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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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170340510680 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Conditional Random Fields

CMRFs extend PGMs for topological data, capturing both conditional and marginal dependencies.

problem Limited expressiveness of PGMs for topological data.
method Introducing Colored Markov Random Fields (CMRFs) that model Gaussian edge variables on topological spaces.
result CMRFs improve distributed estimation over physical networks compared to baselines.

Study on the smoothness of solutions to a specific type of stochastic differential equation.

problem Regularity of solutions to mean-field GG-SDEs.
method Analysis of first and second order Fréchet differentiability in the random initial condition.
result Established the Fréchet differentiability of the solution and specified the corresponding equations.

Research proves the semi-classical limit of Liouville conformal field theory, describing deterministic geometry from random fluctuations.

problem Proving the semi-classical limit of Liouville conformal field theory.
method Probabilistic definition of Liouville theory, proving existence of semi-classical limit, defining classical stress-energy tensor.
result Existence and description of the semi-classical limit in terms of a massive Gaussian free field with Robin boundary conditions.

While learning the maximum likelihood value of parameters of an undirected graphical model is hard, modelling the posterior distribution over parameters given data is harder. Yet, undirected models are ubiquitous in computer vision and text modelling (e.g. conditional random fields). But where Bayesian approaches for d…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper develops methods for high-dimensional inference in Markov random fields.

problem Statistical inference for high-dimensional Markov random fields.
method Markov Chain Monte Carlo Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MCMC-MLE) with Elastic-net regularization.
result The proposed methods achieve 1\ell_{1}-consistency and false discovery rate control.

Reconstructing signature features from randomized vector fields in differential equations.

problem Reconstructing signature features from controlled differential equations with random vector fields.
method Using controlled ordinary differential equations driven by continuous bounded variation curves, the study explores the extent to which signature features can be reconstructed from the non-linear flow of these equations.
result The number of signature features that can be reconstructed from the non-linear flow of controlled ordinary differential equations with random vector fields is exponential in the hidden dimension, under certain conditions.

We consider expected performances based on max-stable random fields and we are interested in their derivatives with respect to the spatial dependence parameters of those fields. Max-stable fields, such as the Brown--Resnick and Smith fields, are very popular in spatial extremes. We focus on the two most popular unbiase…

2018-12-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Often we wish to predict a large number of variables that depend on each other as well as on other observed variables. Structured prediction methods are essentially a combination of classification and graphical modeling, combining the ability of graphical models to compactly model multivariate data with the ability of …

2010-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we de ne conditional random elds in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces and show connections to Gaussian Process classi cation. More speci cally, we prove decomposition results for undirected graphical models and we give constructions for kernels. Finally we present e cient means of solving the optimization…

2012-07-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Abstract: Generalizes SGMs to infinite-dimensional Hilbertian setting.

problem Difficulties in extending SGMs to infinite-dimensional settings.
method Uses Gamma and Malliavin Calculus, Dirichlet forms, Wiener chaoses, and time-reversal formula.
result Generalized SGMs to Hilbertian setting with finite-dimensional entropic convergence bounds.

"Mixed Data" comprising a large number of heterogeneous variables (e.g. count, binary, continuous, skewed continuous, among other data types) are prevalent in varied areas such as genomics and proteomics, imaging genetics, national security, social networking, and Internet advertising. There have been limited efforts a…

2014-11-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates binary labels from dependent data using Markov Random Fields.

problem Statistical estimation from dependent data across spatial, temporal, and social domains.
method Modeling dependencies as Markov Random Fields and providing efficient estimation algorithms.
result Statistically efficient estimation rates for Ising models from a single sample.

We consider the signed density of the extremal points of (two-dimensional) scalar fields with a Gaussian distribution. We assign a positive unit charge to the maxima and minima of the function and a negative one to its saddles. At first, we compute the average density for a field in half-space with Dirichlet boundary c…

2003-01-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Learning the parameters of a (potentially partially observable) random field model is intractable in general. Instead of focussing on a single optimal parameter value we propose to treat parameters as dynamical quantities. We introduce an algorithm to generate complex dynamics for parameters and (both visible and hidde…

2012-05-09abs ↗pdf ↗

HTFM improves mode coverage and tail-statistic recovery for heavy-tailed data.

problem Tackles heavy-tailed data in various domains with rare events.
method Proposes a framework using clock-conditioned Gaussian sources and truncated logsignature features.
result Improves mode coverage, sample quality, and tail-statistic recovery over Gaussian flow matching and baselines.

An accurate assessment of the risk of extreme environmental events is of great importance for populations, authorities and the banking/insurance/reinsurance industry. Koch (2017) introduced a notion of spatial risk measure and a corresponding set of axioms which are well suited to analyze the risk due to events having …

2018-03-19abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the structure learning problem for graphical models that we call loosely connected Markov random fields, in which the number of short paths between any pair of nodes is small, and present a new conditional independence test based algorithm for learning the underlying graph structure. The novel maximization …

2012-04-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Theoretical study of random forests for nonlinear time series.

problem Theoretical justification for using random forests in time series modeling.
method Uniform concentration inequality for regression trees and random forests consistency proof.
result Consistency of random forests for nonlinear autoregressive processes.

This paper provides a tutorial on Boltzmann Machines and Deep Belief Networks.

problem Understanding and applying Boltzmann Machines and Deep Belief Networks.
method Explains the structures, conditional distributions, Gibbs sampling, training methods, and deep belief networks of RBMs.
result Comprehensive overview of RBMs and DBNs, useful in various fields.

McCullagh and Yang (2006) suggest a family of classification algorithms based on Cox processes. We further investigate the log Gaussian variant which has a number of appealing properties. Conditioned on the covariates, the distribution over labels is given by a type of conditional Markov random field. In the supervised…

2014-05-16abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the problem of training probabilistic conditional random fields (CRFs) in the context of a task where performance is measured using a specific loss function. While maximum likelihood is the most common approach to training CRFs, it ignores the inherent structure of the task's loss function. We describe alte…

2011-07-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Gaussian conditional random fields (GCRF) are a well-known used structured model for continuous outputs that uses multiple unstructured predictors to form its features and at the same time exploits dependence structure among outputs, which is provided by a similarity measure. In this paper, a Gaussian conditional rando…

2019-01-31abs ↗pdf ↗

This work proposes an efficient autoregressive model for text generation.

problem The challenge of generating high-quality text with autoregressive models.
method Introduces a cascaded decoding approach using Markov transformers to achieve sub-linear parallel time generation.
result Shows competitive accuracy/speed tradeoff compared to existing methods on five machine translation datasets.