A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Existing approaches to resource allocation for nowadays stochastic networks are challenged to meet fast convergence and tolerable delay requirements. The present paper leverages online learning advances to facilitate stochastic resource allocation tasks. By recognizing the central role of Lagrange multipliers, the unde…
Integrates prediction models into portfolio optimization for better asset allocation.
problem Traditional portfolio optimization ignores prediction models, leading to suboptimal decisions.
method Developed a framework that combines regression prediction with mean-variance optimization, providing analytical solutions and neural-network-based optimization for inequality constraints.
result Demonstrated through simulations that integrating prediction models improves portfolio performance.
Although modern portfolio theory has been in existence for over 60 years, fund managers often struggle to get its models to produce reliable portfolio allocations without strongly constraining the decision vector by tight bands of strategic allocation targets. The two main root causes to this problem are inadequate par…
Study capacity constraints in continual learning with a simple model.
problem Understanding optimal resource allocation for agents with limited memory and compute resources.
method Analyzes a capacity-constrained linear-quadratic-Gaussian (LQG) sequential prediction problem and demonstrates optimal capacity allocation strategies.
result Derives a solution to the capacity-constrained LQG sequential prediction problem and shows how to optimally allocate capacity across sub-problems in the steady state.
The paper compares various portfolio construction methods and their impacts on allocation, performance, and stability.
problem Investment portfolio optimization and allocation under different constraints and models.
method Comparison of mean-variance optimization, constrained optimization, Fama French five factor regression, Monte Carlo simulation, and Black-Litterman model.
result Black-Litterman model produces more stable and economically intuitive allocations compared to standard mean-variance optimization.
It is challenging to develop stochastic gradient based scalable inference for deep discrete latent variable models (LVMs), due to the difficulties in not only computing the gradients, but also adapting the step sizes to different latent factors and hidden layers. For the Poisson gamma belief network (PGBN), a recently …
The study compares different game-theoretic attribution methods and finds that interventional Shapley values yield less consistent results than Aumann-Shapley due to path symmetry.
problem Investigating the influence of path choice on game-theoretic attribution algorithms.
method Comparative analysis of interventional Shapley values and Generalized Integrated Gradients (GIG) methods.
result Interventional Shapley values yield less consistent attributions than Aumann-Shapley due to path symmetry and extended away from the training data manifold.
Statistical models with constrained probability distributions are abundant in machine learning. Some examples include regression models with norm constraints (e.g., Lasso), probit, many copula models, and latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA). Bayesian inference involving probability distributions confined to constrained d…
In urban environments, supply resources have to be constantly matched to the "right" locations (where customer demand is present) so as to improve quality of life. For instance, ambulances have to be matched to base stations regularly so as to reduce response time for emergency incidents in EMS (Emergency Management Sy…
We address a practical problem ubiquitous in modern marketing campaigns, in which a central agent tries to learn a policy for allocating strategic financial incentives to customers and observes only bandit feedback. In contrast to traditional policy optimization frameworks, we take into account the additional reward st…
The paper studies risk-sharing allocations for risk-seeking agents using a common distortion risk measure.
problem Characterizing Pareto-optimal risk-sharing allocations for risk-seeking agents.
method Modeling preferences with a common distortion risk measure and analyzing three settings: risk-averse, risk-seeking, and inverse S-shaped distortion.
result Pareto-optimal allocations for risk-seeking agents are counter-monotonic, not comonotonic.
We propose a stylized model of production and exchange in which long-term investors set their production decision over a horizon τ , the "time to produce", and are liquidity constrained, while financial investors trade over a much shorter horizon δ (<< τ ) and are therefore more duly informed on the exogenous shocks af…
Supervisory signals can help topic models discover low-dimensional data representations that are more interpretable for clinical tasks. We propose a framework for training supervised latent Dirichlet allocation that balances two goals: faithful generative explanations of high-dimensional data and accurate prediction of…