iCITRIS learns causal variables from interactive systems with instantaneous effects.
problem Identifying causal variables from temporal sequences with instantaneous effects.
method iCITRIS method for causal representation learning that handles instantaneous effects in intervened temporal sequences.
result iCITRIS accurately identifies causal variables and their causal graph from three interactive system datasets.
CtrlNS learns latent factors and distribution shifts from sparse transitions without prior knowledge.
problem Lack of prior knowledge of domain variables limits causal temporal representation learning.
method Sparse transition assumption and identifiability results from theoretical perspective.
result Effective in identifying distribution shifts and latent factors without prior knowledge.
Paper develops a method for causal representation learning from irregular tensors.
problem Complex patterns in high-dimensional, irregular tensor data.
method Novel causal formulation and CaRTeD framework integrating temporal causal representation learning with irregular tensor decomposition.
result Framework provides theoretical guarantees and outperforms state-of-the-art techniques.
New framework TDRL identifies latent causal variables from sequential data.
problem Identify latent causal variables from sequential data.
method Proposes TDRL framework to recover time-delayed latent causal variables and identify their relations from measured sequential data.
result Identifies latent causal variables reliably from sequential data.
New method disentangles latent variables in nonstationary data.
problem Disentangling latent variables in nonstationary sequential data.
method NCTRL framework exploiting Markov assumption and temporal structure.
result Independent latent components can be recovered from nonlinear mixture without auxiliary variables.
New method identifies causal relationships without strong assumptions.
problem Causal Representation Learning (CRL) is ill-posed due to representation and causal discovery issues.
method Identifiability based on grouping of observational variables, self-supervised estimation framework.
result Practical identifiability conditions without temporal structure, interventions, or weak supervision.
New framework IDOL identifies latent causal processes with instantaneous relations from time series data.
problem Identifying latent causal processes with instantaneous relations from time series data.
method Sparse influence constraint and variational inference architecture with sparsity regularization.
result Our method can identify latent causal processes with instantaneous relations.
Modeling complex systems with multi-resolution data and causal dependencies.
problem Accurate prediction of complex systems with varying causal dependencies and multi-resolution data.
method Score-based Variational Graphical Diffusion Model (Temporal-SVGDM) that constructs individual SDEs for each variable at its native resolution and couples them through a causal score mechanism.
result Improved prediction accuracy and causal understanding compared to existing methods, especially in temporal scenarios.
TV-SurvCaus improves causal inference for dynamic treatments in survival analysis.
problem Estimating causal effects of time-varying treatments on survival outcomes.
method Representation balancing techniques extended to time-varying treatment regimes with survival outcomes.
result TV-SurvCaus outperforms existing methods in estimating individualized treatment effects with time-varying covariates and treatments.
Unified multilinear model for causal factor disentanglement.
problem Disentangling causal factors from complex data without direct manipulation.
method Hierarchical block multilinear factorization (M-mode Block SVD) and incremental approach.
result Interpretable object representation robust to occlusion and reduced training data.
SYNC learns time-aware causal representations to improve model generalization in evolving domains.
problem Spurious correlations and shortcut learning in existing EDG methods hinder model generalization.
method SYNC integrates dynamic causal factors and causal mechanism drifts into a sequential VAE framework.
result SYNC achieves superior temporal generalization performance on synthetic and real-world datasets.
CAWs learn temporal network dynamics without node identities or edge attributes.
problem Learning temporal network dynamics without node identities or edge attributes.
method Causal Anonymous Walks (CAWs) using temporal random walks and hitting counts.
result CAW-N outperforms previous methods in predicting links over 6 real temporal networks.
Algorithm learns causal structures from time-series data, reducing tests for temporal vs. contemporaneous relations.
problem Learning causal structures from time-series data with latent confounders.
method Constraint-based algorithm that refines a causal graph by learning temporal relations first, then contemporaneous ones.
result Reduces the number of statistical tests and improves accuracy for synthetic and real-world data.
LEAP identifies latent causal variables from temporal data.
problem Recovering time-delayed latent causal variables from general temporal data.
method Proposes LEAP, a framework that extends VAEs with constraints for temporally causal latent processes.
result Successfully identifies temporally causal latent processes from observed variables under various dependency structures.
Study identifies causal relationships without direct supervision from unknown interventions.
problem Identify causal relationships from unknown interventions without direct supervision.
method General nonparametric setting with multiple datasets from unknown interventions.
result Identify ground truth latents and causal graph up to ambiguities.
New approach for causal inference with interdependent, time-varying latent confounders.
problem Estimating causal effects with interdependent, time-varying latent confounders.
method Variational estimation with a representer theorem and random input space.
result Demonstrates effectiveness on various temporal datasets.
