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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,878 papers · 148 categories

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12.5%25.0%37.5%50.0% · Jan 199419922001200920172026
48 results for Crowd Count Estimation

MRCNet tackles crowd counting and density mapping in aerial imagery.

problem Accurate crowd counting and density estimation in aerial imagery.
method MRCNet is a novel encoder-decoder CNN that combines VGG-16 with FPN-inspired lateral connections.
result MRCNet outperforms state-of-the-art methods in aerial and CCTV-based crowd counting.

MTCNet uses MTL to estimate crowd density and count.

problem Crowd count estimation challenges due to scale variations and perspective.
method MTL deep neural network architecture with two tasks: density estimation and count classification.
result Achieves lower MAE than state-of-the-art methods on multiple datasets.

Bayesian deep learning counts crowds robustly despite occlusions and scale variations.

problem Accurately counting individuals in crowded scenes with occlusions and varying sizes.
method Proposes a Bayesian multi-scale neural network with a ResNet feature extractor, dilated convolutions, and a Perspective-aware Aggregation Module.
result Achieves superior performance on crowd counting benchmarks with uncertainty estimates.

Crowd counting problem aims to count the number of objects within an image or a frame in the videos and is usually solved by estimating the density map generated from the object location annotations. The values in the density map, by nature, take two possible states: zero indicating no object around, a non-zero value i…

2018-12-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Wisdom of the crowd, the collective intelligence derived from responses of multiple human or machine individuals to the same questions, can be more accurate than each individual, and improve social decision-making and prediction accuracy. This can also integrate multiple programs or datasets, each as an individual, for…

2017-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Low dimensional embeddings that capture the main variations of interest in collections of data are important for many applications. One way to construct these embeddings is to acquire estimates of similarity from the crowd. However, similarity is a multi-dimensional concept that varies from individual to individual. Ex…

2017-09-22abs ↗pdf ↗

It is common for CCTV operators to overlook inter- esting events taking place within the crowd due to large number of people in the crowded scene (i.e. marathon, rally). Thus, there is a dire need to automate the detection of salient crowd regions acquiring immediate attention for a more effective and proactive surveil…

2014-10-14abs ↗pdf ↗

We found that factors decay over time, with momentum fitting best.

problem Understanding how factors decay over time and their impact on performance.
method Derived a hyperbolic decay model for factors, tested against linear and exponential alternatives.
result Momentum exhibits hyperbolic decay, outperforming linear and exponential models.

Study shows how 'crowding' in equity trading affects performance and costs.

problem Deterioration of strategy performance, increased trading costs, and systemic risk due to equity factor crowding.
method Direct metrics of crowding based on imbalances of trades executed on the market, analyzing U.S. equity market data.
result Significant signs of crowding in well-known equity signals, especially Momentum, affecting order flow and portfolio rebalancing.

Crowd opinions in microblogs can predict event outcomes, matching with expert opinions.

problem Utilizing crowd wisdom for event outcome prediction in microblogs.
method Multi-label sentiment classification of tweets to gauge crowd opinion and compare with expert predictions.
result Crowd opinions in microblogs often match with expert opinions, especially in non-debate events.

Crowdsourcing has become very popular among the machine learning community as a way to obtain labels that allow a ground truth to be estimated for a given dataset. In most of the approaches that use crowdsourced labels, annotators are asked to provide, for each presented instance, a single class label. Such a request c…

2018-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning outperforms crowd investors in predicting loan defaults and investment returns.

problem Determining if machine learning can outperform human decision-making in crowd lending.
method Using data from Prosper.com, a sophisticated ML algorithm was trained to predict loan defaults and investment returns.
result The ML algorithm outperforms crowd investors in predicting loan defaults and investment returns, especially for risky loans.

A model-free hedging method using stock crowding scores.

problem Designing costless portfolio strategies to hedge market risk.
method Network analysis of fund holdings to compute crowding scores, constructing long-short portfolios without numerical optimization.
result Long-short portfolios provide protection against both small and large market price fluctuations.

