This paper closely examines theoretical and practical aspects of the widely used discounted cash flows (DCF) valuation method. It assesses its potentials as well as several weaknesses. A special emphasize is being put on the valuation of companies using the DCF method. The paper finds that the discounted cash flow meth…
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48 results for “DCF method”
A deep convolutional fuzzy system (DCFS) on a high-dimensional input space is a multi-layer connection of many low-dimensional fuzzy systems, where the input variables to the low-dimensional fuzzy systems are selected through a moving window across the input spaces of the layers. To design the DCFS based on input-outpu…
The ASVspoof challenge series was born to spearhead research in anti-spoofing for automatic speaker verification (ASV). The two challenge editions in 2015 and 2017 involved the assessment of spoofing countermeasures (CMs) in isolation from ASV using an equal error rate (EER) metric. While a strategic approach to assess…
The change of two orders of magnitude in the 'new DCF' of NIST's SRE'10, relative to the 'old DCF' evaluation criterion, posed a difficult challenge for participants and evaluator alike. Initially, participants were at a loss as to how to calibrate their systems, while the evaluator underestimated the required number o…
This paper evaluates investment risks in LATAM AI startups using DCF method.
problem Unique challenges and risks faced by LATAM tech startups.
method Total Addressable Market (TAM), Serviceable Available Market (SAM), and Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM) metrics; Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method.
result Developed a ranking of emerging powers in Latin America for tech startup investment.
The present paper provides the basis for a novel financial asset pricing model that could avoid the shortcomings of, or even completely replace the traditional DCF model. The model is based on Brownian motion logic and expected future cash flow values. It can be very useful for Islamic Finance.
The spoofing countermeasure (CM) systems in automatic speaker verification (ASV) are not typically used in isolation of each other. These systems can be combined, for example, into a cascaded system where CM produces first a decision whether the input is synthetic or bona fide speech. In case the CM decides it is a bon…
Business-cycles and Cash-on-Market: Pre-money Startup Valuation in the Macroeconomic Environmentq-fin.GN
Business cycles affect startup valuations, both directly and indirectly.
problem How do business cycles impact startup valuations?
method Structural Equation Model approach using a dataset of 1,089 venture capital investments.
result Business cycles impact startup valuations both directly and indirectly.
The paper presents a practical method for evaluating investment projects using real options.
problem Evaluating investment projects under uncertainty and strategic risk management.
method Binomial trees and real options techniques for evaluating investment projects.
result The method can be used for most real options and introduces Project Value at Risk for feasibility.
Study uses machine learning to predict stock trends based on fundamental data.
problem Predicting stock trends using fundamental analysis.
method Used LSTM, 1D CNN, and LR models on financial data.
result Logistic Regression models outperformed other models.
This study analyzes how carbon pricing affects credit risk measures in a portfolio.
problem Impact of carbon pricing on credit risk measures in a portfolio.
method Adapted stochastic multisectoral model to account for GHG emissions costs and carbon prices.
result Carbon pricing distorts firm value distributions, increases banking fees, and reduces profitability.
Improved iterative methods for risk parity portfolio weights.
problem Solving for portfolio weights in risk parity allocation.
method Enhanced CCD and Newton methods, including a rescaling step and improved initial guess.
result Improved CCD method is the best, three times faster with 40% fewer iterations.
We describe a novel optimization method for finite sums (such as empirical risk minimization problems) building on the recently introduced SAGA method. Our method achieves an accelerated convergence rate on strongly convex smooth problems. Our method has only one parameter (a step size), and is radically simpler than o…
A new method combines Laplace and Variational Bayes for scalable inference.
problem Complex models and large datasets make exact inference infeasible.
method Low-Rank Variational Bayes Correction (VBC) using Laplace method and Variational Bayes correction in a lower dimension.
result The method ensures scalability in both model complexity and data size.
Unified framework for model explanation methods based on feature removal.
problem Unclear relationships and preferences among various model explanation methods.
method Characterizes removal-based explanations along three dimensions.
result Unified 26 existing methods, including widely used approaches.
This work reviews and evaluates methods for predicting prediction intervals in regression problems.
problem Calibration of prediction intervals in regression problems.
method Four classes of methods: Bayesian, ensemble, direct interval estimation, and conformal prediction.
result Conformal prediction can be used as a general calibration procedure.
