The paper derives concentration inequalities for dynamic risk measures in a Brownian filtration context.
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We consider controller-stopper problems in which the controlled processes can have jumps. The global filtration is represented by the Brownian filtration, enlarged by the filtration generated by the jump process. We assume that there exists a conditional probability density function for the jump times and marks given t…
Dynamic risk measures are defined using BSDEs in a filtration enlargement setting.
Optimizes trading in a market with a change point, considering risk and information constraints.
Universal approximation for stochastic processes using Brownian motion.
Given a Markovian Brownian martingale , we build a process which is a martingale in its own filtration and satisfies . We call a dynamic bridge, because its terminal value is not known in advance. We compute explicitly its semimartingale decomposition under both its own filtration $\cF^X$ an…
We consider a general class of continuous asset price models where the drift and the volatility functions, as well as the driving Brownian motions, change at a random time . Under minimal assumptions on the random time and on the driving Brownian motions, we study the behavior of the model in all the filtrations whi…
This paper studies the problem of optimal investment in incomplete markets, robust with respect to stopping times. We work on a Brownian motion framework and the stopping times are adapted to the Brownian filtration. Robustness can only be achieved for logartihmic utility, otherwise a cashflow should be added to the in…
New algorithm for non-Markovian optimal stopping problems using Brownian motion.
Developed a machine-checked Itô calculus for Brownian motion.
The paper explores anticipative binary information in financial markets using Brownian motion and Poisson processes.
Paper solves non-Markovian optimal stopping problems using discrete approximations.
In the context of an incomplete market with a Brownian filtration and a fixed finite time horizon, this paper proves that for general dynamic convex risk measures, the buyer's and seller's risk indifference prices of a contingent claim are bounded from below and above by the dynamic lower and upper hedging prices, resp…
Paper extends Brownian bridge with random length and pinning point for financial modeling.
The paper optimizes utility for switching models using Lévy processes.
Closed-form solutions derived for perpetual options under insider models.
New pricing model uses variance-gamma process for financial assets.
Corrects an earlier theorem, establishing new facts about information structures and non-anticipative aggregation.
A generalized bridge is the law of a stochastic process that is conditioned on N linear functionals of its path. We consider two types of representations of such bridges: orthogonal and canonical. The orthogonal representation is constructed from the entire path of the underlying process. Thus, future knowledge of the …
Study optimal portfolios in a non-Markovian regime-switching model with random time horizon.
This article focuses on the mathematical problem of existence and uniqueness of BSDE with a random terminal time which is a general random variable but not a stopping time, as it has been usually the case in the previous literature of BSDE with random terminal time. The main motivation of this work is a financial or ac…
This paper solves a Bayes sequential impulse control problem for a diffusion, whose drift has an unobservable parameter with a change point. The partially-observed problem is reformulated into one with full observations, via a change of probability measure which removes the drift. The optimal impulse controls can be ex…
Solves optimal control with state constraints using probabilistic methods.
This paper develops, in a Brownian information setting, an approach for analyzing the preference for information, a question that motivates the stochastic differential utility (SDU) due to Duffie and Epstein [Econometrica 60 (1992) 353-394]. For a class of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) including th…
When investors have heterogeneous attitudes towards risk, it is reasonable to assume that each investor has a pricing kernel, and that these individual pricing kernels are aggregated to form a market pricing kernel. The various investors are then buyers or sellers depending on how their individual pricing kernels compa…
New methods solve SPDEs for financial derivative pricing.
Develops a new class of forward performance processes for investment pools.
A new framework for asset price dynamics is introduced in which the concept of noisy information about future cash flows is used to derive the price processes. In this framework an asset is defined by its cash-flow structure. Each cash flow is modelled by a random variable that can be expressed as a function of a colle…
Identifies filtration in Lagrangian fibrations to monodromy weight filtration in degenerations.
This article studies quadratic semimartingale BSDEs arising in power utility maximization when the market price of risk is of BMO type. In a Brownian setting we provide a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of a solution but show that uniqueness fails to hold in the sense that there exists a continuum …
In financial markets, the information that traders have about an asset is reflected in its price. The arrival of new information then leads to price changes. The `information-based framework' of Brody, Hughston and Macrina (BHM) isolates the emergence of information, and examines its role as a driver of price dynamics.…
Study weightings from singular Lie filtrations.
A new method for optimal filtration learning in time-series data analysis.
Develops a new filtration for asset pricing models.
The information-based asset-pricing framework of Brody, Hughston and Macrina (BHM) is extended to include a wider class of models for market information. In the BHM framework, each asset is associated with a collection of random cash flows. The price of the asset is the sum of the discounted conditional expectations of…
In sequential anytime-valid inference, any admissible procedure must be based on e-processes: generalizations of test martingales that quantify the accumulated evidence against a composite null hypothesis at any stopping time. This paper proposes a method for combining e-processes constructed in different filtrations b…
The paper studies new filtrations and homomorphisms related to mapping class groups and 3-manifold invariants.
In a recent paper we defined a new filtration of the mapping class group--the "Lagrangian" filtration. We here determine the successive quotients of this filtration, up to finite index. As an application we show that, for any additive invariant of finite-type (e.g. the Casson invariant), and any level of the Lagrangian…
We introduce several families of filtrations on the space of vector bundles over a smooth projective variety. These filtrations are defined using the large k asymptotics of the kernel of the Dolbeault Dirac operator on a bundle twisted by the kth power of an ample line bundle. The filtrations measure the failure of the…
Counterexample disproves conjecture about Fano varieties with non-reductive automorphisms.
Toeplitz operators linked to submultiplicative filtrations and weighted Bergman kernels.
A new framework for asset pricing based on modelling the information available to market participants is presented. Each asset is characterised by the cash flows it generates. Each cash flow is expressed as a function of one or more independent random variables called market factors or "X-factors". Each X-factor is ass…
We consider the Grope filtration of the classical knot concordance group that was introduced in a paper of Cochran, Orr and Teichner. Our main result is that successive quotients at each stage in this filtration have infinite rank. We also establish the analogous result for the Grope filtration of the concordance group…
A knot in the 3-sphere is called doubly slice if it is a slice of an unknotted 2-sphere in the 4-sphere. We give a bi-sequence of new obstructions for a knot being doubly slice. We construct it following the idea of Cochran-Orr-Teichner's filtration of the classical knot concordance group. This yields a bi-filtration o…
Johnson filtrations of mapping class groups are finitely generated.
We show that the Artin representation on concordance classes of string links induces a well-defined epimorphism modulo order n twisted Whitney tower concordance, and that the kernel of this map is generated by band sums of iterated Bing-doubles of any string knot with nonzero Arf invariant. We also continue J. Levine's…
Study shows infinite rank in bipolar filtration of topologically slice knots.
We study knots of order 2 in the grope filtration $\{\G_h\}$ and the solvable filtration $\{\F_h\}$ of the knot concordance group. We show that, for any integer , there are knots generating a subgroup of $\G_n/\G_{n.5}$. Considering the solvable filtration, our knots generate a subgro…