Paper tackles noisy annotations by considering workers' attention levels.

problem Noisy annotations from workers with varying expertise.
method Proposes a probabilistic model that incorporates workers' attention for accurate label quality estimation.
result Improves aggregated labels by quantifying the relationship between workers' attention and label quality.

Traffic flow prediction is crucial for urban traffic management and public safety. Its key challenges lie in how to adaptively integrate the various factors that affect the flow changes. In this paper, we propose a unified neural network module to address this problem, called Attentive Crowd Flow Machine~(ACFM), which …

2018-09-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Investment herding can reduce household consumption, a phenomenon called crowding-out effect.

problem Investment herding's impact on household consumption.
method Optimal control theory to model and solve for household investment and consumption decisions.
result Existence of crowding-out effect due to investment herding.

The average portfolio structure of institutional investors is shown to have properties which account for transaction costs in an optimal way. This implies that financial institutions unknowingly display collective rationality, or Wisdom of the Crowd. Individual deviations from the rational benchmark are ample, which il…

2017-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates point counts in Teichmüller space for mapping class groups.

problem Counting points in Teichmüller space under mapping class group actions.
method Quantitative estimates with power saving error terms for Teichmüller metric balls.
result Effectivizes asymptotic counting results of Athreya et al.

This paper proposes a general model for synchronized crowding behavior. An order parameter is introduced to quantify the level of synchronization which is shown a function of percentage of agents in reactive state. Further, synchronization is shown to be driven by the most active agents with the highest volatility. A t…

2016-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method, Count-MORL, improves offline reinforcement learning by using state-action frequency.

problem Improving offline reinforcement learning performance.
method Integrates count-based conservatism into model-based offline reinforcement learning.
result The learned policy is near-optimal and outperforms existing methods.

BUDS balances privacy and utility by shuffling data, achieving strong privacy with minimal loss.

problem Balancing privacy and utility in crowd-sourced statistical databases.
method One-hot encoding, iterative shuffling, loss estimation, risk minimization.
result Achieves ε=0.02ε= 0.02 for privacy, maintaining a privacy bound of ε=ln[t/((n11)S)]ε= ln [t/((n_1 - 1)^S)].

Paper proposes a method to estimate uncertainty in counting tasks in medical imaging.

problem Estimating uncertainty in counting tasks for medical imaging.
method Proposes and tests a method for calculating predictive intervals as an output of a multi-task network.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the technique on histopathological cell counting and white matter hyperintensity counting.

Graphlets are defined as k-node connected induced subgraph patterns. For an undirected graph, 3-node graphlets include close triangle and open triangle. When k = 4, there are six types of graphlets, e.g., tailed-triangle and clique are two possible 4-node graphlets. The number of each graphlet, called graphlet count, i…

2018-10-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Study improves forecasting of ED crowding using advanced ML models.

problem Improving forecasting of emergency department crowding.
method Advanced machine learning models (N-BEATS, LightGBM, DeepAR) using multivariable input data.
result N-BEATS and LightGBM outperform benchmarks in forecasting ED occupancy.

The Wisdom of Crowds is a phenomenon described in social science that suggests four criteria applicable to groups of people. It is claimed that, if these criteria are satisfied, then the aggregate decisions made by a group will often be better than those of its individual members. Inspired by this concept, we present a…

2016-05-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep neural network predicts finger counting and numerosity estimation.

problem Developing a model for predicting finger counting and numerosity estimation.
method The model is trained in an unsupervised manner using RBMs or autoencoders, then supervised. Finger counting positions are also generated.
result The model shows similarities to human subitizing behavior and confirms the importance of unsupervised training.

The paper tackles ranking experts based on their answers to questions, considering statistical and computational challenges.

problem Ranking experts based on their answers to questions, considering isotonic constraints.
method Investigates the existence of statistically optimal and computationally efficient procedures for ranking experts under isotonic constraints.
result Disproves the existence of computational-statistical gaps for the problem.