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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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50100149199 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Causal Maximum Entropy

The paper presents a method to estimate joint interventional distributions from marginal interventional data.

problem Estimating joint interventional distributions from marginal interventional data.
method The paper extends the Causal Maximum Entropy method to use interventional data and employs Lagrange duality to prove the solution lies in the exponential family.
result The method allows for causal feature selection and inference of joint interventional distributions.

New causal versions of MaxEnt and PIR avoid paradoxical probability updates.

problem Paradoxical probability updates in causal MaxEnt and PIR.
method Separate constraints into cause-specific and mechanism-specific restrictions.
result Causal MaxEnt avoids paradoxical updates and aligns with Information Geometric Causal Inference.

In this paper, we propose a novel maximum causal Tsallis entropy (MCTE) framework for imitation learning which can efficiently learn a sparse multi-modal policy distribution from demonstrations. We provide the full mathematical analysis of the proposed framework. First, the optimal solution of an MCTE problem is shown …

2018-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the problem of learning from demonstrated trajectories with inverse reinforcement learning (IRL). Motivated by a limitation of the classical maximum entropy model in capturing the structure of the network of states, we propose an IRL model based on a generalized version of the causal entropy maximization pr…

2019-11-16abs ↗pdf ↗

New method identifies common cause in causal insufficiency, revealing complex phase transitions.

problem Identifying common cause in causal insufficiency with observed joint probability.
method Generalized maximum likelihood method, closely related to maximum entropy principle.
result Identifies consistent common cause that aligns with the common cause principle.

New algorithm reduces performance loss in IRL with mismatched transition dynamics.

problem Performance degradation in inverse reinforcement learning due to mismatched transition dynamics.
method Proposed a robust Maximum Causal Entropy (MCE) IRL algorithm leveraging robust reinforcement learning insights.
result Empirically demonstrated stable performance improvement under transition dynamics mismatches.

New method tightens bounds on causation probabilities using independent datasets.

problem Challenging point identification of causation probabilities without strong assumptions.
method Imposes counterfactual consistency between SCMs constructed from independent datasets and uses conditional mutual information.
result Significantly tighter bounds on causation probabilities are established.

In many settings (e.g., robotics) demonstrations provide a natural way to specify tasks; however, most methods for learning from demonstrations either do not provide guarantees that the artifacts learned for the tasks, such as rewards or policies, can be safely composed and/or do not explicitly capture history dependen…

2019-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Multi-task Inverse Reinforcement Learning (IRL) is the problem of inferring multiple reward functions from expert demonstrations. Prior work, built on Bayesian IRL, is unable to scale to complex environments due to computational constraints. This paper contributes a formulation of multi-task IRL in the more computation…

2018-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops variable-lag Granger causality and Transfer Entropy for time series analysis.

problem Fixed time delay assumption in Granger causality and Transfer Entropy does not hold in many applications.
method Variable-lag Granger causality and Transfer Entropy, using optimal warping path of Dynamic Time Warping (DTW).
result Proposed methods perform better than existing methods in both simulated and real-world datasets.

Maximum entropy modeling is a flexible and popular framework for formulating statistical models given partial knowledge. In this paper, rather than the traditional method of optimizing over the continuous density directly, we learn a smooth and invertible transformation that maps a simple distribution to the desired ma…

2017-01-12abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the problem of identifying the causal direction between two discrete random variables using observational data. Unlike previous work, we keep the most general functional model but make an assumption on the unobserved exogenous variable: Inspired by Occam's razor, we assume that the exogenous variable is sim…

2016-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes causal effects on unknown graphs using Causal Entropy Optimization.

problem Optimizing causal effects in unknown causal graphs.
method Causal Entropy Optimization (CEO) framework that generalizes Causal Bayesian Optimization (CBO). Incorporates causal structure uncertainty in surrogate models and intervention selection.
result CEO achieves faster convergence to global optimum compared to CBO and improves upon sequential structure learning.

The study learns causal graphs from time series data using entropy measures.

problem Learning causal graphs from time series data.
method Constraint-based framework, information-theoretic measures, generalized causation entropy, PC and FCI algorithms.
result The methods effectively construct causal graphs from time series data.

Proposes efficient bounds for causal effect estimation under weak confounding.

problem Estimating causal effects with weakly confounded variables.
method Develops an efficient linear program to derive upper and lower bounds on causal effect under small entropy of unobserved confounders.
result Bounds are consistent and tighter for weakly confounded variables.

Researchers use Gaussian processes to approximate Lagrange multipliers for Maximum-Entropy distributions.

problem Finding Lagrange multipliers for Maximum-Entropy distributions is computationally challenging.
method Employed Gaussian processes to approximate the Lagrange multipliers as a map of moments. Optimized hyperparameters by maximizing log-likelihood.
result Data-driven Maximum-Entropy closure performs well in approximating non-equilibrium distributions.

