A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Paper uses evidence theory to improve stock price forecasting accuracy.
We revisit logistic regression and its nonlinear extensions, including multilayer feedforward neural networks, by showing that these classifiers can be viewed as converting input or higher-level features into Dempster-Shafer mass functions and aggregating them by Dempster's rule of combination. The probabilistic output…
Rule-based classifiers quantify uncertainty using Bernoulli random variables.
By elaborating on the notion of linear belief functions (Dempster 1990; Liu 1996), we propose an elementary approach to knowledge representation for expert systems using linear belief functions. We show how to use basic matrices to represent market information and financial knowledge, including complete ignorance, stat…
A fuzzy expert system selects stocks for BSE using AI techniques.
A method for consensus prediction from probabilistic classifier outputs.
A novel ensemble classifier improves vibration-based quality monitoring accuracy.
Estimates classification rules from partially classified data.
The paper proposes a method to calibrate evidential clustering using bootstrapped finite mixture models.
The asymptotic distribution of the Markowitz portfolio is derived, for the general case (assuming fourth moments of returns exist), and for the case of multivariate normal returns. The derivation allows for inference which is robust to heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation of moments up to order four. As a side effect…
Fault detection in sensor nodes is a pertinent issue that has been an important area of research for a very long time. But it is not explored much as yet in the context of Internet of Things. Internet of Things work with a massive amount of data so the responsibility for guaranteeing the accuracy of the data also lies …
Combines neural networks and expert rules for concept-based learning.
Paper explores folding patterns of curved creases preserving their geometric properties.
A method for collecting human supervision that combines rules and instance labels.
In this paper we use fuzzy systems theory to convert the technical trading rules commonly used by stock practitioners into excess demand functions which are then used to drive the price dynamics. The technical trading rules are recorded in natural languages where fuzzy words and vague expressions abound. In Part I of t…
LI-ITR combines flexible ML with interpretable approximations for personalized treatment rules.
Autonomous driving decision-making is a great challenge due to the complexity and uncertainty of the traffic environment. Combined with the rule-based constraints, a Deep Q-Network (DQN) based method is applied for autonomous driving lane change decision-making task in this study. Through the combination of high-level …
Kernel Bayesian inference is a principled approach to nonparametric inference in probabilistic graphical models, where probabilistic relationships between variables are learned from data in a nonparametric manner. Various algorithms of kernel Bayesian inference have been developed by combining kernelized basic probabil…
In this article, the logic rule ensembles approach to supervised learning is applied to the unsupervised or semi-supervised clustering. Logic rules which were obtained by combining simple conjunctive rules are used to partition the input space and an ensemble of these rules is used to define a similarity matrix. Simila…
pRSL combines probabilistic rules to improve multi-label classification.
We discuss theoretical aspects of the product rule for classification problems in supervised machine learning for the case of combining classifiers. We show that (1) the product rule arises from the MAP classifier supposing equivalent priors and conditional independence given a class; (2) under some conditions, the pro…
Combining deep neural networks with structured logic rules is desirable to harness flexibility and reduce uninterpretability of the neural models. We propose a general framework capable of enhancing various types of neural networks (e.g., CNNs and RNNs) with declarative first-order logic rules. Specifically, we develop…
New framework learns interpretable rule ensembles without sacrificing accuracy.
Screening rules help identify active sets in optimization problems.
Two-dimensional embeddings remain the dominant approach to visualize high dimensional data. The choice of embeddings ranges from highly non-linear ones, which can capture complex relationships but are difficult to interpret quantitatively, to axis-aligned projections, which are easy to interpret but are limited to biva…
NeuRules learns interpretable rule lists from data without pre-discretization.
New scoring rules for multivariate distributions and level sets.
CRL approach improves understanding of heterogeneous treatment effects in complex diseases.
Lack of labeled training data is a major bottleneck for neural network based aspect and opinion term extraction on product reviews. To alleviate this problem, we first propose an algorithm to automatically mine extraction rules from existing training examples based on dependency parsing results. The mined rules are the…
Method integrates logical rules into neural multi-hop reasoning for drug repurposing.
Exploiting dependencies between labels is considered to be crucial for multi-label classification. Rules are able to expose label dependencies such as implications, subsumptions or exclusions in a human-comprehensible and interpretable manner. However, the induction of rules with multiple labels in the head is particul…
Dynamic rule-based investment strategies outperform static ones in pension schemes.
We consider the problem of learning a sparse rule model, a prediction model in the form of a sparse linear combination of rules, where a rule is an indicator function defined over a hyper-rectangle in the input space. Since the number of all possible such rules is extremely large, it has been computationally intractabl…
Technical trading rules have been widely used by practitioners in financial markets for a long time. The profitability remains controversial and few consider the stationarity of technical indicators used in trading rules. We convert MA, KDJ and Bollinger bands into stationary processes and investigate the profitability…
AutoYara generates effective Yara rules faster than humans.
Optimal biomarker combinations for treatment-selection can be derived by minimizing total burden to the population caused by the targeted disease and its treatment. However, when multiple biomarkers are present, including all in the model can be expensive and hurt model performance. To remedy this, we consider feature …
We present a novel method - LIBRE - to learn an interpretable classifier, which materializes as a set of Boolean rules. LIBRE uses an ensemble of bottom-up weak learners operating on a random subset of features, which allows for the learning of rules that generalize well on unseen data even in imbalanced settings. Weak…
Transform ANNs into interpretable decision trees.
This work improves Bayesian Optimization for setting DNN hyper-parameters.
Distribution grids are currently challenged by frequent voltage excursions induced by intermittent solar generation. Smart inverters have been advocated as a fast-responding means to regulate voltage and minimize ohmic losses. Since optimal inverter coordination may be computationally challenging and preset local contr…
Combines control variates and adaptive importance sampling for Monte Carlo integration.
SIRUS creates interpretable rules from random forests for regression.
A new ensemble method using random projections for kNN classification.
Rule-based models are often used for data analysis as they combine interpretability with predictive power. We present RuleKit, a versatile tool for rule learning. Based on a sequential covering induction algorithm, it is suitable for classification, regression, and survival problems. The presence of a user-guided induc…
Interpretable classifiers have recently witnessed an increase in attention from the data mining community because they are inherently easier to understand and explain than their more complex counterparts. Examples of interpretable classification models include decision trees, rule sets, and rule lists. Learning such mo…
We propose a method to extract interpretable rules from tree ensembles.
Proposes robust ITRs integrating multiple datasets to handle posterior shift.
This study combines two different learning paradigms, k-nearest neighbor (k-NN) rule, as memory-based learning paradigm and relevance vector machines (RVM), as statistical learning paradigm. This combination is performed in kernel space and is called k-relevance vector (k-RV). The purpose is to improve the performance …