The paper introduces Causal Neural Operators to approximate operators in stochastic analysis.
problem Leveraging temporal structure in non-linear operators for deep learning models.
method Designing a deep learning model framework for infinite-dimensional linear metric spaces.
result Causal Neural Operators can uniformly approximate Hölder or smooth trace class operators.
Improved neural network convergence with causal Bayesian modeling in retail performance.
problem Improving neural network convergence in retail performance models.
method Causal Bayesian neural network implementation, removal of weakest SEM path, Flipout layers, Vadam optimizer.
result Neural network convergence improved with removal of the weakest SEM path.
Causal deep learning tackles causal inference using tensor factor analysis.
problem Addressing causal questions in data using neural networks.
method Tensor factor analysis and neural network architectures (causal capsules, tensor transformer, multilinear projection algorithm).
result Derives deep neural networks for causal inference with tensor factor analysis.
Neural network learns causal graph structure from data.
problem Inferring causal graph structure from observational and interventional data.
method Supervised training of a neural network on synthetic graphs.
result Learned model generalizes to new graphs, robust to distribution shifts, and outperforms existing methods.
CaTs use DAGs with transformers to enforce causal constraints, improving neural network robustness.
problem Neural networks lack inherent causal structure respect, leading to reliability issues.
method Introducing Causal Transformers (CaTs) that operate under predefined causal constraints specified by DAGs.
result CaTs improve robustness and interpretability of neural networks under causal constraints.
EML-CD discovers causal mechanisms from neural networks in a structured way.
problem Extracting causal mechanisms from neural network weights is ill-posed.
method Integrates EML operator into causal structure learning, representing each edge mechanism as a gated EML binary tree.
result Achieves SHD=11.2 +/- 0.4 on real data, matching or outperforming existing methods.
A neural framework corrects bias in estimating individual treatment effects.
problem Estimating individual treatment effects from observational data.
method An anchored neural architecture and precision-corrected intersection-bound inference.
result Corrected bias and maintained nominal coverage in high-dimensional settings.
How can we understand classification decisions made by deep neural networks? Many existing explainability methods rely solely on correlations and fail to account for confounding, which may result in potentially misleading explanations. To overcome this problem, we define the Causal Concept Effect (CaCE) as the causal e…
Combining neural networks and multiscale decomposition for financial market analysis.
problem Financial markets' complexity and mainstream models' limitations in capturing non-linear structures.
method Neural networks for non-linear associations combined with multiscale decomposition.
result Improved understanding of financial market data substructures.
New method for causal effect estimation with hidden confounders.
problem Estimating causal effects in the presence of hidden confounders.
method Singular value decomposition of a conditional expectation operator followed by saddle-point optimization.
result Our method outperforms existing methods on common benchmarks.
Graph neural networks help infer causal effects from partially observable data.
problem Inferring causal effects from partially observable data.
method Theoretical analysis of GNN and SCM connections.
result Established a new model class for GNN-based causal inference.
Generates counterfactuals in target domain from source domain observations.
problem Cross-domain learning with domain shifts and lack of parallel datasets.
method Unsupervised, Neural Causal Models, Joint Causal Graphs, Effect-Intrinsic vs Domain-Intrinsic Variables.
result Framework generates counterfactuals that closely match ground truth.
Proposes DCNAR for dynamic causal inference from neural time series.
problem Uncertainty and evolution of causal structure in real-world domains.
method Two-stage neural causal modeling integrating discovery and inference.
result Dynamic causal inferences are more stable and meaningful than alternatives.
Graph neural network explainer identifies causal subgraphs ensuring predictions.
problem Spurious correlations in GNN explainers.
method Proposes {
ame}, a GNN causal explainer via causal inference.
result Significantly outperforms existing GNN explainers in exact groundtruth explanation identification.
New method quantifies intrinsic causal contributions in neural networks.
problem Measuring the causal influence of input features in deep neural networks.
method Proposes an identifiable generative post-hoc framework to quantify intrinsic causal contributions (ICC) as structural causal models.
result ICC generates more intuitive and reliable explanations compared to existing global explanation techniques.
Develops SCMs for latent selection to simplify causal analysis.
problem Latent selection complicates causal analysis.
method Introduces a conditioning operation for SCMs to encode latent selection.
result Conditioning operation preserves simplicity, acyclicity, and linearity of SCMs.