Temporal Causal Prior-Data Fitted Networks (TCPFN) for industrial time series causal discovery
problem Estimating causal effects in industrial time series
method Temporal Causal Prior-Data Fitted Networks
result Zero-shot causal discovery with explicit reliability signals
New model infers causal relationships from spatio-temporal data, even with unobserved confounders.
problem Challenges in inferring causal relationships from spatio-temporal data due to unobserved confounders.
method Spatio-Temporal Hierarchical Causal Models (ST-HCMs) that extend hierarchical causal modeling to the spatio-temporal domain, using the Spatio-Temporal Collapse Theorem.
result Validated the effectiveness of ST-HCMs on both synthetic and real-world datasets, demonstrating robust causal inference in complex dynamic systems.
Proposes FSM-IRL to learn invariant network representations considering feature and structural shifts.
problem Spatial heterogeneity and temporal dynamics lead to OOD generalization issues in geographic networks.
method Introduces FSM-IRL model that accounts for feature and structural distribution shifts using causal attention and reweighting.
result Demonstrates strong learning capabilities on geographic and social network datasets in OOD scenarios.
Proposes DR-ACI for causal effect intervals with temporal dependence.
problem Causal effect intervals under temporal dependence.
method Doubly robust adaptive conformal inference (DR-ACI).
result Constructs prediction intervals for causal effects.
Framework LiLY recovers latent causal variables from time-series data under distribution shifts.
problem Learning and correcting models under unknown distribution shifts in time-series data.
method LiLY framework that recovers latent causal variables and identifies their relations from temporal data under different distribution shifts.
result The framework reliably identifies time-delayed latent causal influences from observed variables under different distribution changes.
Proposes a new model for online anomaly detection in multivariate time series.
problem Inaccurate anomaly detection in multivariate time series due to spurious correlations and lack of temporal causality.
method Clusters channels based on correlations, embeds each cluster, and integrates information through a causal mixer while maintaining temporal causality.
result Consistently superior performance across six public benchmark datasets.
CauSTream forecasts streamflow by integrating causal graphs for better interpretability.
problem Streamflow forecasting lacks interpretability and generalization due to fixed causal models.
method CauSTream learns causal graphs for meteorological forcings and routing dependencies.
result CauSTream outperforms existing methods, especially at longer forecast windows.
New method uses MMAF-guided learning for spatio-temporal probabilistic forecasts.
problem Probabilistic forecasting of spatio-temporal data with causal structure.
method Generalized Bayesian methodology, MMAF-guided learning, ensemble of stochastic feed-forward neural networks.
result Forecast performance comparable to, and sometimes better than, deep learning architectures.
New method uses neural networks to forecast spatial-temporal data.
problem Probabilistic forecasting of spatio-temporal data with causal structure.
method MMAF-guided learning with ensemble of stochastic feed-forward neural networks.
result Forecasting remains calibrated across multiple time horizons.
New model tackles complex spatio-temporal causal inference with dynamic confounders and functional data.
problem Complex spatio-temporal dynamics and unmeasured confounders hinder causal inference.
method PFD-BDCM, a unified generative framework for spatio-temporal dependencies, functional data, and dynamic confounding.
result PFD-BDCM outperforms existing methods across observational, interventional, and counterfactual queries.
Transformer-based method for causal discovery with prior knowledge integration.
problem Complex nonlinear dependencies and spurious correlations in time series data.
method Multi-layer Transformer forecaster with gradient-based causal structure extraction and attention masking for prior knowledge integration.
result Significant improvement in causal discovery and causal lag estimation compared to state-of-the-art methods.
TCFimt forecasts causal effects of multiple interventions from individual data.
problem Estimating causal effects of temporal multi-interventions from individual data.
method TCFimt uses adversarial tasks in seq2seq framework to alleviate bias and contrastive learning to decouple effects.
result TCFimt outperforms state-of-the-art methods in predicting future outcomes and choosing optimal treatments.
Neural Spacetimes learn DAGs by embedding nodes in a spacetime manifold.
problem Learning representations of weighted directed acyclic graphs (DAGs).
method Trainable deep learning-based geometries (Neural Spacetimes) that encode both edge weights and causality.
result Universal embedding theorem for DAGs with sub-cubic parameters and low distortion.
Develops methods to answer counterfactual questions in temporal point processes.
problem Lack of counterfactual analysis in temporal point process models.
method Causal model of thinning based on Gumbel-Max structural causal model, superposition theorem, and sampling algorithm.
result Simulation of counterfactual realizations provides valuable insights for targeted interventions.
New algorithm speeds up causal discovery for network data.
problem Scalability issues in score-matching for temporal network data.
method Developed a new parent-finding subroutine for DAGs, improving score matching efficiency.
result Efficiency-lifted score matching for both i.i.d. and temporal data on networks.
