This paper develops a method to select a reference contract for multi-contract quoting to minimize execution risk.
problem Minimizing execution risk in multi-contract quoting sequences.
method Develops a diagnostic framework using order-flow Hawkes forecasts and CLF to select a stable reference contract.
result Event-history and LOB-state signals offer complementary views for reference-contract selection.
Study factors affecting liquidity on decentralized exchanges, introducing new metrics.
problem Understanding and predicting liquidity on decentralized exchanges (DEXs).
method Analyzes platform, blockchain, token pair, and liquidity pool factors; introduces new metrics.
result Identifies how various factors affect liquidity through concentration and total value locked.
We empirically analyze the price and liquidity responses to trade signs, traded volumes and signed traded volumes. Utilizing the singular value decomposition, we explore the interconnections of price responses and of liquidity responses across the whole market. The statistical characteristics of their singular vectors …
Unified framework for optimal liquidation with small market impact and semimartingale strategies.
problem Optimal liquidation under small market impact and portfolio liquidation.
method Semimartingale strategies and convergence results for BSDEs with singular terminal conditions.
result Unified framework for embedding two common liquidation models and microscopic foundation for semimartingale strategies.
Study on liquidity dynamics in Uniswap v3 pools using statistical methods.
problem Characterize liquidity in Uniswap v3 pools.
method Functional principal component analysis (FPCA) and dynamic factor methods.
result Liquidity dynamics in Uniswap v3 pools are well-captured by a low-order Legendre polynomial basis.
Study asset price bubbles using random matching and stochastic factors.
problem Understanding and modeling asset price bubbles through investor contagion.
method Developed a stochastic model of liquidity-based asset price bubbles using random matching mechanism.
result Derived conditions for arbitrage-free financial market models.
We present a large-scale study of commonality in liquidity and resilience across assets in an ultra high-frequency (millisecond-timestamped) Limit Order Book (LOB) dataset from a pan-European electronic equity trading facility. We first show that extant work in quantifying liquidity commonality through the degree of ex…
This paper proposes a parametric approach for stochastic modeling of limit order markets. The models are obtained by augmenting classical perfectly liquid market models by few additional risk factors that describe liquidity properties of the order book. The resulting models are easy to calibrate and to analyze using st…
We refine toxicity bounds for dynamic liquidation incentives in CP-AMM systems.
problem Ensuring stability in dynamic liquidation incentives in automated market makers.
method Derived state-dependent toxicity bounds for dynamic liquidation incentives, reconciling them with CP-AMM price dynamics.
result State-dependent bounds and liquidity-depth-only condition for dynamic liquidation incentives.
The paper studies tunnel and bridge numbers of composite genus 2 spatial graphs.
problem Understanding the tunnel and bridge numbers of composite genus 2 spatial graphs.
method Analyzes connected sum and trivalent vertex sum operations on genus 2 spatial graphs, proving bounds for tunnel and bridge numbers.
result Sharp bounds for the tunnel number of composite genus 2 spatial graphs, including lower bounds for bridge numbers.
We present new computations of tight shapes obtained using the constrained gradient descent code RIDGERUNNER for 544 composite knots with 12 and fewer crossings, expanding our dataset to 943 knots and links. We use the new data set to analyze two outstanding conjectures about tight knots, namely that the ropelengths of…
This research proposes methods to model and assess liability liquidity risk in asset management.
problem Lack of standardized models for liability liquidity risk in asset management.
method Statistical models, zero-inflated models, aggregate and individual-based approaches, and factor models.
result Developed mathematical and statistical approaches to estimate and assess redemption shocks.
Study finds it hard to establish common factor pricing in corporate bonds.
problem Difficulty in establishing common factor pricing in corporate bonds.
method Portfolio- and bond-level analyses using multifactor models.
result Common factor pricing in corporate bonds is not significantly explanatory.
The common wisdom argues that, in general, large trades cause large price changes, while small trades cause small price changes. However, for extremely large price changes, the trade size and news play a minor role, while the liquidity (especially price gaps on the limit order book) is a more influencing factor. Hence,…
The kind of realized mission inflows the sensitivity to risk. Among other factors, the risk results from decision about liquid assets investment level and liquid assets financing. The higher the risk exposure, the higher the level of liquid assets. If the specific risk exposure is smaller, the more aggressive could be …
Using recent advances in the econometrics literature, we disentangle from high frequency observations on the transaction prices of a large sample of NYSE stocks a fundamental component and a microstructure noise component. We then relate these statistical measurements of market microstructure noise to observable charac…
Study analyzes factors affecting profits in crypto liquidity provision.
problem Liquidity providers lack guidance for developing profitable strategies.
method Developed a measurement model based on impermanent loss to analyze key parameters.
result Uncovered influences of key parameters on LPs' profits.
