arXiv research

A new perspective on Call option pricing reveals identical prices for certain options.

Model earnings call transcripts for better stock price prediction.

Extracts credit-relevant information from earnings calls.

Auto dealerships receive thousands of calls daily from customers who are interested in sales, service, vendors and jobseekers. With so many calls, it is very important for auto dealers to understand the intent of these calls to provide positive customer experiences that ensure customer satisfaction, deep customer engag…

New method estimates animal density using acoustic data, accounting for unknown call identities.

We derive the Black-Scholes-Merton dual equation, which has exactly the same form as the Black-Scholes-Merton equation. The novel and general equation works for options with a payoff of homogeneous of degree one, including European, American, Bermudan, Asian, barrier, lookback, etc., and leads to new insights into pric…

Proposes a model for clearing prices in financial markets due to margin calls.

The increasing popularity of cell phones has made them the most personal and ubiquitous communication devices nowadays. Typically, the ringing notifications of mobile phones are used to inform the users about the incoming calls. However, the notifications of inappropriate incoming calls sometimes cause interruptions no…

We examine the small expiry behaviour of European call options in stock price models of exponential Lévy type. In most cases of interest, we are able to identify the exact small expiry asymptotics. In "complete generality" we are able to show that the time value of the call option has O(τ) decay as τ(time to expiry) go…

This paper detects anomalies in cellular network traffic using hybrid methods.

This paper is devoted to the application of an $l_1$ -minimisation technique to construct an arbitrage-free call-option surface. We propose a nononparametric approach to obtaining model-free call option surfaces that are perfectly consistent with market quotes and free of static arbitrage. The approach is inspired from…

Improved method reduces projection calls for nonsmooth convex optimization.

We investigate the position of the Buchen-Kelly density in a family of entropy maximising densities which all match European call option prices for a given maturity observed in the market. Using the Legendre transform which links the entropy function and the cumulant generating function, we show that it is both the uni…

Mitigates DeFi liquidations with reversible call options.

In this paper, we investigate the generalization of the Call-Put duality equality obtained in [1] for perpetual American options when the Call-Put payoff $(y-x)^+$ is replaced by $φ(x,y)$. It turns out that the duality still holds under monotonicity and concavity assumptions on $φ$. The specific analytical form of the …

ClovaCall introduces a new Korean call speech corpus for contact centers.

Credit scoring is without a doubt one of the oldest applications of analytics. In recent years, a multitude of sophisticated classification techniques have been developed to improve the statistical performance of credit scoring models. Instead of focusing on the techniques themselves, this paper leverages alternative d…

Study earnings calls to predict stock price movements, finding them more predictive than traditional data.

Paper solves stock loan pricing with finite maturity using integral equations.

In this paper we investigate a nonlinear generalization of the Black-Scholes equation for pricing American style call options in which the volatility term may depend on the underlying asset price and the Gamma of the option. We propose a numerical method for pricing American style call options by means of transformatio…

Let $M^n$ be an $n$-dimensional umbilic-free hypersurface in the $(n+1)$-dimensional Lorentzian space form $M^{n+1}_1(c)$. Three basic invariants of $M^n$ under the conformal transformation group of $M^{n+1}_1(c)$ are a $1$-form $C$, called conformal $1$-form, a symmetric $(0,2)$ tensor $B$, called conformal second fun…

It is well known that in models with time-homogeneous local volatility functions and constant interest and dividend rates, the European Put prices are transformed into European Call prices by the simultaneous exchanges of the interest and dividend rates and of the strike and spot price of the underlying. This paper inv…

Given a hyperbolic surface, the set of all closed geodesics whose length is minimal form a graph on the surface, in fact a so-called fat graph, which we call the systolic graph. We study which fat graphs are systolic graphs for some surface (we call these admissible). There is a natural necessary condition on such grap…

The study examines how including additional call option prices affects model-independent price bounds for exotic derivatives.

