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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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16334965 · Jun 202619922001200920172026
48 results for Cramer-Rao inequality

The paper explores how information geometry impacts classical CR inequalities.

problem Deriving and generalizing CR inequalities using information geometry.
method Examining Eguchi's theory and applying Amari-Nagoaka's theory to KL-divergence, and then extending to other divergences.
result Generalized CR inequalities derived from various divergences.

Study on conditions for achieving optimal robustness in statistical estimators.

problem Achieving the optimal robustness of estimators in statistical models.
method Developed a Wasserstein analogue of the Cramer-Rao inequality and investigated conditions for achieving the Wasserstein-Cramer-Rao lower bound.
result Conditions for the existence of asymptotically efficient estimators in one-parameter models and location-scale families.

We study the geometry of probability distributions with respect to a generalized family of Csiszár ff-divergences. A member of this family is the relative αα-entropy which is also a Rényi analog of relative entropy in information theory and known as logarithmic or projective power divergence in statistics. We apply E…

2020-01-14abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper explores quantum statistical manifolds and their autoparallelity, providing estimation-theoretical characterizations.

problem Quantum statistical manifolds and their geometric properties.
method Study of autoparallelity w.r.t. the e-connection, using quantum estimation theory.
result Characterizations of e-autoparallel submanifolds as statistical models with efficient estimators.

Paper defines Fisher co-metric on cotangent bundle and clarifies its relation to variance.

problem Defines Fisher co-metric on cotangent bundle and clarifies its relation to variance.
method Defines Fisher co-metric directly from Fisher metric without going through tangent bundle, using a natural correspondence between cotangent vectors and random variables.
result Clarifies the relation between Fisher co-metric and variance/covariance, trivializing the Cramér-Rao inequality.

The paper derives Cramer-Rao bounds for Laplacian matrix estimation under various constraints.

problem Estimating Laplacian matrices with structural constraints and sparsity.
method Linear reparametrization and closed-form expressions for Cramer-Rao bounds tailored to Laplacian matrix estimation.
result The derived CRBs provide performance limits for Laplacian matrix estimation and are validated in various applications.

The paper explores optimal algorithms for linear regression under covariate shift, proving the optimality of certain transformations and SGD variants.

problem Optimal algorithms for linear regression under covariate shift with ellipse-shaped constraints.
method Establishes a tight lower generalization bound via Bayesian Cramer-Rao inequality, proves the optimality of certain transformations, and analyzes SGD variants.
result Optimal estimators and SGD variants achieve optimality under specific conditions.

Proposes a learned Bayesian Cramér-Rao bound for unknown measurement models.

problem Computing the Bayesian Cramér-Rao bound requires full knowledge of priors and measurement distributions.
method Introduces a Physics-encoded score neural network to learn priors and measurements.
result Demonstrates improved sample complexity and interpretability through domain knowledge incorporation.

New theory of sensitivity for unbiased estimators using Wasserstein geometry.

problem Estimating the instability of estimators under small perturbations.
method Developed a new theory based on Wasserstein geometry, analogous to classical Cramér-Rao theory.
result Wasserstein-Cramér-Rao lower bound for sensitivity of unbiased estimators.

Geometrically refines Cramér-Rao bound using extrinsic manifold curvature.

problem Improving estimator efficiency in non-asymptotic settings.
method Incorporates curvature-aware corrections based on extrinsic geometry of statistical model manifold.
result Meaningful tightening of estimator variance bounds.

This work introduces a new data-driven estimator for the Bayesian Cramér-Rao bound using score matching.

problem Benchmarking the performance of statistical estimators and providing a principled metric for system design and optimization.
method Score matching technique to estimate the Bayesian Cramér-Rao bound from training data.
result Developed novel non-asymptotic bounds on the score matching error and the Bayesian CRB estimator.

The paper sets bounds on how much regret is unavoidable in adaptive LQR with unknown B-matrix.

problem Understanding the limits of adaptive LQR with unknown B-matrix.
method Local asymptotic minimax regret lower bounds using van Trees' inequality and Bellman error representation.
result Logarithmic regret is impossible if the parametrization induces an uninformative optimal policy.

Study non-asymptotic estimation bounds for LTI models with Gaussian noise.

problem Estimating parameters of LTI models with non-asymptotic error bounds.
method Sharp non-asymptotic lower bounds using Cramér-Rao and van Trees inequalities, concentration results, and differential geometric constructions.
result Sharp and rate-optimal lower bounds for mean square estimation risk.

Estimates chirp signal frequencies using probabilistic models.

problem Estimating instantaneous frequencies of chirp signals when true forms are unknown.
method Non-linear Gaussian processes and stochastic filters/smothers for posterior estimation.
result The method outperforms state-of-the-art methods on synthetic and real-world datasets.

