Deep learning method infers causal interactions from data.
problem Causal inference from observational data.
method Transform input vectors to NEPDFs, train CNN on NEPDFs.
result Improves upon prior methods for causal inference.
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,695 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “Causal convolutional network”
Transformers predict price movements from limit order books.
problem Predicting price movements from limit order books.
method Causal convolutional network with masked self-attention.
result Significantly outperforms existing architectures on FI-2010 dataset.
New method allows real-time audio synthesis using non-causal convolutions.
problem Real-time audio synthesis limitations due to offline model constraints.
method Post-training reconfiguration of non-causal models for real-time buffer-based processing.
result Non-causal streaming models can be transformed from offline-trained models without quality loss.
Decomposes financial networks to reveal cause-effect hierarchies during crises.
problem Complex financial networks are hard to interpret due to Granger causality.
method Helmholtz-Hodge-Kodaira decomposition to separate networks into rotational and gradient components.
result Precious metals and pharmaceutical products are identified as causal drivers during crises.
Rolling Forward: Enhancing LightGCN with Causal Graph Convolution for Credit Bond Recommendationcs.IR
Enhances LightGCN for credit bond recommendations with dynamic node embeddings.
problem Challenges in static embeddings for rapidly evolving user interests in finance.
method Causal graph convolution for dynamic node embeddings over chronological user-item interactions.
result Significantly enhances LightGCN performance in financial product recommendations.
DISTANA predicts and denoises spatial wave dynamics.
problem Identifying causality in spatially distributed, non-linear dynamical processes.
method Generative, recurrent graph convolution neural network architecture (DISTANA).
result DISTANA outperforms alternative approaches in denoising and predicting complex spatial wave propagation.
CausAdv detects adversarial examples using causal reasoning.
problem Vulnerability of CNNs to adversarial perturbations.
method Causal framework based on counterfactual reasoning.
result Adversarial examples exhibit different CI distributions compared to clean samples.
Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) with dilated filters such as the Wavenet or the Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) have shown good results in a variety of sequence modelling tasks. However, efficiently modelling long-term dependencies in these sequences is still challenging. Although the receptive field of these…
Framework combines HMM and MTGCN for spatiotemporal causal inference in clinical data.
problem Challenges in observing direct treatment effects in clinical domains.
method Integrates Hidden Markov Model and Multi Task and Multi Graph Convolutional Network for spatiotemporal data.
result Advances predictive causal inference by structurally adapting to spatiotemporal complexities.
EPNE models evolving network patterns for better predictions.
problem Capturing evolving patterns in dynamic networks.
method EPNE models temporal network evolution using causal convolutions and a temporal objective function.
result EPNE outperforms other methods in various prediction tasks.
This work investigates how GCNs should handle local structure discrepancies in testing nodes.
problem GCNs assume homophily but real graphs often have discrepancies in local structure.
method Using causal graph analysis, the study intervenes the graph structure to assess the local structure's impact on predictions.
result The method effectively enhances GCN predictions by eliminating local structure discrepancies.
CNN improves causal inference by controlling time-structured covariates.
problem Estimating the effect of early retirement on health outcomes while controlling for time-structured covariates.
method Used CNN to fit nuisance models explaining treatment and outcome, combining them into an augmented inverse probability weighting estimator.
result Uniformly valid inference achieved through CNN, providing rates of convergence and uniformly valid inference guarantees.
Graph neural networks integrate causal knowledge for more accurate uplift modeling.
problem Identifying the most effective treatments and clients for marketing interventions.
method Combining graph neural networks with causal knowledge to estimate uplift values.
result The proposed method outperforms traditional approaches in predicting uplift values with minimal errors.
DeepMatch: Balancing Deep Covariate Representations for Causal Inference Using Adversarial Trainingstat.ML
We study optimal covariate balance for causal inferences from observational data when rich covariates and complex relationships necessitate flexible modeling with neural networks. Standard approaches such as propensity weighting and matching/balancing fail in such settings due to miscalibrated propensity nets and inapp…
IAE extracts innovations sequences for non-Gaussian processes.
problem Extracting innovations sequences for non-Gaussian processes.
method Causal convolutional neural network.
result IAE effectively detects anomalies in non-Gaussian data.
