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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,291 papers · 148 categories

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15294458 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for Consumer Demand

Study improves retail demand forecasting by integrating macroeconomic data.

problem Lack of accurate demand forecasting due to incomplete data.
method Enriched time series data with macroeconomic variables; compared regression and machine learning models.
result Improved accuracy in predicting retail demand through comprehensive data integration.

Study finds consumers are more price-sensitive before livestreams than after.

problem Understanding consumer demand during livestreaming lifecycle.
method Examined consumer demand for live events and recorded versions using data from a livestreaming platform.
result Demand is more price-sensitive before livestreams than after.

New method estimates consumer surplus from randomized pricing data.

problem Estimating consumer surplus from observational data, especially in AI-driven pricing.
method Cumulative Propensity Weights (CPW) and Augmented CPW (ACPW) estimators.
result Validated methods for estimating consumer surplus from randomized pricing data.

Bayesian algorithm learns consumer preferences for energy-saving home automation.

problem Effective energy saving for residential consumers in real-time tariffs.
method Bayesian learning algorithm to estimate comfort level from appliance use history.
result Algorithm outperforms regression analysis in numeric experiments with simulated consumer behavior.

Paper presents a shape-based approach for better household load curve clustering and prediction.

problem Difficulty in classifying and predicting consumer energy consumption due to many clusters.
method Shape-based approach using Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) to align energy consumption patterns.
result Reduces the number of representative groups by 50% and improves prediction accuracy.

Dynamic pricing aims to match power supply and demand in an energy transition.

problem Mismatch between renewable energy supply and consumer demand.
method Formalizes decision-making problem, designs forecasting models, and statistical demand response models.
result Dynamic pricing can synchronise power supply and demand effectively.

CROCS clusters consumer behaviour from smart meters, capturing variability and robustness.

problem Insufficient consumer segmentation in existing clustering methods.
method Two-stage clustering framework: first stage clusters daily load profiles, second stage uses WSMD for set-to-set comparison.
result CROCS captures intra-consumer variability and robustness to anomalies and missing data.

The study finds that real-time prices can lead to higher costs due to consumer flexibility.

problem The integration of consumer flexibility into electricity markets leads to higher costs.
method Agent-based model and multi-agent simulation to study market integration.
result Real-time prices can lead to higher costs due to consumer flexibility and market structure.

Algorithm learns optimal pricing for diverse consumers with limited stock.

problem Maximizing revenue from personalized pricing with limited inventory.
method Primal-dual learning algorithm that learns dual optimal solution.
result Near-optimal performance with independent regret rate of dimensionality.

The paper proposes a framework for modeling and analysis of the dynamics of supply, demand, and clearing prices in power system with real-time retail pricing and information asymmetry. Real-time retail pricing is characterized by passing on the real-time wholesale electricity prices to the end consumers, and is shown t…

2011-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper optimizes demand aggregation for low-level electricity markets.

problem Accurate short-term load forecasting at low aggregation levels for market participants.
method Probabilistic portfolio optimization of residential households' demand using ARMA-GARCH models or KDE forecasts.
result Seasonal Residual approach outperforms others in accuracy and efficiency.

Study copyright's impact on creative industries using AI-generated fonts.

problem Estimating supply and demand in creative industries with AI-generated content.
method Neural network embeddings, spatial regression, event-study analyses, structural model of supply and demand.
result Copyright can raise consumer welfare by encouraging product relocation.

There are few papers about the consumption pattern of the Portuguese wine, using econometrics techniques. This work, pretend to analyze the consumers behavior of the wine produced in Portugal, determining the demand equation with panel data methods. There were used statistical data available in the Alentejo Regional Wi…

2012-12-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper uses CVAE to simulate tariff impacts on electricity consumption.

problem Simulating tariff impacts on household electricity consumption.
method CVAE-based clustering and generation of consumption profiles.
result CVAE method can reproduce rebound and side effects in consumption profiles.

