Candlesticks are graphical representations of price movements for a given period. The traders can discovery the trend of the asset by looking at the candlestick patterns. Although deep convolutional neural networks have achieved great success for recognizing the candlestick patterns, their reasoning hides inside a blac…
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,695 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “Candlestick Patterns”
Using Deep Learning Neural Networks and Candlestick Chart Representation to Predict Stock Marketq-fin.GN
Stock market prediction is still a challenging problem because there are many factors effect to the stock market price such as company news and performance, industry performance, investor sentiment, social media sentiment and economic factors. This work explores the predictability in the stock market using Deep Convolu…
Paper improves candlestick classification model's resistance to adversarial attacks.
problem Adversarial attacks on deep learning models for candlestick classification.
method Constructs perturbed examples to enhance model robustness.
result Boosted stability of DL models for candlestick classification.
Paper develops new spot regression estimators using candlesticks for asset pricing.
problem Estimation of spot betas in asset pricing and risk management.
method Develops a new estimation and inference framework for spot regressions using high-frequency candlesticks.
result The proposed candlestick-based estimators reduce estimation risk and achieve higher power in hypothesis testing.
Proposes a method to generate high-quality candlestick data for financial trading.
problem Lack of labeled financial trading data.
method Modified Local Search Attack Sampling method for candlestick data augmentation.
result Generated high-quality data that are hard to distinguish by humans.
This paper evaluates LLMs for technical market analysis, finding GPT-4 Turbo and FinGPT outperform passive benchmarks.
problem Evaluating LLMs for technical market analysis in financial markets.
method Structured evaluation of five LLMs (GPT-4 Turbo, Claude 3 Opus, Gemini 1.5 Pro, Llama 3 70B, FinGPT) on four tasks: candlestick pattern recognition, directional signal generation, backtesting, and financial report comprehension.
result GPT-4 Turbo and FinGPT outperform passive benchmarks in simulated backtesting, with GPT-4 Turbo achieving the highest annualized return and Sharpe ratio.
Martingale Doppelgänger-Eval benchmarks VLMs on candlestick evidence vs. trend extrapolation
problem Auditing whether VLMs use chart evidence or trend extrapolation
method Proving formal limitations and designing controlled mechanisms
result Identifying regression coefficients for evidence vs. trend
The study uses stock market indicators to forecast COVID-19 cases.
problem Forecasting the spread of COVID-19 for resource allocation.
method Reinterpreting daily cases as candlesticks and applying stock market indicators.
result The stock market indicators show statistical significance in predicting COVID-19 cases.
Study tests five popular trading signal families and finds four refuted, one inconclusive, and one not refuted.
problem Testing the viability of five popular trading signal families for generating a positive edge.
method Statistical edge testing, economic viability assessment, and finite-bankroll survival under leverage using exposure-matched benchmarks, stationary-bootstrap confidence intervals, and hierarchical Benjamini-Yekutieli control.
result Four out of five signal families are refuted, one is inconclusive, and one is not refuted.
Stock prediction has always been attractive area for researchers and investors since the financial gains can be substantial. However, stock prediction can be a challenging task since stocks are influenced by a multitude of factors whose influence vary rapidly through time. This paper proposes a novel approach (Word2Vec…
Kronos improves financial time series analysis with a pre-trained model.
problem Limited application of large-scale models to financial candlestick data.
method Unified, scalable pre-training framework for financial K-line modeling.
result Kronos excels in financial tasks like price forecasting and volatility prediction.
MM-DREX adapts LLM experts for financial trading via dynamic routing.
problem Challenges of non-stationary financial markets and static expert designs.
method MM-DREX uses a VLM-powered dynamic router to allocate expert weights and designs heterogeneous trading experts.
result Significantly outperforms 15 baselines across key metrics.
AI models failed to profitably predict cryptocurrency extrema on Binance Spot.
problem Tackling the profitability of candle-based machine learning models for short-term cryptocurrency trading.
method Scripted fixed-seed model runs and deterministic simulators with human supervision.
result Strongest evidence found negative, with models underperforming buy-and-hold strategies.
Study integrates deep learning with financial data for improved trading strategies.
problem Enhancing predictive performance in algorithmic trading and portfolio optimization.
method Developed embedding techniques to treat limit order book snapshots as image-based input channels.
result Achieved state-of-the-art performance in high-frequency trading algorithms.
