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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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122245367489 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Convex risk minimization

This paper proves, in very general settings, that convex risk minimization is a procedure to select a unique conditional probability model determined by the classification problem. Unlike most previous work, we give results that are general enough to include cases in which no minimum exists, as occurs typically, for in…

2015-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes exp-concave losses with a new risk bound.

problem Optimizing exp-concave losses with stochastic convex optimization.
method Empirical Risk Minimization with a unified geometric assumption and local norms.
result Provides an O(d/n+log(1/δ)/n)O( d / n + \log( 1 / δ) / n ) excess risk bound.

New method turns optimization algorithms into uniformly stable learning algorithms for non-Euclidean norms.

problem Non-Euclidean norms in binary classification problems.
method Black-box reduction method using uniformly convex regularizers.
result Achieves optimal statistical risk bounds on excess risk for non-Euclidean norms.

The paper tackles performative risk optimization under weak convexity assumptions.

problem Optimizing performative risk in a closed-loop prediction system with weak convexity.
method Relaxing convexity assumptions to maintain optimization feasibility.
result Iterative optimization methods remain applicable even with weakened convexity conditions.

Adversarial consistency depends on the uniqueness of adversarial Bayes classifiers.

problem Consistency of adversarial surrogate losses is not guaranteed.
method Connected consistency of adversarial surrogate losses to the uniqueness of adversarial Bayes classifiers.
result A convex surrogate loss is statistically consistent for adversarial learning if and only if the adversarial Bayes classifier is unique.

Equivalent characterizations of multiportfolio time consistency are deduced for closed convex and coherent set-valued risk measures on Lp(Ω,F,P;Rd)L^p(Ω,\mathcal F, P; R^d) with image space in the power set of Lp(Ω,Ft,P;Rd)L^p(Ω,\mathcal F_t,P;R^d). In the convex case, multiportfolio time consistency is equivalent to a cocycle condition on…

2012-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes local minima in high-dimensional empirical risk minimization.

problem Understanding local minima in high-dimensional data models.
method Using Kac-Rice formula and proportional asymptotics, the paper derives bounds on local minima.
result Sharp asymptotics on estimation and prediction errors are derived.

The paper characterizes dynamic return and star-shaped risk measures via BSDEs.

problem Characterizing dynamic return and star-shaped risk measures.
method Characterization of star-shaped functionals and BSDEs.
result Existence of convex BSDEs with non-empty set of supersolutions.

New study shows ERMs can fail in convex optimization with high dimensionality.

problem The limitations of Empirical Risk Minimizer in high-dimensional stochastic convex optimization.
method Constructed a specific instance showing ERMs can be unique and overfit.
result Gradient Descent can also overfit in certain conditions, resolving a gap in lower bounds.

We study Spectral Measures of Risk from the perspective of portfolio optimization. We derive exact results which extend to general Spectral Measures M_phi the Pflug--Rockafellar--Uryasev methodology for the minimization of alpha--Expected Shortfall. The minimization problem of a spectral measure is shown to be equivale…

2002-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes elicitability of return risk measures and their scoring functions.

problem Elicitability of return risk measures and their scoring functions.
method Dual representation results for convex and geometrically convex return risk measures, axiomatic characterizations of Orlicz premia, and construction of strictly consistent scoring functions.
result Orlicz premia are the only elicitable return risk measures under different sets of conditions.

Study risk bounds for distributed ERM with general loss functions and hypothesis spaces.

problem Limited theoretical analysis for distributed ERM with general loss functions and hypothesis spaces.
method Derive tight risk bounds under assumptions on hypothesis space and loss function.
result Developed more general risk bound for distributed ERM without strong convexity restriction.

