Deep learning agents negotiate contracts with prosocial or selfish behaviors.
problem Training agents to negotiate contracts with varying behaviors.
method Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning, modeling prosocial and selfish behaviors, training a meta agent.
result Trained agents hold their own against human players and emulate human behavior.
A framework for fair derivative contract pricing and risk-sharing between parties with funding differences.
problem Price asymmetry due to funding differences in bilateral contracts.
method Defines a negotiation problem that maximizes the sum of utilities for two parties, deriving optimal prices and collateral.
result Optimal negotiation price and collateral can be used to interpret margin requirements.
Optimal reinsurance contracts for multiple dependent risks are derived without specific dependency assumptions.
problem Finding optimal reinsurance contracts for multiple dependent risks without assuming their dependency structure.
method Assumes maximal expected utility criterion and independent negotiation of reinsurance for each risk. Derives optimality conditions and shows that under mild assumptions, optimal contracts are classical (non-randomized) type.
result Optimal reinsurance contracts exist and can be classical (non-randomized) type under mild assumptions.
Two-layer model studies reinsurance contracts and competition between insurer and reinsurers.
problem Modeling and analyzing reinsurance contracts and competition between insurer and reinsurers.
method Two-layer stochastic game model with insurer negotiating with reinsurers, and reinsurers competing for business.
result Existence and uniqueness of equilibrium strategies for the insurer and reinsurers, characterized in semiclosed form.
Siegel's paradox is a fundamental question in international finance about exchange rates for futures contracts and has puzzled many scholars for over forty years. The unorthodox approach presented in this article leads to an arbitrage-free solution which is invariant under currency re-denominations and is symmetric, as…
MOANOFS tackles online feature selection for big data classification.
problem Online supervised feature selection for binary classification in big data.
method Hybrid of online learning and automated negotiation.
result MOANOFS achieves high accuracy with real-world applications.
Optimal margin loan agreements for sophisticated gamblers and brokers.
problem Finding fair interest rates and loan sizes between gamblers and brokers.
method Derives formulas for optimal arrangements based on gamblers' risk preferences and market conditions.
result Gambler gains higher capital growth with lower interest rates, broker gains intermediary profit.
Paper automates car negotiation in intersections using Q-learning.
problem Automated vehicles negotiate with human-driven cars in intersections.
method Deep Q-learning applied to simulated traffic with various driver behaviors.
result 98% success rate in avoiding collisions with other vehicles.
Our previous results are extended to the case of the margin account, which may depend on the contract's value for the hedger and/or the counterparty. The present work generalizes also the papers by Bergman (1995), Mercurio (2013) and Piterbarg (2010). Using the comparison theorems for BSDEs, we derive inequalities for …
AGENTICAITA uses AI agents to autonomously trade markets without human intervention.
problem Inability of traditional trading systems to adapt to market complexity.
method Introduces an agentic AI framework with specialized LLM agents reasoning, negotiating, and acting.
result Demonstrated operational correctness and non-trivial inter-agent negotiation in live market conditions.
We consider two risk-averse financial agents who negotiate the price of an illiquid indivisible contingent claim in an incomplete semimartingale market environment. Under the assumption that the agents are exponential utility maximizers with non-traded random endowments, we provide necessary and sufficient conditions f…
The paper analyzes a game where players must balance short-term and long-term interests, leading to cooperative or competitive outcomes.
problem Analyzing time inconsistency in inter-personal decision-making under non-exponential discounting.
method Iterative procedures and Zorn's lemma to find Nash equilibria between players' intra-personal equilibria.
result Inter-personal equilibria exist and depend on the impatience levels of the players.
We describe an agent-based simulation of a fictional (but feasible) information trading business. The Gas Price Information Trader (GPIT) buys information about real-time gas prices in a metropolitan area from drivers and resells the information to drivers who need to refuel their vehicles. Our simulation uses real wor…
A rapid pattern-recognition approach to characterize driver's curve-negotiating behavior is proposed. To shorten the recognition time and improve the recognition of driving styles, a k-means clustering-based support vector machine ( kMC-SVM) method is developed and used for classifying drivers into two types: aggressiv…
This research improves debt collection strategies using advanced machine learning.
problem Accurate estimation of propensity to pay and cashflow for optimal debt collection.
method Developed a machine learning framework with pre-processing and model selection.
result The proposed model outperforms current industry strategies.