New findings show disentangled latent representations are not enough for robust compositional generalization.
problem Deep learning models struggle with compositional generalization, especially in out-of-distribution samples.
method Investigated a 2D Gaussian generation task with fully disentangled inputs, then forced disentangled latent representations into full-dimensional output space.
result Forcing disentangled latent representations into full-dimensional output space enables robust compositional generalization.
Study finds no significant short-term impact on liquidity supply after protocol fees were reduced.
problem Liquidity provider welfare is affected by protocol fees, but the impact on liquidity supply is unclear.
method Used a matched-overlap event-study difference-in-differences design to estimate the liquidity-supply response to take-rate cuts.
result No significant short-term impact on active liquidity or local depth; no change in LP participation or composition.
We study an optimal liquidation problem under the ambiguity with respect to price impact parameters. Our main results show that the value function and the optimal trading strategy can be characterized by the solution to a semi-linear PDE with superlinear gradient, monotone generator and singular terminal value. We also…
The paper uses option theory to estimate corporate bond liquidity spreads.
problem Estimating liquidity spreads for corporate bonds.
method Option-theoretic approach considering risk-free rate volatility and credit risk.
result The model provides a robust tool for pricing illiquid bonds.
Adaptive pricing framework for perpetual contracts using liquidity curves and oracles.
problem Ensuring stable and predictable pricing for perpetual contracts.
method Uses liquidity curves and on-chain oracles with parabolic and sigmoid functions to quote prices and fees.
result Ensures pricing stability and predictability through adaptive pricing framework.
A justification of the Basel liquidity formula for risk capital in the trading book is given under the assumption that market risk-factor changes form a Gaussian white noise process over 10-day time steps and changes to P&L are linear in the risk-factor changes. A generalization of the formula is derived under the more…
The p-index improves investment performance for NYSE stocks but not for SSE stocks.
problem Improving investment performance for stocks using the p-index.
method Comparing different p-ratio strategies and empirical efficient frontiers for SSE and NYSE stocks.
result The p-index enhances investment performance for NYSE stocks but not for SSE stocks.
The study finds a liquidity premium in stock returns, but only after correcting for microstructure noise.
problem The positive association between expected idiosyncratic volatility and expected stock returns.
method Developed a novel method to eliminate microstructure influences from stock returns and estimate idiosyncratic volatility.
result The liquidity premium in value-weighted portfolios is driven by liquidity in the prior month after correcting for microstructure noise.
Novel method reconstructs liquidity data for CLMMs, optimizing dynamic liquidity strategies.
problem Challenges in evaluating and optimizing CLMMs due to lack of historical liquidity data.
method Reconstructs historical liquidity states from swap transaction data using machine learning.
result Identifies outperformance of dynamic liquidity strategies over uniform allocation benchmarks.
We present an enhanced prime decomposition theorem for knots that gives the isotopy classes of composite knots that can be constructed from a given list of prime factors (allowing for the mirroring and orientation reversing for each factor). Underlying the theorem is an algebraic construction that also allows for the c…
This paper analyzes liquidations in DeFi protocols, showing how price volatility can lead to significant losses.
problem Price volatility undermines overcollateralization in DeFi protocols, leading to potential losses.
method Empirical analysis of Compound's PLFs, examining participants' behavior and risk-appetite.
result Price volatility can result in over 10m USD becoming liquidable with only 3% price change.
Optimal fees for G3Ms align LP value with market accuracy.
problem Optimal fees for G3Ms to attract liquidity without sacrificing accuracy.
method Developed a framework for determining LP value with fees for G3Ms under diffusion.
result LPs prefer G3Ms over other strategies as fees approach zero.
Visual objects are composed of a recursive hierarchy of perceptual wholes and parts, whose properties, such as shape, reflectance, and color, constitute a hierarchy of intrinsic causal factors of object appearance. However, object appearance is the compositional consequence of both an object's intrinsic and extrinsic c…
Paper proves achiral Lefschetz fibrations from non-orientable Lefschetz fibrations.
problem Understanding achiral Lefschetz fibrations from non-orientable ones.
method Composition of standard orientation double covering map and non-orientable Lefschetz fibration.
result Specification of a monodromy factorization for the composition.
New game theory approach to bond market liquidity and participant behavior.
problem Uncertainty in market maker types and regulatory structure.
method Liquidity Game theory applied to UK bond market interactions.
result Strategies and structures for market makers and regulators.
