Causalfe estimates treatment effects in panel data with fixed effects.
problem Spurious heterogeneity in treatment effect estimates due to fixed effects in panel data.
method CFFE approach with node-level residualization during tree construction.
result Validates the estimator's performance through simulation studies.
New method estimates treatment effects in network data, accounting for spillover effects.
problem Treatment effect estimation in networks with spillover effects.
method Augmented inverse probability weighting (AIPW) with cross-fitting and machine learning.
result Semiparametric treatment effect estimator converges at parametric rate and follows Gaussian distribution.
Estimates heterogeneous treatment effects in panel data with a new method.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in panel data with general treatment patterns.
method Partition observations into clusters with similar treatment effects using a regression tree, then estimate average treatment effects for each cluster.
result Our method achieves superior accuracy compared to alternative approaches.
Method estimates causal effects from incremental data, overcoming missing data challenges.
problem Estimating causal effects from non-stationary, incrementally available observational data.
method Continual Causal Effect Representation Learning
result Method achieves continual causal effect estimation without compromising original data.
Estimates joint causal effects using single-variable interventions on nonlinear models.
problem Estimating joint causal effects from single-variable interventions.
method Identifiability result and practical estimator for decomposing causal effects.
result Joint effects can be inferred without joint interventional data for nonlinear additive models.
New method for analyzing compositional data, addressing biases in summary statistics.
problem Inadequate effect measures for compositional data, especially in high-dimensionality and sparsity.
method Perturbation-based effect measures, average perturbation effects.
result Proposed estimators efficiently estimate average perturbation effects, outperforming existing techniques.
Bayesian neural networks with data augmentation show a persistent cold posterior effect.
problem Understanding the cold posterior effect in Bayesian neural networks with data augmentation.
method Developed principled Bayesian neural networks using data augmentation, providing exact likelihoods and tight bounds.
result The cold posterior effect persists even in models incorporating data augmentation, suggesting it's not an artifact.
VTD uses deep embeddings to estimate treatment effects from longitudinal data without unconfoundedness assumption.
problem Challenges in estimating individualized treatment effects from longitudinal observational data due to confounding bias.
method Leverages deep variational embeddings and observed proxies to learn hidden confounders.
result Effective in estimating treatment effects when hidden confounding is the leading bias.
Paper introduces Functional Effects Models to account for individual heterogeneity in panel data.
problem Accounting for preference heterogeneity in panel data with machine learning.
method Functional Effects Models using gradient boosting decision trees and deep neural networks to learn individual-specific preference parameters.
result Functional Effects Models outperform traditional models in learning inter-individual heterogeneity and predictive performance.
Combining experimental and observational data for long-term causal effects.
problem Estimating causal effects of treatment on long-term outcomes using mixed data types.
method Three approaches for fusing experimental and observational data: equal confounding, shared confounder, and proxy variables.
result Developed estimators for each approach and analyzed their robustness.
Every design choice will have different effects on different units. However traditional A/B tests are often underpowered to identify these heterogeneous effects. This is especially true when the set of unit-level attributes is high-dimensional and our priors are weak about which particular covariates are important. How…
Combines observational and randomized data to estimate treatment effects.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects using only observational data is biased.
method Two-step framework: learn shared structure from observational data, then data-specific structures from randomized data.
result Combining observational and randomized data improves treatment effect estimation.
Causal Interaction Trees identify treatment subgroup effects in observational data.
problem Identifying subgroups with enhanced treatment effects in observational studies.
method Extending Classification and Regression Trees with subgroup-specific treatment effect estimators.
result The proposed algorithms enhance treatment effect heterogeneity in subgroups.
Study develops method for estimating causal effects in continuous variables.
problem Lack of methods for estimating causal effects in continuous variables.
method Develops a method independent of data generating models for continuous variable interventions.
result Preserves identifiability of data and applies to any generating models.
The paper develops methods to identify stable associations across multiple studies.
problem Identifying stable associations across multiple studies with possible distributional shifts.
method Modeling heterogeneous multi-source data with multiple high-dimensional regressions and devising a novel sampling method for valid confidence intervals of maximin effects.
result Significant maximin effects indicate stable associations that can be generalized to target populations.
Estimates causal effects in Gaussian Linear SCMs with finite data.
problem Estimating causal effects from observational data with latent confounders.
method Centralized Gaussian Linear SCMs (CGL-SCMs) and EM-based estimation algorithm.
result Learned CGL-SCM parameters accurately recover causal distributions from finite observational samples.
