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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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156312467623 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Deep Rule Forests

Deep Rule Forests identifies drug-drug and drug-disease interactions causing AKI.

problem Identifying drug-drug and drug-disease interactions leading to AKI.
method Deep Rule Forests (DRF) algorithm discovering rules from multilayer tree models.
result DRF model outperforms other algorithms in prediction accuracy and interpretability.

Tree ensembles such as random forests and boosted trees are accurate but difficult to understand, debug and deploy. In this work, we provide the inTrees (interpretable trees) framework that extracts, measures, prunes and selects rules from a tree ensemble, and calculates frequent variable interactions. An rule-based le…

2014-08-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Better methods to detect insider threats need new anticipatory analytics to capture risky behavior prior to losing data. In search of the best overall classifier, this work empirically scores 88 machine learning algorithms in 16 major families. We extract risk features from the large CERT dataset, which blends real net…

2019-01-30abs ↗pdf ↗

State-of-the-art learning algorithms, such as random forests or neural networks, are often qualified as "black-boxes" because of the high number and complexity of operations involved in their prediction mechanism. This lack of interpretability is a strong limitation for applications involving critical decisions, typica…

2019-08-19abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the problem of learning a forest of nonlinear decision rules with general loss functions. The standard methods employ boosted decision trees such as Adaboost for exponential loss and Friedman's gradient boosting for general loss. In contrast to these traditional boosting algorithms that treat a tree learner…

2011-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper develops a stationary-distribution theory for Random Forest ensemble size selection.

problem Determining the optimal number of trees in Random Forests.
method Modeling the ensemble size as a birth-death Markov chain and deriving its stationary distribution.
result The stationary ensemble size BB_* scales as O(ε2)O(\varepsilon^{-2}) as ε0\varepsilon\downarrow 0.

Proposes sparse local and regional counterfactual rules for robust recourses.

problem Challenges in counterfactual explanations, especially stability, synthesis, and implementation.
method Probabilistic framework using Random Forest to derive sparse local and regional counterfactual rules.
result Effective recourses derived from high-density regions, providing sparse and robust counterfactual rules.

Study models forest transitions with deep learning for parameter estimation.

problem Complex dynamics of forest, agricultural, and abandoned lands.
method Developed a stochastic differential equation model and used deep learning for parameter estimation.
result Deep learning approach estimates model parameters from time-series data.

GeFs use deep generative models to enhance prediction robustness and uncertainty.

problem Lack of principled methods to manipulate uncertainty in decision trees and random forests.
method Exploits Generative Forests (GeFs), a deep probabilistic model that extends Random Forests to represent full joint distributions.
result GeFs are uncertainty-aware classifiers capable of measuring robustness and detecting out-of-distribution samples.

This paper presents a basic property of region dividing of ReLU (rectified linear unit) deep learning when new layers are successively added, by which two new perspectives of interpreting deep learning are given. The first is related to decision trees and forests; we construct a deep learning structure equivalent to a …

2019-06-16abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for decision tree selection in recommendation systems.

problem Feature-based selection of a single tree from an ensemble for dynamic interpretation.
method A multi-armed contextual bandit recommendation framework that trains a system on top of Random Forests to identify the most relevant tree.
result The dynamic method outperforms an independent CART tree and is comparable to Random Forest in predictive performance.

S-SIRUS explains RF for spatial data, improving accuracy and interpretability.

problem Non-interpretable nature of Random Forest in spatially dependent data.
method Proposes S-SIRUS, a spatial extension of SIRUS for extracting interpretable rules.
result S-SIRUS outperforms SIRUS in spatially dependent data, offering higher predictive accuracy and shorter rule lists.

New method learns representations for decision forests using input perturbation.

problem Decision forests struggle with raw structured data and lack effective representations.
method Approximate decision forest gradients through input perturbation.
result Effective representation learning for decision forests without structural changes.

Proposes a method to estimate drug sensitivity uncertainty using deep regression forests.

problem Lack of confidence intervals in deep learning models for critical tasks.
method Uses Deep Regression Forests to estimate variance and uncertainty for drug sensitivity prediction.
result Improves efficiency and coverage of uncertainty estimates for drug sensitivity predictions.

Two methods are proposed for high-dimensional shape-constrained regression and classification. These methods reshape pre-trained prediction rules to satisfy shape constraints like monotonicity and convexity. The first method can be applied to any pre-trained prediction rule, while the second method deals specifically w…

2018-05-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proves fair classification can be done via simple thresholding.

problem Achieving fair binary classification subject to group fairness constraints.
method Proves Bayes optimal fair learning rule is a group-wise thresholding rule over the Bayes regressor with randomization.
result Proposes an efficient unconstrained optimization algorithm for post-processing fair classification.

New Random Forest variants estimate heterogeneous treatment effects using Wasserstein distances.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in complex situations.
method Proposes natural variants of Random Forests using Wasserstein distances.
result Natural variants of Random Forests are well-suited for estimating conditional distributions.

