explores the generalization properties of diffusion models, providing theoretical and empirical insights.
problem Theoretical understanding of diffusion models' generalization capabilities remains underdeveloped.
method Theoretical exploration and quantitative analysis of generalization gaps in diffusion models.
result Established polynomially small generalization error (O(n−2/5+m−4/5)) for diffusion models, avoiding the curse of dimensionality. The paper examines the sampling dynamics of diffusion models using ODEs.
problem Understanding the sampling dynamics of diffusion models.
method Careful inspection of ODE-based sampling of SDEs, revealing structures and relationships.
result Established a theoretical relationship between optimal ODE-based sampling and mean-shift algorithm.
Generative model uses DDPMs for risk-neutral derivative pricing.
problem Derivative pricing using arbitrage-free models.
method Developed a framework using DDPMs to generate risk-neutral asset price dynamics.
result Empirically validated the method for both European and path-dependent derivatives.
Latent diffusion improves robustness in missing data imputation.
problem Missing data imputation under MCAR corruption.
method Two-stage framework: VAE for latent feature learning, diffusion model in latent space.
result Latent diffusion maintains high quality and stability up to 50% missingness.
Identifies directed graphs from node measurements using polynomial filters.
problem Inferring directed network topology from nodal measurements.
method System identification of graph convolutional filter followed by topology inference.
result Effective recovery of directed graphs from measurements.
CW-Gen models improve probabilistic time series forecasting by incorporating prior information.
problem Challenges in probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series due to non-stationarity, inter-variable dependencies, and distribution shifts.
method CW-Gen framework that incorporates prior information through conditional whitening. JMCE learns conditional mean and covariance, improving sample quality.
result CW-Gen consistently enhances predictive performance, capturing non-stationary dynamics and inter-variable correlations more effectively than prior-free approaches.
Beta diffusion generates bounded data using multiplicative transitions.
problem Generating data within specific ranges.
method Integrates demasking and denoising with scaled and shifted beta distributions.
result KLUBs are more effective for optimizing beta diffusion compared to negative ELBOs.
GEBM improves uncertainty quantification in graph neural networks.
problem Challenges in quantifying epistemic uncertainty in graph neural networks.
method Energy-based model (EBM) that aggregates uncertainty at different structural levels.
result Significantly improves predictive robustness and achieves best separation of in-distribution and out-of-distribution data.
Paper tackles estimating initial conditions of spatio-temporal processes from sparse data.
problem Estimating initial conditions of spatio-temporal advection-diffusion processes from sparse data.
method Regularized convex optimization problem with Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers.
result Efficient solutions for non-uniform and shifted uniform sampling schemes.
Method improves simulation accuracy by mitigating distribution shift in hybrid systems.
problem Mitigating distribution shift in machine-learning augmented hybrid simulation.
method Tangent-space regularized estimator to control distribution shift.
result Marked improvements in simulation accuracy, especially for systems with high distribution shift.
Improved image synthesis with user scribbles and text prompts.
problem Inadequate details in generated images due to domain shift.
method Optimization problem formulation and cross-attention for control.
result Significant improvement in user satisfaction (85.32% higher).
Unified analysis of KL divergence using shifted composition for sampling.
problem Sampling from target distributions with KL divergence guarantees.
method Shifted composition rule applied to KL divergence, combining local error analysis and Girsanov's theorem.
result Unified KL guarantees for strongly log-concave, weakly log-concave, and log-Sobolev distributions.
A new Latent Diffusion Model generates realistic reservoir facies.
problem Creating accurate reservoir facies from limited measurements.
method Proposes a Latent Diffusion Model for conditional facies generation.
result Significantly outperforms GAN-based alternatives in fidelity and realism.
Antithetic noise improves diffusion models' uncertainty quantification.
problem Improving uncertainty quantification in diffusion models.
method Pairing each noise sample with its negation, leading to strong negative correlation.
result Substantially more reliable uncertainty quantification with up to 90% narrower confidence intervals.
New method reduces over-pessimism in Bayesian control under parameter uncertainty.
problem Over-pessimism in Bayesian control due to misspecified priors.
method Distributionally robust Bayesian control (DRBC) with strong duality and optimization.
result Validated algorithm on synthetic and real data, reducing over-pessimism.
