Constructs new elicitable risk measures with multiplicative scoring functions.
problem Defining new elicitable risk measures with specific properties.
method Constructs new elicitable risk measures using a multiplicative scoring function.
result Encompasses and allows construction of novel elicitable risk measures.
The paper analyzes elicitability of return risk measures and their scoring functions.
problem Elicitability of return risk measures and their scoring functions.
method Dual representation results for convex and geometrically convex return risk measures, axiomatic characterizations of Orlicz premia, and construction of strictly consistent scoring functions.
result Orlicz premia are the only elicitable return risk measures under different sets of conditions.
A new RL framework for risk-sensitive decision-making using convex scoring functions.
problem Time-inconsistent risk measures in reinforcement learning.
method Convex scoring functions, augmented state space, auxiliary variable, customized Actor-Critic algorithm.
result Theoretical guarantees for approximation and convergence under certain conditions.
Optimal convex loss function improves regression coefficient estimation.
problem Asymptotic variance improvement in linear regression estimation.
method Score matching extension for log-concave projection.
result Semiparametric estimator attains minimal asymptotic covariance.
We consider a system where agents enter in an online fashion and are evaluated based on their attributes or context vectors. There can be practical situations where this context is partially observed, and the unobserved part comes after some delay. We assume that an agent, once left, cannot re-enter the system. Therefo…
MQF2 forecasts multivariate quantiles globally.
problem Forecasting multi-horizon dependencies with error accumulation.
method Multivariate quantile function using input-convex neural networks.
result MQF2 avoids quantile crossing and captures time dependency. New algorithm optimizes DAGs by swapping node pairs to avoid cycles.
problem Optimizing DAGs with non-convex constraints to avoid cycles.
method Bi-level algorithm with iterative node swaps and off-the-shelf solvers.
result Guaranteed to find local minima or KKT points with lower scores.
There has been much recent interest in application of the pool-adjacent-violators (PAV) algorithm for the purpose of calibrating the probabilistic outputs of automatic pattern recognition and machine learning algorithms. Special cost functions, known as proper scoring rules form natural objective functions to judge the…
This paper considers fair probabilistic binary classification where the outputs of primary interest are predicted probabilities, commonly referred to as scores. We formulate the problem of transforming scores to satisfy fairness constraints that are linear in conditional means of scores while minimizing a cross-entropy…
Unified framework for data-driven priors in Bayesian inverse problems
problem Bayesian inverse problems
method Unified framework using score functions
result Evaluation of four data-driven priors
Paper presents a new policy gradient theorem using weak derivatives for reinforcement learning.
problem Continuous state-action reinforcement learning problems.
method Introduced an alternative policy gradient theorem using weak derivatives.
result The new approach yields algorithms that converge almost surely to stationary points of the value function.
The most widely used technology to identify the proteins present in a complex biological sample is tandem mass spectrometry, which quickly produces a large collection of spectra representative of the peptides (i.e., protein subsequences) present in the original sample. In this work, we greatly expand the parameter lear…
Curriculum Learning - the idea of teaching by gradually exposing the learner to examples in a meaningful order, from easy to hard, has been investigated in the context of machine learning long ago. Although methods based on this concept have been empirically shown to improve performance of several learning algorithms, …
Paper tackles high-order inference in structured prediction tasks.
problem Maximizing a score function on the space of labels in high-order Markov random fields.
method Generative model approach with two-stage convex optimization algorithm.
result Success in general high-order inference problems driven by hyperedge expansion properties.
Method optimizes diffusion model generation to meet user preferences.
problem Optimizing diffusion model generation with only black-box target scores.
method Covariance-adaptive sequential optimization algorithm for black-box optimization.
result Proves superior performance in achieving better target scores.
Two novel algorithms improve distributed machine learning in the presence of Byzantine adversaries.
problem Improving distributed machine learning in the presence of Byzantine adversaries.
method Two novel stochastic gradient descent algorithms, ByGARS and ByGARS++, using reputation scores for gradient aggregation.
result Robust to any number of multiplicative noise Byzantine adversaries and converge for strongly convex loss functions.
