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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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99198297396 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for CTE risk measure

This paper examines if CTE risk measure aligns with profit-maximizing risk capital allocations.

problem Whether CTE risk measure aligns with profit-maximizing risk capital allocations.
method Exhaustive probabilistic model settings analysis.
result CTE risk measure may align with profit-maximizing risk capital allocations under certain conditions.

The paper calculates VaR and CTE for extreme and aggregate risks using FGM copula.

problem Estimating risk measures for extreme and aggregate risks of dependent and independent markets.
method Used FGM copula to model dependence, exponential and pareto distributions for marginal risks.
result Effect of dependency on VaR and CTE of extreme and aggregate risks analyzed.

New method allocates capital based on tail central moments for financial risk assessment.

problem Inability of CTE-based capital allocation to reflect tail behavior of losses.
method Developed TCM-based capital allocation for normal mean-variance mixture distributions.
result TCM-based method captures tail risk contributions not detected by CTE.

CTE improves explanation estimation with less data and faster computation.

problem Inefficient and inaccurate explanation estimation in machine learning models.
method Distribution compression through kernel thinning to reduce sample size.
result CTE significantly improves accuracy and stability of explanation estimation.

Predicts long-term return distributions with time-varying volatility.

problem Risk management in long-horizon returns.
method Predicts future return distributions without specifying volatility dynamics or shock distribution.
result Derives risk measures like VaR and CTE from the predicted return distribution.

The paper proposes a new framework to generate synthetic data with human-like imperfections to prevent model collapse.

problem Model collapse due to statistical optimization of synthetic data.
method Introduces Prompt-driven Cognitive Computing Framework (PMCSF) with Cognitive State Decoder (CSD) and Cognitive Text Encoder (CTE).
result The framework generates text with cognitive imperfections, reducing maximum drawdown and delivering defensive alpha.

A new method synthesizes expressions from characteristics using GAN for healthcare.

problem Synthesizing expressions from given characteristics in high-dimensional space.
method Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) based selective ensemble learning.
result The proposed SE-CTES method effectively handles deterministic and stochastic patterns.

We show uniqueness for overdetermined elliptic problems defined on topological disks ΩΩ with C2C^2 boundary, i.e., positive solutions uu to Δu+f(u)=0Δu + f(u)=0 in Ω(M2,g)Ω\subset (M^2,g) so that u=0u = 0 and uη=cte\frac{\partial u}{\partial \vecη} = cte along Ω\partial Ω, η\vecη the unit outward normal along Ω\partialΩ under the…

2016-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

New set-valued star-shaped risk measures introduced for better risk assessment.

problem Improving risk assessment in financial contexts.
method Developed new set-valued star-shaped risk measures and proved their representation theorems.
result Set-valued star-shaped risk measures can be represented as unions of set-valued convex risk measures.

The paper studies dynamic star-shaped risk measures and their representation.

problem Representing dynamic star-shaped risk measures and their properties.
method Representation theorems for dynamic monetary and star-shaped risk measures.
result Dynamic star-shaped risk measures can be represented as the lower envelope of a family of dynamic convex risk measures.

The paper establishes a connection between different risk measures and their risk contributions.

problem Understanding the relationship between conditional coherent and deviation risk measures.
method Axiomatic framework and continuous-time risk contribution analysis.
result Risk contributions of time-consistent risk measures are also time-consistent.

Submodularity is studied for convex risk measures, including Expected Shortfall.

problem Characterizing submodularity in convex risk measures.
method Analyzing submodularity properties of law-invariant coherent risk measures, including Expected Shortfall and Value-at-Risk.
result AES is submodular only when it reduces to ES, and empirical analysis shows AES violations are less frequent than VaR and ES violations.

Spectral risk measures are attractive risk measures as they allow the user to obtain risk measures that reflect their risk-aversion functions. To date there has been very little guidance on the choice of risk-aversion functions underlying spectral risk measures. This paper addresses this issue by examining two popular …

2011-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper explores non-convex risk measures and their characterizations.

problem Characterizing non-convex risk measures without convexity or weak convexity.
method Characterizes monetary risk measures as lower envelopes of families of convex or coherent risk measures, considering law-invariance and SSD-consistency.
result Unified representation theorems for law-invariant risk measures, including VaR.

Risk measures for multivariate financial positions are studied in a utility-based framework. Under a certain incomplete preference relation, shortfall and divergence risk measures are defined as the optimal values of specific set minimization problems. The dual relationship between these two classes of multivariate ris…

2014-05-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Study risk-sensitive reinforcement learning with Lipschitz dynamic risk measures, establishing regret bounds.

problem Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning in Markov decision processes.
method Two model-based algorithms for Lipschitz dynamic risk measures, focusing on regret bounds.
result Upper bounds demonstrate optimal dependencies on actions and episodes, reflecting risk sensitivity vs. sample complexity trade-off.

Develops a new method for risk diversification using dynamic risk measures.

problem Dynamic risk diversification in investment portfolios.
method Introduces dynamic risk contributions and a recursive optimization approach for coherent dynamic distortion risk measures.
result Dynamic risk budgeting strategies can be solved using deep learning.

