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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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3747481,1221,496 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Censored Functional Data

Bayesian optimization (BO) aims to minimize a given blackbox function using a model that is updated whenever new evidence about the function becomes available. Here, we address the problem of BO under partially right-censored response data, where in some evaluations we only obtain a lower bound on the function value. T…

2013-10-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Boosting methods for interval-censored data improve predictive accuracy in survival analysis.

problem Handling interval-censored data in survival analysis and time-to-event studies.
method Nonparametric boosting methods using censoring unbiased transformations and functional gradient descent.
result Effective boosting methods for regression and classification with interval-censored data, offering robust performance.

New estimator for survival function with missing not at random censoring indicators.

problem Estimating survival function with missing not at random censoring indicators.
method Proposes a new estimator based on a conditional copula model for the missingness mechanism.
result Provides a new method for estimating conditional survival function with MNAR censoring indicators.

This paper introduces a multi-output Gaussian process for censored data.

problem Modeling bias in censored data using correlations between multiple outputs.
method Heteroscedastic multi-output Gaussian process with input-dependent noise and variational inference.
result The model better estimates the true process under complex censoring dynamics.

Research uses deep learning and copulas to predict multivariate survival data.

problem Handling right-censored and correlated multivariate survival data.
method Integrates deep learning, copula functions, and survival analysis. Uses copula-based activation functions to model nonlinear dependencies.
result Enhanced prediction accuracy for multivariate survival responses.

Estimates conditional distribution function using neural networks for censored and uncensored data.

problem Estimating conditional distribution function for censored and uncensored data.
method Neural network algorithm based on Cox regression with time-dependent covariates, using full likelihood with unconstrained optimization.
result Proposed method yields more accurate estimates than existing methods when model assumptions are violated.

ICODEN models survival data with interval-censored times using neural networks and ODEs.

problem Predicting time-to-event outcomes with interval-censored data, especially when models require strong assumptions or cannot handle high-dimensional predictors.
method ICODEN uses ordinary differential equations and deep neural networks to model the hazard function and cumulative hazard without proportional hazards assumption.
result ICODEN achieves satisfactory predictive accuracy across various simulation and real-world applications, handling high-dimensional predictors robustly.

Bayesian active learning method improved for censored regression data.

problem Challenges in estimating BALD for censored regression data.
method Derived entropy and mutual information for censored distributions, developed C\mathcal{C}-BALD objective, proposed novel modelling approach.
result Demonstrated C\mathcal{C}-BALD outperforms other methods in censored regression.

Develops HCQRF for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects with censored data.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects on censored responses with high-dimensional variables.
method Hybrid Censored Quantile Regression Forest (HCQRF) combining random forests and censored quantile regression.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness and stability of HCQRF through simulation studies and real-world application.

Proposes a deep learning framework for interval-censored survival data.

problem Lack of deep learning methods for interval-censored survival data.
method Partially linear transformation models with DNN approximations for nonlinear effects.
result DNN estimator achieves minimax-optimal convergence and superior performance.

DAERNN models censored data using neural networks with data augmentation.

problem Handling censored data in expectile regression.
method Data augmentation based Expectile Regression Neural Networks (ERNNs).
result DAERNN outperforms existing censored ERNNs methods and achieves comparable predictive performance to fully observed data.

New method uses neural networks for estimating survival functions from censored data.

problem Estimating conditional survival functions from censored time-to-event data with complex predictors.
method Generative adversarial networks leveraging self-consistent equations, without parametric assumptions.
result Established the convergence rate of the proposed estimator.

Proposes a new AFT model for nonlinear survival data.

problem Limited ability of classical AFT models to represent nonlinear relationships and handle complex covariate structures.
method Structured nonparametric extension using Kolmogorov--Arnold representations and unified censoring-adjusted losses.
result Method captures nonlinear effects and recovers linear structure when appropriate.

New method generates synthetic survival data by conditioning on event times and censoring indicators.

problem Generating accurate synthetic survival data with censored event times.
method Conditioning covariates on event times and censoring indicators using existing tabular data generation models.
result Our method consistently outperforms baselines and improves survival model performance.

Develops adaptive framework for estimating survival effects with censoring.

problem Estimating causal effects in survival data with censoring.
method Derives semiparametric efficiency bound, proposes efficiency-optimal allocation policy, and develops Adaptive Survival Estimator (ASE).
result ASE achieves asymptotic normality via martingale central limit theorem and demonstrates efficiency gains over uniform randomization.

BENK estimates treatment effects with neural kernels for censored data.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects with censored time-to-event data.
method Proposes a method using the Beran estimator with neural kernels for survival functions.
result Shows improved accuracy compared to existing methods in various scenarios.

The Brier score is commonly used for evaluating probability predictions. In survival analysis, with right-censored observations of the event times, this score can be weighted by the inverse probability of censoring (IPCW) to retain its original interpretation. It is common practice to estimate the censoring distributio…

2019-12-18abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper benchmarks OS with RCTs, accounting for right-censoring.

problem Benchmarking observational studies with experimental data under censoring.
method Two cases: independent and dependent censoring. Censoring-doubly-robust signal for CATE.
result Effectiveness of censoring-aware tests verified via experiments and real data.