Study improves HOMFLY polynomial coefficients for positive braid links.
problem Determining HOMFLY polynomial coefficients for positive braid links.
method Using geometric invariants like maximum Euler characteristics, number of split and prime factors.
result Improvements in known results for Conway and Jones polynomials of positive braid links.
Study adapts liquidity model to equity auctions, revealing accelerated event rates and reduced price impact.
problem Understanding and predicting price dynamics in equity auctions.
method Adapted latent/revealed order book framework to equity auctions, measuring order submissions, cancellations, and diffusion rates.
result Equity auctions exhibit accelerated event rates leading to reduced price impact and decreased volatility.
In this paper, we mainly prove a theorem with a corollary establishing two characterizations of the Calabi composition of hyperbolic hyperspheres, where the second characterization (i.e., the corollary) has been given via a dual correspondence theorem earlier but now we would like to use a very direct method. Note that…
We propose a multi-factor polynomial framework to model and hedge long-term electricity contracts with delivery period. This framework has several advantages: the computation of forwards, risk premium and correlation between different forwards are fully explicit, and the model can be calibrated to observed electricity …
Study analyzes optimal execution under uncertain volatility and liquidity.
problem Optimal execution in markets with uncertain volatility and liquidity.
method Modeling with a stochastic factor, power law for price impact, viscosity solutions, monotonicity argument.
result Singular limit of regularized strategies yields optimal execution strategy.
Paper proposes iLPA for solving DC composite optimization problems, with applications to matrix completion with outliers.
problem Solving nonconvex and nonsmooth DC composite optimization problems.
method Inexact linearized proximal algorithm (iLPA) for DC composite optimization problems.
result The iLPA achieves local R-linear convergence rate under the Kurdyka-Łöjasiewicz property.
The composition of natural liquidity has been changing over time. An analysis of intraday volumes for the S&P500 constituent stocks illustrates that (i) volume surprises, i.e., deviations from their respective forecasts, are correlated across stocks, and (ii) this correlation increases during the last few hours of the …
We propose a 4-factor model for overnight returns and give explicit definitions of our 4 factors. Long horizon fundamental factors such as value and growth lack predictive power for overnight (or similar short horizon) returns and are not included. All 4 factors are constructed based on intraday price and volume data a…
In this paper, we explicitly construct the Calabi composition of multiple affine hyperspheres possibly including some points viewing as 0-dimensional hypersheres. Then we compute all the basic affine invariants of the composed affine hyperspheres, proving that the composed affine hypersphere is symmetric one if and onl…
Paper solves robust convex problems with heavy-tailed noise.
problem Solving convex compositional problems with heavy-tailed noise.
method Sub-Gaussian confidence bounds under weak heavy-tailed noise assumptions, using boosting strategy.
result Achieves nearly optimal high probability convergence result.
Model calculates optimal trading time for derivatives orders.
problem Balancing execution costs and market risks in large order execution.
method Time Is Money model using Bachelier model and central limit order book.
result Demonstrates a continuous-time Arrival Price framework.
This paper introduces a novel recurrent model for music composition that is tailored to the structure of polyphonic music. We propose an efficient new conditional probabilistic factorization of musical scores, viewing a score as a collection of concurrent, coupled sequences: i.e. voices. To model the conditional distri…
FLAIR measures LP competitiveness in AMMs, improving LP performance evaluations.
problem LP returns are affected by both market risk and competitive strategies.
method Introduces FLAIR metric to quantify LP competitiveness and assesses its impact on LP returns.
result FLAIR captures dynamic behavior of LPs and differentiates between active provisioning strategies.
The paper examines how cheaper and faster chains affect Uniswap v3 liquidity and profitability.
problem Impact of cheaper and faster chains on Uniswap v3 liquidity and profitability.
method Comparative analysis of Uniswap v3 activity on different chains with varying gas prices and block times.
result Liquidity providers are more capital efficient and receive higher fee returns on cheaper and faster chains.
Improved subgradient method tackles ill-conditioned composite optimization problems.
problem Slow convergence of subgradient method for composite optimization problems.
method Preconditioned subgradient method with Levenberg-Marquardt approach.
result Linear convergence rate for composite optimization problems under mild conditions.
We develop a model to predict effects of sequential interventions, clarifying their combined impact.
problem Uncertainty in generalizing behavioral predictions for combinations of interventions.
method Explicit model for composition of interventions, identifying their combined effect.
result Our compositional model aids prediction in sparse data conditions.