This paper discusses the problem of causal query in observational data with hidden variables, with the aim of seeking the change of an outcome when "manipulating" a variable while given a set of plausible confounding variables which affect the manipulated variable and the outcome. Such an "experiment on data" to estima…
Estimates long-term effects from short-term experiments and observational data with unobserved confounders.
problem Estimating long-term causal effects from short-term experiments and long-term observational data with unobserved confounding.
method Combining regression residuals with short-term experimental outcomes to create an instrumental variable for estimating long-term causal effects.
result The estimator is unbiased and its variance is analytically studied.
Adaptive kernel approach learns causal effects from diverse data sources.
problem Learning causal effects from multiple, decentralized data sources in a federated setting.
method Adaptive transfer algorithm using Random Fourier Features to estimate similarities and disentangle loss function components.
result Empirically outperforms baselines on decentralized data sources with different distributions.
MC-GMENN improves neural networks for clustered data using Monte Carlo methods.
problem Improving neural network performance on clustered data with correlations.
method MC-GMENN employs Monte Carlo methods to train generalized mixed effects neural networks.
result MC-GMENN outperforms existing models in generalization and quantifying inter-cluster variance.
Estimates treatment effects in rare extreme events using EVT.
problem Estimating treatment effects in rare, impactful events like extreme climate events.
method Introduces a novel framework using EVT and multivariate regular variation for consistent treatment effect estimation.
result Developed a consistent estimator for extreme treatment effects with rigorous non-asymptotic analysis.
Selective imputation improves treatment effect estimation from missing data.
problem Missing data complicates treatment effect estimation, especially with treatment variables.
method Introduced mixed confounded missingness (MCM) and selective imputation.
result Selective imputation provides unbiased treatment effect estimates.
QR-learner estimates individual treatment effects using external data.
problem Limited power to detect individual treatment effects in randomized trials.
method Model-agnostic learner that estimates conditional average treatment effects (CATE) using external data.
result QR-learner reduces mean squared error and can recover true CATE.
DEBIAS learns causal effects from psychiatric longitudinal data by optimizing outcome weights.
problem Causal inference challenges in psychiatric longitudinal data due to symptom heterogeneity and latent confounding.
method DEBIAS algorithm that optimizes outcome weights to maximize durable treatment effects and minimize confounding.
result DEBIAS consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods in recovering causal effects for clinically interpretable composite outcomes.
New methods for estimating treatment effects with missing data.
problem Missing outcome data complicates estimating treatment effects.
method Proposed two de-biased machine learning estimators (mDR-learner and mEP-learner) to address under-representation.
result Oracle efficiency of the proposed estimators under reasonable conditions.
Integrates nearest neighbors with neural networks for more accurate treatment effect estimation.
problem Inaccurate causal effect estimations from observational data.
method NNCI methodology integrating nearest neighbors with neural network models.
result Improves treatment effect estimations on various benchmarks.
Analyzes error sources in global feature effect estimation methods.
problem Unexplored error sources in global feature effect estimation methods.
method Systematic, estimator-level analysis of bias and variance.
result Holdout data is theoretically cleanest, but estimation variance depends on sample size and model characteristics.
New neural network model improves treatment effect estimation.
problem Estimating treatment effects from observational data.
method Proposes a neural network model leveraging covariates and neighboring instances.
result Reports better treatment effect estimation performance.
ARMED models improve deep learning interpretability and generalize better on clustered data.
problem Clustered data leads to spurious associations and poor model fitting.
method Adversarial regularization and mixed effects subnetworks.
result ARMED models outperform conventional methods in accuracy and generalization.
New method discovers context effects in choice data.
problem Identifying context effects from choice data is challenging.
method Automatic discovery of context effects from observed choices.
result Automatic discovery of context effects from observed choices.
A framework detects nonlinear and interaction effects in epidemiological data with uncertainty quantification.
problem Lack of reliable inference for ML-discovered nonlinearities and interactions in epidemiological data.
method Combines Bayesian sparse regression, tree ensembles, and Shapley values.
result Valid uncertainty quantification for feature effects at the individual level.
INN method refines clean labeled data from noisy labels.
problem Handling noisy labels in deep neural networks.
method INN method based on memorization effect at neighbor regions.
result INN method resolves memorization effect shortcomings.