Log-concavity proven for multinomial likelihoods under specific constraints.

problem Log-concavity of multinomial likelihoods under interval censoring constraints.
method Proved log-concavity by showing M-convex subsets of the discrete simplex.
result Likelihood function is completely log-concave.

New survival learners estimate heterogeneous treatment effects from time-to-event data.

problem Estimating HTEs from time-to-event data with censoring outcomes.
method Orthogonal survival learners with theoretical guarantees and custom weighting functions.
result Orthogonal survival learners provide robust and model-agnostic HTE estimation.

Paper addresses generalization error bounds for learning with censored feedback.

problem Impact of censored feedback on generalization error bounds.
method Derives an extension of DKW inequality for non-IID data due to censored feedback and uses it to bound generalization error.
result Existing generalization error bounds fail to account for censored feedback, necessitating new bounds.

Study on newsvendor problem with censored data, showing how much information is lost.

problem Minimizing costs in a newsvendor problem with limited historical demand data.
method Distributionally robust optimization framework, evaluating policies based on worst-case regret.
result Characterization of information loss due to demand censoring and development of a robust algorithm.

New methods improve off-policy evaluation for survival outcomes with censoring.

problem Systematic underestimation of policy performance due to censoring bias in survival outcomes.
method Proposes IPCW-IPS and IPCW-DR to handle censoring bias in survival outcomes.
result The proposed methods are unbiased and achieve double robustness.

Paper develops a neural network method for censored survival analysis.

problem Distribution-free quantile prediction for censored survival data.
method Develops a novel neural network algorithm for simultaneous quantile optimization.
result The algorithm produces better calibrated quantiles on real datasets.

MISTR improves HTE estimation in survival data with heavy censoring and instrumental variables.

problem Estimating HTE in survival data with censoring and unobserved confounders.
method MISTR uses recursively imputed survival trees to handle censoring and instrumental variables.
result MISTR outperforms existing methods under heavy censoring and instrumental variable settings.

Efficient neural Bayes estimators for censored peaks-over-threshold models improve inference speed and accuracy.

problem Computational burden in inference with spatial extremal dependence models due to intractable or censored likelihoods.
method Developed neural Bayes estimators using data augmentation techniques to encode censoring information.
result Significant gains in computational and statistical efficiency compared to traditional methods.

Random forests are powerful non-parametric regression method but are severely limited in their usage in the presence of randomly censored observations, and naively applied can exhibit poor predictive performance due to the incurred biases. Based on a local adaptive representation of random forests, we develop its regre…

2019-02-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Random forests are powerful non-parametric regression method but are severely limited in their usage in the presence of randomly censored observations, and naively applied can exhibit poor predictive performance due to the incurred biases. Based on a local adaptive representation of random forests, we develop its regre…

2020-01-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper forecasts corporate distress using a novel MIDAS logistic regression method.

problem Forecasting corporate distress with right-censored data, high-dimensional predictors, and mixed-frequency data.
method The paper introduces a novel high-dimensional censored MIDAS logistic regression method that handles censoring through inverse probability weighting and employs a sparse-group penalty for mixed-frequency predictors.
result The method achieves accurate estimation and superior performance in predicting financial distress of Chinese-listed firms.

Develops a Bayesian method for causal inference with partly censored time-to-event data.

problem Estimating causal effects with unobserved confounders and measurement errors in partly censored time-to-event data.
method Semiparametric Bayesian instrumental variable analysis using a two-stage Dirichlet process mixture model.
result The proposed method outperforms competing methods in simulations and real-world data analysis.

Develops new methods to estimate treatment effects in survival data with competing risks.

problem Estimating treatment effects in survival data with competing risks.
method Censoring Unbiased Transformations (CUTs) for survival outcomes with and without competing risks.
result Consistent estimates of heterogeneous cumulative incidence effects and total effects using HTE learners.

Survival analysis is a type of semi-supervised ranking task where the target output (the survival time) is often right-censored. Utilizing this information is a challenge because it is not obvious how to correctly incorporate these censored examples into a model. We study how three categories of loss functions, namely …

2018-06-06abs ↗pdf ↗

auton-survival simplifies survival analysis for healthcare data.

problem Handling censored time-to-event data in healthcare.
method Open-source package for survival regression, adjustment, counterfactual estimation, phenotyping, and treatment effects.
result Demonstrates auton-survival's ability to support complex health and epidemiological questions.

HACSurv models dependencies between competing risks and censoring for improved survival analysis.

problem Inaccurate survival predictions due to ignoring dependencies between competing risks and censoring.
method HACSurv uses hierarchical Archimedean copulas to model dependencies and cause-specific survival functions.
result HACSurv improves accuracy in survival predictions and captures complex risk interactions.

We develop a model to cluster time-series data with interval censoring, improving disease phenotyping.

problem Noise and interval censoring hinder clustering in disease phenotyping.
method Deep generative, continuous-time model that clusters time-series data while correcting for censorship.
result Our model corrects for interval censoring and recovers known clinical subtypes.