We consider the problem of maximizing the discounted utility of dividend payments of an insurance company whose reserves are modeled as a classical Cramér-Lundberg risk process. We investigate this optimization problem under the constraint that dividend rate is bounded. We prove that the value function fulfills the Ham…
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48 results for “Cramer-Lundberg model”
Study shows subordinated Cramér-Lundberg model increases ruin probability.
problem Analyzing the impact of subordinated time-changed claims on insurance ruin probability.
method Examined a compound Poisson process modified by a Lévy subordinator.
result Probability of ruin decreases slowly with initial capital, despite unchanged total claim amount.
Optimal dividend strategy with ratcheting and capital injection under Cramér-Lundberg model.
problem Optimal dividend payout for an insurance company with ratcheting constraints and capital injections.
method Systematic probabilistic and PDE-based approach to solve HJB equation, constructing strong solution and optimal strategy.
result Existence and uniqueness of strong solution, explicit optimal feedback control strategy.
Complementing existing results on minimal ruin probabilities, we minimize expected discounted penalty functions (or Gerber-Shiu functions) in a Cramer-Lundberg model by choosing optimal reinsurance. Reinsurance strategies are modelled as time dependant control functions, which leads to a setting from the theory of opti…
In this paper, we discuss the Cramér-Lundberg model with investments, where the price of the invested risk asset follows a geometric Brownian motion with drift and volatility By assuming there is a cap on the claim sizes, we prove that the probability of ruin has at least an algebraic decay rate if $2a/σ^2 …
Study optimal investment-reinsurance strategy for insurers under random coefficients and jumps.
problem Optimal investment-reinsurance strategy for insurers with random coefficients and jumps.
method Solves backward stochastic differential equations with jumps under a convex cone constraint.
result Optimal strategy and value remain the same even with random coefficients and jumps.
Study optimal investment and reinsurance strategy for insurers under random coefficients.
problem Optimal mean-variance investment-reinsurance problem for insurers under Cramér-Lundberg model with random coefficients.
method Reduced to a constrained stochastic linear-quadratic control problem with jumps, solved using BSDE techniques and SREs.
result Explicit efficient investment-reinsurance strategy and mean-variance frontier.
Study optimal investment strategies for an insurer in two currency markets.
problem Maximizing expected exponential utility of terminal wealth for an insurer in two currency markets.
method Dynamic programming method applied to solve Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations.
result Optimal investment strategies and value functions are derived.
Optimal reinsurance strategy found to minimize financial risk.
problem Minimizing financial risk in insurance companies through optimal reinsurance.
method Solving the problem via neural networks and a Cramér-Lundberg model.
result Optimal reinsurance strategy found to control terminal wealth and ruin probability.
Optimal reinsurance strategy with fixed cost and exponential preferences.
problem Maximizing expected utility of terminal wealth with fixed reinsurance cost.
method Two-step procedure: stochastic control and optimal stopping problem.
result Deterministic optimal strategy depends on model parameters.
Study optimizes insurance investment to maximize utility across all capital levels.
problem Maximizing expected utility across all capital levels in an insurance company's investment strategy.
method Dynamic Programming Principle and Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation to prove existence of optimal strategy.
result Existence of optimal investment strategy proven under certain conditions.
Optimizes risk sharing with multiple models under uncertainty.
problem Risk sharing with multiple models under ambiguity.
method Constructs a mean-variance criterion using chi-squared divergence, adapts monotone preferences, and uses dual representation.
result Characterizes optimal risk sharing contract and agent's wealth process.
We investigate, focusing on the ruin probability, an adaptation of the Cramer-Lundberg model for the surplus process of an insurance company, in which, conditionally on their intensities, the two mixed Poisson processes governing the arrival times of the premiums and of the claims respectively, are independent. Such a …
We consider the classical optimal dividends problem under the Cramér-Lundberg model with exponential claim sizes subject to a constraint on the time of ruin. We introduce the dual problem and show that the complementary slackness conditions are satisfied, thus there is no duality gap. Therefore the optimal value functi…
The paper develops new methods to approximate ruin probabilities in a perturbed risk model.
problem Calculating exact ruin probabilities in a perturbed risk model is complex.
method Adapted Cramér-Lundberg model with Wiener process, four approximation methods.
result Four approximation methods provide high accuracy for ruin probabilities.
