We introduce two simple models of forward-backward stochastic differential equations with a singular terminal condition and we explain how and why they appear naturally as models for the valuation of CO2 emission allowances. Single phase cap-and-trade schemes lead readily to terminal conditions given by indicator funct…
arXiv research
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A new model for forward curves captures behavior through a single equation.
Derives new equations for volatility models and option pricing.
Derives new equations for stochastic volatility models.
We prove a maximum principle for mild solutions to stochastic evolution equations with (locally) Lipschitz coefficients and Wiener noise on weighted spaces. As an application, we provide sufficient conditions for the positivity of forward rates in the Heath-Jarrow-Morton model, considering the associated Musiela …
Mean-field approximations simplify insurance liability calculations.
New method for dynamic valuation in markets with random endowments.
Demographic projections of future mortality rates involve a high level of uncertainty and require stochastic mortality models. The current paper investigates forward mortality models driven by a (possibly infinite dimensional) Wiener process and a compensated Poisson random measure. A major innovation of the paper is t…
We propose a formulation of the term structure of interest rates in which the forward curve is seen as the deformation of a string. We derive the general condition that the partial differential equations governing the motion of such string must obey in order to account for the condition of absence of arbitrage opportun…
Study numerical methods for singular FBSDEs with degenerate forward component.
A new method uses deep learning to price barrier options.
Study forward investment performance in semimartingale markets with stochastic factors.
Study on predictable forward processes in trading without frequent evaluations.
Continuous-time mean-variance portfolio selection model with nonlinear wealth equations and bankruptcy prohibition is investigated by the dual method. A necessary and sufficient condition which the optimal terminal wealth satisfies is obtained through a terminal perturbation technique. It is also shown that the optimal…
We derive a forward partial integro-differential equation for prices of call options in a model where the dynamics of the underlying asset under the pricing measure is described by a -possibly discontinuous- semimartingale. A uniqueness theorem is given for the solutions of this equation. This result generalizes Dupire…
Optimal wealth strategy derived for jump-diffusion models with liabilities.
We provide sufficient conditions on the coefficients of a stochastic evolution equation on a Hilbert space of functions driven by a cylindrical Wiener process ensuring that its mild solution is positive if the initial datum is positive. As an application, we discuss the positivity of forward rates in the Heath-Jarrow-M…
Model for multi-period carbon market pricing with allowances.
We propose a neural network-based algorithm for solving forward and inverse problems for partial differential equations in unsupervised fashion. The solution is approximated by a deep neural network which is the minimizer of a cost function, and satisfies the PDE, boundary conditions, and additional regularizations. Th…
Study pricing options on forward contracts using infinite-dimensional affine models.
WNVI solves inverse problems without forward models using neural networks.
Unified framework for forward and inverse PDE problems in multiphase media.
This note justifies approximations of arithmetic forwards using weighted averages of overnight forwards.
We derive a forward equation for arbitrage-free barrier option prices, in terms of Markovian projections of the stochastic volatility process, in continuous semi-martingale models. This provides a Dupire-type formula for the coefficient derived by Brunick and Shreve for their mimicking diffusion and can be interpreted …
New algorithm optimizes nonlinear SDEs online with convergence guarantees.
This paper presents a novel approach to numerically solve stochastic differential games for nonlinear systems. The proposed approach relies on the nonlinear Feynman-Kac theorem that establishes a connection between parabolic deterministic partial differential equations and forward-backward stochastic differential equat…
We introduce a new class of forward performance processes that are endogenous and predictable with regards to an underlying market information set and, furthermore, are updated at discrete times. We analyze in detail a binomial model whose parameters are random and updated dynamically as the market evolves. We show tha…
In this paper, we study term structure movements in the spirit of Heath, Jarrow, and Morton [Econometrica 60(1), 77-105] under volatility uncertainty. We model the instantaneous forward rate as a diffusion process driven by a G-Brownian motion. The G-Brownian motion represents the uncertainty about the volatility. With…
In this paper, we introduce a large class of convergent numerical methods, based on (linear) basis function regression technique, to approximate the solution to a forward-backward stochastic differential equation with jumps (FBSDEJ hereafter). Numerical experiment shows good applicability of the proposed method.
We propose a new method for the numerical solution of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) which finds its roots in Fourier analysis. The method consists of an Euler time discretization of the BSDE with certain conditional expectations expressed in terms of Fourier transforms and computed using the fast F…
Forward construction of vacuum initial data with limited decay
We introduce Hermite fractional financial markets, where market uncertainties are described by multidimensional Hermite motions. Hermite markets include as particular cases financial markets driven by multivariate fractional Brownian motion and multivariate Rosenblatt motion. Conditions for no-arbitrage and market comp…
Classical numerical methods for solving partial differential equations suffer from the curse dimensionality mainly due to their reliance on meticulously generated spatio-temporal grids. Inspired by modern deep learning based techniques for solving forward and inverse problems associated with partial differential equati…
We provide explicit solutions of certain forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs) with quadratic growth. These particular FBSDEs are associated with quadratic term structure models of interest rates and characterize the zero-coupon bond price. The results of this paper are naturally related to simila…
A new model captures forward curve dynamics with stochastic volatility.
The paper compares PINN methods for solving drift-diffusion equations on metric graphs.
In this introductory paper, we discuss how quantitative finance problems under some common risk factor dynamics for some common instruments and approaches can be formulated as time-continuous or time-discrete forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDE) final-value or control problems, how these final val…
In this paper we study a continuous-time stochastic linear quadratic control problem arising from mathematical finance. We model the asset dynamics with random market coefficients and portfolio strategies with convex constraints. Following the convex duality approach, we show that the necessary and sufficient optimalit…
The idea of forward rates stems from interest rate theory. It has natural connotations to transition rates in multi-state models. The generalization from the forward mortality rate in a survival model to multi-state models is non-trivial and several definitions have been proposed. We establish a theoretical framework f…
Global gradient estimates for Fisher-KPP equation on Finsler metric measure spaces.
Paper tackles dynamic behavior of variable topology mechanisms, presenting new transition conditions.
FBSJNN solves PIDEs and FBSDEJs with deep learning, offering theoretical and numerical efficiency.
We introduce the class of affine forward variance (AFV) models of which both the conventional Heston model and the rough Heston model are special cases. We show that AFV models can be characterized by the affine form of their cumulant generating function, which can be obtained as solution of a convolution Riccati equat…
Developed LQ MFG theory with common noise, proving existence and uniqueness.
New method tackles convergence issues in approximating FBSDEs.
This paper revisits optimal investment strategies for defined contribution pension schemes using forward preferences.
We link SVEs to SPDEs and derive Kolmogorov equations for singular kernels.
Established PFPPs in complete markets, solving integral equations.