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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Clinical Outcome Prediction

Model learns hierarchical EHR representation for clinical outcome prediction.

problem Capturing temporal patterns in irregular clinical event sequences.
method Proposes differentiated mechanisms to model events at different time scales, learning hierarchical representations.
result Significantly improves clinical outcome prediction, achieving AUC scores of 0.94 and 0.90 for death and ICU admission respectively.

Improved model predicts ICU readmission and mortality with interpretable results.

problem Lack of clinically interpretable predictions from deep learning models on clinical notes.
method Augmented a convolutional model with an attention mechanism for clinical note prediction.
result Attention mechanism improves prediction performance while providing interpretable results.

The paper shows how the timing of prediction impacts model performance in healthcare.

problem The timing of prediction affects model performance in healthcare.
method The paper compares two prediction schemes: outcome-dependent and outcome-independent.
result An outcome-independent scheme outperforms an outcome-dependent scheme.

SARD improves deep learning clinical prediction performance.

problem Deep learning models struggle to match linear models in healthcare predictions.
method Reverse Distillation to initialize deep models, combined with contextual and temporal embeddings.
result SARD outperforms state-of-the-art methods on clinical prediction outcomes.

Neural model predicts survival outcomes and reveals feature relationships.

problem Predicting time-to-event outcomes and understanding feature relationships in clinical data.
method Survival and topic modeling combined in a neural network framework.
result Neural survival-supervised topic models achieve competitive accuracy with interpretability.

RNN models perform similarly with or without extraneous variables.

problem Impact of extraneous variables on RNN performance in clinical tasks.
method Investigated the effect of extraneous input variables on RNN predictive performance using EMR and randomly drawn variables.
result Degradations in RNN's predictive performance with extraneous variables were negligible.

This study shows unstructured clinical notes can improve mortality prediction.

problem Lack of effective use of unstructured clinical notes in mortality prediction.
method Used a hierarchical architecture with convolutional and recurrent layers to predict in-hospital mortality from unprocessed clinical notes.
result Achieved higher metrics in mortality prediction compared to structured data approaches.

Two new estimators reduce costs and improve accuracy for EHR outcome prediction.

problem Sparse estimate distributions, high computational cost, and high sampling variance in EHR outcome prediction.
method Proposed SCOPE and REACH estimators that leverage next-token probability distributions.
result SCOPE and REACH match Monte Carlo accuracy with token reductions of 2.5-3.4 times and variance guarantees.

Discusses handling intercurrent events in clinical trials with time-to-event outcomes.

problem Handling intercurrent events in clinical trials with time-to-event outcomes.
method Defines estimands and six ICE handling strategies, including new competing-risk strategy.
result Novel methods for handling intercurrent events in clinical trials with time-to-event outcomes.

Unsupervised learning improves clinical predictions from medical time series.

problem Improving clinical decision making through unlabeled medical data.
method Evaluation of unsupervised representation learning on medical time series using sequence-to-sequence models.
result A forecasting Seq2Seq model with an attention mechanism achieves the best performance.

Study assesses weakly-supervised methods for rare outcomes in medical records.

problem Identifying patients with specific medical conditions using electronic health records.
method Compared three methods (PheNorm, MAP, and sureLDA) in simulations with varying outcomes and silver labels.
result No single method consistently outperformed others, but sureLDA often did well.

FedRD improves risk difference estimation in federated learning for clinical outcomes.

problem Privacy-preserving model co-training in medical research is hindered by server-dependent architectures and focus on relative effect measures.
method FedRD is a server-independent, communication-efficient framework for federated risk difference estimation in distributed survival data.
result FedRD provides valid confidence intervals and hypothesis testing, and is asymptotically equivalent to pooled individual-level analysis.

Study examines impact of fairness penalties on clinical risk prediction models.

problem Widespread health disparities in machine learning-guided clinical decision-making.
method Empirical study across multiple databases, outcomes, and sensitive attributes.
result Penalizing fairness violations nearly universally degrades model performance and fairness metrics.

Language models improve clinical prediction models using EHR data.

problem Limited patient data for training clinical prediction models.
method Using patient representation schemes from natural language processing.
result 3.5% mean improvement in AUROC on five prediction tasks.

DEBIAS learns causal effects from psychiatric longitudinal data by optimizing outcome weights.

problem Causal inference challenges in psychiatric longitudinal data due to symptom heterogeneity and latent confounding.
method DEBIAS algorithm that optimizes outcome weights to maximize durable treatment effects and minimize confounding.
result DEBIAS consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods in recovering causal effects for clinically interpretable composite outcomes.

PKB framework boosts genomic data analysis by integrating pathway knowledge.

problem Boosting discovery power and connecting new findings with biological mechanisms in genomic data.
method Pathway-based Kernel Boosting (PKB) framework integrating clinical and pathway information for prediction of various outcomes.
result PKB substantially outperforms other methods in predicting drug response and cancer survival.