MNN improves American call option pricing accuracy.

New invariants show stronger virtual knot sets.

Asymptotic expansions for call prices and implied volatilities in exponential Lévy models.

The space of call price functions has a natural noncommutative semigroup structure with an involution. A basic example is the Black--Scholes call price surface, from which an interesting inequality for Black--Scholes implied volatility is derived. The binary operation is compatible with the convex order, and therefore …

A statistical decision problem is hidden in the core of option pricing. A simple form for the price C of a European call option is obtained via the minimum Bayes risk, R_B, of a 2-parameter estimation problem, thus justifying calling C Bayes (B-)price. The result provides new insight in option pricing, among others obt…

Study shows physical drift affects put-call parity enforcement, not just option payoffs.

We discuss general notions of metrics and of Finsler structures which we call weak metrics and weak Finsler structures. Any convex domain carries a canonical weak Finsler structure, which we call its tautological weak Finsler structure. We compute distances in the tautological weak Finsler structure of a domain and we …

An analytic method for pricing American call options is provided; followed by an empirical method for pricing Asian call options. The methodology is the pricing theory presented in "A Modern Theory of Random Variation", by Patrick Muldowney, 2012.

Call Detail Records (CDRs) are data recorded by telecommunications companies, consisting of basic informations related to several dimensions of the calls made through the network: the source, destination, date and time of calls. CDRs data analysis has received much attention in the recent years since it might reveal va…

Algorithm estimates COVID-19 cases from phone calls.

Calabi-Yau theorem extended to Vaisman manifolds.

In this paper we show how to relate European call and put options on multiple assets to certain convex bodies called lift zonoids. Based on this, geometric properties can be translated into economic statements and vice versa. For instance, the European call-put parity corresponds to the central symmetry property, while…

In this paper, we obtain asymptotic formulas with error estimates for the implied volatility associated with a European call pricing function. We show that these formulas imply Lee's moment formulas for the implied volatility and the tail-wing formulas due to Benaim and Friz. In addition, we analyze Pareto-type tails o…

This paper examines the valuation of a generalized American-style option known as a Game-style call option in an infinite time horizon setting. The specifications of this contract allow the writer to terminate the call option at any point in time for a fixed penalty amount paid directly to the holder. Valuation of a pe…

In this paper we bring to bear some new tools from statistical learning on the analysis of roll call data. We present a new data-driven model for roll call voting that is geometric in nature. We construct the model by adapting the "Partition Decoupling Method," an unsupervised learning technique originally developed fo…

Ever increasing number of Android malware, has always been a concern for cybersecurity professionals. Even though plenty of anti-malware solutions exist, a rational and pragmatic approach for the same is rare and has to be inspected further. In this paper, we propose a novel two-set feature selection approach based on …

Quantum algorithm for pricing European call options.

We study the statistical regularities of opening call auction using the ultra-high-frequency data of 22 liquid stocks traded on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in 2003. The distribution of the relative price, defined as the relative difference between the order price in opening call auction and the closing price of last tr…

Deep learning models predict call center volumes with seasonal patterns.

We consider a portfolio with call option and the corresponding underlying asset under the standard assumption that stock-market price represents a random variable with lognormal distribution. Minimizing the variance (hedging risk) of the portfolio on the date of maturity of the call option we find a fraction of the ass…

In the present paper, a decomposition formula for the call price due to Alòs is transformed into a Taylor type formula containing an infinite series with stochastic terms. The new decomposition may be considered as an alternative to the decomposition of the call price found in a recent paper of Alòs, Gatheral and Radoi…

Study analyzes deep learning models for financial sentiment in earnings calls.

Improved earnings predictions through text-morphed earnings calls.

This paper proposes a methodology for host-based anomaly detection using a semi-supervised algorithm namely one-class classifier combined with a PCA-based feature extraction technique called Eigentraces on system call trace data. The one-class classification is based on generating a set of artificial data using a refer…