We consider an insurance company whose surplus is represented by the classical Cramer-Lundberg process. The company can invest its surplus in a risk free asset and in a risky asset, governed by the Black-Scholes equation. There is a constraint that the insurance company can only invest in the risky asset at a limited l…
We analyze the probability of ruin for the {\it scaled} classical Cramér-Lundberg (CL) risk process and the corresponding diffusion approximation. The scaling, introduced by Iglehart \cite{I1969} to the actuarial literature, amounts to multiplying the Poisson rate $\la$ by , dividing the claim severity by $\sqrtn$, …
In this paper, we obtain analytical expression for the distribution of the occupation time in the red (below level ) up to an (independent) exponential horizon for spectrally negative Lévy risk processes and refracted spectrally negative Lévy risk processes. This result improves the existing literature in which only…
In this paper, we consider the problem of optimal investment by an insurer. The insurer invests in a market consisting of a bank account and risky assets. The mean returns and volatilities of the risky assets depend nonlinearly on economic factors that are formulated as the solutions of general stochastic different…
In this work we investigate the optimal proportional reinsurance-investment strategy of an insurance company which wishes to maximize the expected exponential utility of its terminal wealth in a finite time horizon. Our goal is to extend the classical Cramer-Lundberg model introducing a stochastic factor which affects …
We address a long-standing open problem in risk theory, namely the optimal strategy to pay out dividends from an insurance surplus process, if the dividend rate can never be decreased. The optimality criterion here is to maximize the expected value of the aggregate discounted dividend payments up to the time of ruin. I…
We study an optimal investment control problem for an insurance company. The surplus process follows the Cramer-Lundberg process with perturbation of a Brownian motion. The company can invest its surplus into a risk free asset and a Black-Scholes risky asset. The optimization objective is to minimize the probability of…
A second order linear integro-differential equation with Volterra integral operator and strong singularities at the endpoints (zero and infinity) is considered. Under limit conditions at the singular points, and some natural assumptions, the problem is a singular initial problem with limit normalizing conditions at inf…
Study optimizes insurance and investment strategies for risk-averse insurers under ambiguity.
problem Optimizing insurance and investment strategies for risk-averse insurers under ambiguity.
method Solves a coupled FBSDE to derive optimal strategies and value function.
result Optimal consumption, investment, and reinsurance strategies influenced by risk aversion and EIS.
Study optimal dividend and capital injection in insurance portfolios with self-exciting claim arrivals.
problem Optimal dividend and capital injection in insurance portfolios with Hawkes process claim arrivals.
method Analytical properties, explicit threshold, HJB variational inequality, finite-difference scheme, policy-gradient, actor-critic methods.
result Learned strategies closely match the PDE benchmark and remain stable across initial conditions.
Firms should keep capital to offer sufficient protection against the risks they are facing. In the insurance context methods have been developed to determine the minimum capital level required, but less so in the context of firms with multiple business lines including allocation. The individual capital reserve of each …
We consider in this paper the optimal dividend problem for an insurance company whose uncontrolled reserve process evolves as a classical Cramér--Lundberg process. The firm has the option of investing part of the surplus in a Black--Scholes financial market. The objective is to find a strategy consisting of both invest…
This paper optimizes reinsurance contracts with belief differences between insurer and reinsurer.
problem Dynamic reinsurance design with heterogeneous beliefs under mean-variance framework.
method Modeling surplus process, applying partitioned domain optimization, solving HJB system.
result Optimal reinsurance contracts with belief heterogeneity are more complex than standard contracts.
De Finetti's dividend problem and impulse control for a two-dimensional insurance risk processq-fin.GN
Consider two insurance companies (or two branches of the same company) that receive premiums at different rates and then split the amount they pay in fixed proportions for each claim (for simplicity we assume that they are equal). We model the occurrence of claims according to a Poisson process. The ruin is achieved wh…
Study ruin probabilities in risk processes on stochastic networks.
problem Ruin probabilities in risk processes on stochastic networks.
method Classification of agents by types, Poisson process for loss propagation, explicit ruin probabilities for infinite network size.
result Explicit ruin probabilities for agents of any type in infinite network size.
The field of risk theory has traditionally focused on ruin-related quantities. In particular, the socalled Expected Discounted Penalty Function has been the object of a thorough study over the years. Although interesting in their own right, ruin related quantities do not seem to capture path-dependent properties of the…
Study optimizes CT and microinsurance for efficient social protection in low-income countries.
problem Efficient targeting of cash transfers to reduce social protection costs in low-income countries.
method Modelled household capital dynamics using piecewise-deterministic Markov process, derived HJB equation for optimal injection, used dynamic programming.
result Optimal level of capital injection above poverty threshold for cost-effective social protection.
