We establish convergence to an invariant measure as time tends to infinity, for a large class of (possibly non-Markovian) stochastic volatility models. Our arguments are based on a novel coupling idea for Markov chains which also extends to Markov chains in random environments in an efficient way.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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The paper tightens the regret rate for linear bandit problems.
This paper analyzes stability and generalization of Markov chain stochastic gradient methods.
Let be a Lagrangian submanifold in a symplectic vector space which is closed, oriented and spin. Using virtual fundamental chains of moduli spaces of nonconstant pseudo-holomorphic disks with boundaries on , one can define a Maurer-Cartan element of a Lie bracket operation in string topology (the loop bracket) d…
This paper investigates optimal portfolio strategies in a market where the drift is driven by an unobserved Markov chain. Information on the state of this chain is obtained from stock prices and expert opinions in the form of signals at random discrete time points. As in Frey et al. (2012), Int. J. Theor. Appl. Finance…
We prove that Morrison and Nieh's categorification of the su(3) quantum knot invariant is functorial with respect to tangle cobordisms. This is in contrast to the categorified su(2) theory, which was not functorial as originally defined. We use methods of Bar-Natan to construct explicit chain maps for each variation of…
The uniform boundary condition in a normed chain complex asks for a uniform linear bound on fillings of null-homologous cycles. For the -norm on the singular chain complex, Matsumoto and Morita established a characterisation of the uniform boundary condition in terms of bounded cohomology. In particular, spaces…
NUTS mixing time scales as d^(1/4) for Gaussian distributions.
Unique solutions found for Plateau problems in smooth and continuous calibrations.
Regime-switching models, in particular Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) where the switching is driven by an unobservable Markov chain, are widely-used in financial applications, due to their tractability and good econometric properties. In this work we consider HMMs in continuous time with both constant and switching volati…
We describe a modification of Khovanov homology (math.QA/9908171), in the spirit of Bar-Natan (math.GT/0410495), which makes the theory properly functorial with respect to link cobordisms. This requires introducing `disorientations' in the category of smoothings and abstract cobordisms between them used in Bar-Natan's …
We give a new proof of the Alexander-Wermer Theorem that characterizes the oriented curves in C^n which bound positive holomorphic chains, in terms of the linking numbers of the curve with algebraic cycles in the complement. In fact, we establish a slightly stronger version which applies to a wider class of boundary 1-…
Two fundamental objects in knot theory are the minimal genus surface and the least area surface bounded by a knot in a 3-dimensional manifold. When the knot is embedded in a general 3-manifold, the problems of finding these surfaces were shown to be NP-complete and NP-hard respectively. However, there is evidence that …
The bits-back argument suggests that latent variable models can be turned into lossless compression schemes. Translating the bits-back argument into efficient and practical lossless compression schemes for general latent variable models, however, is still an open problem. Bits-Back with Asymmetric Numeral Systems (BB-A…
Study challenges neural models in compositional learning tasks.
In this paper we show that for the purposes of dimensionality reduction certain class of structured random matrices behave similarly to random Gaussian matrices. This class includes several matrices for which matrix-vector multiply can be computed in log-linear time, providing efficient dimensionality reduction of gene…
The paper analyzes learning rates for non-irreducible Markov chains.
The asymptotic behavior of the stochastic gradient algorithm with a biased gradient estimator is analyzed. Relying on arguments based on the dynamic system theory (chain-recurrence) and the differential geometry (Yomdin theorem and Lojasiewicz inequality), tight bounds on the asymptotic bias of the iterates generated b…
The paper provides a new uniform tail bound for empirical processes.
New analysis of annealing paths in sampling and estimation.
The paper deals with regression problems, in which the nonsmooth target is assumed to switch between different operating modes. Specifically, piecewise smooth (PWS) regression considers target functions switching deterministically via a partition of the input space, while switching regression considers arbitrary switch…
New bounds show linear predictors rarely overfit with certain optimization methods.
Complete classification of rod complements in 3-torus using topology.
This paper tackles data-efficient nonlinear control in Hamiltonian systems using symplectic geometry.
Objective: To determine the completeness of argumentative steps necessary to conclude effectiveness of an algorithm in a sample of current ML/AI supervised learning literature. Data Sources: Papers published in the Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS, née NIPS) journal where the official record showed a 2017…
This article addresses the two significant aspects of Ozsváth and Szabó's knot Floer cube of resolutions that differentiate it from Khovanov and Rozansky's HOMFLY-PT chain complex: (1) the use of twisted coefficients and (2) the appearance of a mysterious non-local ideal. Our goal is to facilitate progress on Rasmussen…
In this work we address the problem of argument search. The purpose of argument search is the distillation of pro and contra arguments for requested topics from large text corpora. In previous works, the usual approach is to use a standard search engine to extract text parts which are relevant to the given topic and su…
New transport method simplifies cutoff phenomenon for Markov processes.
TD(0) with Polyak-Ruppert averaging achieves robust and fast convergence rates
We show that if K: P \to R is an autonomous Hamiltonian on a symplectic manifold (P,Ω) which attains 0 as a Morse-Bott nondegenerate minimum along a symplectic submanifold M, and if c_1(TP)|_M vanishes in real cohomology, then the Hamiltonian flow of K has contractible periodic orbits with bounded period on all suffici…
We prove the transversality result necessary for defining local Morse chain complexes with finite cyclic group symmetry. Our arguments use special regularized distance functions constructed using classical covering lemmas, and an inductive perturbation process indexed by the strata of the isotropy set. A global existen…
We construct four-dimensional symplectic cobordisms between contact three-manifolds generalizing an example of Eliashberg. One key feature is that any handlebody decomposition of one of these cobordisms must involve three-handles. The other key feature is that these cobordisms contain chains of symplectically embedded …
New framework controls generalization for heavy-tailed data in RLHF and SGLD.
Proves properties of instanton knot Floer homology and connected sum formula.
Study finds on-chain data can proxy off-chain cryptocurrency pricing.
The study connects monopole chains to Higgs bundles and classifies symmetric chains.
New proof of chain duality for simplicial complexes.
Develops new bounds for deterministic samplers in diffusion models.
Improves multi-label classification with a new network model.
It has been argued based on electric-magnetic duality and other ingredients that the Jones polynomial of a knot in three dimensions can be computed by counting the solutions of certain gauge theory equations in four dimensions. Here, we attempt to verify this directly by analyzing the equations and counting their solut…
Reduces identity testing of reversible Markov chains to simpler symmetric chain tests.
We present a new family of models that is based on graphs that may have undirected, directed and bidirected edges. We name these new models marginal AMP (MAMP) chain graphs because each of them is Markov equivalent to some AMP chain graph under marginalization of some of its nodes. However, MAMP chain graphs do not onl…
We introduce some chain maps between Khovanov complexes. Each of the chain maps commutes with a chain homotopy map and a retraction maps which obtain a Reidemeister invariance of Khovanov homology.
Mack's estimator improves chain ladder prediction for large exposure insurance models.
Polynomial invariants classify molecular chains based on their contact arrangements.
Unified Morse-Bott-Smale chain complex, resolves well-definedness issue.
This study aims to improve communication between fragmented blockchain systems in finance.
We analyze a new Markov chain model for better sampling and optimization.