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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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189377566754 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Conditional Linear Regression

Improved algorithm for conditional linear regression with heterogeneous covariances.

problem Identifying a linear predictor for a fraction of data with varying covariances.
method Polynomial time algorithm using Disjunctive Normal Form (DNF) to identify a condition and linear predictor.
result Removed requirement for similar covariances in each condition term, improving algorithm applicability.

Develops fast approximations for conditional Shapley values in linear and polynomial models.

problem Estimating conditional Shapley values using regression models is computationally expensive.
method A new approximative estimation method for conditional Shapley values using linear and polynomial regression models.
result Our method significantly reduces computation time compared to existing methods.

Study high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression using variational inference.

problem High-dimensional Bayesian linear regression with product priors.
method Non-linear large deviations theory and variational inference.
result Unique optimizer in variational problem governs posterior distribution under separation condition.

Robust learning mixtures of linear regressions improve robustness.

problem Improving robustness in learning mixtures of linear regressions.
method Connecting mixtures of linear regressions and mixtures of Gaussians with thresholding for a quasi-polynomial time algorithm.
result The algorithm has significantly better robustness than previous results.

GD outperforms ridge regression and SGD in linear regression problems.

problem Comparing the risks of GD, ridge regression, and SGD in linear regression problems.
method Instance-wise finite-sample risk analysis of GD, ridge regression, and SGD.
result GD outperforms ridge regression and is incomparable with SGD in some cases.

Estimates CATEs using high-dimensional linear regression models.

problem Estimating individualized causal effects (CATEs) in two treatments.
method Proposes a Lasso regression method for consistently estimating CATEs under high-dimensional and non-sparse parameters, leveraging the assumption of implicit sparsity.
result The proposed method is consistent for estimating CATEs.

Sharp risk bounds for early-stopping in Gaussian linear regression are derived.

problem Minimizing in-sample mean squared error in high-dimensional Gaussian linear regression.
method Early-stopped mirror descent (ESMD) with local Gaussian width bounds.
result Sharp risk bounds extend to early-stopped mirror descent for least squares estimator (LSE).

Work in machine learning and statistics commonly focuses on building models that capture the vast majority of data, possibly ignoring a segment of the population as outliers. However, there does not often exist a good model on the whole dataset, so we seek to find a small subset where there exists a useful model. We ar…

2018-06-06abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm reduces sample complexity for sparse linear regression.

problem Sparse linear regression with correlated covariates and approximate dependencies.
method Polynomial-time algorithm that adapts the Lasso to tolerate approximate dependencies.
result Achieves near-optimal sample complexity for constant sparsity and ill-conditioned covariates.

Study robust linear regression without distributional assumptions for heavy-tailed responses.

problem Linear regression with heavy-tailed responses and no distributional assumptions.
method Combining truncated least squares, median-of-means, and aggregation theory to construct a non-linear estimator.
result Achieves excess risk of order d/nd/n with optimal sub-exponential tail.

Paper proposes a new method for selective inference in robust regression.

problem Statistical inference after removing outliers identified by robust methods.
method Conditional SI using piecewise-linear homotopy continuation.
result Proposed method is applicable to a wide class of robust regression and outlier detection methods.

Robustly estimates linear regression coefficients with adversarial and noisy data.

problem Estimating robust linear regression coefficients with adversarial and noisy data.
method Adversarial robust weighted Huber regression with polynomial computational complexity.
result Derives an estimation error bound that depends on the stable rank and condition number of the covariance matrix.

The paper analyzes the generalizability of linear autoencoders and multivariate linear regression.

problem Limited theoretical understanding of linear autoencoders' performance.
method Proposes a PAC-Bayes bound for multivariate linear regression and shows LAEs as constrained models.
result The proposed PAC-Bayes bound is tight and correlates with practical metrics.

We propose Dirichlet Process mixtures of Generalized Linear Models (DP-GLM), a new method of nonparametric regression that accommodates continuous and categorical inputs, and responses that can be modeled by a generalized linear model. We prove conditions for the asymptotic unbiasedness of the DP-GLM regression mean fu…

2009-09-28abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, non-linear time series models are used to describe volatility in financial time series data. To describe volatility, two of the non-linear time series are combined into form TAR (Threshold Auto-Regressive Model) with AARCH (Asymmetric Auto-Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) error term and its par…

2013-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper analyzes divide-and-conquer estimators for functional linear regression without assuming target function in the RKHS.

problem Functional linear regression without target function in RKHS.
method Integral operator approach to establish upper bounds and prove asymptotic optimality.
result Sharp finite sample upper bounds and asymptotic optimality of divide-and-conquer estimators.

Study improves error bounds for sparse regression with heavy-tailed covariates.

problem Estimating sparse coefficients in linear regression with heavy-tailed covariates.
method Employed an 1\ell_1-penalized Huber regression method.
result Error bound identical to Gaussian case for LL-subexponential covariates.

CNR uses convex optimization to estimate conditional distributions.

problem Estimating uncertainty in predictions and posterior conditional distributions.
method Convex optimization of a posterior defined via non-linear transformations on Gaussians.
result CNR can fit arbitrary conditional distributions, including multimodal and non-symmetric ones.