The paper introduces BCART models for aggregate claim amount, improving frequency-severity and joint modeling.
problem Modeling aggregate claim amount with frequency-severity and joint dependencies.
method Developed three types of BCART models: frequency-severity, sequential, and joint models. Used various distributions for claim severity data.
result Weibull distribution outperforms gamma and lognormal for right-skewed, heavy-tailed claim severity data.
The paper uses model-based trees to create interpretable surrogate models for complex machine learning models.
problem Interpreting complex machine learning models.
method Using model-based trees to partition feature space and create interpretable models.
result Model-based trees generate optimal surrogate models that balance interpretability and performance.
Gauge Flow Modelscs.LG
Gauge Flow Models use a learnable Gauge Field in Generative Flow Models.
problem Improving generative model performance.
method Integrates a learnable Gauge Field into Flow ODEs.
result Gauge Flow Models outperform traditional Flow Models in Flow Matching experiments.
The study examines how model predictions hold up under model extensions.
problem Model predictions may not be robust under model extensions, limiting their applicability.
method The study uses causal ordering to assess robustness of qualitative model predictions and characterizes model extensions that preserve predictions.
result Conditions and techniques are provided to assess robustness of model predictions under model extensions.
Revises Bayesian model averaging for foundation models.
problem Ensemble pre-trained and lightly-finetuned foundation models for improved classification performance.
method Introduces trainable linear classifiers and computationally cheaper model averaging scheme (OMA).
result Ensembled models can better predict on various datasets.
Paper introduces symmetric divergence link models for probability distributions.
problem Symmetric divergence measures for probability distributions.
method Two general classes of link models: one for survival functions and another for cumulative probability distribution functions.
result Advantages of symmetric divergence measures over asymmetric measures for model averaging and feature assessment.
New method to handle credit portfolio model uncertainties.
problem Model risk in credit portfolio models.
method Demonstrates comprehensive yet easy-to-implement approach to uncertainty in model parameters.
result Comprehensive method to deal with model uncertainties.
The paper tests stock return models and uses LSTM to predict stock returns.
problem Validating stock return models and predicting stock returns.
method Used Fama-French three-factor, four-factor, and five-factor models; also used LSTM model.
result Fama-French five-factor model shows better validity for stock returns.
Researchers review challenges in interpreting additive models, especially neural additive models.
problem Challenges in interpreting additive models, particularly neural additive models.
method Review of generalized additive models and discussion of nonidentifiability.
result Challenges in claiming interpretability or suitability for safety-critical applications of additive models.
Novel hybrid modeling combines ML and physics for real-time diagnosis.
problem Real-time diagnosis of complex systems.
method Combines machine learning and physics-based models to create reduced-order models.
result Generated models are two orders of magnitude simpler, improving efficiency.
CRS model improves ranking data modeling with theoretical guarantees.
problem Lack of rich, multimodal models for ranking data.
method Contextual Repeated Selection (CRS) model for multimodal ranking data.
result CRS model significantly outperforms existing methods in various ranking contexts.
Sigma models linked to Gross-Neveu models via quiver varieties.
problem Understanding the relationship between sigma models and Gross-Neveu models.
method Exploring the mathematical correspondence between sigma models and Gross-Neveu models, including their geometric and trigonometric/elliptic deformations.
result Sigma models are mathematically equivalent to Gross-Neveu models under certain conditions.
Interpretable machine learning has become a strong competitor for traditional black-box models. However, the possible loss of the predictive performance for gaining interpretability is often inevitable, putting practitioners in a dilemma of choosing between high accuracy (black-box models) and interpretability (interpr…
Simple models are preferred over complex models, but over-simplistic models could lead to erroneous interpretations. The classical approach is to start with a simple model, whose shortcomings are assessed in residual-based model diagnostics. Eventually, one increases the complexity of this initial overly simple model a…
Matryoshka hides secret models in a carrier model, achieving high capacity and robustness.
problem Stealing functionality of private ML data by hiding models in a carrier model.
method Parameter sharing approach exploiting the learning capacity of the carrier model.
result Hides a 26x larger secret model or 8 secret models in the carrier model.
Seq2Seq models speed up epidemic model predictions.
problem Complex epidemic models are computationally expensive.
method Used deep seq2seq models as surrogates for complex models.
result Surrogates predict scenarios up to several thousand times faster.