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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,341 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Cross-sectional data

TQA improves prediction intervals for time series data by adjusting quantiles for both cross-sectional and longitudinal coverage.

problem Constructing reliable prediction intervals for cross-sectional time series data.
method Temporal Quantile Adjustment (TQA) method that adjusts the quantile in Conformal Prediction to account for both cross-sectional and longitudinal coverage.
result TQA improves longitudinal coverage while preserving cross-sectional coverage, as validated through extensive experimentation.

CPTD improves prediction intervals in time series regression with cross-sectional data.

problem Constructing valid prediction intervals in time series regression with a cross-section.
method Conformal Prediction with Temporal Dependence (CPTD) for post-hoc, light-weight approach.
result CPTD maintains cross-sectional validity while improving longitudinal coverage.

Proposes Equity2Vec for cross-sectional asset pricing.

problem Sub-optimal performance due to missing cross-sectional effects and heterogeneous data.
method End-to-end deep learning framework with Equity2Vec for graph-based interactions and all alpha sources.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art approaches in real-world stock market datasets.

Paper uses cross-sectional data to estimate VSL, reducing confidence intervals by a factor of 3.

problem Estimating VSL with cross-sectional data using Garen's IV approach.
method Garen's instrumental variable (IV) approach, proxy for risk attitude.
result Confidence intervals reduced by a factor of 3 using proxy.

Machine learning portfolios perform well with simple imputation of missing data.

problem Handling missing values in machine learning portfolios constructed from cross-sectional return predictors.
method Simple imputation with cross-sectional means compared to rigorous expectation-maximization methods.
result Simple imputation performs well due to the structure of missing data.

Set-Sequence model learns cross-sectional dynamics directly from time series data.

problem Predicting large cross-sections of time series data with latent cross-sectional dynamics.
method A model that learns cross-sectional structure directly, enhancing expressivity and eliminating manual feature engineering.
result Significantly outperforms strong baselines in equity portfolio optimization and loan risk prediction.

Pipeline integrates cross-sectional and longitudinal multi-omics data for IBD research.

problem Integrating diverse data types from the same individuals for disease understanding.
method Statistical and deep learning methods for variable selection, feature extraction, and joint integration.
result Identified microbial pathways, metabolites, and genes discriminating IBD status.

LPCI provides valid prediction intervals for longitudinal data.

problem Current conformal prediction methods for time series data lack cross-sectional coverage when applied to longitudinal datasets.
method Modeling residual data as a quantile fixed-effects regression problem, constructing prediction intervals with a trained quantile regressor.
result LPCI achieves valid cross-sectional coverage and outperforms existing benchmarks in terms of longitudinal coverage rates.

New method tests Granger non-causality in panel data with cross-sectional dependencies.

problem Testing Granger non-causality in panel data with cross-sectional dependencies.
method Proposes a new approach to aggregate p-values from panel members to test Granger non-causality, showing lower FDR.
result Our approach discovers true causal relations in panel data, unlike state-of-the-art methods.

Study shows different types of volatility and skewness changes affect stock prices.

problem Different types of volatility and skewness changes affect stock prices.
method Used intraday data for individual stocks to analyze cross-section of asset returns.
result Idiosyncratic transitory and persistent shocks to volatility and skewness are priced differently in stock returns.

Improved nuclear cross section fitting with weighted Levenberg-Marquardt method.

problem Challenging optimization in multichannel nuclear cross section data.
method Weighted Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm with Fisher Information Metric.
result More physically consistent fits for raw and smoothed datasets.

The paper defines cross-section continuity for angular momentum definitions and finds the CWY definition valid.

problem Defining angular momentum at null infinity and ensuring its continuity across different cross-sections.
method Introducing cross-section continuity as a criterion and proving it for specific angular momentum definitions.
result The Chen-Wang-Yau definition of angular momentum satisfies cross-section continuity, while the Compere-Nichols modification does not.

New method estimates spatial weights matrix for lattice data, improving prediction accuracy.

problem Estimating spatial dependence structure for regular lattice data.
method Adaptive lasso with cross-sectional resampling to estimate sparse spatial weights matrix.
result Improves prediction accuracy of nitrogen dioxide concentrations.

The study identifies flat manifolds with unique cusp cross-sections in arithmetic hyperbolic manifolds.

problem Characterizing flat manifolds that have unique cusp cross-sections in arithmetic hyperbolic manifolds.
method Algebraic characterization of cusp cross-sections in arithmetic hyperbolic manifolds.
result Construction of flat manifolds with unique cusp cross-sections and proof of their existence in all dimensions n32n \geq 32.

New algorithm improves asset ranking for better cross-sectional portfolios.

problem Sub-optimal ranking of assets in cross-sectional systematic strategies.
method Learning-to-rank algorithms to enhance portfolio construction.
result Modern machine learning ranking algorithms boost Sharpe Ratios by approximately threefold.

Conditions for flat manifolds as cusp cross-sections in arithmetic hyperbolic manifolds.

problem Determining when a flat manifold can be a cusp cross-section in arithmetic hyperbolic manifolds.
method Analyzing rational representations of holonomy groups and quasi-arithmetic manifolds.
result Conditions for a flat manifold to appear as a cusp cross-section in every commensurability class of arithmetic hyperbolic manifolds.

