The health outcomes of high-need patients can be substantially influenced by the degree of patient engagement in their own care. The role of care managers includes that of enrolling patients into care programs and keeping them sufficiently engaged in the program, so that patients can attain various goals. The attainmen…
arXiv research
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This paper provides a ML framework for diabetes prediction and care management.
Estimates causal effect of managed care plans on NYC Medicaid spending.
New AI model optimizes personalized care for elderly residents.
Insurance companies must manage millions of claims per year. While most of these claims are non-fraudulent, fraud detection is core for insurance companies. The ultimate goal is a predictive model to single out the fraudulent claims and pay out the non-fraudulent ones immediately. Modern machine learning methods are we…
Due to escalating healthcare costs, accurately predicting which patients will incur high costs is an important task for payers and providers of healthcare. High-cost claimants (HiCCs) are patients who have annual costs above $\$250,000$ and who represent just 0.16% of the insured population but currently account for 9%…
New model predicts ICU patients' stay duration efficiently.
LMM predicts healthcare costs and risks with improved accuracy.
The globalization feeded by the technology explosion that begans in the end of the last century, started the world to change faster every day. The only today's certain is the tomorrow's uncertain. Risk is defined as uncertain where one or many causes composed of ocurrence probality can generate an impact or consequence…
The study develops a logic reasoner to verify MS case management specifications.
Enhances patient failure prediction using dynamic survival models.
New model predicts ICU patient stays more accurately.
Study uses LLMs to create personalized treatment plans for rare gynecological tumors.
This paper develops explainable treatment policies for RPM using clinical knowledge.
Neural system optimizes glucose levels in diabetics.
Model predicts wound and episode-level readmission risk and time to re-admit.
Develops a personalized reinforcement learning algorithm for dyadic health interventions.
Monitoring patients in ICU is a challenging and high-cost task. Hence, predicting the condition of patients during their ICU stay can help provide better acute care and plan the hospital's resources. There has been continuous progress in machine learning research for ICU management, and most of this work has focused on…
We introduce a novel apprenticeship learning algorithm to learn an expert's underlying reward structure in off-policy model-free \emph{batch} settings. Unlike existing methods that require a dynamics model or additional data acquisition for on-policy evaluation, our algorithm requires only the batch data of observed ex…
Study proposes managing COVID-19 without economy shutdowns.
This paper describes the Pressure Ulcers Online Website, which is a first step solution towards a new and innovative platform for helping people to detect, understand and manage pressure ulcers. It outlines the reasons why the project has been developed and provides a central point of contact for pressure ulcer analysi…
A simple statement and accessible proof of a version of the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing in discrete time is provided. Careful distinction is made between prices and cash flows in order to provide uniform treatment of all instruments. There is no need for a ``real-world'' measure in order to specify a model for…
Study predicts online procrastination using machine learning.
In the Black-Scholes context we consider the probability distribution function (PDF) of financial returns implied by volatility smile and we study the relation between the decay of its tails and the fitting parameters of the smile. We show that, considering a scaling law derived from data, it is possible to get a new f…
Over the years, several studies have demonstrated that there exist significant disparities in health indicators in the United States population across various groups. Healthcare expense is used as a proxy for health in algorithms that drive healthcare systems and this exacerbates the existing bias. In this work, we foc…
Ability for accurate hospital case cost modelling and prediction is critical for efficient health care financial management and budgetary planning. A variety of regression machine learning algorithms are known to be effective for health care cost predictions. The purpose of this experiment was to build an Azure Machine…
Deep learning's success is puzzling from a statistical perspective.
Analyzes COVID-19 data to predict mortality, forecast spread, and optimize resource allocation.
It is not clear how to target patients who are most likely to benefit from digital care management programs ex-ante, a shortcoming of current risk score based approaches. This study focuses on defining impactability by identifying those patients most likely to benefit from technology enabled care management, delivered …
Machine learning algorithms can misrepresent training data, study finds.
Identifying patients who will be discharged within 24 hours can improve hospital resource management and quality of care. We studied this problem using eight years of Electronic Health Records (EHR) data from Stanford Hospital. We fit models to predict 24 hour discharge across the entire inpatient population. The best …
Models for predicting the risk of cardiovascular events based on individual patient characteristics are important tools for managing patient care. Most current and commonly used risk prediction models have been built from carefully selected epidemiological cohorts. However, the homogeneity and limited size of such coho…
The occurrence of drug-drug-interactions (DDI) from multiple drug dispensations is a serious problem, both for individuals and health-care systems, since patients with complications due to DDI are likely to reenter the system at a costlier level. We present a large-scale longitudinal study (18 months) of the DDI phenom…
As reinforcement learning (RL) achieves more success in solving complex tasks, more care is needed to ensure that RL research is reproducible and that algorithms herein can be compared easily and fairly with minimal bias. RL results are, however, notoriously hard to reproduce due to the algorithms' intrinsic variance, …
Approximate dynamic programming (ADP) has proven itself in a wide range of applications spanning large-scale transportation problems, health care, revenue management, and energy systems. The design of effective ADP algorithms has many dimensions, but one crucial factor is the stepsize rule used to update a value functi…
Bayesian method estimates dynamics from near-optimal trajectories.
Diabetes is a major public health problem in the United States, affecting roughly 30 million people. Diabetes complications, along with the mental health comorbidities that often co-occur with them, are major drivers of high healthcare costs, poor outcomes, and reduced treatment adherence in diabetes. Here, we evaluate…
Model predicts COVID-19 growth in Senegal, highlighting health care capacity importance.
Study examines European banks' digital transformation strategies.
CPAS uses machine learning to plan hospital resources for COVID-19.
Improving the quality of end-of-life care for hospitalized patients is a priority for healthcare organizations. Studies have shown that physicians tend to over-estimate prognoses, which in combination with treatment inertia results in a mismatch between patients wishes and actual care at the end of life. We describe a …
CARE improves LLM aggregation by accounting for shared confounders.
RL platform enhances user journeys in healthcare apps.
VisRuler simplifies decision extraction from bagged and boosted trees.
Study on privacy-preserving health care models that sacrifice accuracy for data protection.
Inpatient care is a large share of total health care spending, making analysis of inpatient utilization patterns an important part of understanding what drives health care spending growth. Common features of inpatient utilization measures include zero inflation, over-dispersion, and skewness, all of which complicate st…
NoxTrader predicts stock returns using LSTM for profitable trading.
System predicts HIV patients at risk of dropping out of care.