We present a probabilistic forecasting framework based on convolutional neural network for multiple related time series forecasting. The framework can be applied to estimate probability density under both parametric and non-parametric settings. More specifically, stacked residual blocks based on dilated causal convolut…
Transcriptomics response of SK-N-AS cells to methamidophos (an acetylcholine esterase inhibitor) exposure was measured at 10 time points between 0.5 and 48 h. The data was analyzed using a combination of traditional statistical methods and novel machine learning algorithms for detecting anomalous behavior and infer cau…
New method uses neural networks to forecast spatial-temporal data.
problem Probabilistic forecasting of spatio-temporal data with causal structure.
method MMAF-guided learning with ensemble of stochastic feed-forward neural networks.
result Forecasting remains calibrated across multiple time horizons.
New model captures long-range patterns in sequences efficiently.
problem Efficiently capturing long-range patterns in sequential data.
method Inspired by wavelet multiresolution analysis, introduces MultiresLayer with multiresolution convolution.
result State-of-the-art performance on sequence classification and autoregressive density estimation tasks.
New method uses MMAF-guided learning for spatio-temporal probabilistic forecasts.
problem Probabilistic forecasting of spatio-temporal data with causal structure.
method Generalized Bayesian methodology, MMAF-guided learning, ensemble of stochastic feed-forward neural networks.
result Forecast performance comparable to, and sometimes better than, deep learning architectures.
We present a new convolutional neural network-based time-series model. Typical convolutional neural network (CNN) architectures rely on the use of max-pooling operators in between layers, which leads to reduced resolution at the top layers. Instead, in this work we consider a fully convolutional network (FCN) architect…
Improved model for non-smooth signals with complex spectra.
problem Current models struggle with non-smooth signals and complex spectral structures.
method CGPCM and RGPCM models with causality and Bayesian nonparametric interpretations, improved variational inference.
result Proposed models show better performance on synthetic and real-world data.
Autoregressive generative models consistently achieve the best results in density estimation tasks involving high dimensional data, such as images or audio. They pose density estimation as a sequence modeling task, where a recurrent neural network (RNN) models the conditional distribution over the next element conditio…
We present the Causal Gaussian Process Convolution Model (CGPCM), a doubly nonparametric model for causal, spectrally complex dynamical phenomena. The CGPCM is a generative model in which white noise is passed through a causal, nonparametric-window moving-average filter, a construction that we show to be equivalent to …
DeepVol uses high-frequency data to forecast volatility, outperforming traditional methods.
problem Improving volatility forecasting using high-frequency data.
method Dilated Causal Convolutions applied to high-frequency financial time-series.
result DeepVol outperforms traditional methods in forecasting day-ahead volatility.
From Dependence to Causationstat.ML
Machine learning is the science of discovering statistical dependencies in data, and the use of those dependencies to perform predictions. During the last decade, machine learning has made spectacular progress, surpassing human performance in complex tasks such as object recognition, car driving, and computer gaming. H…
SKI speeds up Toeplitz Neural Networks by avoiding explicit decay bias and using frequency response.
problem Efficiently compute and update Toeplitz matrices in neural networks.
method Sparse plus low-rank decomposition, asymmetric SKI, frequency response modeling.
result Achieved significant speedup with minimal performance loss.
Recently, there is increasing interest and research on the interpretability of machine learning models, for example how they transform and internally represent EEG signals in Brain-Computer Interface (BCI) applications. This can help to understand the limits of the model and how it may be improved, in addition to possi…
RDL-Net improves speech enhancement with fewer parameters and better performance.
problem Improving speech enhancement with fewer parameters and better performance.
method Proposes RDL-Net, a CNN combining residual and dense aggregations without over-allocating parameters.
result RDL-Net achieves higher speech enhancement performance with fewer parameters and lower computational requirements.
Generalization of deep networks has been of great interest in recent years, resulting in a number of theoretically and empirically motivated complexity measures. However, most papers proposing such measures study only a small set of models, leaving open the question of whether the conclusion drawn from those experiment…
Reinterprets Granger causality with causal Bayesian networks and Reichenbach's principles.
problem Lack of a rigorous causal foundation in Granger causality.
method Reinterpreting Granger causality through Reichenbach's principles and causal Bayesian networks, implementing as c-GC.
result c-GC provides a more principled framework for causal discovery in observational datasets.
Deep learning improves credit risk assessment without new data.
problem Improving credit risk assessment in banking without new data.
method Sequential deep learning using temporal convolutional networks.
result Sequential deep learning outperformed tree-based models in credit risk assessment.