ProGen improves spatiotemporal forecasting with SDEs and diffusion models.
problem Complex spatial and temporal dependencies in spatiotemporal data.
method ProGen uses Stochastic Differential Equations and diffusion-based generative models.
result ProGen outperforms state-of-the-art models on traffic datasets.
Proposes a new model for estimating individual treatment effects.
problem Estimating individual treatment effects from observational data is challenging.
method Integrates diffusion modeling and conformal inference with propensity score and covariate approximation.
result Establishes rigorous theoretical guarantees and demonstrates competitive performance.
Co-Diffusion predicts drug-target affinity by learning latent manifolds and diffusion, improving generalization.
problem Cold-start regimes in drug-target affinity prediction due to label scarcity and domain shifts.
method Two-stage framework: latent manifold alignment and latent diffusion regularization.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, especially in zero-shot generalization.
Quantum theory reinterprets financial pricing by focusing on observable price transitions.
problem Traditional financial models rely on latent variables; this paper proposes a new observable approach.
method Shift operators, spectral calculus, and Lindblad semigroups are used to define observable frequency operators and convolution generators.
result The framework leads to a nonlocal pricing equation that converges to classical Black-Scholes-Merton under small mesh limits.
Diffusion models generate private synthetic images with high quality.
problem Generating private synthetic images from sensitive datasets.
method Differentially private fine-tuning of pre-trained diffusion models.
result Improved synthetic data quality and accuracy compared to non-private models.
In deep latent Gaussian models, the latent variable is generated by a time-inhomogeneous Markov chain, where at each time step we pass the current state through a parametric nonlinear map, such as a feedforward neural net, and add a small independent Gaussian perturbation. This work considers the diffusion limit of suc…
A new model for imputing missing values in time series data across domains.
problem Imputing missing values in time series data across domains with domain shifts and high missing rates.
method A diffusion-based imputation model that integrates shared spectral components and domain-specific temporal structures, with cross-domain consistency alignment.
result Our model effectively handles missing values and domain shifts, outperforming existing methods.
Develops a framework for multi-objective learning in diffusion models with limited labeled data.
problem Achieving good trade-offs in multi-objective learning with diffusion models requires a generalist model class with larger capacity than individual tasks.
method Proposes a two-stage training procedure: first fitting specialist models from limited paired data, then distilling them into a generalist model.
result Establishes generalization bounds showing the number of paired samples depends only on specialist model complexity.
The goal of this investigation was to overcome limitations of a persistency analysis, introduced by Benoit Mandelbrot for fractal Brownian processes: nondifferentiability, Brownian nature of process and a linear memory measure. We have extended a sense of a Hurst factor by consideration of a phase diffusion power law. …
We develop and test a fast and accurate semi-analytical formula for single-name default swaptions in the context of a shifted square root jump diffusion (SSRJD) default intensity model. The model can be calibrated to the CDS term structure and a few default swaptions, to price and hedge other credit derivatives consist…
Study examines how information flows in Indian stock market during crises.
problem Understanding information diffusion in financial networks during market turbulence.
method Applied communicability, a measure of ease of information flow, to financial networks.
result Approximately 70% and 80% of stock pairs exhibit significant changes in communicability during crises.
New method uses neural networks to solve complex PDEs from optimal control theory.
problem Solving high-dimensional Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman PDEs.
method Iterative diffusion optimization techniques, focusing on path measures and divergences.
result Favourable properties of log-variance divergence for Monte Carlo estimators.
The article provides representations of exchange option prices under SVJD dynamics.
problem Modeling and pricing exchange options under stochastic volatility and jumps.
method Develops representations for European and American exchange options using SVJD dynamics and equivalent martingale measures.
result Derives integro-partial differential equations and representations for exchange option prices.