We develop a framework for post model selection inference, via marginal screening, in linear regression. At the core of this framework is a result that characterizes the exact distribution of linear functions of the response yy, conditional on the model being selected (``condition on selection" framework). This allows…

2014-02-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper analyzes agnostic learning of mixed linear regression without generative models.

problem Learning mixed linear regression without assuming stochastic generation.
method Expectation Maximization (EM) and Alternating Minimization (AM) algorithms.
result AM and EM algorithms converge to population loss minimizers under standard conditions.

Paper studies IPG method's robustness in noisy distributed linear regression.

problem Distributed linear regression with noise.
method Iteratively Pre-conditioned Gradient-descent (IPG) method.
result IPG method's robustness against noise compared favorably to state-of-the-art algorithms.

Improved efficient robust regression with near-linear time and subquadratic samples.

problem Robust linear regression with unknown covariance matrix under Gaussian covariates.
method Near-linear time algorithm using subquadratic samples, complemented by SQ and polynomial lower bounds.
result Achieves prediction error O(εκ)O(\sqrt{εκ}) for εκ1εκ\lesssim 1, improving over prior works.

The network Lasso (nLasso) has been proposed recently as an efficient learning algorithm for massive networked data sets (big data over networks). It extends the well-known least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) from learning sparse (generalized) linear models to network models. Efficient implementatio…

2019-03-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified framework for shrinkage, thresholding, and regularization in normal mean estimation and linear regression.

problem Estimation of normal mean in multivariate settings with correlated observations.
method Approximate risk minimization over a functional class of shrinkage-thresholding rules.
result Unified estimator NOMAD for shrinkage, thresholding, and regularization.

New bounds for transfer learning in linear models, improving generalization.

problem Understanding when auxiliary data helps in improving generalization in linear models.
method Derivation of exact error bounds and optimal task weights for linear regression and linear neural networks.
result First non-vacuous sufficient conditions for beneficial auxiliary learning in linear neural networks.

This paper compares linear regression and neural networks for pricing swing options.

problem Pricing swing options using approximation methods.
method Linear regression and neural networks for approximating the continuation value and swing price.
result The approximation methods converge to the actual swing price as the number of functions or Monte Carlo samples increases.

Bayesian model estimates treatment effects near cutoffs in regression discontinuity designs.

problem Estimating conditional average treatment effects in regression discontinuity designs.
method Develops a Bayesian additive regression tree (BART) model with linear leaf-level regressions.
result Adapts to different slopes on the running variable near the cutoff, providing interpretable inference.

Scaled sparse linear regression jointly estimates the regression coefficients and noise level in a linear model. It chooses an equilibrium with a sparse regression method by iteratively estimating the noise level via the mean residual square and scaling the penalty in proportion to the estimated noise level. The iterat…

2011-04-24abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for private linear regression under privacy constraints, achieving optimal rates.

problem Statistical complexity of private linear regression under unknown, ill-conditioned covariates.
method Information-Weighted Regression method
result Optimal convergence rates for both central and local privacy models.

Paper addresses global convergence of MLR estimation under weak data conditions.

problem Learning mixed linear regression models with general data conditions.
method Two-step recursive identification algorithm using least squares and EM principles.
result Global convergence and optimal clustering performance established under general data conditions.

Machine learning and statistics typically focus on building models that capture the vast majority of the data, possibly ignoring a small subset of data as "noise" or "outliers." By contrast, here we consider the problem of jointly identifying a significant (but perhaps small) segment of a population in which there is a…

2016-08-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Study optimizes linear regression analysis for high-dimensional settings.

problem Understanding high-dimensional linear regression with interpolation and regularization.
method Localized uniform convergence analysis of optimistic rates for linear regression.
result Recover guarantees for ridge and LASSO regression under random designs.

In this paper, we extend the geometric descent method recently proposed by Bubeck, Lee and Singh to tackle nonsmooth and strongly convex composite problems. We prove that our proposed algorithm, dubbed geometric proximal gradient method (GeoPG), converges with a linear rate (11/κ)(1-1/\sqrtκ) and thus achieves the optimal …

2016-12-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on online regression with noise, achieving near-optimal regret bounds.

problem Online generalized linear regression with stochastic noise.
method Sharp analysis of FTRL algorithm for stochastic label noise.
result Achieved near-optimal regret bounds for O(σ2dlogT)+o(logT)O(σ^2 d \log T) + o(\log T).

Ensemble of regression trees have become popular statistical tools for the estimation of conditional mean given a set of predictors. However, quantile regression trees and their ensembles have not yet garnered much attention despite the increasing popularity of the linear quantile regression model. This work proposes a…

2016-07-10abs ↗pdf ↗

The generalized linear model (GLM) plays a key role in regression analyses. In high-dimensional data, the sparse GLM has been used but it is not robust against outliers. Recently, the robust methods have been proposed for the specific example of the sparse GLM. Among them, we focus on the robust and sparse linear regre…

2018-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