A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Gaussian processes struggle with compositional functions, but deep Gaussian processes can outperform.
problem Gaussian process regression struggles with compositional functions.
method We study information-theoretic lower bounds for posterior contraction rates in Gaussian process regression for a continuous regression model.
result Posterior based on any mean-zero Gaussian process can only recover the truth at a rate strictly slower than the minimax rate for generalized additive functions.
Compositional data have two unique characteristics compared to typical multivariate data: the observed values are nonnegative and their summand is exactly one. To reflect these characteristics, a specific regularized regression model with linear constraints is commonly used. However, linear constraints incur additional…
In this paper, we extend the geometric descent method recently proposed by Bubeck, Lee and Singh to tackle nonsmooth and strongly convex composite problems. We prove that our proposed algorithm, dubbed geometric proximal gradient method (GeoPG), converges with a linear rate (1−1/κ) and thus achieves the optimal …
We consider the minimization of composite objective functions composed of the expectation of quadratic functions and an arbitrary convex function. We study the stochastic dual averaging algorithm with a constant step-size, showing that it leads to a convergence rate of O(1/n) without strong convexity assumptions. This …
Logistic regression models are a popular and effective method to predict the probability of categorical response data. However inference for these models can become computationally prohibitive for large datasets. Here we adapt ideas from symbolic data analysis to summarise the collection of predictor variables into his…
Consider the multivariate nonparametric regression model. It is shown that estimators based on sparsely connected deep neural networks with ReLU activation function and properly chosen network architecture achieve the minimax rates of convergence (up to logn-factors) under a general composition assumption on the re…
We formalize notions of robustness for composite estimators via the notion of a breakdown point. A composite estimator successively applies two (or more) estimators: on data decomposed into disjoint parts, it applies the first estimator on each part, then the second estimator on the outputs of the first estimator. And …
KernelBiome tackles microbiome research by improving predictive performance and interpretability.
problem Challenges in analyzing high-throughput sequencing data, especially in microbiome research.
method KernelBiome is a kernel-based nonparametric regression and classification framework for compositional data, incorporating prior knowledge and capturing complex signals.
result Improved predictive performance compared to state-of-the-art machine learning methods, with two novel quantities for interpretability.
Materials discovery is crucial for making scientific advances in many domains. Collections of data from experiments and first-principle computations have spurred interest in applying machine learning methods to create predictive models capable of mapping from composition and crystal structures to materials properties. …
In many applications one may acquire a composition of several signals that may be corrupted by noise, and it is a challenging problem to reliably separate the components from one another without sacrificing significant details. Adding to the challenge, in a compressive sensing framework, one is given only an undersampl…
Point forecasting of univariate time series is a challenging problem with extensive work having been conducted. However, nonparametric probabilistic forecasting of time series, such as in the form of quantiles or prediction intervals is an even more challenging problem. In an effort to expand the possible forecasting p…
We propose a robust inferential procedure for assessing uncertainties of parameter estimation in high-dimensional linear models, where the dimension p can grow exponentially fast with the sample size n. Our method combines the de-biasing technique with the composite quantile function to construct an estimator that …
This paper advances FL algorithms for composite optimization and statistical recovery.
problem Federated learning optimization and statistical recovery in composite settings.
method Proposes Fast Federated Dual Averaging for strongly convex and smooth loss, and Multi-stage Federated Dual Averaging for restricted strongly convex and smooth loss.
result Establishes state-of-the-art iteration and communication complexity, and high probability complexity bound with linear speedup.
This paper shows that scientific discovery can be efficiently learned via compositional function trees, reducing the sample complexity.
problem Statistical and computational intractability of scientific discovery via symbolic regression.
method PAC learning approach focusing on compositional function trees built from a finite vocabulary of smooth operators.
result The Rademacher complexity and excess risk are controlled by depth and Lipschitz constants of the base operators, leading to finite-union bounds and high-probability risk bounds.
Many machine learning models, such as logistic regression~(LR) and support vector machine~(SVM), can be formulated as composite optimization problems. Recently, many distributed stochastic optimization~(DSO) methods have been proposed to solve the large-scale composite optimization problems, which have shown better per…
In this paper, we propose a compositional nonparametric method in which a model is expressed as a labeled binary tree of 2k+1 nodes, where each node is either a summation, a multiplication, or the application of one of the q basis functions to one of the p covariates. We show that in order to recover a labeled bi…
In this paper we develop proximal methods for statistical learning. Proximal point algorithms are useful in statistics and machine learning for obtaining optimization solutions for composite functions. Our approach exploits closed-form solutions of proximal operators and envelope representations based on the Moreau, Fo…
In this contribution we describe an approach to evolve composite covariance functions for Gaussian processes using genetic programming. A critical aspect of Gaussian processes and similar kernel-based models such as SVM is, that the covariance function should be adapted to the modeled data. Frequently, the squared expo…
Enhances DGPs with adaptive RKHS Fourier features for better non-stationary pattern modeling.
problem Capturing complex non-stationary patterns in non-linear dynamical systems.
method Integrates ODE-based RKHS Fourier features into DGPs using convolution operations for adaptive amplitude and phase modulation. Uses a doubly stochastic variational inference framework.
result Improved predictive performance across various regression tasks.
Despite its importance, choosing the structural form of the kernel in nonparametric regression remains a black art. We define a space of kernel structures which are built compositionally by adding and multiplying a small number of base kernels. We present a method for searching over this space of structures which mirro…
We study pathwise invariances of centred random fields that can be controlled through the covariance. A result involving composition operators is obtained in second-order settings, and we show that various path properties including additivity boil down to invariances of the covariance kernel. These results are extended…
Gaussian Processes (GPs) provide a general and analytically tractable way of modeling complex time-varying, nonparametric functions. The Automatic Bayesian Covariance Discovery (ABCD) system constructs natural-language description of time-series data by treating unknown time-series data nonparametrically using GP with …