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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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55109164218 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Censoring Unbiased Transformations

Develops new methods to estimate treatment effects in survival data with competing risks.

problem Estimating treatment effects in survival data with competing risks.
method Censoring Unbiased Transformations (CUTs) for survival outcomes with and without competing risks.
result Consistent estimates of heterogeneous cumulative incidence effects and total effects using HTE learners.

Boosting methods for interval-censored data improve predictive accuracy in survival analysis.

problem Handling interval-censored data in survival analysis and time-to-event studies.
method Nonparametric boosting methods using censoring unbiased transformations and functional gradient descent.
result Effective boosting methods for regression and classification with interval-censored data, offering robust performance.

The paper benchmarks OS with RCTs, accounting for right-censoring.

problem Benchmarking observational studies with experimental data under censoring.
method Two cases: independent and dependent censoring. Censoring-doubly-robust signal for CATE.
result Effectiveness of censoring-aware tests verified via experiments and real data.

New methods improve off-policy evaluation for survival outcomes with censoring.

problem Systematic underestimation of policy performance due to censoring bias in survival outcomes.
method Proposes IPCW-IPS and IPCW-DR to handle censoring bias in survival outcomes.
result The proposed methods are unbiased and achieve double robustness.

A censored transformed model for proportional outcomes with boundary mass and an application to loss given default modeling.

problem Modeling proportional outcomes with boundary mass in loss given default (LGD) modeling.
method Zero-one censored transformed normal (ZOC-TN) model.
result Captures a wider range of qualitative density shapes than benchmark models while being parsimonious, computationally efficient, and numerically stable.

SDPM models survival analysis without parametric assumptions, achieving competitive performance.

problem Estimating survival distributions from censored data with flexibility and accuracy.
method Generative model using denoising diffusion, avoiding parametric assumptions and discretization.
result SDPM achieves competitive predictive performance across various metrics.

DSL estimates heterogeneous treatment effects over time in survival settings.

problem Complicated by right censoring and time-varying treatment effects.
method Deep survival learner (DSL) for estimating CATEs over a clinically relevant time spectrum.
result DSL reveals heterogeneity in perioperative chemotherapy effects over time.

A new method for inventory control using in-context learning and generative models.

problem Inventory control with decision-dependent censoring, focusing on the censored newsvendor problem.
method In-context generative posterior sampling (ICGPS) combining modern generative models and in-context autoregressive generation.
result ICGPS achieves sublinear Bayesian regret for the censored newsvendor problem, outperforming existing methods.

Proposes a deep learning framework for interval-censored survival data.

problem Lack of deep learning methods for interval-censored survival data.
method Partially linear transformation models with DNN approximations for nonlinear effects.
result DNN estimator achieves minimax-optimal convergence and superior performance.

Proposes a new AFT model for nonlinear survival data.

problem Limited ability of classical AFT models to represent nonlinear relationships and handle complex covariate structures.
method Structured nonparametric extension using Kolmogorov--Arnold representations and unified censoring-adjusted losses.
result Method captures nonlinear effects and recovers linear structure when appropriate.

The Brier score is commonly used for evaluating probability predictions. In survival analysis, with right-censored observations of the event times, this score can be weighted by the inverse probability of censoring (IPCW) to retain its original interpretation. It is common practice to estimate the censoring distributio…

2019-12-18abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for discrete data normalizing flows using latent transformations.

problem Challenges in parameterizing bijective transformations for discrete data.
method Predict a distribution over latent transformations to make the marginal likelihood differentiable.
result Discrete-data normalizing flows can be trained using gradient-based learning with unbiased score function estimation.

This paper introduces a multi-output Gaussian process for censored data.

problem Modeling bias in censored data using correlations between multiple outputs.
method Heteroscedastic multi-output Gaussian process with input-dependent noise and variational inference.
result The model better estimates the true process under complex censoring dynamics.

DAERNN models censored data using neural networks with data augmentation.

problem Handling censored data in expectile regression.
method Data augmentation based Expectile Regression Neural Networks (ERNNs).
result DAERNN outperforms existing censored ERNNs methods and achieves comparable predictive performance to fully observed data.

Study improves risk evaluation timing with right-censored reporting delays.

problem Improving risk evaluation under short observation windows due to administrative censoring.
method Jointly models parametric hazards for event and reporting processes, uses Monte Carlo expectation-maximization algorithm, and proposes transfer-learning procedure.
result Improves accuracy of timely risk evaluation under administrative censoring.

New method generates synthetic survival data by conditioning on event times and censoring indicators.

problem Generating accurate synthetic survival data with censored event times.
method Conditioning covariates on event times and censoring indicators using existing tabular data generation models.
result Our method consistently outperforms baselines and improves survival model performance.