The paper evaluates forecast accuracy of realized volatility measures in large cross-sections.

problem Forecast evaluation of realized volatility measures in large cross-sections of financial data.
method Equal predictive accuracy testing procedures, LASSO shrinkage, measurement error correction, cross-sectional jump component measures.
result The augmented HAR model outperforms the standard HAR model in forecasting realized volatility.

A diagnostic tool for identifying approximate factor structures in equity datasets.

problem Detecting approximate factor structures in large cross-sectional equity datasets.
method Computes the largest eigenvalue of the empirical cross-sectional covariance matrix of residuals.
result Validates the presence of weak cross-sectional correlation or shared unobservable common factors.

Unified model learns from both time-series and cross-sectional momentum features.

problem Separate time-series and cross-sectional momentum strategies do not consider concurrent relationships.
method Spatio-Temporal Momentum strategies using neural networks to combine both types of momentum.
result Simple neural network with single fully connected layer generates trading signals for all assets.

Paper finds conditions for finite-dimensional vector spaces of cross-sections.

problem Finite-dimensional vector spaces of cross-sections for holomorphic bundles.
method Analyzes complex vector spaces of holomorphic cross-sections over elliptic orbits.
result Provides a sufficient condition for vector spaces to be finite dimensional.

Study on stability of surfaces in null cones under area-preserving variations.

problem Investigating stability of spacelike cross sections of null cones.
method Area-preserving variations, Hawking energy analysis, spherical cross sections.
result Only round spheres are stable cross sections of the standard Minkowski lightcone.

The study identifies factors predicting stock returns and maximum drawdown using various models.

problem Predicting stock returns and maximum drawdown in the US equity market.
method Supervised learning with multiple models (OLS, penalized linear regressions, tree-based models, neural networks) over 49 years of data.
result Non-linear models outperformed linear models in predicting stock returns and maximum drawdown, especially during calm periods.

Motivated by a question of Hirzebruch on the possible topological types of cusp cross-sections of Hilbert modular varieties, we give a necessary and sufficient condition for a manifold M to be diffeomorphic to a cusp cross-section of a Hilbert modular variety. Specialized to Hilbert modular surfaces, this proves that e…

2007-06-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper develops a new estimator for high-dimensional panel data with common shocks.

problem Cross-sectionally dependent errors driven by common shocks in high-dimensional panel data.
method Factor-augmented sparse-group LASSO estimator combining MIDAS aggregation with latent factors.
result The estimator outperforms standard LASSO for prediction and estimation in settings with cross-sectional dependence.

Classifies Nil 3-manifolds as cross-sections of complex hyperbolic surfaces.

problem Identifying Nil 3-manifolds as cross-sections of complex hyperbolic surfaces.
method Comprehensive classification of commensurability classes of cusped, arithmetic, and non-arithmetic complex hyperbolic 2-manifolds.
result Some Nil 3-manifolds are cross-sections in every commensurability class, while others are cross-sections in only one.

Simple bounds show most cross-sectional predictability findings are likely true.

problem Determining the validity of cross-sectional return predictability findings.
method Developed simple and intuitive bounds on the false discovery rate (FDR).
result Bounds show the FDR is small, indicating most findings are likely true.

PRISM-VQ combines financial priors with vector quantization for better stock prediction.

problem Predicting cross-sectional stock returns is hard due to low signal-to-noise ratios and changing market conditions.
method Integrates expert priors, vector-quantized latent factors, and dynamic factor loadings.
result Consistent improvements in cross-sectional return prediction and portfolio performance.

EIDGM model estimates DE parameters from RCS data.

problem Estimating DE parameters from RCS data with heterogeneities.
method Physics-informed neural network emulator + Wasserstein GAN parameter generator.
result EIDGM accurately captures diverse parameter distributions.

Weyl's tube formula holds for various cross-sections under symmetry conditions.

problem Can the volume of tubes around submanifolds be calculated for non-round cross-sections?
method Investigated the volume of tubes with general cross-sections D under symmetry conditions.
result The volume of tubes around submanifolds can be calculated for general cross-sections under symmetry conditions.

A new model explains asset returns with a single factor, improving cross-sectional performance.

problem Understanding the cross-section of asset returns with complex models.
method Proposes a non-linear single-factor asset pricing model with a nonparametric link function estimated jointly with sieve-based estimators.
result The model delivers superior cross-sectional performance with a low-dimensional approximation of the link function.

Neural networks improve efficiency in integrating multi-dimensional phase spaces in particle physics.

problem Efficiently integrating multi-dimensional phase spaces in particle physics.
method Optimized Neural Network (NN) algorithm for phase space integration.
result NN-based approach achieves unweighting efficiencies of 30-75% in various particle physics examples.

Study uses CSIE to estimate portfolio volatility relative to market.

problem Estimating relative volatility risk of stock portfolios.
method Cross-sectional intrinsic entropy (CSIE) model to estimate cross-sectional volatility.
result Discover sets of symbols that outperform market indices in terms of return with similar or lower risk.