This paper explores the impact of metric choice on Fréchet regression.
problem Choosing the right metric for Fréchet regression in complex data.
method Review and extensive numerical studies of existing dimension reduction methods.
result Different metrics significantly affect the estimation of central and central mean space.
Graph neural networks improve residential location choice predictions.
problem Capturing spatial dependence in discrete choice models.
method Graph Neural Networks (GNN) for analyzing spatial alternatives.
result GNN-DCMs outperform classical models in residential location choice predictions.
Paper extends top-k Mallows model for better user preference analysis.
problem Capturing real-world user preferences focusing on a limited set of items.
method Generalized top-k Mallows model, novel sampling scheme, efficient algorithm, active learning.
result New tools for analysis and prediction in decision-making scenarios.
Designs a DNN with alternative-specific utility functions for improved choice analysis.
problem Challenges in reconciling domain-specific knowledge with generic DNN.
method Integrates prior behavioral knowledge into DNN architecture with alternative-specific utility functions.
result 2-3% higher prediction accuracy than fully connected DNN over hyperparameter space.
As datasets capturing human choices grow in richness and scale -- particularly in online domains -- there is an increasing need for choice models that escape traditional choice-theoretic axioms such as regularity, stochastic transitivity, and Luce's choice axiom. In this work we introduce the Pairwise Choice Markov Cha…
New method discovers context effects in choice data.
problem Identifying context effects from choice data is challenging.
method Automatic discovery of context effects from observed choices.
result Automatic discovery of context effects from observed choices.
New research shows testing IIA in discrete choice is nearly impossible with current sample sizes.
problem Testing the Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives (IIA) in discrete choice models is challenging.
method Combinatorial analysis of Eulerian orientations of cycle decompositions of a bipartite graph.
result Any general test for IIA with low worst-case error requires an exponential number of samples in the number of alternatives.
This paper analyzes and improves convergence in federated learning with biased client selection.
problem Analyzing convergence in federated learning with biased client selection.
method First convergence analysis of federated optimization for biased client selection strategies, proposing Power-of-Choice framework.
result Power-of-Choice strategies converge up to 3 times faster and give 10% higher test accuracy than random selection.
Study binary choice with asymmetric loss, offering simple solutions.
problem Binary choice with asymmetric loss in data-rich environments.
method Loss-based reweighting of logistic regression or machine learning techniques.
result Valid decisions on binary outcomes with general loss functions.
SpectralTS improves efficiency of Thompson Sampling for graph-based bandits.
problem Efficiently solving bandit problems with smooth payoffs on graphs.
method SpectralTS algorithm for a graph-based bandit problem with effective dimension d.
result SpectralTS offers a computationally more efficient alternative with regret scaling as d*sqrt(T ln N).
The study examines how experimental design choices affect machine learning model performance.
problem Lack of guidelines on choosing experimental designs and machine learning models.
method 12 experimental designs, 7 families of predictive models, 7 test functions, 8 noise settings.
result Guidelines for practical applications of DOE and ML are provided.
New model combines neural networks and embeddings for better choice modeling interpretability.
problem Limited behavioral insights in embedding representations for categorical variables.
method Combines discrete choice models and neural networks using embeddings for interpretability.
result Proposed models deliver state-of-the-art predictive performance while preserving interpretability.
New model improves website ranking by considering user choices as a whole.
problem Optimizing content ordering for user clicks in website design.
method Introduced multinomial logit (MNL) choice model to LTR framework, proposing UCB algorithms.
result Proved theoretical bounds on regret for UCB algorithms in both known and unknown position parameter settings.
Study assesses additional factors for identifying persistent alpha in pension funds.
problem Identify persistent alpha in pension funds using additional factors.
method Reproduces Fama and French's (2010) experiment with additional features and compares results to 3-factor model.
result Additional factors improve persistence of alpha assessment in pension funds.
We present a novel method for obtaining high-quality, domain-targeted multiple choice questions from crowd workers. Generating these questions can be difficult without trading away originality, relevance or diversity in the answer options. Our method addresses these problems by leveraging a large corpus of domain-speci…
An online algorithm improves cPCA for efficient, interpretable data analysis.
problem Efficiently finding informative low-dimensional representations in large datasets.
method Developed an online algorithm for a modified cPCA* method.
result The online algorithm for cPCA* shows improved performance and interpretability.
