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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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9172634 · Dec 202419922001200920172026
48 results for Compound Finance

This study compares decentralized banks and finds some lack decentralization.

problem Decentralized banks do not fully decentralize transactions as expected.
method Network analysis of transaction data from four banks using core-periphery features.
result MakerDao and Compound are more decentralized than Aave and Liquity.

Study analyzes financial intermediation costs in decentralized lending protocols.

problem Understanding the cost of financial intermediation in decentralized lending protocols.
method Analysis of publicly available data on rates, supply, borrow activity, and accounts.
result Ex-post margins are 1% and lower for stablecoin markets.

This paper analyzes liquidations in DeFi protocols, showing how price volatility can lead to significant losses.

problem Price volatility undermines overcollateralization in DeFi protocols, leading to potential losses.
method Empirical analysis of Compound's PLFs, examining participants' behavior and risk-appetite.
result Price volatility can result in over 10m USD becoming liquidable with only 3% price change.

Study analyzes risk management in Aave and Compound lending protocols, finding v3 better than v2.

problem Risk management in decentralized lending protocols.
method Cross-version and cross-chain analysis using fixed effects model.
result v3 protocols have better risk management, with stronger impact on L2 blockchains.

In this paper we shall prove that the plane of financial events, introduced and applied to financial problems by the author himself (see [2], [3] and [4]) can be considered as a fibration in two different ways. The first one, the natural one, reveals itself to be isomorphic to the tangent- bundle of the real line, when…

2011-06-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Study estimates Medallion's compounded return before fees at 31.8%.

problem Incorrectly using yearly returns for compounding leads to overestimation of fund performance.
method Used fund sizes and trading profits to estimate compounded return; used manager's wealth as proxy for Simons.
result Annualized compounded return of Medallion before fees is likely under 35%

Characterizes measures preserving compound mixed renewal process properties.

problem Preserving compound mixed renewal process properties under different probability measures.
method Characterization of progressively equivalent probability measures.
result Any compound mixed renewal process can be converted into a compound mixed Poisson process through a change of measures.

This chapter is an attempt to present a mathematical theory of compound fractional Poisson processes. The chapter begins with the characterization of a well-known Lévy process: The compound Poisson process. The semi-Markov extension of the compound Poisson process naturally leads to the compound fractional Poisson proc…

2011-03-03abs ↗pdf ↗

High throughput screening of compounds (chemicals) is an essential part of drug discovery [7], involving thousands to millions of compounds, with the purpose of identifying candidate hits. Most statistical tools, including the industry standard B-score method, work on individual compound plates and do not exploit cross…

2017-09-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Study detects and explains positional bias in financial LLMs.

problem Positional bias in financial decision-making using LLMs.
method Unified framework and benchmark for detecting and quantifying bias in Qwen2.5 models.
result Positional bias is pervasive, scale-sensitive, and resurfaces under nuanced prompt designs.

In this paper, we introduce a new model for the risk process based on general compound Hawkes process (GCHP) for the arrival of claims. We call it risk model based on general compound Hawkes process (RMGCHP). The Law of Large Numbers (LLN) and the Functional Central Limit Theorem (FCLT) are proved. We also study the ma…

2017-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Model shows PoS networks can be captured by external finance, leading to centralization.

problem Long-term centralization of PoS networks under external finance pressures.
method Heterogeneous macroeconomic model with two actor classes: investors and consumers.
result External finance forces PoS networks to centralize, leading to zero internal staking yield.

Normalized compound random measures are flexible nonparametric priors for related distributions. We consider building general nonparametric regression models using normalized compound random measure mixture models. Posterior inference is made using a novel pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings sampler for normalized comp…

2016-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper develops a new framework for managing asymmetric volatility.

problem Managing asymmetric volatility to improve recovery and participation.
method Path-dependent framework for asymmetric volatility management.
result Skew engineering reduces harmful downside participation more than productive upside participation.

New Riemannian geometry for Compound Gaussian distributions applied to efficient change detection.

problem Change detection in multivariate image times series.
method Developed a recursive approach based on Riemannian optimization.
result Optimal performance achieved with computational efficiency.

The study improves compound selection in in silico screening by focusing on model's ability to predict desirable outcomes.

problem Improving compound selection in in silico screening to reduce errors and enhance generalization.
method Extending learning theory, the study analyzes the impact of selection policies on generalization and proposes a method to mitigate challenges.
result Generalization can be enhanced by considering a model's ability to predict the fraction of desired outcomes in a batch.

The paper develops generalization bounds for deep compound Gaussian neural networks.

problem Developing theoretical guarantees for the performance of deep neural networks.
method Novel generalization error bounds using a compound Gaussian prior and Dudley's integral.
result Theoretical bounds show generalization error scales O(nln(n))\mathcal{O}(n\sqrt{\ln(n)}) in signal dimension and O((NetworkSize)3/2)\mathcal{O}((Network Size)^{3/2}) in network size.

We propose an analytical approach to the computation of tail probabilities of compound distributions whose individual components have heavy tails. Our approach is based on the contour integration method, and gives rise to a representation of the tail probability of a compound distribution in the form of a rapidly conve…

2017-10-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows convergence rates for BSDEs approximated by compound Poisson processes.

problem Analyzing convergence rates of BSDEs driven by Lévy processes.
method Approximating Lévy processes by compound Poisson processes and studying BSDEs.
result Optimal convergence rates derived for BSDEs in L2\mathbb L^2-norm and Wasserstein distance.

In this article, I will present a paradox whose purpose is to draw your attention to an important topic in finance, concerning the non-independence of the financial returns (non-ergodic hypothesis). In this paradox, we have two people sitting at a table separated by a black sheet so that they cannot see each other and …

2019-03-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian learning improves reliability of molecular predictions for hit compound discovery.

problem Improving reliability of machine learning predictions for virtual screening.
method Bayesian learning algorithms applied to graph neural networks.
result Bayesian learning leads to well-calibrated predictions and higher hit compound success.

The study addresses overlooked data-generating processes in time-series asset pricing.

problem The literature on time-series asset pricing overlooks the data-generating processes for factors expressed in return differences.
method The study proposes a new definition of returns and compound returns for factors, and uses OLS with net returns for single-index models.
result OLS with net returns for single-index models leads to inflated alphas, exaggerated t-values, and overestimated Sharpe ratios.

In this paper, we study various new Hawkes processes. Specifically, we construct general compound Hawkes processes and investigate their properties in limit order books. With regards to these general compound Hawkes processes, we prove a Law of Large Numbers (LLN) and a Functional Central Limit Theorems (FCLT) for seve…

2018-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

DeepSIBA predicts biological effects of chemical structures using graph neural networks.

problem Predicting biological effects of chemical structures for drug discovery.
method Siamese Graph Convolutional Neural Networks for structure-biological effect mapping.
result Highly accurate predictions of biological effects for structurally dissimilar compounds.

A new method reduces compounding errors in model-based reinforcement learning.

problem Compounding errors in long horizon predictions from model-based reinforcement learning.
method Maximum Entropy Model Rollouts (MEMR) with non-uniform sampling and prioritized experience replay.
result Significantly reduces computation requirements compared to other model-based methods.