We seek decision rules for prediction-time cost reduction, where complete data is available for training, but during prediction-time, each feature can only be acquired for an additional cost. We propose a novel random forest algorithm to minimize prediction error for a user-specified {\it average} feature acquisition b…

2015-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper develops a method to optimize individualized treatment rules for cost-effectiveness.

problem Developing cost-effective individualized treatment rules for healthcare policy.
method Using conditional random forest and net-monetary-benefit (NMB) to estimate optimal CE-ITR.
result The approach optimizes healthcare resource allocation by maximizing health gains and minimizing costs.

We establish the consistency of an algorithm of Mondrian Forests, a randomized classification algorithm that can be implemented online. First, we amend the original Mondrian Forest algorithm, that considers a fixed lifetime parameter. Indeed, the fact that this parameter is fixed hinders the statistical consistency of …

2017-11-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Random forest is widely exploited as an ensemble learning method. In many practical applications, however, there is still a significant challenge to learn from imbalanced data. To alleviate this limitation, we propose a deep dynamic boosted forest (DDBF), a novel ensemble algorithm that incorporates the notion of hard …

2018-04-19abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper develops a new method to model treatment effects that are heterogeneous across different quantiles.

problem Modeling treatment effects that vary across different quantiles of the outcome distribution.
method The paper combines quantile classification with local polynomial estimation to build a decision tree and forest.
result The proposed QLPRT and QLPRF methods provide a new way to estimate and infer heterogeneous treatment effects.

Enhances random forest performance with exogenous randomness.

problem Improving random forest performance through exogenous randomness.
method Developed non-asymptotic MSE expansions for individual trees and forests, identified two types of randomness, and conducted simulations.
result Exogenous randomness, particularly feature subsampling, reduces both bias and variance of random forests.

This paper improves deep forest models with soft routing and topology learning.

problem Expensive computational costs and lack of interpretability in deep neural networks.
method Soft routing in probabilistic trees and topology learning for joint optimization.
result Empowered deep forests achieve better performance with reduced model complexity.

We propose a new Bayesian model for flexible nonlinear regression and classification using tree ensembles. The model is based on the RuleFit approach in Friedman and Popescu (2008) where rules from decision trees and linear terms are used in a L1-regularized regression. We modify RuleFit by replacing the L1-regularizat…

2017-02-16abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms improve uncertainty estimation in satellite precipitation predictions.

problem Lack of uncertainty estimates in machine learning spatial precipitation predictions from satellite data.
method Benchmarked six algorithms including LightGBM, compared using quantile scoring functions and rules.
result LightGBM outperformed other algorithms in quantile scoring rule by 11.10%.

A modification of the confidence screening mechanism based on adaptive weighing of every training instance at each cascade level of the Deep Forest is proposed. The idea underlying the modification is very simple and stems from the confidence screening mechanism idea proposed by Pang et al. to simplify the Deep Forest …

2019-01-04abs ↗pdf ↗

A Siamese Deep Forest (SDF) is proposed in the paper. It is based on the Deep Forest or gcForest proposed by Zhou and Feng and can be viewed as a gcForest modification. It can be also regarded as an alternative to the well-known Siamese neural networks. The SDF uses a modified training set consisting of concatenated pa…

2017-04-27abs ↗pdf ↗

A Discriminative Deep Forest (DisDF) as a metric learning algorithm is proposed in the paper. It is based on the Deep Forest or gcForest proposed by Zhou and Feng and can be viewed as a gcForest modification. The case of the fully supervised learning is studied when the class labels of individual training examples are …

2017-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Excellent ranking power along with well calibrated probability estimates are needed in many classification tasks. In this paper, we introduce a technique, Calibrated Boosting-Forest that captures both. This novel technique is an ensemble of gradient boosting machines that can support both continuous and binary labels. …

2017-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper explains CART random forests using stochastic control theory.

problem Understanding the inner workings of CART random forests.
method Developed a stochastic-control perspective on CART random forests, interpreting feature subsampling as a random feasible action set and the split rule as a policy.
result Established that the CART policy is locally stabilizing but globally suboptimal for the forest objective.

Deep networks and forests perform differently with small samples.

problem Comparing deep networks and decision forests for small sample sizes.
method Unified view of both methods as partition and vote schemes, empirical comparison on various datasets.
result Forests excel with small tabular and structured data, deep nets better with larger samples.

The paper develops a theory for random forests, separating variance components and providing methods for estimating prediction intervals.

problem Understanding the variance and uncertainty in random forest predictions.
method Design-based theory, Monte Carlo averaging, PASR resampling.
result The floor of prediction uncertainty is positive and persists even without observation overlap, providing conservative prediction intervals.

Despite the impressive performance of random forests (RF), its theoretical properties have not been thoroughly understood. In this paper, we propose a novel RF framework, dubbed multinomial random forest (MRF), to analyze the \emph{consistency} and \emph{privacy-preservation}. Instead of deterministic greedy split rule…

2019-03-10abs ↗pdf ↗