Derives kernel PCA with Nyström method for scalability.
problem Scalability of kernel PCA.
method Nyström method for kernel PCA.
result Provides scalable alternative to full kernel PCA.
In this paper, the author considers the numerical computation of CVA for large systems by Mote Carlo methods. He introduces two types of stochastic mesh methods for the computations of CVA. In the first method, stochastic mesh method is used to obtain the future value of the derivative contracts. In the second method, …
New method combines spectral and sparse methods for Gaussian processes.
problem Efficiently fitting Gaussian processes to large datasets.
method Orthogonally decoupled variational Fourier features.
result Competitive performance on synthetic and real-world data.
A Large-Scale Comparative Analysis of Imputation Methods for Single-Cell RNA Sequencing Dataq-bio.GN
A comprehensive benchmark of 15 scRNA-seq imputation methods across various datasets and analyses.
problem Imputation of single-cell RNA sequencing data to recover latent transcriptional signals.
method Evaluation of 15 imputation methods across 30 datasets and 6 downstream analyses.
result Traditional methods generally outperform DL-based methods in scRNA-seq data analysis.
New methods using natural gradient for structured optimization.
problem Structured optimization problems.
method Structured second-order methods via natural gradient descent.
result Efficiency demonstrated on non-convex and deep learning problems.
Unified Convergence Analysis of Stochastic Momentum Methods for Convex and Non-convex Optimizationmath.OC
Recently, {\it stochastic momentum} methods have been widely adopted in training deep neural networks. However, their convergence analysis is still underexplored at the moment, in particular for non-convex optimization. This paper fills the gap between practice and theory by developing a basic convergence analysis of t…
We investigate methods for pricing American options under the variance gamma model. The variance gamma process is a pure jump process which is constructed by replacing the calendar time by the gamma time in a Brownian motion with drift, which makes it a time-changed Brownian motion. In general, the finite difference me…
A new method speeds up deep neural network training.
problem Nonconvex optimization in deep neural networks.
method Scaled conjugate gradient method for nonconvex optimization.
result The method converges faster and achieves lower scores in practical applications.
We propose a new stochastic dual coordinate ascent technique that can be applied to a wide range of regularized learning problems. Our method is based on Alternating Direction Multiplier Method (ADMM) to deal with complex regularization functions such as structured regularizations. Although the original ADMM is a batch…
NCG methods improve shape optimization efficiency.
problem Shape optimization problems
method Nonlinear conjugate gradient methods
result NCG methods are efficient for shape optimization
Pricing Derivatives under Multiple Stochastic Factors by Localized Radial Basis Function Methodsq-fin.CP
We propose two localized Radial Basis Function (RBF) methods, the Radial Basis Function Partition of Unity method (RBF-PUM) and the Radial Basis Function generated Finite Differences method (RBF-FD), for solving financial derivative pricing problems arising from market models with multiple stochastic factors. We demons…
Uncertainty Aware Trader-Company Method: Interpretable Stock Price Prediction Capturing Uncertaintyq-fin.CP
Proposes UTC method for stock price prediction with uncertainty quantification.
problem Lack of uncertainty estimates in stock prediction methods.
method Combines TC method with probabilistic modeling for point and uncertainty predictions.
result UTC method achieves higher returns and lower risks than baselines.
Survey of spectral, probabilistic, and deep metric learning methods.
problem Developing effective distance metrics for various machine learning tasks.
method Divided into spectral, probabilistic, and deep approaches, covering various techniques and their applications.
result Comprehensive overview of metric learning methods, including new developments and applications.
Various approaches to gene selection for cancer classification based on microarray data can be found in the literature and they may be grouped into two categories: univariate methods and multivariate methods. Univariate methods look at each gene in the data in isolation from others. They measure the contribution of a p…
A novel weighted feature selection method using fuzzy sets improves classification accuracy and stability.
problem Improving feature selection accuracy and stability in machine learning models.
method Combination of four feature selection methods using fuzzy sets and bootstrap.
result Our method achieved significantly higher stability than individual methods.