Proposes DCNAR for dynamic causal inference from neural time series.
problem Uncertainty and evolution of causal structure in real-world domains.
method Two-stage neural causal modeling integrating discovery and inference.
result Dynamic causal inferences are more stable and meaningful than alternatives.
Predicting Cellular Responses with Variational Causal Inference and Refined Relational Informationcs.LG
Novel framework predicts cell responses to perturbations using GRNs.
problem Predicting cellular responses to perturbations for drug discovery and personalized therapeutics.
method Graph variational Bayesian causal inference framework with refined GRNs and robust estimator.
result Enhanced model performance and robust estimation of perturbation effects.
New method quantifies intrinsic causal contributions in neural networks.
problem Measuring the causal influence of input features in deep neural networks.
method Proposes an identifiable generative post-hoc framework to quantify intrinsic causal contributions (ICC) as structural causal models.
result ICC generates more intuitive and reliable explanations compared to existing global explanation techniques.
Graph neural networks help infer causal effects from partially observable data.
problem Inferring causal effects from partially observable data.
method Theoretical analysis of GNN and SCM connections.
result Established a new model class for GNN-based causal inference.
CRN learns causal models using neural networks, scaling with variables and leveraging prior knowledge.
problem Challenges in learning causal models, especially scalability and leveraging prior knowledge.
method Causal Relational Networks (CRN) using continuous representations and previously learned information.
result CRN achieves high accuracy and quick adaptation to new causal models on synthetic data.
CgNN uses network structure as IVs to estimate causal effects in networks.
problem Hidden confounders complicate causal effect estimation in network data.
method CgNN combines GNNs and attention mechanisms to leverage network structure as IVs.
result CgNN effectively mitigates hidden confounder bias and improves causal effect estimation.
Blog post comparing neural network methods for causal inference.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in causal inference.
method Developed and compared a fully connected neural network implementation of Bayesian Causal Forest.
result Improvements in performance in simulation settings.
Causal Deep Learningcs.LG
Causal deep learning tackles causal inference using tensor factor analysis.
problem Addressing causal questions in data using neural networks.
method Tensor factor analysis and neural network architectures (causal capsules, tensor transformer, multilinear projection algorithm).
result Derives deep neural networks for causal inference with tensor factor analysis.
Although deep learning models have been successfully applied to a variety of tasks, due to the millions of parameters, they are becoming increasingly opaque and complex. In order to establish trust for their widespread commercial use, it is important to formalize a principled framework to reason over these models. In t…
Interpretable model for Granger causality using neural networks.
problem Inferring Granger causality in complex dynamical systems.
method Extension of self-explaining neural networks for multivariate Granger causality.
result Framework performs on par with baseline methods and better at inferring interaction signs.
New neural network approach for optimizing latent variable models.
problem Stability issues in marginalizing Gaussian Bayesian networks.
method Developed a new graphical structure and a neural network algorithm.
result Established a duality between parameter optimization and neural network training.
Deep Causal Graphs model complex causal relationships using neural networks.
problem Limited applicability of parametric causal models to real-life datasets with non-linear relationships.
method Deep Causal Graphs, an abstract specification for neural networks to model causal distributions.
result Demonstrates expressive power in modelling complex interactions and provides true causal counterfactuals.
A neural network finds causal relationships among latent variables.
problem Learning causal structure among latent variables in high-dimensional data.
method Redundant Input Neural Network (RINN) with modified architecture and regularized objective function.
result The RINN method successfully recovers latent causal structure between input and output variables.
Convolutional networks outperform fully-connected ones in certain tasks.
problem Understanding the computational advantage of convolutional networks over fully-connected networks.
method Demonstrated a computational advantage through a specific problem class.
result Convolutional networks can solve certain problems that fully-connected networks cannot, even with gradient descent.
New method uses entropy to generate multiple plausible causal maps.
problem Learning causal relationships from noisy data can lead to artifacts in DAGs.
method Entropy-based inference to generate an ensemble of plausible causal graphs.
result Multiple causal maps consistent with underlying data variability.
A new algorithm infers causal networks from data using topological thresholds.
problem Inferring causal networks from data.
method Two methods for determining topological thresholds: one to leave no disconnected nodes, the other to find a causal large connected component.
result The novel algorithm is faster and more accurate than the PC algorithm.