Recently, several new pari-mutuel mechanisms have been introduced to organize markets for contingent claims. Hanson introduced a market maker derived from the logarithmic scoring rule, and later Chen and Pennock developed a cost function formulation for the market maker. On the other hand, the SCPM model of Peters et a…
Sequential tests for nonparametric hypotheses using supermartingales.
problem Designing valid sequential tests for nonparametric null hypotheses.
method Using elicitable and identifiable functionals, nonnegative supermartingales, and Online Convex Optimization.
result Rigorous guarantees on asymptotic power for a wide range of alternative hypotheses.
Unified analysis of multi-attribute graph learning with non-convex penalties.
problem Graph inference from multi-attribute data.
method Penalized log-likelihood objective function with ADMM and local linear approximation.
result Local consistency in support recovery and precision matrix estimation for non-convex penalties.
Paper introduces Isotonic Mechanism for better item scoring.
problem Noisy reviewer scores; owner prefers not to disclose true scores.
method Uses owner's ranking of items and raw scores to adjust and improve accuracy.
result Adjusted scores are significantly more accurate than raw scores.
A new method samples from a target density without initial samples using Monte Carlo estimation of the score.
problem Sampling from a target density without initial samples.
method Monte Carlo estimation of the score using oracle access to the log likelihood.
result Samples can be produced from the target density without needing initial samples.
Study minimax risk of score estimation for log-concave distributions.
problem Minimizing risk in score estimation for log-concave distributions.
method Developed subclasses of log-concave densities and constructed a locally adaptive, multiscale estimator.
result Established minimax rates for score estimation over specific subclasses of log-concave densities.
MCP extends conformal prediction to vector-valued score functions without data splitting.
problem Fixed prediction set shapes in scalar score functions limit coverage guarantees.
method MCP uses a single optimization problem for prediction set design and calibration, eliminating data splitting.
result RemMCP and RelMCP achieve target coverage with smaller or comparable prediction set sizes, reducing variance.
The paper tackles partial inference in structured prediction using a convex optimization approach.
problem Maximizing a score function with unary and pairwise potentials in graph label spaces.
method Generative model approach with two-stage convex optimization for label recovery.
result Conditions for recovering a majority of labels with provable guarantees.
In political redistricting, the compactness of a district is used as a quantitative proxy for its fairness. Several well-established, yet competing, notions of geographic compactness are commonly used to evaluate the shapes of regions, including the Polsby-Popper score, the convex hull score, and the Reock score, and t…
Paper proposes efficient cost functions for automated market makers in DeFi.
problem Inefficient and computationally complex cost functions in DeFi.
method Proposes and analyzes constant circle/ellipse based cost functions.
result Proposed cost functions are computationally efficient and robust against attacks.
Proposes a new method to minimize non-singleton predictions in conformal prediction.
problem Large prediction sets in conformal prediction are costly and inefficient.
method Introduces a new nonconformity score to minimize non-singleton sets and provides an algorithm to compute it efficiently.
result The proposed Singleton-Optimized Conformal Prediction (SOCOP) method increases singleton frequency by over 20% compared to standard scores, with minimal impact on average set size.
A framework for sensitivity measures using scoring functions.
problem Constructing sensitivity measures for any elicitable functional.
method Score-based sensitivities constructed via consistent scoring functions.
result Demonstrated intuitive and desirable properties of score-based sensitivities.
Optimal score function estimation via empirical risk minimization
problem Estimating the score function of a probability measure on the flat torus from a sample
method Constraining the hypothesis space to a Sobolev ball
result Minimax estimation rates are achieved
The paper improves confidence set construction for statistical inference.
problem Constructing reliable confidence sets in statistical inference.
method Establishes a finite-sample bound using effective dimension and generalized self-concordance.
result Developed a confidence set adapted to optimization landscapes.
In the practice of point prediction, it is desirable that forecasters receive a directive in the form of a statistical functional, such as the mean or a quantile of the predictive distribution. When evaluating and comparing competing forecasts, it is then critical that the scoring function used for these purposes be co…
Langevin dynamics fails to produce accurate samples even with small score function errors.
problem Robustness of Langevin dynamics to score function errors.
method Analysis of Langevin dynamics and score function errors.
result Langevin dynamics produces a distribution far from the target distribution in TV distance even with small L2 errors in the score function. Enhanced loss function boosts fraud detection in auto insurance claims.
problem Class imbalance in auto insurance fraud detection.
method Structured three-stage training framework integrating convex surrogate, non-convex intermediate, and standard focal loss.
result Improves minority-class F1-scores and AUC compared to baseline methods.
