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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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154308461615 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Deep Technology Forecasting

Develops a deep learning framework to predict future tech directions for high-tech companies.

problem Difficult task in predicting future R&D trends for high-tech companies due to complexity and variety of factors.
method Deep Technology Forecasting (DTF) framework with three components: PCR, CTR, and DTT neural network.
result DTF framework precisely predicts future tech emphasis of companies using hybrid factors.

FinBERT-BiLSTM predicts cryptocurrency prices using sentiment analysis.

problem Predicting volatile cryptocurrency market prices.
method Hybrid model combining Bi-LSTM and FinBERT for sentiment analysis.
result Enhanced forecasting accuracy for volatile financial markets.

Forecasting technological progress is of great interest to engineers, policy makers, and private investors. Several models have been proposed for predicting technological improvement, but how well do these models perform? An early hypothesis made by Theodore Wright in 1936 is that cost decreases as a power law of cumul…

2012-07-05abs ↗pdf ↗

DAM improves cryptocurrency trend forecasting using multimodal data.

problem Simplistic merging of sentiment data in cryptocurrency trend forecasting.
method Dual Attention Mechanism (DAM) integrating financial metrics and sentiment analysis.
result DAM outperforms conventional models by up to 20% in prediction accuracy.

This thesis proposes a derivatives hedging framework using deep learning and reinforcement learning.

problem Traditional hedging models fail in complex, uncertain markets due to assumptions like continuous trading and zero transaction costs.
method Integrates deep learning and reinforcement learning, using a spatiotemporal attention-based Transformer for probabilistic forecasting and hedging.
result The proposed method significantly outperforms traditional approaches in U.S. and Chinese financial markets.

How technology affects growth or employment has long been debated. With a hiatus, the debate revived once again in the form of how Information and Communications Technology, as a form of new technology, exerts on productivity and employment. Information and Communications Technology perceived as General Purpose Technol…

2017-04-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Transformations of macroeconomic data affect machine learning forecasts, especially with regularization and nonlinearity.

problem The impact of data transformations on machine learning forecasts in macroeconomic contexts.
method Review and propose new data transformations, empirically evaluate their effects, and compare traditional and moving average rotations.
result Traditional factors should almost always be included as predictors, and moving average rotations can provide important gains.

Researchers improve deep ensemble forecast aggregation methods.

problem Aggregating forecast distributions from deep ensembles for better predictive performance.
method Comprehensive analysis of twelve benchmark data sets, comparing probability- and quantile-based aggregation methods for three neural network-based approaches.
result A general quantile aggregation framework for deep ensembles improves predictive performance in various settings.

A new framework forecasts stock trends by mining shared information from concepts.

problem Forecasting stock trends using static concept information limits accuracy.
method Proposes a graph-based framework that mines concept-oriented shared information from both predefined and hidden concepts.
result Improves stock trend forecasting performance through dynamic concept relevance and hidden concept information.

The great success of deep learning shows that its technology contains profound truth, and understanding its internal mechanism not only has important implications for the development of its technology and effective application in various fields, but also provides meaningful insights into the understanding of human brai…

2018-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Study improves seasonal forecasts using deep learning.

problem Challenges in generating large forecast ensembles and limited observations for verification.
method Developed a probabilistic deep neural network model.
result Demonstrated favorable skill compared to state-of-the-art dynamical forecast systems.

Deep learning models outperform classical methods in forecasting neural activity.

problem Improving forecasting of neural activity using deep learning models.
method Systematic evaluation of eight probabilistic deep learning models against classical statistical models and baseline methods.
result Several deep learning models consistently outperform classical approaches in forecasting neural activity.

A new framework evaluates deep learning vs classical forecasting methods for time series predictions.

problem Current forecasting model evaluation metrics fail to capture model performance differences.
method Proposes a novel framework for evaluating univariate time series forecasting models from multiple perspectives.
result Deep learning models like NHITS outperform classical methods in multi-step ahead forecasting but not in anomaly handling.