Proposes Causal Loss to improve machine learning models' causal inference.
problem Machine learning algorithms often fail to capture causal relationships when data is inconsistent.
method Introduces Causal Loss, a model-agnostic loss function that enhances interventional capabilities.
result Causal Loss improves non-causal associative models to have interventional capabilities.
Blog post comparing neural network methods for causal inference.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in causal inference.
method Developed and compared a fully connected neural network implementation of Bayesian Causal Forest.
result Improvements in performance in simulation settings.
Interpretable model for Granger causality using neural networks.
problem Inferring Granger causality in complex dynamical systems.
method Extension of self-explaining neural networks for multivariate Granger causality.
result Framework performs on par with baseline methods and better at inferring interaction signs.
Neural causal discovery methods fail to accurately uncover causal structures due to the faithfulness property.
problem Accuracy in neural causal discovery is limited, especially when distinguishing between existing and non-existing causal relationships.
method Systematic evaluation of neural causal discovery methods, focusing on their performance in finite sample regimes and their ability to recover ground-truth graphs.
result Neural networks lack the precision to reliably recover ground-truth causal graphs, even for small graphs and large sample sizes.
Estimates causal effects using neural autoregressive density estimators.
problem Estimating causal effects in non-linear systems.
method Neural autoregressive density estimators within Pearl's do-calculus framework.
result Retrieves causal effects from non-linear systems without explicit modeling.
The study derives generalization bounds for neural oscillators, improving their performance with regularization.
problem Quantifying the generalization capacities of neural oscillators.
method Using Rademacher complexity and squared Wasserstein-1 distances, the study derives theoretical upper PAC generalization bounds for neural oscillators.
result Theoretical bounds show polynomial growth in estimation errors with MLP size and time length, and regularization improves performance.
Neural Shadow-Mapping uncovers causal links in dynamic systems.
problem Discovering causal structures in dynamic systems with mirage correlations.
method Neural network based method embedding high-dimensional data into a shadow representation for causal link estimation.
result Demonstrates performance in discovering causal links from video-representations of dynamic systems.
Novel method uses information theory to measure causal influences during transient neural events.
problem Characterizing network interactions during transient neural events.
method Structural Causal Models, Information Theory, Transfer Entropy, Dynamic Causal Strength, Relative Dynamic Causal Strength.
result Introduced a novel measure, relative Dynamic Causal Strength, with theoretical and empirical support.
Consistent partial identification of causal effects proved for neural models.
problem Consistency of neural causal partial identification methods.
method Proving consistency for neural models with continuous and categorical variables, considering architecture design and Lipschitz regularization.
result Proven consistency of partial identification via neural causal models in a general setting.
CRN learns causal models using neural networks, scaling with variables and leveraging prior knowledge.
problem Challenges in learning causal models, especially scalability and leveraging prior knowledge.
method Causal Relational Networks (CRN) using continuous representations and previously learned information.
result CRN achieves high accuracy and quick adaptation to new causal models on synthetic data.
Deep Causal Graphs model complex causal relationships using neural networks.
problem Limited applicability of parametric causal models to real-life datasets with non-linear relationships.
method Deep Causal Graphs, an abstract specification for neural networks to model causal distributions.
result Demonstrates expressive power in modelling complex interactions and provides true causal counterfactuals.
A neural network finds causal relationships among latent variables.
problem Learning causal structure among latent variables in high-dimensional data.
method Redundant Input Neural Network (RINN) with modified architecture and regularized objective function.
result The RINN method successfully recovers latent causal structure between input and output variables.
Extends expected value framework for cost-sensitive causal decision-making.
problem Optimizing operational decision-making with cost-sensitive causal classification.
method Introduces a cost-sensitive decision boundary based on estimated individual treatment effects, positive outcome probability, and cost parameters.
result Effective in maximizing expected causal profit, outperforming cost-insensitive ranking approach.
Deep learning method infers causal interactions from data.
problem Causal inference from observational data.
method Transform input vectors to NEPDFs, train CNN on NEPDFs.
result Improves upon prior methods for causal inference.
We propose a new attribution method for neural networks developed using first principles of causality (to the best of our knowledge, the first such). The neural network architecture is viewed as a Structural Causal Model, and a methodology to compute the causal effect of each feature on the output is presented. With re…
A simple guide to understanding hierarchical causality in complex systems.
problem Understanding hierarchical causality in complex systems.
method Formalizing hierarchical causality in terms of actors and agents, with three key structures.
result The system requires three additional structures: causation classes, aggregation operators, and discrete event-time maps.