Study integrates causal inference and temporal complexity measures to analyze mental health symptoms.
problem Examining how individual symptom trajectories reveal diagnostic patterns in mental disorders.
method Causal inference, graph analysis, temporal complexity measures, machine learning.
result 91% accuracy in diagnosing symptom dynamics, highlighting disorder-specific causal mechanisms.
DeepCausalMMM models marketing impacts using deep learning and causal inference.
problem Traditional MMM approaches struggle with non-linear dynamics and temporal patterns.
method Combines deep learning, causal inference, and marketing science. Uses GRUs for temporal patterns and DAG structure for channel dependencies.
result Captures non-linear dynamics and temporal patterns in marketing impacts.
The paper shows how to learn causal representations with few environments and finite samples.
problem Learning causal representations from limited data and environments.
method Explicit, finite-sample guarantees with a logarithmic number of interventions.
result Consistent recovery of latent causal graph, mixing matrix, and unknown intervention targets.
CaT-GNN improves credit card fraud detection by integrating causal reasoning into GNNs.
problem Credit card fraud detection overlooks causal structure of transactions.
method CaT-GNN combines causal invariant learning and temporal graph neural networks.
result CaT-GNN outperforms existing methods on various datasets.
The paper introduces Causal Neural Operators to approximate operators in stochastic analysis.
problem Leveraging temporal structure in non-linear operators for deep learning models.
method Designing a deep learning model framework for infinite-dimensional linear metric spaces.
result Causal Neural Operators can uniformly approximate Hölder or smooth trace class operators.
Unpaired multi-domain causal representation learning is possible with sufficient conditions.
problem Learning shared causal representation from unpaired data across domains.
method Identify sufficient conditions for joint distribution and shared causal graph recovery.
result Practical method to recover shared latent causal graph from marginal distributions.
A model learns causal representations from high-dimensional data.
problem Challenges in learning causal representations from high-dimensional data.
method Formulated a latent variable decoder model, Decoder BCD, for Bayesian causal discovery.
result Shows that using known intervention targets as labels helps in unsupervised Bayesian inference over structure and parameters.
AnomalyCD discovers anomaly causes in large systems with binary flags, reducing computational burden.
problem Learning graphical causal models from large-scale binary anomaly data is computationally expensive.
method AnomalyCD uses anomaly data-aware causality testing, sparse data compression, and edge pruning.
result AnomalyCD reduces computation overhead and improves accuracy on binary anomaly datasets.
New framework learns disentangled causal representations from observed labels.
problem Learning meaningful disentangled causal representations from observed data.
method ICM-VAE framework using flow-based diffeomorphic functions and causal disentanglement prior.
result Induces highly disentangled causal factors and improves robustness.
Unified framework for representation and causal structure learning using exchangeable data.
problem Identifying latent representations or causal structures in non-i.i.d. data.
method Identifiable Exchangeable Mechanisms (IEM) framework for representation and structure learning.
result New insights and identifiability results for causal structure and representation learning.
Aggregation distorts causal discovery results but recovery is possible with partial linearity or prior.
problem Understanding how temporal aggregation affects causal discovery in aggregated data.
method Functional consistency and conditional independence consistency methods.
result Causal discovery results may be distorted by aggregation, but recovery is possible with certain conditions.
We present a probabilistic forecasting framework based on convolutional neural network for multiple related time series forecasting. The framework can be applied to estimate probability density under both parametric and non-parametric settings. More specifically, stacked residual blocks based on dilated causal convolut…
OracleAD detects multivariate time series anomalies without labels.
problem Rare and unlabeled multivariate time series anomalies.
method OracleAD encodes past sequences into causal embeddings, projects them into a latent space, and identifies anomalies based on deviations from a stable latent structure.
result OracleAD achieves state-of-the-art results and is interpretable.
The paper formalizes criteria for non-spurious and disentangled representations using causal methods.
problem Formalizing criteria for non-spurious and disentangled representations in representation learning.
method Causal perspective, counterfactual quantities, observable consequences of causal assertions.
result Computable metrics for assessing representation learning based on observed data.
IAE extracts innovations sequences for non-Gaussian processes.
problem Extracting innovations sequences for non-Gaussian processes.
method Causal convolutional neural network.
result IAE effectively detects anomalies in non-Gaussian data.
Intelligent agents can cope with sensory-rich environments by learning task-agnostic state abstractions. In this paper, we propose an algorithm to approximate causal states, which are the coarsest partition of the joint history of actions and observations in partially-observable Markov decision processes (POMDP). Our m…
Framework for causal discovery using multi-modal data.
problem Failure of representation learning in causal tasks.
method Statistical and computational framework combining representation learning and causal inference.
result Effective use of observational and perturbational data for causal discovery.