A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Paper optimizes DC pension fund management with VaR and relative performance constraints.
This paper optimizes DC pension plan investments using O-U process and loan.
Investigates risk measures for DC pension decumulation.
Investment strategy for DC pension plan with inflation risk and tail VaR constraint.
Optimal withdrawal strategy for DC pension plans maximizes total withdrawals while managing risk.
In this paper we consider three types of embedded options in pension benefit design. The first is the Florida second election (FSE) option, offered to public employees in the state of Florida in 2002. Employees were given the option to convert from a defined contribution (DC) plan to a defined benefit (DB) plan at a ti…
A neural network approach solves optimal decumulation problems for pension plans.
In this article we solve the problem of maximizing the expected utility of future consumption and terminal wealth to determine the optimal pension or life-cycle fund strategy for a cohort of pension fund investors. The setup is strongly related to a DC pension plan where additionally (individual) consumption is taken i…
Paper proposes decentralized annuities for better retirement security.
Georgia's pension reform affects individual welfare.
We study an asset allocation stochastic problem with restriction for a defined-contribution pension plan during the accumulation phase. We consider a financial market with stochastic interest rate, composed of a risk-free asset, a real zero coupon bond price, the inflation-linked bond and the risky asset. A plan member…
India introduces NPS to manage pension liabilities and promote savings.
We study the gap between the state pension provided by the Italian pension system pre-Dini reform and post-Dini reform. The goal is to fill the gap between the old and the new pension by joining a defined contribution pension scheme and adopting an optimal investment strategy that is target-based. We find that it is po…
The paper proposes a dynamic risk measure approach for evaluating defined-contribution pension funds.
Pension benefits in rural China lead to cognitive decline among the elderly.
The paper optimizes pension policies with guarantees and sustainability constraints.
We study the effects of non-systematic and systematic mortality risks on the required initial capital in a pension plan, in the presence of financial risks. We discover that for a pension plan with few members the impact of pooling on the required capital per person is strong, but non-systematic risk diminishes rapidly…
Birth rates have dramatically decreased and, with continuous improvements in life expectancy, pension expenditure is on an irreversibly increasing path. This will raise serious concerns for the sustainability of the public pension systems usually financed on a pay-as-you-go (PAYG) basis where current contributions cove…
Study finds risk management significantly improves pension scheme efficiency in Kenya.
Study examines market risks on pension system sustainability.
We introduce a generic model for spouse's pensions. The generic model allows for the modeling of various types of spouse's pensions with payments commencing at the death of the insured. We derive abstract formulas for cashflows and liabilities corresponding to common types of spouse's pensions. We show how the standard…
Currently, pension providers are running into trouble mainly due to the ultra-low interest rates and the guarantees associated to some pension benefits. With the aim of reducing the pension volatility and providing adequate pension levels with no guarantees, we carry out mathematical analysis of a new pension design in…
The Australian Government uses the means-test as a way of managing the pension budget. Changes in Age Pension policy impose difficulties in retirement modelling due to policy risk, but any major changes tend to be `grandfathered' meaning that current retirees are exempt from the new changes. In 2015, two important chan…
The study uses ML and AI to forecast pension fund mortality, outperforming traditional methods.
Adaptive strategies reduce pension fund costs and risks.
Investigates optimal pension policies in PAYG systems with forward utility and ageing population.
This paper discusses the financial risks faced by the UK Pension Protection Fund (PPF) and what, if anything, it can do about them. It draws lessons from the regulatory regimes under which other financial institutions, such as banks and insurance companies, operate and asks why pension funds are treated differently. It…
New algorithms improve submodular minimization via DC programming.
Structuring a viable pension plan is a problem that arises in the study of financial contracts pricing and bears special importance these days. Deterministic pension models often rely on projections that are based on several assumptions concerning the "average" long-time behavior of the stock market. Our aim here is to…
This review examines TDFs in Chile's pension reform, recommending dynamic glide paths and diversified benchmarks.
Study improves pension scheme efficiency in Kenya through governance and risk management.
This paper revisits optimal investment strategies for defined contribution pension schemes using forward preferences.
Investment strategies in occupational pension plans are optimized for non-tradable income risk.
Neural network predicts optimal pension investments based on preferences.
This work builds a sensor graph from DC sensors for anomaly detection.
We employ stochastic dynamic microsimulations to analyse and forecast the pension cost dependency ratio for England and Wales from 1991 to 2061, evaluating the impact of the ongoing state pension reforms and changes in international migration patterns under different Brexit scenarios. To fully account for the recently …
Optimizes pension fund management under funding risks.
Deep neural network optimizes retirement consumption in defined contribution pensions.
UK universities pension scheme valuation study shows high dependence on gilt yields.
Joint blind source separation (J-BSS) is an emerging data-driven technique for multi-set data-fusion. In this paper, J-BSS is addressed from a tensorial perspective. We show how, by using second-order multi-set statistics in J-BSS, a specific double coupled canonical polyadic decomposition (DC-CPD) problem can be formu…
In this paper, we extend the DC Calculus introduced by Perelman on finite dimensional Alexandrov spaces with curvature bounded below. Among other things, our results allow us to define the Hessian and the Laplacian of DC functions (including distance functions as a particular instance) as a measure-valued tensor and a …
This paper compares different DRO formulations for pension fund management.
This research presents an analysis of the demographic risk related to future membership patterns in pension funds with restricted entrance, financed under a pay-as-you-go scheme. The paper, therefore, proposes a stochastic model for investigating the behaviour of the demographic variable "new entrants" and the influenc…
DC-Check helps guide ML development by considering data-centric aspects.
Difference of convex (DC) functions cover a broad family of non-convex and possibly non-smooth and non-differentiable functions, and have wide applications in machine learning and statistics. Although deterministic algorithms for DC functions have been extensively studied, stochastic optimization that is more suitable …
We introduce a new pension product that offers retirees the opportunity for a lifelong income and a bequest for their estate. Based on a tontine mechanism, the product divides pension savings between a tontine account and a bequest account. The tontine account is given up to a tontine pool upon death while the bequest …
When will a server fail catastrophically in an industrial datacenter? Is it possible to forecast these failures so preventive actions can be taken to increase the reliability of a datacenter? To answer these questions, we have studied what are probably the largest, publicly available datacenter traces, containing more …
A stochastic model helps maintain insufficiently funded pension funds.