New method improves accuracy in computing implied volatility.
problem Computing implied volatility from the Black-Scholes model.
method Adaptive gradient descent optimizers for numerical computation.
result More accurate results compared to close form approximation and Newton-Raphson method.
The paper examines Wiener process for LID estimation methods.
problem Estimating local intrinsic dimension in high-dimensional datasets.
method Investigates recent LID estimation methods from a Wiener process perspective.
result Explains how methods behave under non-ideal conditions.
We evaluate how modern outlier detection methods perform in identifying outliers in e-commerce conversion rate data. Based on the limitations identified, we then present a novel method to detect outliers in e-commerce conversion rate. This unsupervised method is made more business relevant by letting it automatically a…
Spectral methods of moments provide a powerful tool for learning the parameters of latent variable models. Despite their theoretical appeal, the applicability of these methods to real data is still limited due to a lack of robustness to model misspecification. In this paper we present a hierarchical approach to methods…
We propose an optimization method for minimizing the finite sums of smooth convex functions. Our method incorporates an accelerated gradient descent (AGD) and a stochastic variance reduction gradient (SVRG) in a mini-batch setting. Unlike SVRG, our method can be directly applied to non-strongly and strongly convex prob…
We discuss the relevance of the recent Machine Learning (ML) literature for economics and econometrics. First we discuss the differences in goals, methods and settings between the ML literature and the traditional econometrics and statistics literatures. Then we discuss some specific methods from the machine learning l…
R package for counterfactual explanation methods.
problem Lack of unified interfaces for counterfactual explanation methods.
method Developed a modular R6-based interface for three existing counterfactual methods and proposed extensions.
result Comparison of implemented methods' quality and runtime behavior.
We generalize Newton-type methods for minimizing smooth functions to handle a sum of two convex functions: a smooth function and a nonsmooth function with a simple proximal mapping. We show that the resulting proximal Newton-type methods inherit the desirable convergence behavior of Newton-type methods for minimizing s…
The field of medical image reconstruction has seen roughly four types of methods. The first type tended to be analytical methods, such as filtered back-projection (FBP) for X-ray computed tomography (CT) and the inverse Fourier transform for magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), based on simple mathematical models for the …
Derives new optimization methods using variational integrators.
problem Optimization methods in machine learning.
method Variational integrators and principles of Hamilton and Lagrange-d'Alembert.
result Derives two families of optimization methods, including Nesterov's accelerated gradient method.
Krylov Cubic Regularized Newton: A Subspace Second-Order Method with Dimension-Free Convergence Ratemath.OC
A new method for faster optimization in high dimensions.
problem Slow convergence in high-dimensional optimization problems.
method Subspace cubic regularized Newton method within Krylov subspace.
result Achieves a dimension-independent convergence rate of O(1/mk + 1/k^2).
Pricing options with VG model using FFTphysics.soc-ph
We discuss various analytic and numerical methods that have been used to get option prices within a framework of the VG model. We show that some popular methods, for instance, Carr-Madan's FFT method could blow up for certain values of the model parameters even for an European vanilla option. Alternative methods - one …
The article derives a formula for predicting claims uncertainty using the GCC method.
problem Claims reserving uncertainty in non-life insurance modeling.
method Generalized Cape Cod (GCC) method, derived an analytical formula for MSEP.
result Derives an analytical formula for the mean squared error of prediction (MSEP) of the GCC method.
Statistical estimates can often be improved by fusion of data from several different sources. One example is so-called ensemble methods which have been successfully applied in areas such as machine learning for classification and clustering. In this paper, we present an ensemble method to improve community detection by…
We present the Variational Adaptive Newton (VAN) method which is a black-box optimization method especially suitable for explorative-learning tasks such as active learning and reinforcement learning. Similar to Bayesian methods, VAN estimates a distribution that can be used for exploration, but requires computations th…
This article is concerned with Gaussian process quadratures, which are numerical integration methods based on Gaussian process regression methods, and sigma-point methods, which are used in advanced non-linear Kalman filtering and smoothing algorithms. We show that many sigma-point methods can be interpreted as Gaussia…
We have developed a novel prediction method based on string invariants. The method does not require learning but a small set of parameters must be set to achieve optimal performance. We have implemented an evolutionary algorithm for the parametric optimization. We have tested the performance of the method on artificial…