The art of systematic financial trading evolved with an array of approaches, ranging from simple strategies to complex algorithms all relying, primary, on aspects of time-series analysis. Recently, after visiting the trading floor of a leading financial institution, we noticed that traders always execute their trade or…
We propose a novel investment decision strategy (IDS) based on deep learning. The performance of many IDSs is affected by stock similarity. Most existing stock similarity measurements have the problems: (a) The linear nature of many measurements cannot capture nonlinear stock dynamics; (b) The estimation of many simila…
Dynamics of the major USA market indices DJIA, S&P, Nasdaq, and NYSE is analyzed from the point of view of the random walking problem with two-step correlations of the market moves. The parameters characterizing the stochastic dynamics are determined empirically from the historical quotes for the daily, weekly, and mon…
FinVision uses LLM agents to predict stock markets by processing various financial data types.
problem Challenges in integrating diverse financial data for accurate stock market prediction.
method Multi-agent framework with LLMs specialized in different financial data types and a reflection module.
result The reflection module enhances decision-making capabilities for financial trading.
MountainLion: A Multi-Modal LLM-Based Agent System for Interpretable and Adaptive Financial Tradingq-fin.TR
MountainLion uses LLMs to interpret financial data and generate investment strategies.
problem Challenges in integrating heterogeneous data for financial trading.
method Multi-modal LLM-based agents that process textual and visual data.
result Improves returns and investor confidence through interpretable investment framework.
Safe Pattern Pruning reduces pattern explosion in predictive pattern mining.
problem Exponential growth of patterns in structured data.
method Safe Pattern Pruning (SPP) method.
result Effective model building in practical data analysis.
BN^2MF identifies unknown exposure patterns in environmental mixtures.
problem Identifying unknown exposure patterns in environmental mixtures.
method Bayesian non-parametric non-negative matrix factorization (BN^2MF) with non-negative continuous priors and a non-parametric sparse prior.
result Estimates patterns of chemical exposures without specifying the number of patterns.
RestoreAI predicts landmine risk from patterns, improving clearance efficiency.
problem Predicting landmine risk from spatial patterns to enhance clearance efficiency.
method RestoreAI uses landmine patterns for risk prediction, implementing three deminers: linear, curved, and Bayesian.
result RestoreAI significantly boosts clearance efficiency, achieving a 14.37 percentage point increase in cleared landmines per timestep.
Study of knots with generalized Mazur patterns and their invariants.
problem Understanding the invariants and properties of knots with generalized Mazur patterns.
method Computational analysis of and invariants for -twisted satellites.
result None of the -twisted patterns from the family act surjectively on the smooth or rational concordance group.
Two approaches detect EV charging patterns at stations.
problem Identify charging patterns at electric vehicle charging stations.
method Two approaches: rule-based and hierarchical clustering.
result Hierarchical clustering revealed unexpected charging patterns.
Universal learning machine is a theory trying to study machine learning from mathematical point of view. The outside world is reflected inside an universal learning machine according to pattern of incoming data. This is subjective pattern of learning machine. In [2,4], we discussed subjective spatial pattern, and estab…
Study of combinatorial Calabi flow on ideal circle patterns.
problem Finding ideal circle patterns with prescribed curvatures.
method Combinatorial Calabi flow in hyperbolic and Euclidean geometry.
result Flow converges exponentially to ideal circle patterns.
Proves existence of circle patterns on surfaces with cusps.
problem Existence of circle patterns with prescribed angles on surfaces with cusps.
method Introduced combinatorial Ricci and Calabi flows to prove longtime existence and convergence.
result Existence of generalized circle patterns with prescribed angles on surfaces with cusps.
Study circle patterns on tori, linking symplectic forms and homeomorphisms.
problem Understanding circle patterns on tori and their symplectic properties.
method Investigates the space of circle patterns on closed tori with complex projective structures, embedding it into Teichmüller spaces and analyzing symplectic forms.
result Non-degeneracy of the pulled-back Weil-Petersson symplectic form and homeomorphism between circle patterns and Teichmüller spaces.
FSR efficiently discovers significant patterns with few resampled datasets.
problem Mining significant patterns in transactional data, especially subgroups.
method FSR uses resampling to bound the supremum deviation of quality statistics, providing rigorous guarantees on false discoveries.
result FSR effectively discovers significant subgroups with a small number of resampled datasets.
In this paper we study predictive pattern mining problems where the goal is to construct a predictive model based on a subset of predictive patterns in the database. Our main contribution is to introduce a novel method called safe pattern pruning (SPP) for a class of predictive pattern mining problems. The SPP method a…
Learning Pattern-Specific Experts for Time Series Forecasting Under Patch-level Distribution Shiftcs.LG
TFPS improves time series forecasting by learning pattern-specific experts.
problem Challenges in forecasting time series data with varying patterns across segments.
method Dual-domain encoder, subspace clustering, pattern-specific experts.
result Significantly improved forecasting accuracy, especially in long-term forecasting.
