A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
In the paper we give necessary and sufficient conditions for the Jensen inequality to hold for the generalized Choquet integral with respect to a pair of capacities. Next, we apply obtained result to the theory of risk aversion by providing the assumptions on utility function and capacities under which an agent is risk…
Choquet and minimax expectations are equivalent in European option pricing.
The paper solves an insurance problem using mean-variance and rank-dependent utility theory.
Model-free preference under ambiguity defined and applied.
In this paper we study a robust expected utility maximization problem with random endowment in discrete time. We give conditions under which an optimal strategy exists and derive a dual representation for the optimal utility. Our approach is based on a general representation result for monotone convex functionals, a fu…
New risk measures for quantiles under ambiguity improve risk sharing.
New insights into risk aversion for complex decision models.
Diversification represents the idea of choosing variety over uniformity. Within the theory of choice, desirability of diversification is axiomatized as preference for a convex combination of choices that are equivalently ranked. This corresponds to the notion of risk aversion when one assumes the von-Neumann-Morgenster…
This paper attempts to provide a decision-theoretic foundation for the measurement of economic tail risk, which is not only closely related to utility theory but also relevant to statistical model uncertainty. The main result is that the only risk measures that satisfy a set of economic axioms for the Choquet expected …
The paper introduces risk consistency properties for credit ratings.
Choquet regularization improves exploration in RL.
The paper explores optimal insurance contracts using various deviation measures.
Study on risk measures using distorted Choquet integrals with random distortions.
Short-time existence for the Einstein-Euler and the vacuum Einstein equations is proven using a Friedrich inspired formulation due to Choquet-Bruhat and York, where the system is cast into a symmetric hyperbolic form and the Riemann tensor is treated as one of the fundamental unknowns of the problem. The reduced system…
New principles for collapsing law-invariant functionals to means, extending beyond convexity.
Mobile app development in recent years has resulted in new products and features to improve human life. Mobile telematics is one such development that encompasses multidisciplinary fields for transportation safety. The application of mobile telematics has been explored in many areas, such as insurance and road safety. …
This paper investigates Pareto optimal (PO, for short) insurance contracts in a behavioral finance framework, in which the insured evaluates contracts by the rank-dependent utility (RDU) theory and the insurer by the expected value premium principle. The incentive compatibility constraint is taken into account, so the …
Proves properties of maximal hypersurfaces in specific spacetimes.
Modeling reinsurance market, we find subgame perfect Nash equilibria.
Expands learning paradigm to stochastic orders using Choquet-Toland distance and Variational Dominance Criterion.
Study transverse measures on infinite type hyperbolic surfaces.
In the practice of point prediction, it is desirable that forecasters receive a directive in the form of a statistical functional, such as the mean or a quantile of the predictive distribution. When evaluating and comparing competing forecasts, it is then critical that the scoring function used for these purposes be co…
Optimizes portfolio growth rate for a behavioral investor considering terminal relative growth rate.
This paper reviews incompatibilities of comonotonic risk measures.
In a market of deterministic cash flows, given as an additive, symmetric relation of exchangeability on the finite signed Borel measures on the non-negative real time axis, it is shown that the only arbitrage-free price functional that fulfills some additional mild requirements is the integral of the unit zero-coupon b…
In a discrete-time financial market, a generalized duality is established for model-free superhedging, given marginal distributions of the underlying asset. Contrary to prior studies, we do not require contingent claims to be upper semicontinuous, allowing for upper semi-analytic ones. The generalized duality stipulate…
Theory integrates loss aversion into expected utility for monetary returns.
GBC methods compute expected utility without needing the model's density.
The expected utility operators introduced in a previous paper, offer a framework for a general risk aversion theory, in which risk is modelled by a fuzzy number . In this paper we formulate a coinsurance problem in the possibilistic setting defined by an expected utility operator . Some properties of the optimal …
Study examines how risk tolerance impacts long-term investment returns.
Active inference minimizes expected free energy for optimal behavior.
Study optimal investment and consumption in incomplete markets with nonlinear expectations.
Investigates conditions for risk or utility functionals to be sensitive to large losses.
We follow the approach employed by Y. Choquet-Bruhat, J. Isenberg and D. Pollack in the case of closed manifolds and establish existence and non-existence results for the Einstein-scalar field constraint equations on asymptotically hyperbolic manifolds.
The paper confirms a conjecture about optimal expected utility in markets with insider information.
This paper discusses the sensitivity of the long-term expected utility of optimal portfolios for an investor with constant relative risk aversion. Under an incomplete market given by a factor model, we consider the utility maximization problem with long-time horizon. The main purpose is to find the long-term sensitivit…
We demonstrate a limitation of discounted expected utility, a standard approach for representing the preference to risk when future cost is discounted. Specifically, we provide an example of the preference of a decision maker that appears to be rational but cannot be represented with any discounted expected utility. A …
The paper bounds solutions to complex optimization problems with uncertain data.
Loss-calibrated EP improves Bayesian decision-making by focusing on utility-sensitive posterior approximations.
Optimal portfolios are found for a wide range of utility functions under hyperbolic returns.
Gambles are random variables that model possible changes in monetary wealth. Classic decision theory transforms money into utility through a utility function and defines the value of a gamble as the expectation value of utility changes. Utility functions aim to capture individual psychological characteristics, but thei…
Study finds cheapest possible payoff under ambiguity, linking to maxmin expected utility.
Possibilistic risk theory starts from the hypothesis that risk is modelled by fuzzy numbers. In particular, in a possibilistic portfolio choice problem, the return of a risky asset will be a fuzzy number. The expected utility operators have been introduced in a previous paper to build an abstract theory of possibilisti…
A new convex loss function optimizes set predictions with balanced size and coverage.
We examine Kreps' (2019) conjecture that optimal expected utility in the classic Black--Scholes--Merton (BSM) economy is the limit of optimal expected utility for a sequence of discrete-time economies that "approach" the BSM economy in a natural sense: The th discrete-time economy is generated by a scaled -step r…
A classical portfolio theory deals with finding the optimal proportion in which an agent invests a wealth in a risk-free asset and a probabilistic risky asset. Formulating and solving the problem depend on how the risk is represented and how, combined with the utility function defines a notion of expected utility. In t…
We provide an economic interpretation of the practice consisting in incorporating risk measures as constraints in a classic expected return maximization problem. For what we call the infimum of expectations class of risk measures, we show that if the decision maker (DM) maximizes the expectation of a random return unde…
Optimizes portfolios with utility theory, diversification, and leverage.