The paper analyzes consumer preferences for restaurants using mobile location data.

problem Understanding and predicting consumer choices for restaurants based on location data.
method Bayesian approach with variational inference and stochastic gradient descent.
result The model outperforms standard models in predicting consumer behavior.

Algorithm optimizes dynamic pricing under changing consumer behavior.

problem Optimizing revenue in dynamic pricing with non-stationary consumer demand.
method Multiscale change-point detection algorithm for GLM models.
result Achieves optimal regret bound of O~(sTdT{VT1/3d1/3T2/3+dT})\widetilde{O}(\sqrt{s_TdT}\wedge\{V_T^{1/3}d^{1/3}T^{2/3}+\sqrt{dT}\}).

Optimal online learning for joint pricing and resource allocation.

problem Maximizing net profit in dynamic pricing and resource allocation with stochastic demand.
method Developed an efficient algorithm using a Lower-Confidence Bound (LCB) meta-strategy over multiple OCO agents.
result Achieved ildeO(Tmn) ilde{O}(\sqrt{Tmn}) regret, optimal with respect to time horizon TT.

We study continuous time Bertrand oligopolies in which a small number of firms producing similar goods compete with one another by setting prices. We first analyze a static version of this game in order to better understand the strategies played in the dynamic setting. Within the static game, we characterize the Nash e…

2010-04-10abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper develops AI methods to predict weather-sensitive product sales.

problem Lack of accurate demand prediction for weather-sensitive products.
method Artificial Neural Networks applied to historical Walmart sales data.
result Improved demand prediction for weather-sensitive products.

Regulating crypto and DeFi for inclusive economic advancement.

problem Innovative financial systems pose challenges to traditional regulatory frameworks.
method Formulating regulatory structures that balance innovation and consumer protection.
result Regulatory frameworks are essential for leveraging crypto and DeFi for inclusive economic growth.

New method identifies algo trading strategies as liquidity consumers or providers.

problem Determining if algo trading strategies consume or provide liquidity.
method Analyzes trade and price history to classify strategies as liquidity consumers or providers.
result Identifies net liquidity consumption or provision of algo trading strategies.

Smart grid uses deep learning to optimize household energy use.

problem Optimizing household energy use under real-time pricing schemes.
method Multi-agent deep actor-critic learning for decentralized agents with partial observability.
result Deep reinforcement learning reduces peak-to-average energy consumption and costs.

New method improves sales forecasting accuracy using tensor factorization.

problem Improving sales forecasting accuracy in retail businesses.
method Advanced Temporal Latent-factor Approach to Sales forecasting (ATLAS) using tensor factorization.
result Accurate and individualized prediction for sales across multiple stores and products.

LDA identifies latent topics in CFPB consumer complaints over time.

problem Identify latent topics in CFPB consumer complaints for better regulation effectiveness.
method Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) for topic modeling of consumer complaints.
result Time trends of latent topics reveal regulatory effectiveness and consumer protection issues.

Consumers adjust their spending based on firms' social stances, influencing firm profits.

problem How consumer spending responds to firms' social stances.
method Using payment card transactions to predict and measure consumer responses to firms' social stances.
result Consumers' spending increases by 19% and decreases by 12% in response to firms' social stances, with effects lasting up to a year.

This study examines how fashion consumption affects self-confidence and buying behavior in Iranian consumers.

problem Understanding the role of self-confidence in fashion buying behavior.
method A questionnaire was used to collect data from 400 consumers in Tehran's clothing market. Structural equations and factor analysis were employed to test the model.
result Interest in fashion, personal taste, utilitarianism, and new products positively impact self-confidence, and self-confidence positively impacts fashion buying behavior.

We consider a market model that consists of financial investors and producers of a commodity. Producers optionally store some production for future sale and go short on forward contracts to hedge the uncertainty of the future commodity price. Financial investors take positions in these contracts in order to diversify t…

2015-02-02abs ↗pdf ↗