This study examines the collateral choice option and its valuation and hedging.
problem Non-zero collateral basis spreads impact asset valuation and require complex modeling.
method Develops a stochastic valuation model for the collateral choice option and proposes hedging strategies.
result The stochastic model attributes risks to all involved collateral currencies, unlike the deterministic model.
We model a network economy with three sectors: downstream firms, upstream firms, and banks. Agents are linked by productive and credit relationships so that the behavior of one agent influences the behavior of the others through network connections. Credit interlinkages among agents are a source of bankruptcy diffusion…
A general class of Newton algorithms on Graßmann and Lagrange-Graßmann manifolds is introduced, that depends on an arbitrary pair of local coordinates. Local quadratic convergence of the algorithm is shown under a suitable condition on the choice of coordinate systems. Our result extends and unifies previous convergenc…
Study recommends PLM choices for minimizing calibration error in NLP tasks.
problem Minimizing calibration error in PLM-based NLP predictions.
method Compared various options for PLM encoding, size, uncertainty quantifier, and fine-tuning loss.
result Recommendations for a well-calibrated PLM-based prediction pipeline.
When applying machine learning to problems in NLP, there are many choices to make about how to represent input texts. These choices can have a big effect on performance, but they are often uninteresting to researchers or practitioners who simply need a module that performs well. We propose an approach to optimizing ove…
Study presents MMC model for better fitting multiple choice data.
problem Improving accuracy of latent trait estimates in IRT models.
method Fit autoencoders to MMC model, demonstrating better fit than nominal response model.
result MMC model outperforms traditional IRT models in fit.
We show how to reduce the problem of computing VaR and CVaR with Student T return distributions to evaluation of analytical functions of the moments. This allows an analysis of the risk properties of systems to be carefully attributed between choices of risk function (e.g. VaR vs CVaR); choice of return distribution (p…
Paper proposes a deep learning method to estimate fill probabilities of limit orders in LOBs.
problem Estimating the fill probabilities of limit orders in different levels of a limit order book.
method Survival analysis model using a convolutional-Transformer encoder and a monotonic neural network decoder.
result The proposed method significantly outperforms other approaches in survival analysis.
rMCL improves on MCL by preserving diversity in predictions for regression problems.
problem Multimodal density estimation in regression settings with multiple targets.
method rMCL uses a learned scoring scheme based on Voronoi tessellations to maintain diversity among predictions.
result rMCL outperforms existing MCL variants in sound source localization tasks.
A new model uses neural networks for consistent discrete choice analysis.
problem Difficulties in specifying utility functions in RUM models.
method Alternative-Specific and Shared weights Neural Network (ASS-NN) model.
result ASS-NN provides consistent outcomes without specifying utility form.
New analysis shows D-SGD can generalize well regardless of graph connectivity.
problem Improving generalization of D-SGD in decentralized settings.
method Algorithmic stability analysis and optimization-dependent generalization bounds.
result D-SGD can achieve generalization bounds similar to classical SGD, independent of graph connectivity.
AI framework for automated policy-making connects with econometrics and social choice.
problem Improving government and economic policy-making through AI.
method Social Environment Design framework integrating Reinforcement Learning, EconCS, and Computational Social Choice.
result Promotes ethical and responsible decision making by solving open problems.
Breiman's data analysis dichotomy is outdated, offering a third approach: mechanistic models.
problem Data analysis dichotomy between data modelers and algorithmic modelers.
method Interpolating between simple interpretable models and flexible function approximations using mechanistic models.
result Flexible, interpretable, and scientifically-informed hybrids can provide accurate and robust predictions.
In this paper we give definitions of matrix rates of return which do not depend on the choice of basis describing baskets. We give their economic interpretation. The matrix rate of return describes baskets of arbitrary type and extends portfolio analysis to the complex variable domain. This allows us for simultaneous a…
In this study, the authors develop a structural model that combines a macro diffusion model with a micro choice model to control for the effect of social influence on the mobile app choices of customers over app stores. Social influence refers to the density of adopters within the proximity of other customers. Using a …
This paper solves the dynamic portfolio choice problem. Using an explicit solution with a power utility, we construct a bridge between a continuous and discrete VAR model to assess portfolio sensitivities. We find, from a well analyzed example that the optimal allocation to stocks is particularly sensitive to Sharpe ra…
Proposes efficient sensitivity analysis for complex Bayesian models.
problem Inefficiency of sensitivity analyses in complex Bayesian models.
method SA-ABI: weight sharing and neural network rapid inference.
result Efficiently integrates sensitivity analyses into Bayesian inference.