Deep learning improves solar energy forecasting using physical and data-driven models.

problem Improving short-term solar energy forecasting accuracy.
method Injecting physical knowledge into deep learning models for spatio-temporal forecasting.
result Improved solar energy forecasting models using deep learning and physical criteria.

Deep learning models improve financial price forecasting accuracy.

problem Accurately predicting financial time series prices.
method Review of recent advancements in deep learning models for price forecasting.
result Deep learning models outperform traditional methods in financial price forecasting.

Deep models predict intraday electricity prices accurately.

problem Accurately forecasting intraday electricity prices.
method Two deep time series probabilistic models using ESNs with stochastic disturbances and copulas.
result Deep distributional models provide accurate short-term probabilistic price forecasts.

Paper predicts recycling bin full events to reduce RVM downtime.

problem Predicting bin full events to increase RVM uptime.
method Hybrid approach combining machine learning and statistical approximation.
result Forecasting leads to less downtime and costs compared to emptying strategies.

The study compares econometric and deep learning models for forecasting COMEX copper futures volatility.

problem Forecasting volatility of COMEX copper futures across different time intervals.
method Econometric models (GARCH, HAR) and deep learning models (RNN, LSTM, GRU) applied to daily and hourly data.
result Deep learning models outperform econometric models in hourly data, but HAR remains the best overall for daily data.

Ancillaries have become a major source of revenue and profitability in the travel industry. Yet, conventional pricing strategies are based on business rules that are poorly optimized and do not respond to changing market conditions. This paper describes the dynamic pricing model developed by Deepair solutions, an AI te…

2019-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep state space model forecasts time series with uncertainty.

problem Probabilistic forecasting for risk management.
method Parameterized deep networks for non-linear models, recurrent neural nets for dependency, ARD network for exogenous variables.
result Accurate and sharp probabilistic forecasts with realistic uncertainty growth.

In this paper, we present iPrescribe, a scalable low-latency architecture for recommending 'next-best-offers' in an online setting. The paper presents the design of iPrescribe and compares its performance for implementations using different real-time streaming technology stacks. iPrescribe uses an ensemble of deep lear…

2019-05-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep models forecast epidemics with uncertainty quantification.

problem Accurate probabilistic forecasting of epidemics is challenging due to nonlinear temporal dependencies and spatial interactions.
method Deep spatiotemporal engression methods with geometric ergodicity and asymptotic stationarity.
result Proposed methods outperform benchmarks in point and probabilistic forecasting.

The paper proposes an AI and IIoT framework for improved maintenance.

problem Current maintenance practices need improvement with AI and IIoT.
method Review of reliability modeling, introduction of Intelligent Maintenance framework, and novel probabilistic deep learning approach.
result Demonstrated novel probabilistic deep learning reliability modelling in Turbofan Engine Degradation Dataset.

GAS-Norm improves deep learning time series forecasting in non-stationary settings.

problem Deep learning models struggle with non-stationary time series data.
method Combines GAS model for adaptive normalization with deep neural networks.
result Improves deep learning performance in 21 out of 25 settings.

Social media signals have been successfully used to develop large-scale predictive and anticipatory analytics. For example, forecasting stock market prices and influenza outbreaks. Recently, social data has been explored to forecast price fluctuations of cryptocurrencies, which are a novel disruptive technology with si…

2019-07-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Meta-GLAR combines global deep representations with local adaptation for improved forecasting accuracy.

problem Joint learning from related time series boosts accuracy but fails for out-of-sample forecasting.
method Meta-GLAR uses a meta-learning approach to adapt RNN representations for each time series.
result Meta-GLAR outperforms state-of-the-art methods in out-of-sample forecasting accuracy.

Proposes a Big Data framework for SC forecasting, including data preprocessing and machine learning.

problem Improving SC forecasting accuracy and efficiency.
method Data collection, preprocessing, machine learning model training, hyperparameter tuning, performance evaluation.
result Optimized SC forecasting models enhance workforce, inventory, and overall SC performance.