In an incomplete semimartingale model of a financial market, we consider several risk-averse financial agents who negotiate the price of a bundle of contingent claims. Assuming that the agents' risk preferences are modelled by convex capital requirements, we define and analyze their demand functions and propose a notio…
We show how to restructure the counterparty risk faced by the originator of a securitization or covered bond arising from an interest rate hedging swap assisted by a "one-way" collateral agreement. This risk emerges when the swap is negotiated between the special purpose vehicle and a third party that covers itself thr…
The present paper analyses the formal parallelism existing between the laws of thermodynamics and some economic principles. Based on previous works, we shall show how the existence in Economics of principles analogous to those in thermodynamics involves the occurrence of economic events that remind of well-known phenom…
Money is a technology for promoting economic prosperity. Over history money has become increasingly abstract, it used to be hardware, gold coins and the like, now it is mostly software, data structures located in banks. Here I propose the logical conclusion of the abstraction of money: to use as money the most general …
A fair reward system boosts participation in federated learning.
problem Fairness in federated learning among competitive agents with siloed data.
method Hierarchically fair federated learning (HFFL) framework with proportional rewards based on contribution levels.
result Efficacy of HFFL in maintaining fairness and facilitating federated learning in competitive settings.
The paper explores coalescent contractions in contractible spaces, providing criteria and examples.
problem Existence and absence of coalescent contractions in contractible spaces.
method Analysis of contractible finite simplicial complexes and criteria for coalescent contractions.
result Criteria for contractible finite simplicial complexes that ensure no coalescent contractions.
Paper proposes an intersection decision algorithm for autonomous vehicles.
problem Navigating intersections with non-automated vehicles.
method Combines reinforcement learning for high-level decisions and model predictive control for low-level planning.
result The proposed algorithm outperforms another controller in success rate and training episodes.
Computable contracts simplify financial transactions and reduce legal costs.
problem Difficulty in querying, executing, and analyzing text-based financial contracts.
method Develop a Contract Definition Language and illustrate use cases.
result Substantial improvements in customer experience and cost reduction.
We prove optimal mechanisms for general contract spaces.
problem Optimal mechanism design under adverse selection and ambiguity.
method Existence proof for optimal mechanisms in general contract spaces.
result Centralized contracting is equivalent to delegated contracting.
In an online contract selection problem there is a seller which offers a set of contracts to sequentially arriving buyers whose types are drawn from an unknown distribution. If there exists a profitable contract for the buyer in the offered set, i.e., a contract with payoff higher than the payoff of not accepting any c…
Optimal execution strategy for merger & acquisition contracts with price impact.
problem Optimal execution and pricing of financial derivatives in M&A deals.
method Indifference utility arguments, considering linear and nonlinear contracts.
result Linear contracts are more expensive and vulnerable to manipulation.
This paper develops a method to select a reference contract for multi-contract quoting to minimize execution risk.
problem Minimizing execution risk in multi-contract quoting sequences.
method Develops a diagnostic framework using order-flow Hawkes forecasts and CLF to select a stable reference contract.
result Event-history and LOB-state signals offer complementary views for reference-contract selection.
Cross-dimensional neural networks improve AI in Catan game.
problem Challenging to build AI agents for Catan game using RL.
method Introduced cross-dimensional neural networks to handle game complexities.
result RL agent outperforms best heuristic agent in Catan.
Game-theoretic models predict asset prices in financial markets.
problem Understanding price formation in financial markets with limited liquidity.
method Developed game-theoretic models for many-person and mean-field games, derived analytical formulas, and numerically assessed results.
result The derived price converges to the mean-field counterpart under specific conditions.
Proposes a probabilistic framework for smart contract risk quantification.
problem Quantifying financial risk of smart contract cyber attacks and failures.
method Probabilistic graph-theoretical framework using bond percolation models.
result Analytical results and numerical examples for aggregate loss distribution.
Complexes' contractibility depends on the Collatz conjecture.
problem Determining contractibility of complex structures.
method Construction of complex structures and analysis of their contractibility.
result Contractibility of complex structures is linked to the Collatz conjecture.
Injectivity of fundamental group map proves contractibility of intersection in CAT(0) complexes.
problem Proving contractibility of intersections of subcomplexes in non-positively curved 2-complexes.
method Injectivity of the induced map from fundamental groups.
result Each component in the intersection of two contractible subcomplexes in a CAT(0) 2-complex is contractible.