PO-Flow models potential and counterfactual outcomes for personalized treatment decisions.

problem Predicting individualized treatment effects from observational data.
method Continuous normalizing flow (CNF) framework for causal inference.
result Unified approach to potential outcome prediction, treatment effect estimation, and counterfactual prediction.

Framework combines HMM and MTGCN for spatiotemporal causal inference in clinical data.

problem Challenges in observing direct treatment effects in clinical domains.
method Integrates Hidden Markov Model and Multi Task and Multi Graph Convolutional Network for spatiotemporal data.
result Advances predictive causal inference by structurally adapting to spatiotemporal complexities.

pmsims R package uses Gaussian process for flexible sample size estimation in clinical models.

problem Determining adequate sample size for clinical prediction models.
method Simulation-based Gaussian process search for flexible sample size estimation.
result Gaussian process-based method produces more stable sample size estimates, especially in challenging settings.

Review of methods enabling causal predictions under hypothetical interventions.

problem Need for predicting outcomes under hypothetical interventions in decision making.
method Systematic review of methods using causal inference for prediction models.
result Identified 13 methods for causal inference from observational data.

Study validates machine learning models for patient outcomes using various methods.

problem Validating machine learning models for patient outcomes in electronic health records.
method Used three state-of-the-art machine learning methods (random forest, gradient boosting, logistic regression) to predict patient outcomes and assess feature importance.
result Permutation tests applied to random forest and gradient boosting models showed the most agreement with clinical interpretation of feature importance.

Proposes a hybrid deep learning network for better heart failure survival prediction.

problem Improving survival prediction in heart failure patients.
method Joint analysis of cardiac motion features and clinical risk factors using a hybrid deep learning network.
result Optimal integration of clinical risk factors into deep prediction networks.

AI system predicts acute critical illness from EHRs with explainability.

problem Lack of clinical interpretability in AI predictions for acute critical illness.
method Developed an explainable AI early warning score (xAI-EWS) system.
result System provides clinicians with insights into EHR data explaining predictions.

Study improves mortality prediction in hospital patients using comprehensive feature engineering.

problem Accurate prediction of all-cause in-hospital mortality in healthcare.
method Comprehensive feature engineering approach using vital signs, laboratory results, and demographic data.
result Random Forest model achieved highest performance with AUC of 0.94, significantly outperforming other models.

Evaluation metrics for prediction models don't fully reflect intervention impact.

problem Standard metrics don't accurately reflect reduction in patient outcomes from model use.
method Synthesized and discussed various evaluation methods, analyzed with simulated and real data.
result Evaluations without interventional data are limited or require strong assumptions.

KiTS19 dataset offers 300 kidney tumor cases with CT data and outcomes.

problem Difficulty in quantifying kidney tumor morphometry due to data scarcity and manual labor.
method Presented KiTS19 dataset with multi-phase CT imaging, segmentation masks, and clinical outcomes.
result Automated segmentation of kidney tumors is now possible with this dataset.

A new method uses asymmetric Shapley values to assess gene importance in clinical prediction models.

problem Clinical prediction models struggle with assessing the importance of high-dimensional features like genomics.
method Derive efficient algorithms to compute local and global asymmetric Shapley values for a mixed-dimensional prediction model.
result Asymmetric Shapley values provide a more suitable alternative to quantify feature importance in clinical prediction models.

DDR estimates personalized treatment effects from clinical trials.

problem Estimating personalized treatment effects from clinical trials data.
method Transforms outcome into Dirac delta distributions and estimates density using non-linear regression.
result Identifies significant patient-specific outcomes even when no population-level effect exists.

Copula-based fusion improves breast cancer risk stratification.

problem Combining clinical and genomic risk scores using simple rules fails to capture their joint relationship.
method Used copulas to model the joint relationship between clinical and genomic risk scores.
result Copula-based fusion improves risk stratification, identifying subgroups with the worst prognosis.

ConCare personalizes healthcare predictions by capturing EMR features.

problem Predicting patient outcomes from EMR data with personalization.
method Captures personal characteristics and time-aware distribution in EMR data.
result Improves healthcare prediction accuracy through personalized health context.

The study evaluates AI model performance measures for medical use.

problem Selecting appropriate performance measures for AI models in medical practice.
method Assessed 32 performance measures across five domains for binary outcomes.
result 17 measures are both proper and reflect decision-analytic performance.

Proposes a two-stage method for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects using gradient boosting trees.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in randomized clinical trials with high-dimensional predictive markers.
method Two-stage statistical learning procedure using gradient boosting trees (XGBoost) to estimate main effects and HTE.
result Improves efficiency in estimating heterogeneous treatment effects through nonparametric function estimation.

F-GAM improves clinical prediction models for OR outcomes.

problem Limited expressive capability of logistic regression for clinical predictions.
method Factored generalized additive model (F-GAM) that extends GAM with feature interactions.
result F-GAM outperforms other models in AUPRC and AUROC for predicting OR outcomes.