We link disjoint longitudinal data for rare disease patients using latent representations and mixed-effects regression.
problem Analyzing treatment switches in rare diseases with limited data and changing measurement instruments.
method We embed item values into a shared latent space using variational autoencoders and apply mixed-effects regression to quantify treatment effects.
result Our approach allows for statistical inference and quantifies the impact of treatment switches in spinal muscular atrophy.
Study the effects of data parallelism and sparsity on neural network training.
problem Understanding the effects of data parallelism and sparsity on neural network training.
method Conducted extensive experiments and developed a theoretical analysis.
result Found a general scaling trend between batch size and number of training steps to convergence for the effect of data parallelism, and difficulty of training under sparsity.
The paper develops methods to bound causal effects using Partial Ancestral Graphs.
problem Bounding causal effects from observational data when true causal diagrams are unknown.
method Proposes a method using Partial Ancestral Graphs to derive bounds on causal effects from observational data.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the method with synthetic and real data examples.
Study robustness of global feature effect explanations in machine learning models.
problem Vulnerability of global feature effect explanations to data and model perturbations.
method Theoretical bounds and experimental evaluation of partial dependence plots and accumulated local effects.
result Quantifies the gap between best and worst-case scenarios of misinterpreting machine learning predictions globally.
Proposes efficient data acquisition for personalized treatment effects from observational data.
problem Efficiently acquiring outcomes for personalized treatment effects in observational studies.
method Introduces causal, Bayesian acquisition functions to select points with overlapping support.
result Demonstrates improved sample efficiency and accuracy in learning personalized treatment effects.
This study compares machine learning methods for high-cardinality categorical variables.
problem Machine learning struggles with high-cardinality categorical variables.
method Empirical comparison of tree-boosting, deep neural networks, and linear mixed effects models.
result Tree-boosting with random effects outperforms deep neural networks with random effects.
Tree-based model averaging improves CATE estimation from diverse sites.
problem Limited sample size and privacy concerns prevent accurate personalized treatment effect estimation.
method Tree-based model averaging approach to estimate CATEs from multiple heterogeneous sites.
result Improved accuracy in estimating conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) across sites.
Measures DNA quality degradation effects.
problem Identifying degraded DNA sequence data.
method Novel quality quantification based on intentional degradation effects.
result Quantified measures of degradation can be used for multiple purposes.
Proposes CoDEAL for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in panel data models.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in causal panel data models with covariate effects.
method Covariate-Adjusted Deep Causal Learning (CoDEAL) integrating neural networks and autoencoders.
result Establishes theoretical guarantees and demonstrates compelling performance in simulations and real data.
M3E2 neural network estimates multiple treatment effects.
problem Estimating effects of multiple treatments simultaneously.
method Multi-task learning neural network model for multiple treatments, continuous and binary.
result M3E2 outperforms baselines in synthetic datasets.
Dynamic CBDT improves treatment effect estimation in clinical data.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in observational data with high accuracy and interpretability.
method Dynamic Regularized Causal Boosted Decision Trees (CBDT) integrating variance regularization and calibration.
result Significantly improved estimation accuracy and reliable coverage of true treatment effects.
Develops algorithm to find subgroups with different treatment effects in HIV patients.
problem Estimating treatment effects in EHR data with challenges like time-varying confounding.
method SDLD algorithm combining generalized interaction tree and longitudinal targeted maximum likelihood estimation.
result Identifies subgroups of HIV patients at higher risk of weight gain with dolutegravir-containing ARTs.
Proposes FOAGP for efficient orthogonal effect decomposition of black-box computer experiments.
problem Challenges in sensitivity analysis of black-box computer experiments with complex, nonlinear functional outputs.
method Functional-output orthogonal additive Gaussian process (FOAGP) with conditional orthogonality constraint.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in orthogonal effect decomposition and variance decomposition through simulations and real-world application.
Kernel method estimates long-term effects from short-term data.
problem Estimating long-term effects from short-term data in continuous actions.
method Kernel ridge regression to embed and extrapolate long-term effects.
result Uniform consistency and nonasymptotic error bounds for the estimator.
NICE model estimates causal effects for image treatments.
problem Challenges in causal effect estimation for multi-dimensional treatments.
method Proposes NICE model for image treatments, incorporating rich multidimensional information.
result NICE significantly outperforms existing models in estimating causal effects for image treatments.
C-XGBoost estimates causal effects from observational data.
problem Estimating causal effects from observational data.
method Proposes C-XGBoost, a tree boosting model for causal effect estimation.
result Demonstrates effectiveness through performance profiles and statistical tests.