Paper introduces new risk measures that unify two existing types.

problem Combining two types of risk measures for broader applicability.
method Introduces a new class of risk measures that unify distortion and Haezendonck-Goovaerts measures.
result New risk measures defined on a larger space, with coherent properties in certain scenarios.

Dual representations for robust risk measures and uncertainty sets.

problem Characterizing continuity of robust risk measures and their uncertainty sets.
method Develop dual representations for robust risk measures and uncertainty sets based on distinct geometric assumptions.
result Two dual frameworks for consolidated uncertainty sets are complementary, not interchangeable.

New risk measures assess cryptocurrency market vulnerabilities during financial distress.

problem Capturing systemic risk in cryptocurrency markets during financial distress.
method Introducing Vulnerability Conditional Risk Measures (VCoES) and related measures.
result Validated theoretical insights and demonstrated practical relevance in cryptocurrency market.

Starting from the requirement that risk measures of financial portfolios should be based on their losses, not their gains, we define the notion of loss-based risk measure and study the properties of this class of risk measures. We characterize loss-based risk measures by a representation theorem and give examples of su…

2011-10-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Study asymptotic properties of generalized shortfall risk measures for heavy-tailed risks.

problem Understanding risk measures for heavy-tailed risks.
method Derive asymptotic expansions for generalized shortfall risk measures.
result Unified theory for risk measures including distortion and utility-based measures.

This paper was presented and written for two seminars: a national UK University Risk Conference and a Risk Management industry workshop. The target audience is therefore a cross section of Academics and industry professionals. The current ongoing global credit crunch has highlighted the importance of risk measurement i…

2009-04-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Spectral risk measures are attractive risk measures as they allow the user to obtain risk measures that reflect their subjective risk-aversion. This paper examines spectral risk measures based on an exponential utility function, and finds that these risk measures have nice intuitive properties. It also discusses how th…

2011-03-28abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper shows how to calculate risk measures for sums of two counter-monotonic risks.

problem Calculating risk measures for sums of two counter-monotonic risks.
method Using a fixed distortion function and expressing the risk measure of a sum as the sum of two related measures of the marginals.
result The risk measure of a sum of two counter-monotonic risks can be expressed as the sum of two related distortion risk measures of the marginals.

Investigates set-valued risk measures for processes and vectors, proving equivalence and providing new dual representations.

problem Investigates set-valued risk measures for processes and vectors.
method Utilizes equivalence of risk measures for processes and vectors and their penalty function formulations.
result Provides new dual representation for risk measures for processes in the set-valued framework.

This paper introduces a new systemic risk measure, JMES, and its associated contribution measures.

problem Measuring systemic risk and its contributions among entities.
method Proposes JMES and associated contribution measures, studies their properties, and compares them with existing measures.
result Established sufficient conditions for comparing JMES and other measures under different copula structures and stress levels.

Develops a statistical framework for coherent risk estimation.

problem Constructing coherent risk estimators with sound financial and statistical properties.
method Inspired by axiomatic risk measure theory, defines coherent risk estimators through robust representations linked to LL-estimators.
result Demonstrates that coherence of a risk measure does not necessarily carry over to its estimators and shows alternative weight structures can lead to different outcomes.

Study risk sharing among agents with varying risk preferences.

problem Risk sharing among agents with heterogeneous risk measures.
method Derive explicit solutions for inf-convolution and counter-monotonic inf-convolution under varying risk seeking.
result Explicit solutions for inf-convolution and counter-monotonic inf-convolution can be represented by a generalization of distortion risk measures.

We axiomatically introduce risk-consistent conditional systemic risk measures defined on multidimensional risks. This class consists of those conditional systemic risk measures which can be decomposed into a state-wise conditional aggregation and a univariate conditional risk measure. Our studies extend known results f…

2016-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

A new class of risk measures called cash sub-additive risk measures is introduced to assess the risk of future financial, nonfinancial and insurance positions. The debated cash additive axiom is relaxed into the cash sub additive axiom to preserve the original difference between the numeraire of the current reserve amo…

2007-10-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We describe a general framework for measuring risks, where the risk measure takes values in an abstract cone. It is shown that this approach naturally includes the classical risk measures and set-valued risk measures and yields a natural definition of vector-valued risk measures. Several main constructions of risk meas…

2006-06-21abs ↗pdf ↗

We characterize when a convex risk measure associated to a law-invariant acceptance set in LL^\infty can be extended to LpL^p, 1p<1\leq p<\infty, preserving finiteness and continuity. This problem is strongly connected to the statistical robustness of the corresponding risk measures. Special attention is paid to concre…

2014-01-14abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a general framework for measuring the liquidity risk. The theoretical framework defines a class of risk measures that incorporate the liquidity risk into the standard risk measures. We consider a one-period risk measurement model. The liquidity risk is defined as the risk that a given security or a portfolio…

2014-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Extends return risk measures to multiple assets, proving properties and comparing different risk models.

problem Evaluating risk in financial markets with multiple assets.
method Develops multi-asset return risk measures (MARRMs), analyzes their properties, and compares them with other risk models.
result Proves that a positively homogeneous MARRM is quasi-convex if and only if it is convex, and provides conditions to avoid inconsistent risk evaluations.