We solve a version of the optimal trade execution problem when the mid asset price follows a displaced diffusion. Optimal strategies in the adapted class under various risk criteria, namely value-at-risk, expected shortfall and a new criterion called "squared asset expectation" (SAE), related to a version of the cost v…
We address the so-called calibration problem which consists of fitting in a tractable way a given model to a specified term structure like, e.g., yield or default probability curves. Time-homogeneous jump-diffusions like Vasicek or Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (possibly coupled with compounded Poisson jumps, JCIR), are tractable…
Deep models memorize training data in geophysical inversion, leading to biased posterior distributions.
problem Memorization of training data biases learned priors in geophysical inverse problems.
method Casting generative models' training as maximum likelihood, we show memorization results in a reweighted empirical distribution for diffusion models, leading to Gaussian mixture priors and posteriors.
result Memorization leads to posterior distributions that are likelihood-weighted lookup among stored training examples, affecting full waveform inversion outcomes.
We discuss modelling of SPX and DAX index option prices using the Shifted Log-Normal (SLN) model, (also known as Displaced Diffusion), and the SABR model. We found out that for SPX options, an example of strongly skewed option prices, SLN can produce a quite accurate fit. Moreover, for both types of index options, the …
Novel framework synthesizes stochastic trajectories with anticipated structural breaks.
problem Synthesizing forward-looking, time-evolving stochastic trajectories with anticipated structural breaks.
method Anticipatory Neural Jump-Diffusion (ANJD) flow, AVNSG for dynamic spectral whitening.
result The framework effectively captures non-commutative moments and high-order stochastic texture.
New research shows CFG improves high-dimensional data generation.
problem Characterizing CFG's effect on high-dimensional distributions.
method High-dimensional analysis of CFG's impact on target distributions.
result CFG accurately reproduces the target distribution in high dimensions.
This research compares masked diffusion models to autoregressive language models, focusing on architectural differences.
problem Comparing masked diffusion models to autoregressive language models due to architectural differences.
method Equitably compare MDMs within a decoder-only framework, investigating architectural influences.
result Decoder-only MDMs can achieve significant speedups and comparable perplexity with temperature annealing.
This work develops robust diffusion recursive least squares algorithms to mitigate the performance degradation often experienced in networks of agents in the presence of impulsive noise. The first algorithm minimizes an exponentially weighted least-squares cost function subject to a time-dependent constraint on the squ…
New analysis shows scores learn data manifolds better than distributions.
problem Learning the full distribution vs. just the data manifold.
method Novel analysis of scores in the small-σ regime.
result Scores learn data manifold information Θ(σ−2) stronger than distribution information. DeRegiME forecasts with regime structure, improving probabilistic predictions across various time series.
problem Probabilistic forecasting discards residual uncertainty, and distribution shifts are hard to capture.
method DeRegiME uses a sparse variational Gaussian process with a nonstationary regime-mixing kernel to separate latent uncertainty regimes.
result DeRegiME improves NLPD by 20.3% on average across benchmarks, with gains on CRPS and MSE.
VecMol generates 3D molecules as continuous vector fields, overcoming modality and geometry constraints.
problem Challenges in generating 3D molecules, especially in drug discovery and materials science.
method VecMol reimagines molecular representation by modeling 3D molecules as continuous vector fields over Euclidean space, parameterized by a neural field and generated using a latent diffusion model.
result Vector-field-based representations show promise for 3D molecular generation, validated on benchmarks.
A new model for pricing ultra-short-term options with complex volatility patterns.
problem Complex pricing of ultra-short-term options due to oscillations in implied volatility.
method Edgeworth++ model with nonparametric stochastic volatility and deterministic shift extension.
result Fast and accurate closed-form option pricing for ultra-short-term options.
New method improves clustering accuracy in noisy single-cell data.
problem Challenges in clustering single-cell RNA sequencing data due to noise and variability.
method Latent plug-and-play diffusion framework with input-space steering.
result Improved clustering accuracy on synthetic and real-world single-cell data.
Flow taxes and stock taxes preserve portfolio neutrality under specific conditions.
problem Analyzing the impact of different types of taxes on portfolio choice.
method Extending the neutrality result to a full system of ownership taxes, showing how each tax modifies the drift of the wealth process.
result The combined system of taxes preserves portfolio neutrality under three conditions, and the drift-shift symmetry generalizes to a drift-shift-and-rescale symmetry.