Random forests are powerful non-parametric regression method but are severely limited in their usage in the presence of randomly censored observations, and naively applied can exhibit poor predictive performance due to the incurred biases. Based on a local adaptive representation of random forests, we develop its regre…

2019-02-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Random forests are powerful non-parametric regression method but are severely limited in their usage in the presence of randomly censored observations, and naively applied can exhibit poor predictive performance due to the incurred biases. Based on a local adaptive representation of random forests, we develop its regre…

2020-01-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficient neural Bayes estimators for censored peaks-over-threshold models improve inference speed and accuracy.

problem Computational burden in inference with spatial extremal dependence models due to intractable or censored likelihoods.
method Developed neural Bayes estimators using data augmentation techniques to encode censoring information.
result Significant gains in computational and statistical efficiency compared to traditional methods.

A new method improves communication efficiency in distributed learning.

problem Reducing communication overhead in distributed machine learning.
method Transforming contractive compressors into induced unbiased compressors.
result Significant improvements in memory requirements and communication complexity.

Bayesian active learning method improved for censored regression data.

problem Challenges in estimating BALD for censored regression data.
method Derived entropy and mutual information for censored distributions, developed C\mathcal{C}-BALD objective, proposed novel modelling approach.
result Demonstrated C\mathcal{C}-BALD outperforms other methods in censored regression.

Transformers with linear space and time complexity for accurate attention estimation.

problem Efficiently estimating attention in large-scale tasks without relying on priors.
method Performers use Fast Attention Via positive Orthogonal Random features (FAVOR+) for linear approximation of softmax attention.
result Performers achieve competitive results on various tasks, demonstrating the effectiveness of their attention-learning approach.

Study on newsvendor problem with censored data, showing how much information is lost.

problem Minimizing costs in a newsvendor problem with limited historical demand data.
method Distributionally robust optimization framework, evaluating policies based on worst-case regret.
result Characterization of information loss due to demand censoring and development of a robust algorithm.

New estimator for survival function with missing not at random censoring indicators.

problem Estimating survival function with missing not at random censoring indicators.
method Proposes a new estimator based on a conditional copula model for the missingness mechanism.
result Provides a new method for estimating conditional survival function with MNAR censoring indicators.

Develops adaptive framework for estimating survival effects with censoring.

problem Estimating causal effects in survival data with censoring.
method Derives semiparametric efficiency bound, proposes efficiency-optimal allocation policy, and develops Adaptive Survival Estimator (ASE).
result ASE achieves asymptotic normality via martingale central limit theorem and demonstrates efficiency gains over uniform randomization.

The paper forecasts corporate distress using a novel MIDAS logistic regression method.

problem Forecasting corporate distress with right-censored data, high-dimensional predictors, and mixed-frequency data.
method The paper introduces a novel high-dimensional censored MIDAS logistic regression method that handles censoring through inverse probability weighting and employs a sparse-group penalty for mixed-frequency predictors.
result The method achieves accurate estimation and superior performance in predicting financial distress of Chinese-listed firms.

In this paper, we analyze energy-harvesting adaptive diffusion networks for a distributed estimation problem. In order to wisely manage the available energy resources, we propose a scheme where a censoring algorithm is jointly applied over the diffusion strategy. An energy-aware variation of a diffusion algorithm is us…

2015-09-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops HCQRF for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects with censored data.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects on censored responses with high-dimensional variables.
method Hybrid Censored Quantile Regression Forest (HCQRF) combining random forests and censored quantile regression.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness and stability of HCQRF through simulation studies and real-world application.

MISTR improves HTE estimation in survival data with heavy censoring and instrumental variables.

problem Estimating HTE in survival data with censoring and unobserved confounders.
method MISTR uses recursively imputed survival trees to handle censoring and instrumental variables.
result MISTR outperforms existing methods under heavy censoring and instrumental variable settings.

Paper addresses generalization error bounds for learning with censored feedback.

problem Impact of censored feedback on generalization error bounds.
method Derives an extension of DKW inequality for non-IID data due to censored feedback and uses it to bound generalization error.
result Existing generalization error bounds fail to account for censored feedback, necessitating new bounds.

The paper addresses bias in survival analysis due to informative censoring.

problem Bias in treatment effect estimates due to informative censoring in survival analysis.
method Assumption-lean framework using partial identification to derive bounds on CATE.
result Proposes a meta-learner, SurvB-learner, to estimate bounds on CATE.

Paper studies community detection in censored hypergraphs using information theory.

problem Community detection in censored hypergraphs with missing values.
method Information-theoretic approach, polynomial-time algorithm, spectral algorithm with refinement.
result Derives information-theoretic threshold for exact recovery of community structure.