This paper develops geometric tools for causal inference using information flow concepts.

problem Developing a geometric interpretation of causal inference from probabilistic measures.
method Introducing a new measure, GeoC_{y ightarrow x}, based on fractal correlation dimension.
result Avoids boundedness issues in transfer entropy, providing a more robust measure of causal inference.

Enhances RL by controlling policy stochasticity through trajectory entropy constraints.

problem Non-stationary Q-value estimation and short-sighted entropy tuning in maximum entropy RL.
method Proposes TECRL framework with separate Q-functions for reward and entropy, enforcing a trajectory entropy constraint.
result DSAC-E algorithm achieves higher returns and better stability on OpenAI Gym benchmarks.

We present a new statistical learning paradigm for Boltzmann machines based on a new inference principle we have proposed: the latent maximum entropy principle (LME). LME is different both from Jaynes maximum entropy principle and from standard maximum likelihood estimation.We demonstrate the LME principle BY deriving …

2012-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Causal discovery is a fundamental problem in statistics and has wide applications in different fields. Transfer Entropy (TE) is a important notion defined for measuring causality, which is essentially conditional Mutual Information (MI). Copula Entropy (CE) is a theory on measurement of statistical independence and is …

2019-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

This work presents entropic constraints from DAGs with hidden variables.

problem Characterizing causal relations in systems with hidden variables.
method Entropic inequality constraints derived from ee-separation relations.
result These constraints can learn about true causal models from observed data.

We study the problem of discovering the simplest latent variable that can make two observed discrete variables conditionally independent. The minimum entropy required for such a latent is known as common entropy in information theory. We extend this notion to Renyi common entropy by minimizing the Renyi entropy of the …

2018-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

We discuss the systemic risk implied by the interbank exposures reconstructed with the maximum entropy method. The maximum entropy method severely underestimates the risk of interbank contagion by assuming a fully connected network, while in reality the structure of the interbank network is sparsely connected. Here, we…

2017-03-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian models use hyperparameters to indirectly assign priors, and this work shows how these priors can be derived from maximum entropy principles.

problem Understanding the assumptions and dependencies in Bayesian hierarchical models.
method Demonstrates how canonical distributions and maximum entropy principles can be used to derive marginal priors in hierarchical models.
result Marginal priors in hierarchical models derived from maximum entropy principles have different constraints compared to the original priors.

The maximum entropy principle can be used to assign utility values when only partial information is available about the decision maker's preferences. In order to obtain such utility values it is necessary to establish an analogy between probability and utility through the notion of a utility density function. According…

2007-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper extends entropy maximization to multiscale settings and applies it to neural networks.

problem Achieving optimal risk bounds in neural networks using multiscale entropy.
method Generalizing maximum entropy to multiscale settings and applying it to neural networks.
result The multiscale Gibbs posterior can achieve a smaller excess risk than the single-scale Gibbs posterior in a teacher-student scenario.

A novel framework infers causal direction from symbolic sequences using pattern entropy.

problem Challenges in discovering causal direction from temporal symbolic data.
method Dictionary Based Pattern Entropy (DPEDPE) framework integrating AIT and Shannon Information Theory.
result Minimizing pattern level uncertainty yields a robust framework for causal discovery.

Improved exploration methods for reinforcement learning with reduced sample complexity.

problem Challenges in reinforcement learning exploration in unknown environments.
method Proposed game-theoretic and trajectory entropy algorithms with improved sample complexity.
result Established statistical advantage of entropy-regularized MDPs for exploration and reduced sample complexity.

IntDC framework uncovers causal relationships from non-interventional data.

problem Detecting causal relationships in non-interventional complex systems.
method Interventional Embedding Entropy (IEE) for causal strength measurement.
result IEE accurately finds causal edges and quantifies causal strength robustly.

Paper proposes a policy-search algorithm to learn entropy-maximizing exploration policies in reward-free environments.

problem Reward-free learning in high-dimensional, continuous-control domains.
method Maximum Entropy POLicy optimization (MEPOL) algorithm that maximizes a non-parametric state entropy estimate.
result MEPOL learns a maximum-entropy exploration policy that facilitates learning various reward-based tasks.

New method calibrates reference distributions for bounded support.

problem Lack of principled method for bounded-support statistical reference distributions.
method Formulated maximum entropy on projective space of nonnegative measures.
result Prescribed acceptance region uniquely determines deformation parameter.

The paper introduces a new intrinsic reward method for exploration in reinforcement learning.

problem Improving exploration in reinforcement learning agents.
method Intrinsic rewards proportional to the entropy of future state-action features.
result The new objective leads to improved visitation of features within individual trajectories.

We study the problem of identifying the causal relationship between two discrete random variables from observational data. We recently proposed a novel framework called entropic causality that works in a very general functional model but makes the assumption that the unobserved exogenous variable has small entropy in t…

2017-01-28abs ↗pdf ↗