Dynamic Structural Causal Models handle time-dependent systems with cycles and latent confounding.
problem Representing and analyzing systems of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) with DSCMs.
method Define time-splitting and subsampling operations to analyze DSCMs of SDEs, and apply existing causal discovery algorithms to time-series data.
result DSCMs provide a graphical Markov property for SDEs and enable identification of time-dependent causal effects.
New neural network approach for optimizing latent variable models.
problem Stability issues in marginalizing Gaussian Bayesian networks.
method Developed a new graphical structure and a neural network algorithm.
result Established a duality between parameter optimization and neural network training.
Modular neural causal models outperform other models in generalization and adaptation.
problem Robust out-of-distribution generalization and fast adaptation in machine learning.
method Factorizing data generating process into modules using only causal parents as predictors.
result Modular neural causal models offer robust generalization and fast adaptation, especially in low data regimes.
TRAM-DAG models bridge interpretability and flexibility in causal modeling.
problem Modeling causal relationships in diverse data types while maintaining interpretability.
method Using transformation models (TRAMs) within structural causal models (SCMs) to handle various data types and maintain interpretability.
result TRAM-DAG models achieve equal or superior performance in causal queries across different levels of the causal hierarchy.
CaT-GNN improves credit card fraud detection by integrating causal reasoning into GNNs.
problem Credit card fraud detection overlooks causal structure of transactions.
method CaT-GNN combines causal invariant learning and temporal graph neural networks.
result CaT-GNN outperforms existing methods on various datasets.
NeuralCSA uses neural networks to analyze causal effects under unobserved confounding.
problem Challenges in causal inference from observational data due to unobserved confounding.
method Proposes a neural framework (NeuralCSA) for generalized causal sensitivity analysis.
result Demonstrates theoretical and empirical validity of NeuralCSA for causal inference.
CASTLE learns causal DAG to improve model generalization.
problem Improving model generalization to out-of-sample data.
method CASTLE learns causal relationships via adjacency matrix embedded in neural network input layers, reconstructing only causal features.
result CASTLE leads to better out-of-sample predictions compared to other regularizers.
We introduce causal pieces to improve spiking neural networks.
problem Improving the expressiveness and trainability of spiking neural networks.
method We decompose the input domain of SNNs into causal regions, proving that the number of these regions is a measure of SNNs' approximation capabilities.
result Parameter initialisations yielding a high number of causal pieces correlate with SNN training success.
Temporal Causal Prior-Data Fitted Networks (TCPFN) for industrial time series causal discovery
problem Estimating causal effects in industrial time series
method Temporal Causal Prior-Data Fitted Networks
result Zero-shot causal discovery with explicit reliability signals
We present Causal Generative Neural Networks (CGNNs) to learn functional causal models from observational data. CGNNs leverage conditional independencies and distributional asymmetries to discover bivariate and multivariate causal structures. CGNNs make no assumption regarding the lack of confounders, and learn a diffe…
In application domains such as healthcare, we want accurate predictive models that are also causally interpretable. In pursuit of such models, we propose a causal regularizer to steer predictive models towards causally-interpretable solutions and theoretically study its properties. In a large-scale analysis of Electron…
Machine learning is the science of discovering statistical dependencies in data, and the use of those dependencies to perform predictions. During the last decade, machine learning has made spectacular progress, surpassing human performance in complex tasks such as object recognition, car driving, and computer gaming. H…
We fully develop the concept of causal symmetry introduced in Class. Quant. Grav. 20 (2003) L139. A causal symmetry is a transformation of a Lorentzian manifold (V,g) which maps every future-directed vector onto a future-directed vector. We prove that the set of all causal symmetries is not a group under the usual comp…
PLOT uses optimal transport to find neural site handles for causal abstraction.
problem Finding the relevant neural site for causal analysis is computationally challenging.
method PLOT employs optimal transport to localize causal variables from neural network outputs.
result PLOT efficiently finds intervention handles for causal abstraction in neural networks.
The paper reduces estimation error in predicting borrower repayment by accounting for lender's credit decisions.
problem Estimation error in predicting borrower repayment due to confounding effects.
method Proposes new estimators to reduce estimation error, combining theoretical analysis and numerical testing.
result The proposed estimators are unbiased, consistent, and robust, showing substantial reduction in estimation error.
Graph Neural Network improves causal inference in dynamic systems.
problem Identifying causal relations among multi-variate time series.
method Graph Neural Network approach with score-based method.
result Graph Neural Network significantly outperformed other methods in dynamic Bayesian network inference.