A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study evaluates UK CDC schemes, finding intergenerational cross-subsidies in flat-accrual schemes and dynamic-accrual schemes can reduce but not eliminate them.
problem Intergenerational cross-subsidies in UK CDC schemes, particularly in flat-accrual schemes.
method Comparison of flat-accrual and dynamic-accrual CDC schemes, analysis of performance and level of cross-subsidies.
result Dynamic-accrual schemes can reduce but not eliminate intergenerational cross-subsidies, while flat-accrual schemes often have significant cross-subsidies.
We proposed a new statistical dependency measure called Copula Dependency Coefficient(CDC) for two sets of variables based on copula. It is robust to outliers, easy to implement, powerful and appropriate to high-dimensional variables. These properties are important in many applications. Experimental results show that C…
We study epidemic forecasting on real-world health data by a graph-structured recurrent neural network (GSRNN). We achieve state-of-the-art forecasting accuracy on the benchmark CDC dataset. To improve model efficiency, we sparsify the network weights via transformed-ℓ1 penalty and maintain prediction accuracy at…
Prototypical examples that best summarizes and compactly represents an underlying complex data distribution communicate meaningful insights to humans in domains where simple explanations are hard to extract. In this paper we present algorithms with strong theoretical guarantees to mine these data sets and select protot…
Measuring dependence between two random variables is very important, and critical in many applied areas such as variable selection, brain network analysis. However, we do not know what kind of functional relationship is between two covariates, which requires the dependence measure to be equitable. That is, it gives sim…
Algorithm constructs prediction sets with PAC guarantees in label shift settings.
problem Reliable uncertainty quantification in the face of distribution shift.
method Estimates predicted probabilities and confusion matrix, then propagates uncertainty through Gaussian elimination to compute confidence intervals and construct prediction sets.
result Satisfies PAC guarantees and produces smaller, more informative prediction sets.
Empirical studies indicate the presence of multi-scales in the volatility of underlying assets: a fast-scale on the order of days and a slow-scale on the order of months. In our previous works, we have studied the portfolio optimization problem in a Markovian setting under each single scale, the slow one in [Fouque and…
Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) is a developmental disorder that often impairs a child's normal development of the brain. According to CDC, it is estimated that 1 in 6 children in the US suffer from development disorders, and 1 in 68 children in the US suffer from ASD. This condition has a negative impact on a person's …
It was proved in 1998 by Ben-David and Litman that a concept space has a sample compression scheme of size d if and only if every finite subspace has a sample compression scheme of size d. In the compactness theorem, measurability of the hypotheses of the created sample compression scheme is not guaranteed; at the same…
We study first-order optimization methods obtained by discretizing ordinary differential equations (ODEs) corresponding to Nesterov's accelerated gradient methods (NAGs) and Polyak's heavy-ball method. We consider three discretization schemes: an explicit Euler scheme, an implicit Euler scheme, and a symplectic scheme.…
In this paper we propose a new kind of high order numerical scheme for backward stochastic differential equations(BSDEs). Unlike the traditional θ-scheme, we reduce truncation errors by taking θ carefully for every subinterval according to the characteristics of integrands. We give error estimates of this nonlinear…
Seasonal influenza infects between 10 and 50 million people in the United States every year, overburdening hospitals during weeks of peak incidence. Named by the CDC as an important tool to fight the damaging effects of these epidemics, accurate forecasts of influenza and influenza-like illness (ILI) forewarn public he…
We extend the scheme developed in B. Düring, A. Pitkin, "High-order compact finite difference scheme for option pricing in stochastic volatility jump models", 2019, to the so-called stochastic volatility with contemporaneous jumps (SVCJ) model, derived by Duffie, Pan and Singleton. The performance of the scheme is asse…
In this paper we propose a generalized numerical scheme for backward stochastic differential equations(BSDEs). The scheme is based on approximation of derivatives via Lagrange interpolation. By changing the distribution of sample points used for interpolation, one can get various numerical schemes with different stabil…
A discretization scheme for nonnegative diffusion processes is proposed and the convergence of the corresponding sequence of approximate processes is proved using the martingale problem framework. Motivations for this scheme come typically from finance, especially for path-dependent option pricing. The scheme is simple…
In this paper, we propose an acceleration scheme for online memory-limited PCA methods. Our scheme converges to the first k>1 eigenvectors in a single data pass. We provide empirical convergence results of our scheme based on the spiked covariance model. Our scheme does not require any predefined parameters such as t…
In the present paper, we introduce a numerical scheme for the price of a barrier option when the price of the underlying follows a diffusion process. The numerical scheme is based on an extension of a static hedging formula of barrier options. For getting the static hedging formula, the underlying process needs to have…