Pattern sampling has been proposed as a potential solution to the infamous pattern explosion. Instead of enumerating all patterns that satisfy the constraints, individual patterns are sampled proportional to a given quality measure. Several sampling algorithms have been proposed, but each of them has its limitations wh…
While Multiple Instance (MI) data are point patterns -- sets or multi-sets of unordered points -- appropriate statistical point pattern models have not been used in MI learning. This article proposes a framework for model-based MI learning using point process theory. Likelihood functions for point pattern data derived …
The paper integrates statistical significance and discriminative power in pattern discovery.
problem Discovering actionable patterns that meet rigorous statistical significance and discriminative power criteria.
method Integrates statistical significance and discriminative power criteria into state-of-the-art algorithms.
result Improves discriminative power and statistical significance of discovered patterns without quality deterioration.
Paper extends circle pattern theory to obtuse angles.
problem Circle patterns with obtuse angles not previously covered.
method Using topological degree theory, extends Koebe-Andreev-Thurston Theorem.
result Generalized Andreev's Theorem for obtuse dihedral angles.
This paper investigates circle patterns with obtuse exterior intersection angles on surfaces of finite topological type. We characterise the images of the curvature maps and establish several equivalent conditions regarding long time behaviors of Chow-Luo's combinatorial Ricci flows for these patterns. As consequences,…
Pattern sampling reduces time series classification complexity.
problem High computational complexity of exhaustive search for shapelets.
method Pattern sampling using a weighted trie to extract discriminative patterns.
result Significant reduction in computational and memory resources.
LSTM and gradient boosting models fail to outperform random chance in predicting MNQ futures.
problem Predicting intraday direction in MNQ futures using LSTM and gradient boosting.
method Comparing LSTM and gradient boosting models on 944 trading days of MNQ futures data.
result No model achieves statistically significant accuracy above random chance.
Symplectic forms match on circle pattern space.
problem Matching symplectic forms on circle pattern space.
method Pullback of symplectic forms to circle pattern space.
result Symplectic forms on circle pattern space coincide.
Study identifies clusters of EU countries with similar young mortality patterns.
problem Identify clusters of EU countries with similar mortality patterns in young population.
method Symbolic data analysis (SDA) with age, gender, and main causes of death dimensions.
result Identified clusters of EU countries with similar mortality patterns in young population.
This research improves LSTM for monthly electricity demand forecasting using pattern-based methods.
problem Forecasting mid-term monthly electricity demand with high accuracy.
method Developed a hybrid LSTM model using x-patterns and exponential smoothing.
result The hybrid model outperformed standard LSTM and classical models.
For using neural networks in safety critical domains, it is important to know if a decision made by a neural network is supported by prior similarities in training. We propose runtime neuron activation pattern monitoring - after the standard training process, one creates a monitor by feeding the training data to the ne…
In this paper, we investigate the multi-variate sequence classification problem from a multi-instance learning perspective. Real-world sequential data commonly show discriminative patterns only at specific time periods. For instance, we can identify a cropland during its growing season, but it looks similar to a barren…
The paper proposes a method to identify high-quality financial patterns using entropy.
problem Extracting reliable short-term patterns from noisy financial data.
method Entropy-assisted framework for clustering and pruning patterns.
result High-quality patterns with low local entropy and historical profitability.
We consider ``hyperideal'' circle patterns, i.e. patterns of disks appearing in the definition of the Delaunay decomposition associated to a set of disjoint disks, possibly with cone singularities at the center of those disks. Hyperideal circle patterns are associated to hyperideal hyperbolic polyhedra. We describe the…
Thurston's Circle Pattern Theorem studies existence and rigidity of circle patterns of a given combinatorial type and the given non-obtuse exterior intersection angles. Using topological degree theory, variational principle, Teichmuller theory, and Sard's Theorem, this paper generalizes Circle Pattern Theorem to the ca…
Discriminative pattern mining is an essential task of data mining. This task aims to discover patterns which occur more frequently in a class than other classes in a class-labeled dataset. This type of patterns is valuable in various domains such as bioinformatics, data classification. In this paper, we propose a novel…
Model predicts Bitcoin's future movements using multimodal pattern matching.
problem Challenges in predicting Bitcoin's volatile future movements.
method Ranking similar past chart patterns given current chart information.
result Improves directional prediction of Bitcoin's future movements.