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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Deep Structural Causal Models

Paper reviews deep structural causal models for answering counterfactual queries.

problem Answering counterfactual queries using observational data with known causal structures.
method Deep generative models integrated with structural causal models.
result Provides insights into the capabilities and limitations of DSCMs.

Proposes a new model for testing causal structural priors and synthesizing data.

problem Testing and synthesizing causal structural priors using nonparametric knowledge and neural networks.
method Causal Structural Hypothesis Testing (C-SHT) and Causal Structural Variational Hypothesis Testing (C-SVHT) using deep neural networks.
result Demonstrates out-of-distribution generalization error as a proxy for causal structural prior hypothesis testing.

Proposes efficient deep causal generative models for high-dimensional causal inference.

problem Inefficient training of deep generative models for high-dimensional data.
method Modular training of deep causal generative models using adversarial training and pre-trained models.
result First algorithm that provably samples from any identifiable causal query in the presence of latent confounders.

We identify causal models with unobserved confounding using bijective generation mechanisms.

problem Identifying causal relationships with unobserved confounders.
method Establish counterfactual identifiability for BGMs and propose a learning method.
result Learned BGMs enable efficient counterfactual estimation.

Survey on combining causal models with deep generative models for improved explainability and fairness.

problem Deep generative models lack explainability, induce spurious correlations, and poor out-of-distribution extrapolation.
method Structural causal models (SCMs) combined with deep generative models to address shortcomings.
result Causal generative models offer robustness, fairness, and interpretability.

New method warns of counterfactual non-identifiability in DSCMs.

problem Counterfactual inference from observational data is non-identifiable even without unobserved confounding.
method Prove counterfactual identifiability for monotonic generation mechanisms, provide impossibility result for general mechanisms, propose method for estimating worst-case errors.
result Non-identifiability of counterfactual inference from observational data, even in absence of unobserved confounding.

ISAHP discovers instance-level causal structures in event sequences.

problem Discovering fine-grained causal relationships in asynchronous, interdependent event sequences.
method ISAHP, a novel deep learning framework using self-attention mechanism.
result ISAHP meets Granger causality requirements and discovers complex causal structures.

ISAAC audits deep models for drug-target interactions, revealing structural differences.

problem Deep models for DTI often use irrelevant features, making them hard to evaluate.
method ISAAC uses intervention-based structural auditing to evaluate model sensitivity.
result ISAAC reveals significant structural differences in DTI models' reasoning.

The paper introduces Causal Neural Operators to approximate operators in stochastic analysis.

problem Leveraging temporal structure in non-linear operators for deep learning models.
method Designing a deep learning model framework for infinite-dimensional linear metric spaces.
result Causal Neural Operators can uniformly approximate Hölder or smooth trace class operators.

Develops geometric causal models for causal inference from dependent data.

problem Causal inference from structured, dependent data (e.g., spatial, network, molecular).
method Geometric causal models (GCMs) exploiting symmetries of data generating process, combining group theory, ergodic theory, and Bayesian inference.
result Establishes identification and estimation of causal effects from dependent data.

Caus-Modens uses deep ensembles to better predict causal outcomes in hidden confounding scenarios.

problem Predicting causal outcomes in the presence of hidden confounders.
method Caus-Modens employs a modulated ensemble approach to improve prediction intervals for causal outcomes using sensitivity models.
result Caus-Modens provides tighter prediction intervals for causal outcomes compared to existing methods.

New method quantifies intrinsic causal contributions in neural networks.

problem Measuring the causal influence of input features in deep neural networks.
method Proposes an identifiable generative post-hoc framework to quantify intrinsic causal contributions (ICC) as structural causal models.
result ICC generates more intuitive and reliable explanations compared to existing global explanation techniques.

DeepCausalMMM models marketing impacts using deep learning and causal inference.

problem Traditional MMM approaches struggle with non-linear dynamics and temporal patterns.
method Combines deep learning, causal inference, and marketing science. Uses GRUs for temporal patterns and DAG structure for channel dependencies.
result Captures non-linear dynamics and temporal patterns in marketing impacts.

Predictive models can be used for causal inference with feature selection.

problem Limitations of predictive models in interpreting causal relationships.
method Constrained learning process by selecting features according to Pearl's backdoor adjustment criterion.
result Causal models provide near unbiased effect estimates and better generalization.

The paper tackles counterfactual inference with multioutput deep kernels in high-dimensional settings.

problem Performing counterfactual inference with observational data in high-dimensional settings with multiple actions and outcomes.
method The paper presents a general class of counterfactual multi-task deep kernels models based on Structural Causal Models (SCM) and Gaussian Processes.
result The models estimate causal effects and learn policies efficiently, scaling well with high dimensions.

Proposes TNCM-VAE for generating causal financial time series.

problem Lack of causal reasoning in market generators.
method Combines VAE with structural causal models, enforcing causal constraints through DAGs and using causal Wasserstein distance.
result Superior performance in counterfactual probability estimation, L1 distances as low as 0.03-0.10.