New architecture improves decision-making in dense traffic.
problem Designing accurate and compact learning architectures for autonomous vehicles in crowded conditions.
method Attention-based architecture that accounts for interactions between vehicles.
result Significant performance gains and interpretable interaction patterns.
Improved security of smart contracts by classifying them into four categories.
problem Detecting and classifying vulnerabilities in smart contracts efficiently.
method Used AWD-LSTM for multi-class classification, addressing class imbalance.
result Achieved a weighted average Fbeta score of 90.0%.
Study on contracting maps and their rigidity under curvature constraints.
problem Rigidity of contracting maps between manifolds with positive curvature.
method Analysis of curvature pinching and contracting conditions involving singular values.
result Established the relation between curvature pinching and contracting conditions.
We study locally compact contractive local groups, that is, locally compact local groups with a contractive pseudo-automorphism. We prove that if such an object is locally connected, then it is locally isomorphic to a Lie group. We also prove a related structure theorem for locally compact contractive local groups whic…
Methodology projects forward electricity contract prices using market equilibrium and social welfare optimization.
problem Quantifying forward contract risks and optimizing revenue/cost for generators/load/traders.
method Market equilibrium and social welfare optimization; linear programming for total agents' welfare.
result Equilibrium contract price corresponds to the dual variable of equilibrium constraints.
Study shows some contractible complexes can't have certain immersions.
problem Understanding non-positive immersions in contractible complexes.
method Provided counterexamples to a conjecture by Wise.
result Some contractible complexes do not have non-positive immersions.
This paper presents some partial answers to the following question. QUESTION. If a normal space X is the union of an increasing sequence of open sets U(1), U(2), U(3) ... such that each U(n) contracts to a point in X, must X be contractible? The main results of the paper are: THEOREM 1. If a normal space X is the union…
Approach for assessing supply chain cyber risks using expert judgment and forecasting.
problem Supply chain managers face challenges in assessing cyber risks affecting business factors.
method Structured expert judgment and forecasting models to assess various attack techniques and impacts.
result Facilitates implementation of risk management activities and decision-making processes.
The simplicial volume of non-R^3 contractible 3-manifolds is infinite.
problem Characterizing contractible 3-manifolds based on their simplicial volume.
method Analyzing the simplicial volume of contractible 3-manifolds and open 3-manifolds.
result The Euclidean space is the unique contractible 3-manifold with vanishing minimal volume.
Study on reinsurance decisions using mean-variance criterion with irreversible contracts.
problem Optimizing reinsurance premiums and contracts in a Stackelberg game with irreversible contracts.
method Unified singular control framework applied to both discrete and continuous time reinsurance contracts.
result A single once-for-all reinsurance contract is preferred over multiple contracts, and the signing time is crucial.
Optimal contracts help principals delegate data collection in decentralized ML.
problem Dealing with information asymmetries in decentralized ML.
method Design of optimal and near-optimal contracts addressing uncertainty in model quality and performance.
result Simple linear contracts achieve 1-1/e fraction of optimal utility.
Optimal contracts are found for agents with quadratic effort costs.
problem Finding optimal contracts in principal-agent problems with quadratic effort costs.
method Modeling the problem using Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equations and proving the existence of classical solutions.
result Existence of optimal contracts for agents with quadratic effort costs is proven.
Fair insurance contracts are designed to handle default risk using cooperative game theory.
problem Designing fair insurance contracts in the presence of default risk.
method Cooperative game theory to specify premiums and participation in benefit.
result Fair benefit participation emerges as a game outcome involving residual risks.
This paper investigates Pareto optimal (PO, for short) insurance contracts in a behavioral finance framework, in which the insured evaluates contracts by the rank-dependent utility (RDU) theory and the insurer by the expected value premium principle. The incentive compatibility constraint is taken into account, so the …
Paper proposes machine learning for managing complex buyback contracts.
problem Managing complex buyback contracts, especially accelerated share repurchase.
method Proposes a machine learning method to optimally manage buyback contracts.
result Recovery of strategies similar to those obtained with partial differential equations and tree methods, but without the curse of dimensionality.
One can define what it means for a compact manifold with corners to be a "contractible manifold with contractible faces." Two combinatorially equivalent, contractible manifolds with contractible faces are diffeomorphic if and only if their 4-dimensional faces are diffeomorphic. It follows that two simple convex polytop…