Algorithm maximizes revenue from user choices with contextual information.
problem Maximizing revenue from user choices with contextual preference information.
method Proposes an algorithm that learns from user feedback and achieves a revenue regret of order \( \widetilde{O}(d \sqrt{K T} / L_0 ) \).
result Achieves a revenue regret of order \( \widetilde{O}(d \sqrt{K T} / L_0 ) \) and a lower bound of order \( \Omega(d \sqrt{T}/ L_0) \).
Analyzes national real estate investment risks and returns.
problem Investors and home buyers face increasing costs and risks.
method Examines economic vulnerabilities and traditional market analysis.
result Ensures positive returns and fair prices for real estate investments.
The study assesses sensitivity to prior choices in Bayesian nonparametric models.
problem Difficulty in specifying priors for Bayesian nonparametric models.
method Utilizes variational Bayesian methods to assess sensitivity to concentration parameter and stick-breaking distribution.
result Demonstrates how to evaluate sensitivity to prior choices in Dirichlet process mixtures and related models.
Defines tensor eigenvalues and singular values without basis, simplifying analysis.
problem Defines tensor eigenvalues and singular values without basis.
method Intrinsic definition of tensor eigenvalues and singular values using concepts from pure mathematics.
result Shows the relationship between tensor analysis and pure mathematics.
Survey on stability of Minkowski spacetime in relativity.
problem Nonlinear stability of Minkowski spacetime in general relativity.
method Decay assumptions, geometric foliations, energy identities, and gauge choices.
result Understanding of decay, dispersion, and geometry-analysis interplay.
This study investigates the potential effects of different Dynamic Message Signs (DMSs) on driver behavior using a full-scale high-fidelity driving simulator. Different DMSs are categorized by their content, structure, and type of messages. A random forest algorithm is used for three separate behavioral analyses; a rou…
Empirical model tackles decision problems without specifying states of the world.
problem Decision problems under uncertainty with inaccessible states of the world.
method Empirical approach using observed act--consequence pairs as model primitives.
result Optimality in empirical decision problems addressed using protocol-based empirical choice functions.
A competing market model with a polyvariant profit function that assumes "zeitnot" stock behavior of clients is formulated within the banking portfolio medium and then analyzed from the perspective of devising optimal strategies. An associated Markov process method for finding an optimal choice strategy for monovariant…
The study infers risk preferences from portfolio choices and measures portfolio efficiency.
problem Measuring the efficiency of household investment portfolios based on risk preferences.
method Statistical analysis of portfolio choices and demographic information over six years.
result Implied risk aversion increases with wealth and financial literacy, impacting portfolio efficiency.
This paper presents the current state of a work in progress, whose objective is to better understand the effects of factors that significantly influence the performance of Latent Semantic Analysis (LSA). A difficult task, which consists in answering (French) biology Multiple Choice Questions, is used to test the semant…
Shape analysis is ubiquitous in problems of pattern and object recognition and has developed considerably in the last decade. The use of shapes is natural in applications where one wants to compare curves independently of their parametrisation. One computationally efficient approach to shape analysis is based on the Sq…
This paper tackles scalability issues in kernel logistic regression for large datasets.
problem Challenges in training large-scale kernel-based models for discrete choice modelling.
method Introduces Nyström approximation for Kernel Logistic Regression (KLR) on large datasets.
result The k-means Nyström KLR approach is a successful solution for large datasets, maintaining robust performance.
New boundary conditions improve Hamiltonian analysis in GR.
problem Improving Hamiltonian analysis in GR with IBVP.
method Presented and analyzed new boundary conditions.
result New boundary conditions lead to better Hamiltonian analysis.
Many applied settings in empirical economics involve simultaneous estimation of a large number of parameters. In particular, applied economists are often interested in estimating the effects of many-valued treatments (like teacher effects or location effects), treatment effects for many groups, and prediction models wi…
A machine learning method selects optimal orthonormal bases for functional data analysis.
problem Lack of formal criteria for choosing initial orthonormal bases in functional data methods.
method Proposes a machine learning algorithm to learn and place knots for efficient orthogonal spline bases (splinets).
result Demonstrates efficiency, especially for sparse functional data and complex physical systems.