We develop an approach to risk minimization and stochastic optimization that provides a convex surrogate for variance, allowing near-optimal and computationally efficient trading between approximation and estimation error. Our approach builds off of techniques for distributionally robust optimization and Owen's empiric…

2016-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Graphical models trained using maximum likelihood are a common tool for probabilistic inference of marginal distributions. However, this approach suffers difficulties when either the inference process or the model is approximate. In this paper, the inference process is first defined to be the minimization of a convex f…

2012-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Study reveals mutual information is crucial for understanding algorithm performance in stochastic convex optimization.

problem Uncertainty in capturing the exceptional performance of learning algorithms using existing information-theoretic generalization bounds.
method Examined the relationship between mutual information and generalization in stochastic convex optimization.
result Mutual information is necessary for true risk minimization in stochastic convex optimization, indicating existing bounds fall short.

The study uncovers the breakdown of Gaussian universality in high-dimensional empirical risk minimization.

problem Understanding the breakdown of Gaussian universality in high-dimensional empirical risk minimization.
method Extending the Convex Gaussian Min-Max Theorem to non-Gaussian settings, deriving asymptotic min-max characterizations, and proving asymptotic equivalence of regularizers.
result The projection of the ERM estimator onto a test covariate approximately follows a Gaussian convolution under certain conditions.

In this work we consider adversarial contextual bandits with risk constraints. At each round, nature prepares a context, a cost for each arm, and additionally a risk for each arm. The learner leverages the context to pull an arm and then receives the corresponding cost and risk associated with the pulled arm. In additi…

2016-10-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved Frank-Wolfe method reduces dependence on data size for empirical risk minimization.

problem Reducing dependence on number of data observations in Frank-Wolfe methods.
method Taylor-series approximated gradients applied to Frank-Wolfe method.
result Significant speed-ups over existing methods on real-world datasets.

A new RL framework for risk-sensitive decision-making using convex scoring functions.

problem Time-inconsistent risk measures in reinforcement learning.
method Convex scoring functions, augmented state space, auxiliary variable, customized Actor-Critic algorithm.
result Theoretical guarantees for approximation and convergence under certain conditions.

In regularized risk minimization, the associated optimization problem becomes particularly difficult when both the loss and regularizer are nonsmooth. Existing approaches either have slow or unclear convergence properties, are restricted to limited problem subclasses, or require careful setting of a smoothing parameter…

2016-02-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New DP algorithm improves privacy and efficiency for convex optimization.

problem Efficient, DP algorithms for convex optimization with strong excess risk bounds.
method Output perturbation for a broad class of tilted loss functions.
result Near optimal DP excess risk and runtime bounds for convex optimization.

We consider the problem of minimizing a sum of clipped convex functions; applications include clipped empirical risk minimization and clipped control. While the problem of minimizing the sum of clipped convex functions is NP-hard, we present some heuristics for approximately solving instances of these problems. These h…

2019-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

A wide array of machine learning problems are formulated as the minimization of the expectation of a convex loss function on some parameter space. Since the probability distribution of the data of interest is usually unknown, it is is often estimated from training sets, which may lead to poor out-of-sample performance.…

2019-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Risk measures for multivariate financial positions are studied in a utility-based framework. Under a certain incomplete preference relation, shortfall and divergence risk measures are defined as the optimal values of specific set minimization problems. The dual relationship between these two classes of multivariate ris…

2014-05-19abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper aims to provide a better understanding of a symmetric loss. First, we emphasize that using a symmetric loss is advantageous in the balanced error rate (BER) minimization and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) maximization from corrupted labels. Second, we prove general theoretical p…

2019-01-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Most high-dimensional estimation and prediction methods propose to minimize a cost function (empirical risk) that is written as a sum of losses associated to each data point. In this paper we focus on the case of non-convex losses, which is practically important but still poorly understood. Classical empirical process …

2016-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

In incomplete financial markets not every contingent claim can be replicated by a self-financing strategy. The risk of the resulting shortfall can be measured by convex risk measures, recently introduced by Föllmer, Schied (2002). The dynamic optimization problem of finding a self-financing strategy that minimizes the …

2016-04-27abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a general approach for supervised learning with structured output spaces, such as combinatorial and polyhedral sets, that is based on minimizing estimated conditional risk functions. Given a loss function defined over pairs of output labels, we first estimate the conditional risk function by solving a (possi…

2016-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