A new method for state estimation in state-space models using incomplete data.

problem State estimation in nonlinear state-space models with incomplete observations.
method Statistical analysis of incomplete observations, score function, observed information matrices, EM-gradient-particle filtering.
result Maximum likelihood estimation of state-vector with explicit form of observed information matrix.

Novel method uses Bayesian filters and PCRLB for state estimation of option prices.

problem Estimating unobserved latent variables from option prices.
method Posterior Cramer-Rao Lower Bound (PCRLB) based adaptive state estimation using various Bayesian filters.
result Proposed method outperforms individual filters and improves forecasting.

Geometric approach to thermodynamics of chemical reaction networks.

problem Thermodynamics of chemical reaction networks with non-ideal behavior.
method Information geometry, Riemannian geometry, Cramer-Rao bound, absolute sensitivity.
result Absolute sensitivity is a projection operator onto the tangent bundle of the equilibrium manifold.

This work uses Sylvester normalizing flows for more accurate metabolite quantification in MRS.

problem Challenges in accurate metabolite quantification in MRS due to spectral overlap, low SNR, and artifacts.
method Bayesian inference framework with physics-informed Sylvester normalizing flows.
result Accurate metabolite quantification, well-calibrated uncertainties, and insights into parameter correlations and multi-modal distributions.

Study on collaboration vs. independent data collection in sensor networks.

problem Impact of sensor correlation on data collection strategies.
method Analysis of Fisher information and Cramer-Rao bound.
result Optimal strategy involves transferring non-immediate information for improved estimation.

Efficient tensor decomposition for count data models achieves near-optimal multiway analysis.

problem Efficient tensor decomposition for count data models.
method Rank-constrained maximum-likelihood estimator for tensor decomposition.
result Achieves multiway analysis with variance matching Cramér-Rao Lower Bound up to constants and logarithmic factors.

A new method for estimating adversarial strategies in nonlinear systems.

problem Inferring an intelligent adversarial agent's strategy in highly nonlinear systems.
method Formulated inverse cognition as a nonlinear Gaussian state-space model and developed an inverse UKF (IUKF) system.
result The estimation error of IUKF converges and closely follows the recursive Cramér-Rao lower bound.

Donald Trump was lagging behind in nearly all opinion polls leading up to the 2016 US presidential election, but he surprisingly won the election. This raises the following important questions: 1) why most opinion polls were not accurate in 2016? and 2) how to improve the accuracies of opinion polls? In this paper, we …

2018-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper proposes an original Riemmanian geometry for low-rank structured elliptical models, i.e., when samples are elliptically distributed with a covariance matrix that has a low-rank plus identity structure. The considered geometry is the one induced by the product of the Stiefel manifold and the manifold of Hermi…

2020-01-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces geometry-aware normalizing flows for improved causal inference.

problem Disparity between sample and population distributions in causal inference.
method Integrates continuous normalizing flows with parametric submodels, employing Wasserstein gradient flows and optimal transport.
result Significantly reduces parameter estimation bias and variance in finite-sample settings.

The report studies ranking from pairwise comparisons in graphs, achieving optimal error bounds and proposing efficient algorithms.

problem Ranking items from pairwise comparisons in general graphs and graphs with locality.
method Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and preconditioned gradient descent for general graphs; divide-and-conquer algorithms for graphs with locality.
result MLE achieves optimal error bounds in general graphs and identifies conditions for locality.

In this paper, we derive Hybrid, Bayesian and Marginalized Cramér-Rao lower bounds (HCRB, BCRB and MCRB) for the single and multiple measurement vector Sparse Bayesian Learning (SBL) problem of estimating compressible vectors and their prior distribution parameters. We assume the unknown vector to be drawn from a compr…

2012-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper uses Bayesian optimization to efficiently identify stochastic dynamical systems.

problem Efficiently identifying linear stochastic dynamical systems with unknown coefficients and noise variances.
method Adaptive Bayesian optimization with ensemble Gaussian processes (EGP) and Kalman filter recursion.
result BO-based estimator achieves RMSE below the Cramer-Rao bound, improving robustness and consistency.

This paper proves a central limit theorem for differential privacy in high dimensions.

problem Understanding optimal noise distributions for privacy-accuracy trade-offs in high-dimensional settings.
method Developed a central limit theorem approach to analyze differential privacy mechanisms.
result Gaussian mechanisms achieve the optimal privacy-accuracy trade-off in high dimensions.

Optimizes resource allocation for distributed parameter estimation in sensor networks.

problem Maximizing accuracy in parameter estimation with limited resources.
method Formulates a data collection and collaboration policy design problem as a Fisher information maximization problem. Proposes multi-armed bandit algorithms for learning the optimal policy.
result Identifies optimal data collection and collaboration policies that balance resource use and estimation accuracy.