This paper tackles unbiased loss functions for multilabel classification with missing labels.
problem Missing labels in multilabel classification tasks, especially in extreme multi-label classification (XMC).
method Derives unbiased estimators for multilabel reductions, including non-decomposable ones, and addresses increased variance with convex upper-bounds.
result Switching to unbiased estimators can alter the bias-variance trade-off and may require stronger regularization.
Computational approaches to drug discovery can reduce the time and cost associated with experimental assays and enable the screening of novel chemotypes. Structure-based drug design methods rely on scoring functions to rank and predict binding affinities and poses. The ever-expanding amount of protein-ligand binding an…
Robust score matching improves parameter estimation in contaminated data.
problem Parameter estimation in data contaminated by outliers.
method Geometric median of means to develop a robust score matching procedure.
result Consistent parameter estimates in contaminated data settings.
Given a loss function F:X→R+ that can be written as the sum of losses over a large set of inputs a1,…,an, it is often desirable to approximate F by subsampling the input points. Strong theoretical guarantees require taking into account the importance of each point, measured by how …
Human decision-makers often receive assistance from data-driven algorithmic systems that provide a score for evaluating objects, including individuals. The scores are generated by a function (mechanism) that takes a set of features as input and generates a score.The scoring functions are either machine-learned or human…
Optimal transport improves multivariate prediction uncertainty quantification.
problem Uncertainty quantification in multivariate learning tasks, especially in regression and classification.
method Introducing a novel Conformal Prediction procedure using optimal transport to handle multivariate score functions and construct flexible prediction regions.
result Ensures finite-sample, distribution-free coverage guarantees for multivariate prediction sets.
A model-free hedging method using stock crowding scores.
problem Designing costless portfolio strategies to hedge market risk.
method Network analysis of fund holdings to compute crowding scores, constructing long-short portfolios without numerical optimization.
result Long-short portfolios provide protection against both small and large market price fluctuations.
This paper introduces and develops a novel variable importance score function in the context of ensemble learning and demonstrates its appeal both theoretically and empirically. Our proposed score function is simple and more straightforward than its counterpart proposed in the context of random forest, and by avoiding …
Proposes a framework for partially fair machine learning models.
problem Achieving full fairness across all score ranges compromises predictive performance.
method Formulates model training as constrained optimization with difference-of-convex constraints, solvable by IDCA.
result Demonstrates high predictive performance while enforcing partial fairness in specific percentile intervals.
Study finds simple model-agreement scores perform well in various error estimation scenarios.
problem Evaluating model performance on unseen distributions using disparate scoring functions.
method Rigorously studied popular scoring functions (confidence, local manifold smoothness, model agreement) independently of mechanism choice.
result Simple model-agreement scores outperform confidence- and smoothness-based scores in realistic settings with compromised training data.
Score-fPINN tackles high-dimensional FPL equations using fractional score functions.
problem High-dimensional Fokker-Planck-Lévy equations with non-Brownian processes.
method Fractional score function and Physics-informed neural networks (PINN) to solve CoD and numerical overflow.
result Effective solution to high-dimensional FPL equations without fractional Laplacian.
New approach to score function in diffusion models using Malliavin calculus.
problem Estimating score function for complex data distributions.
method Combines Malliavin calculus with Bismut-type formula to derive exact score function expression.
result Derives exact, closed-form expression for score function in diffusion models.
Improved score matching methods for estimating score functions and Hessians without high dimensionality.
problem Estimating score functions and Hessians efficiently in high-dimensional data.
method Implicit score matching and denoising score matching, leveraging Gagliardo-Nirenberg inequalities.
result Achieves convergence rates similar to denoising score matching and estimates Hessians without dimensionality issues.
Improves conformal prediction by combining multiple score functions and optimizing weights.
problem Limitations of single-score conformal predictors in multi-class classification.
method Combines multiple score functions and optimizes weights to minimize prediction set size.
result Consistently outperforms single-score conformal predictors while maintaining valid coverage.
Study proposes a differentiable surrogate loss function for optimizing Fβ score in binary classification with imbalanced data.
problem Non-differentiability of Fβ score makes it unsuitable for optimization by gradient-based learning. method Investigated relationship between Fβ score and loss functions, proposed a differentiable surrogate loss function. result Gradient paths of the proposed surrogate Fβ loss function approximate the gradient paths of the Fβ score.