Pricing Chinese convertible bonds using Monte Carlo simulation and dynamic programming.
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In the present paper we show that the Binomial-tree approach for pricing, hedging, and risk assessment of Convertible bonds in the framework of the Tsiveriotis-Fernandes model has serious drawbacks. Key words: Convertible bonds, Binomial tree, Tsiveriotis-Fernandes model, Convertible bond pricing, Convertible bond Gree…
This paper analyses the Chinese Sovereign bond yield to find out the principal factors affecting the term structure of interest rate changes. We apply Principal Component Analysis (PCA) on our data consisting of the Chinese Sovereign bond from January 2002 till May 2018 with the different yield to maturity. Then we wil…
Paper finds political networks reduce bond issuance costs in China.
Deep learning models price convertible bonds with complex reset and call features.
Study callable convertible bonds with liquidity constraints, generalizing previous work.
Paper solves convertible bond valuation using finite elements with penalty method.
Paper proposes a framework for precise daily default risk prediction of Chinese credit bonds.
After the beginning of the credit and liquidity crisis, financial institutions have been considering creating a convertible-bond type contract focusing on Capital. Under the terms of this contract, a bond is converted into equity if the authorities deem the institution to be under-capitalized. This paper discusses this…
Unified framework for pricing various debt securities.
This paper studies the valuation and optimal strategy of convertible bonds as a Dynkin game by using the reflected backward stochastic differential equation method and the variational inequality method. We first reduce such a Dynkin game to an optimal stopping time problem with state constraint, and then in a Markovian…
The paper introduces CoCoCat bonds for multi-region natural catastrophes, accounting for complex dependencies.
The paper examines how CoCo bonds can enhance financial stability in interconnected banking systems.
CoCos can increase financial fragility in certain network structures.
Within the context of the banking-related literature on contingent convertible bonds, we comprehensively formalise the design and features of a relatively new type of insurance-linked security, called a contingent convertible catastrophe bond (CocoCat). We begin with a discussion of its design and compare its relative …
In the present paper we fill an essential gap in the Convertible Bonds pricing world by deriving a Binary Tree based model for valuation subject to credit risk. This model belongs to the framework known as Equity to Credit Risk. We show that this model converges in continuous time to the model developed by Ayache, Fors…
Study predicts bond yields using machine learning and ultimate forward rates.
This study analyzes factors affecting China's stock market volatility.
Model predicts Chinese stock market liquidity and customer order behavior.
EMDLOT predicts bond defaults better than traditional methods.
The paper is devoted to modeling optimal exercise strategies of the behavior of investors and issuers working with convertible bonds. This implies solution of the problems of stock price modeling, payoff computation and min-max optimization. Stock prices (underlying asset) were modeled under the assumption of the geome…
Paper uses IGA for efficient pricing of financial derivatives, comparing it to FDM and FEM.
Develops a new model to better predict corporate bond yields.
ChemGrapher uses deep learning to automatically convert chemical compound images into accurate graphs.
This paper introduces a new class of Dynkin games, where the two players are allowed to make their stopping decisions at a sequence of exogenous Poisson arrival times. The value function and the associated optimal stopping strategy are characterized by the solution of a backward stochastic differential equation. The pa…
We develop a pricing model for Sovereign Contingent Convertible bonds (S-CoCo) with payment standstills triggered by a sovereign's Credit Default Swap (CDS) spread. We model CDS spread regime switching, which is prevalent during crises, as a hidden Markov process, coupled with a mean-reverting stochastic process of spr…
Contingent Convertible bonds (CoCos) are debt instruments that convert into equity or are written down in times of distress. Existing pricing models assume conversion triggers based on market prices and on the assumption that markets can always observe all relevant firm information. But all Cocos issued so far have tri…
Chinese word segmentation (CWS) is an important task for Chinese NLP. Recently, many neural network based methods have been proposed for CWS. However, these methods require a large number of labeled sentences for model training, and usually cannot utilize the useful information in Chinese dictionary. In this paper, we …
Study reveals risk transmission channels among Chinese sectors.
L. Kauffman conjectured that a particular solution of the Chinese Rings puzzle is the simplest possible. We prove his conjecture by using low-dimensional topology and group theory. We notice also a surprising connection between the Chinese Rings and Habiro moves (related to Vassiliev invariants).
Deep learning system generates new Chinese fonts via style variables.
Study of bonded knots and braids with new algebraic models.
Automatically writing stylized Chinese characters is an attractive yet challenging task due to its wide applicabilities. In this paper, we propose a novel framework named Style-Aware Variational Auto-Encoder (SA-VAE) to flexibly generate Chinese characters. Specifically, we propose to capture the different characterist…
Analysis shows preference for Chinese yuan in global trade network.
Chinese named entity recognition (CNER) is an important task in Chinese natural language processing field. However, CNER is very challenging since Chinese entity names are highly context-dependent. In addition, Chinese texts lack delimiters to separate words, making it difficult to identify the boundary of entities. Be…
Developed algebraic theory of bonded braids, proving Markov theorem.
Chinese NER is a challenging task. As pictographs, Chinese characters contain latent glyph information, which is often overlooked. In this paper, we propose the FGN, Fusion Glyph Network for Chinese NER. Except for adding glyph information, this method may also add extra interactive information with the fusion mechanis…
Study examines volatility-based strategy for Chinese ETF options, improving returns in volatile markets.
Study finds it hard to establish common factor pricing in corporate bonds.
Study evaluates LLMs for predicting Chinese stock movements using financial news sentiments.
Model shows government incentives boost green bond investment.
In this paper, we design an integrated algorithm to evaluate the sentiment of Chinese market. Firstly, with the help of the web browser automation, we crawl a lot of news and comments from several influential financial websites automatically. Secondly, we use techniques of Natural Language Processing(NLP) under Chinese…
Model proteins with bonds using Kauffman bracket skein module.
This study uses NLP to predict stock performance based on analyst reports.
Technical trading rules have been widely used by practitioners in financial markets for a long time. The profitability remains controversial and few consider the stationarity of technical indicators used in trading rules. We convert MA, KDJ and Bollinger bands into stationary processes and investigate the profitability…
This article presents valuation of Treasury Bonds (T-Bonds) on Macedonian Stock Exchange (MSE) and empirical test of duration, modified duration and convexity of the T-bonds at MSE in order to determine sensitivity of bonds prices on interest rate changes. The main goal of this study is to determine how standard valuat…
This paper analyzes the quantitative relations between stock prices and quantities of tradable stock shares in Chinese stock markets at six time points by means of Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) method. It is found the resulting formulae have the same structure but different parameters. This paper also uses these rela…
This paper describes a new method of bond portfolio optimization based on stochastic string models of correlation structure in bond returns. The paper shows how to approximate correlation function of bond returns, compute the optimal portfolio allocation using Wiener-Hopf factorization, and check whether a collection o…