CP-DRL improves curriculum reinforcement learning by leveraging causal relationships.

problem Designing effective task sequences for reinforcement learning.
method Causal-Paced Deep Reinforcement Learning (CP-DRL) that approximates SCM differences based on interaction data.
result CP-DRL outperforms existing methods on benchmarks, achieving faster convergence and higher returns.

MSCT predicts post-crash traffic speed using causal inference.

problem Time-varying confounding bias in post-crash traffic prediction.
method Marginal Structural Causal Transformer (MSCT) incorporating Marginal Structural Models and balanced loss function.
result MSCT outperforms state-of-the-art models in multi-step-ahead prediction.

Proposes CoDEAL for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in panel data models.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in causal panel data models with covariate effects.
method Covariate-Adjusted Deep Causal Learning (CoDEAL) integrating neural networks and autoencoders.
result Establishes theoretical guarantees and demonstrates compelling performance in simulations and real data.

Deep Causal Graphs model complex causal relationships using neural networks.

problem Limited applicability of parametric causal models to real-life datasets with non-linear relationships.
method Deep Causal Graphs, an abstract specification for neural networks to model causal distributions.
result Demonstrates expressive power in modelling complex interactions and provides true causal counterfactuals.

Survey of deep causal models for industrial applications.

problem Estimating causal effects using deep learning.
method Deep causal models map covariates to a representation space and use objective functions for unbiased counterfactual data estimation.
result Comprehensive overview of deep causal models with industry applications.

A neural network finds causal relationships among latent variables.

problem Learning causal structure among latent variables in high-dimensional data.
method Redundant Input Neural Network (RINN) with modified architecture and regularized objective function.
result The RINN method successfully recovers latent causal structure between input and output variables.

DCRL learns causal relationships from mixed-type discrete data.

problem Challenges in learning causal relationships from discrete, mixed-type data.
method Generative framework modeling directed acyclic graph and sparse bipartite graph, flexible measurement models for different types of data.
result Consistent recovery of latent causal structure from observed data distribution.

KaCGM models provide transparent causal inference from tabular data.

problem Limited auditability in deep causal models for tabular data.
method KaCGM uses Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks to parameterize structural equations, enabling direct inspection and visualization of causal mechanisms.
result KaCGM achieves competitive performance and interpretable causal effects in real-world applications.

This paper improves causal inference using deep neural networks for low-dimensional covariates.

problem Improving causal inference with deep learning for high-dimensional covariates.
method Doubly robust off-policy learning with deep neural networks on low-dimensional manifolds.
result Nonasymptotic regret bounds for finite- and continuous-action scenarios, converging at a fast rate depending on intrinsic manifold dimension.

DAGSurv uses deep neural networks to analyze survival data based on causal graphs.

problem Analyzing survival data with causal relationships between variables.
method Variational inference-based conditional variational autoencoder for causal structured survival prediction.
result DAGSurv outperforms other survival analysis methods in predicting time-to-event.

Although deep learning models have been successfully applied to a variety of tasks, due to the millions of parameters, they are becoming increasingly opaque and complex. In order to establish trust for their widespread commercial use, it is important to formalize a principled framework to reason over these models. In t…

2018-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Rhino learns causal relationships from time series data with history-dependent noise.

problem Discovering causal relationships from time series data with non-linear relations, instantaneous effects, and history-dependent noise.
method Combines vector auto-regression, deep learning, and variational inference.
result Demonstrates better causal relationship discovery performance compared to baselines.

A neural network approach uncovers Granger causality without explicit variable selection.

problem Capturing complex associations in multivariate time series data.
method A deep learning model with proper regularization to learn the true Granger Causality structure.
result A neural network can learn the true Granger Causality structure from data without explicit variable selection.

DFPV improves PCL for confounded bandit policy evaluation.

problem Estimating causal effects in confounded settings with high-dimensional data.
method Deep feature proxy variable method (DFPV) for high-dimensional, nonlinear relationships.
result DFPV outperforms state-of-the-art methods on synthetic benchmarks and confounded bandit problems.

Proposes a new model to identify unknown counterfactual outcomes for continuous variables.

problem Counterfactual inference for continuous outcomes with strong assumptions.
method Curvature Sensitivity Model to relax assumptions and provide informative bounds.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of the Curvature Sensitivity Model in identifying counterfactual outcomes.

CPCMs integrate causal drivers for robust portfolio optimization.

problem Degradation of classical portfolio models under structural breaks and lack of arbitrage consistency in machine learning.
method Causal PDE-Control Models integrating structural causal drivers, nonlinear filtering, and forward-backward PDE control.
result CPCM solvers achieve higher Sharpe ratios and lower turnover than benchmarks.

CauSTream forecasts streamflow by integrating causal graphs for better interpretability.

problem Streamflow forecasting lacks interpretability and generalization due to fixed causal models.
method CauSTream learns causal graphs for meteorological forcings and routing dependencies.
result CauSTream outperforms existing methods, especially at longer forecast windows.

CRL uses causality to build interpretable AI models from complex data.

problem Interpreting deep neural networks' implicit representations.
method Causal representation learning (CRL) synthesizing latent variable models, causal graphical models, and nonparametric statistics.
result CRL can improve interpretability of generative AI models.